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What is concerning is that this vaccine export control act is a political performance act that is practically mostly useless. Export controls or not, vaccination will probably go full speed ahead only in Q2. Oh but now we have to be seen to do something quickly! Thus they cooked something up through an emergency procedure, end of the day ->> splash. And who set this train in motion? That's where we have the direct responsibility of vdl. Schengen is toast!
But preferably EU should go full delinkage: scrap patents for medicines, finance research from the public purse (grants and awards), and have competition in production. It was on the WHO agenda in 2014 and it had support including willingness to pitch in to research from the global South but it was shot down, mainly by the US.
In the current situation even pondering allowing generic production for vaccines that isn't delivered would probably scare Pharma enough to make EU a top priority.
My guess is such a tribunal would make recommendations along the following lines:
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