Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
by Bernard (bernard) on Wed Dec 1st, 2021 at 07:25:50 PM EST
by Cat on Thu Dec 2nd, 2021 at 11:43:57 PM EST
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by Cat on Sat Dec 4th, 2021 at 03:20:03 AM EST
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UK Health Security Agency, "Myocarditis and pericarditis after COVID-19 vaccination: guidance for healthcare professionals", 29 Nov 2021
"It is a living document and will be reviewed and updated as further data becomes available."
by Cat on Sat Dec 4th, 2021 at 03:29:04 AM EST
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Prof Prem Sikka: Why the privatisation of the UK energy market has been a disaster
Just six companies, namely British Gas, EDF Energy, E.ON UK, npower, ScottishPower and SSE, control 77% of the UK household energy market. EDF energy is a subsidiary of the French-state controlled company Électricité de France. EON and npower are controlled from Germany. ScottishPower is controlled from Spain. The government encouraged smaller companies to enter the retail market. Until recently up to 70 companies competed in the retail market to sell energy to households and businesses.

One of the aims of privatisation was to separate production and retailing of energy but that is not how it turned out. ...

by Cat on Sat Dec 4th, 2021 at 05:04:49 AM EST
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The National
The buffoonery of Prime Minister Boris Johnson has turned Tories in Scotland into a ­ratings disaster. The poll says four in five Scots (80%) are dissatisfied with the way ­Johnson is doing his job, while just 16% are satisfied. This is the worst ever ­polling of a British prime minister in modern times and may be feeding into another ­historic change. The days when London rule felt safe, secure, benign, and ­comforting have ended. The twin blows of Brexit and the pandemic have holed the Tory ship below the waterline.
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Sat Dec 4th, 2021 at 10:03:42 PM EST
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twitter pre-print

UK Health Security Agency, "COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report Week 48," 28 November 2021

We present data on COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations[,]* and deaths by vaccination status. These raw data should not be used to estimate vaccine effectiveness as the data does not take into account inherent biases present such as differences in risk, behaviour and testing in the vaccinated and unvaccinated populations. Vaccine effectiveness is measured in other ways as detailed in the `Vaccine Effectiveness' Section.

Based on antibody testing of blood donors, 98.1% of the adult population now have antibodies to COVID-19 from either infection or vaccination compared to 20.2% that have antibodies from infection alone.
vaccinated and unvaccinated populations. Vaccine effectiveness is measured in other ways as
detailed in the `Vaccine Effectiveness' Section.
Based on antibody testing of blood donors, 98.1% of the adult population now have antibodies
to COVID-19 from either infection or vaccination compared to 20.2% that have antibodies from
infection alone.

* oxford (US-Engl., Shrunk and White) comma
by Cat on Mon Dec 6th, 2021 at 08:15:10 PM EST
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by Bernard (bernard) on Mon Dec 6th, 2021 at 08:50:16 PM EST
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Thousands of trees to be felled as climate change helps diseases spread evolutionary preshures: a parable
  • a fungus called Hymenoscyphus fraxineus, originated in ASIA and spread to Europe by international commerce
  • Phytophthora ramorum, a fungal-like [?] organism of unknown ORIGIN
  • Phytophthora pluvialis another "fungus-like" organism  afflicting PARASITES in Cornwall, UK and Oregon, USA
by Cat on Thu Dec 9th, 2021 at 09:48:44 PM EST
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Party's Over? Johnson Given a 'Kicking' in British Local Vote

The Conservatives had won every previous election for the mostly rural area of central England since the constituency was created in its current form in 1983. Conservative lawmakers have been dominant in the region for nearly 200 years.

Several lawmakers in the party had predicted the Conservative Party would lose the by-election, but many were surprised by the extent of the loss.

They went from a 23,000 majority to a 6,000 vote loss.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Fri Dec 17th, 2021 at 03:44:35 PM EST
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Families in the UK were offered "do not resuscitate" notices for their children with learning-disabilities during the pandemic, amid the extreme pressures on the National Health Service (NHS) caused by the government's policy of herd immunity.

The Telegraph 's Investigations team published interviews with two parents this Sunday whose teenage sons were asked about Do Not Attempt CPR (DNACPR)/Do Not Attempt Resuscitation (DNAR) notices.

The Telegraph? What's happened to them?
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Thu Dec 30th, 2021 at 11:57:42 AM EST
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Sage data suggests Omicron patients leave hospital sooner, illustrated. 30 Dec
ecent Sage reports have stressed that we're still waiting on a major piece of information: the average stay in hospital for Omicron patients. It could be a game-changer. If the stay halves, the Covid-handling capacity of the NHS doubles and the risk of hospitals being overwhelmed falls quite a lot.
A Sage paper dated 22 December [scrubbed] had some distribution graphs showing how many days Covid patients were spending in hospital. From this data, it's possible to calculate the average length of hospital stay, by age.

The Spectator data team has done so (methodology here) and it shows a significant drop in hospital stay for all ages: now about five days for all over-50s. This is less than half the previous time the over-80s were in hospital for, with significant reductions for all age groups.

UKSA, "Omicron daily overview: 30 December 2021," 30 Dec
Counts of cases with confirmed S-gene, cases with confirmed S-gene Target Failure (SGTF) by TaqPath Laboratory PCR assay. SGRF refers to non-detectable S-gene and ≤30 CT values for N and ORF1ab genes (ie. "probable omicron" infection; cf. FDA "gene drop-out" pattern), especially unvaccinated hospital admissions.

Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling-Ops group, "SPI-M-O Consensus statement on COVID-19," 22 Dec

Whilst the estimates for the reduction in risk of hospital admission with omicron currently range from 15% to 80% lower than with delta, SPI-M-O has low confidence in any specific figure. At present there are few older people in the data used to estimate the severity of omicron and relative severity may differ between age groups. A 20% reduction would result in four times as many hospitalisations as an 80% reduction and would therefore require a very different policy response to achieve the same outcome.

Ferguson et al., "Report 50: Hospitalisation risk for Omicron cases in England", Imperial College, 22 Dec. SAGE collection

Stratifying hospitalisation risk by vaccination state reveals a more complex overall picture, albeit consistent with the unstratified analysis. Most intriguing is an apparent difference between those who received AstraZenca (AZ) vaccine versus Pfizer or Moderna (PF/MD) for their primary series (doses 1 and 2). Hazard ratios for hospital attendance with Omicron for those who received PF/MD as their primary vaccination schedule are similar to those seen for Delta in those vaccination categories, while Omicron hazard ratios are generally lower than for Delta for those who received AZ as their primary vaccination. Given the limited samples sizes to date, we caution about over-interpreting these trends, but they are compatible with previous findings that while protection afforded against mild infection from AZ was substantially reduced with the emergence of Delta, protection against more severe outcomes was sustained (2,3).
by Cat on Fri Dec 31st, 2021 at 01:25:32 AM EST
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England could fit an air purifier to every classroom for half the price of the new royal yacht, a move which scientists and campaigners say would significantly reduce the spread of Covid in schools.
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Fri Dec 31st, 2021 at 04:24:54 PM EST
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