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'ENORMOUS spread of omicron' may bring 140 MILLION new COVID infections to US in the next two months, MODEL PREDICTS
Researchers at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington's School of Medicine revised its COVID-19st modeling to include updated information about the omicron variant.
While meta-analyses have suggested previous variants cause about 40% of cases to be asymptomatic, [IHME director Dr. Chris] Murray said more than 90% of people infected with omicron may never show symptoms.
fruit of the std deviation tree
Researchers estimate that out of the millions of projected new daily infections, only about 400,000 cases may be reported, as most Americans infected with the virus won't feel sick and may never get tested [for COVID-19, influenza, bacterial or viral pneumonia, TB, etc]. At the peak of last year's winter SURGE in January, the country was reporting a little over 250,000 new cases [OF WHAT?] per day.

supra It's embarrassing
by Cat on Wed Dec 22nd, 2021 at 10:27:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
While infections are expected to skyrocket, the IHME model shows hospitalizations and deaths will be about the same. Researchers found the infection-hospitalization rate of omicron is about 90% to 96% lower than delta, and the infection-fatality rate is about 97% to 99% lower.
archived What this means, I believe, is US mortality is not rising at the same rate as SARS-CoV-2 δ infection ...
"In the past, we roughly thought that COVID was 10 times worse than flu and now we have a variant that is probably at least 10 times less severe," Murray said. "So, omicron will probably ... be less severe than flu but much more transmissible."
until further notice
by Cat on Wed Dec 22nd, 2021 at 10:37:22 PM EST
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