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APsplainin RAGING model omicron positivity discrepancies worldwide
Case drop may show South Africa's omicron peak has passed
Some health officials in New York have suggested that because South Africa appears to have experienced a quick, mild wave of omicron, the variant may behave similarly there and elsewhere in the U.S. But Nunes cautions against jumping to those conclusions.

"Each setting, each country is different. The populations are different. The demographics of the population, the immunity is different in different countries," she said. South Africa's population, with an average age of 27, is more youthful than many Western countries, for instance.

btw, CSIS | The World's Largest HIV Epidemic

  • Nearly 4.8 million people were on anti-retroviral treatment (ART) in South Africa at the end of 2018, with approximately 680,000 newly initiated during that year.2
  • Progress toward the 90-90-90 goals (90% of all people living with HIV know their HIV status, 90% of all people with diagnosed HIV infection are on sustained treatment ["cocktail"], and 90% of all people receiving treatment are virally suppressed) stood at 91-70-83 as of September 2019.
  • Life expectancy has rebounded from 52.5 years in 2005 to nearly 63 years in 2018 as a result of a 70 percent and 59 percent decline in deaths among adult women and men, respectively, since 2005.
  • Together, 27 districts in 8 provinces account for approximately 80 percent of PLHIV.4 KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng [!] Provinces, which house the municipalities of Durban, Pietermaritzburg, Pretoria, and Johannesburg, together account for approximately 50 percent [!] of the HIV burden.
[...]
The immediate and long-term implications of COVID-19 for PLHIV and the overall public health system are likely to expose the fragility[?] of the HIV response. PLHIV, especially those who are not virally suppressed, are already immunocompromised and at increased risk of TB and other infectious and opportunistic diseases.
3CL protease living lab archive Mon Dec 6th, 2021, omicron origin story Thu Nov 25th, 2021
by Cat on Wed Dec 22nd, 2021 at 05:22:25 PM EST
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