Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Why would anyone in the south(other than extreme nationalists, idealists, and dreamers) vote for a united Ireland if it was to cost the island a net €10-15 Billion p.a.?

The notion that a united Ireland might be coming into view is predicated on:

  1. The UK disintegrating with a vote for Scottish Independence

  2. The post Brexit UK economy declining and with the UK government no longer able or prepared to sub-vent either Scotland or N. Ireland.

  3. A continuing demographic shift both North and South. (Younger voters are much more supportive of a united Ireland).

All three are likely to increase in probability the longer referenda are delayed. Sinn Féin posturing about a referendum now is just that - posturing. The wiser counsel is to play the long game. Also if either Scotland or N. Ireland are to leave the UK, the longer they wait, the better the deal they could negotiate with Westminster.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun May 2nd, 2021 at 04:57:15 PM EST
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