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I suspect that next year may be a little too early for the pigeons to come home to roost in Ulster. However, I think that 42% to support reunification is up from a much lower figure at the last poll.

Also, others have noted that there is NO reunification effort going on in Ulster right now and that, when leaving the UK was on offer in Scotland, leave put on 10% in 3 months once campaigning started.

The DUP are dead, spinning out of control and disintegrating. The problem with fanatics is that their first thought is always of punishing heretics, compromise is not in their DNA. They were only held together by powerful personalities, Paisley and then Foster. Non-entities don't cut it as they're now finding out. 13% is the height of the cliff from which they fall, not a baseline.

Good. British and Irish politics will be better without them.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Aug 30th, 2021 at 07:53:24 AM EST
I fear you are being a mite optimistic. When the clarion call of the Union being in danger is raised, many die-hard unionists may yet rally to the DUP cause. The Union outweighs all other political and personality considerations for them. The past is anther country and it is nationalists' fault they didn't get the Brexit they wanted.

The demographic and economic shifts portend a deeper structural change, but it could be another generation before that is given political reality. Hardly anyone outside of Sinn Fein is pushing for it to happen soon. Why rock the boat when it is sailing in your direction anyway?

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Aug 30th, 2021 at 08:19:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, fair point. But the DUP can cry wolf all it likes, I'm no longer convinced it's the first port of call for those who want to protect the union, they kinda shat the bed by supporting brexit and then Boris. I'm sure a lot of unionists will look at the DUP and think, "you did this, this is your fault". It's hard to blame nationalists when they had almost nothing to do with it.

Which means the unionist vote fragments, some to the UUP, some to the Allaince, others to the little heretic fanatic parties. That means irrelevance. Since the death of Paisley, unionism has lacked a coherent voice to rally around.

But yes, republicanism can exercise patience now, the future is theirs.


keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Aug 30th, 2021 at 10:30:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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