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YouTube finally pulled the plug on RT America streaming;
and Washington bans dollar supply to Russia. No joke.

WH | Joint Statement by the G7 Announcing Further Economic Costs on Russia
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY

OFAC is also issuing guidance, in line with today's G7 leaders statement, to guard against potential attempts to use virtual currency to evade U.S. sanctions imposed on Russia. All of these actions complement a new Executive Order issued today by President Biden that imposes new import and export restrictions on Russia, including the export of U.S. banknotes to Russia.
Interesting demo of how the Fed can default US bond payments to any creditor, because international norms.
by Cat on Sat Mar 12th, 2022 at 06:33:10 AM EST
OT: what do y'think of Novavax? Protein vaccine, same as Hep B of ill reputation (for MS). Was it the technology that caused the problem or something else in it?
by Tom2 on Sat Mar 12th, 2022 at 02:28:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
My understanding to date is, Novavax completed Phase 0-IV clinical trials, unlike some other candidates, before applying for EAU/licensing and despite substantial barriers to distribution created by MIC authorities. Novavax Inc COVID-19 vaccine availability and nominal coverage is  comparatively limited by design. It obtained license for Nuvaxvid in EU on or about 21 Dec 2021 after licensing production of Covashield and Covovax brand names in India, mid 3Q2021. By then, Israel R(0) data had damaged "market leader" Pfizer mRNA reputation. Still have no clue what Novavax coverage is in S America.

eurotrib archive Novavax

Hep B, Hep A, Hep C, Hib, HPV, etc.
I'm not aware of any Hep B:MS incidence correlations. AFAIK, I've never taken that vaccine or tested pos, as child or adult. As indicated previously, I'm more disturbed by general incoherence in basic research and clinical treatment of MS symptoms.

I for one don't have objections to  conventional, conjugate "tech" and am not "anti-vax". Granted, I've had no reason based on adverse vaccine experiences to be suspicious. But I have discriminated (as adult and for my child) between FDA warnings, purported beneficial use, and statutory schedules. So I read both Pfizer, Moderna, J&J FDA applications before EUAs and was distinctly unimpressed by Pfizer's trial design [cockroach alert]. As The state limited J&J availability--even at "mass vaccination" sites--I deliberately ignored HHS eligibility "guidance," waited 5 mo until 2nd choice (Moderna) was offered by appointment at my primary care office. Extended family members (age 16-53) represent combinations of mRNA + J&J dosages, Feb 2021-Jan2022. 9 mo later--specifically because of "passport" hysteria gripping westworld--I decided to take a Moderna "booster", simply to update compliance bona fides. But I've no intention to do so again, as probability of multi-dose vaccine injury is not well understood and I truly do not want to complicate MS prognosis.  

by Cat on Sat Mar 12th, 2022 at 05:31:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks. From what I read it has been tested only for the earliest strains. Anyway here it is not allowed to mix and match it. Reserved to the unvaxed.
Figures climbing again in UK, DE, NL (last month were the winter holidays, lots of full low cost planes went to areas were the omicron waves was just starting)
by Tom2 on Sat Mar 12th, 2022 at 08:50:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
anglophone press reported otherwise.
archived Wed Jan 19th, 2022

And that's why I insisted on verifying terms and conditions for the bottle label of my last dose.

by Cat on Sat Mar 12th, 2022 at 10:14:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Americans are 'mixing and matching' Covid vaccines over concerns about the delta variant, 26 July
• Some Americans say they are finding ways to get additional doses of the Covid vaccines, with some even going as far as receiving the extra shots from different companies.
• German Chancellor Angela Merkel received Moderna's shot in June after getting AstraZeneca's in April.
• Italy is also allowing those under the age of 60 who received a first dose of AstraZeneca's vaccine to get a different shot when they get their second dose.
• South Korea said last month it would allow some 760,000 people to get different jabs because of shipment delays there.
by Cat on Sun Mar 13th, 2022 at 06:32:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BLOOMBERG | Options Traders Who Correctly Bet Against Russia Can't Cash Out
• Brokerage clients can't unwind positions with market frozen
• Clearinghouse ["just a messaging system"!] leaving it to firms to handle some requests
oh

firms? which firms? Just one "favored nation" brokerage! with proven ABBACUS experience.

Could this firm be managing your currency swaps, too?
IF so, consider yerself a savvy infestor. IF not, Take the L, bro!

by Cat on Mon Mar 14th, 2022 at 07:10:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
As Germany tells Poland, don't send any more Ukrainians we're full up:
"Poland's Deputy Interior Minister, Pavel Shefernaker, told news channel TVN24 on Monday that Warsaw has been asked to stop sending Ukrainian refugees by train to Germany, as Berlin struggles to cope with the influx of people fleeing conflict."
I see on the Transavia website (on smartphone but not on computer) that "they offer discounts to Ukrainian people."
"They can't walk to Germany, let them take planes," would say Marie-Antoinette Nuland.
This has certainly nothing to do with the fact planes are half empty as are restaurants and cafés (and the most expensive, i.e. those targeting only the super-rich, are totally empty).
by Tom2 on Mon Mar 14th, 2022 at 08:35:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Have you got a source for this little gem?
by Katrin on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 06:10:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Strangely enough Shefernaker did not bring any result on Google but searching for Germany Poland refugees got a source

https:/www.poandpo.com/news/germany-asks-poland-to-suspend-transportation-of-ukrainian-refugees

by Tom2 on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 09:02:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So you have it from a Russian disinformation site and didn't make it up yourself. I see. Well, it is of course total bullocks, but that won't surprise anyone here anyway.
by Katrin on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 09:11:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hi Katrin. Long time no see.
You've just met our new Putinversteher.
by Bernard (bernard) on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 09:32:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hi Bernard. The place seems to be in an awful state. Anti-vaxxer nonsense, Putin's propaganda lies, diaries so boring that only the author replies to... Small wonder there are so few people around. Pity.
by Katrin on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 10:21:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 06:56:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You really need a substack! Why work for free and avertise for a website where all you get are insults and bullying?

I wonder how censoring the enemy's media (as if they had a big follow up...) helps people actually know the enemy's pisition. But apparently they don't care (even Le Canard enchaîné is applauding to the extinction of Russian media).

https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202203/1254976.shtml

by Tom2 on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 09:44:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Reinforcements would be appreciated :) To keep up a bit of back-pressure to slow the flow of bullshit

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 01:40:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The place is indeed in an awful state. Oui has always denounced the evils of US policies and their European plus ME support, big businesses, three-letter agencies, etc...

So far, so good, but he went so deep down the rabbit hole that he's been printing all the Putin regime talking points for months: Ukraine is the aggressor, doing a genocide in Donbas, running biological weapons labs, the Azov militia and neo-nazis running the country, etc...

He's also been putting up diaries and comments by the kilometer, as if quantity does compensate for quality (it doesn't), where he often was, as you noted, the only commenter - that is, before he was joined last January by one of his fans who wanted to have "a sane [] discussion on covid".

As we're now watching the third week of a war of aggression carried out by a ruthless and cynical dictator based on a historical lie, some here have seen nothing but US imperialism and are scared, not by Putin, but by Blinken. Sad, truly.

by Bernard (bernard) on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 06:31:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/plus237506761/Sahra-Wagenknecht-Weder-Sanktionen-noch-Waffen lieferungen-stoppen-diesen-Horror.html

It is not by sending more weapons and untrained students that you will stop the war.

by Tom2 on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 06:55:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sending weapons to Ukraine, for some years now, is precisely what has prevented Ukraine from becoming a Russian colony in 3 days.

And Ukrainians don't want to merely "stop the war", they want Russian invaders to go home.

by Bernard (bernard) on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 07:23:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Needless to lecture me on the "old days" ... proud to wear UID #40 here @ET and UID #430 @BT .... nominated by both communities for the Sandy Koufax Award ... days of Jerome, Whataboutbob, Sirocco, ask, Londonbear, heathlander, shergald and many others. I am sure I haven't changed, perhaps from a centrist to a bit more to the left and progressive. The concept of America, democracy, corruption, and military enforcement of "moral values" surely mutated. Truly horrific.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Mar 17th, 2022 at 03:07:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not trying to lecture you: I know this is a futile endeavor.

You haven't only changed a bit more to the left and progressive: your detestation of the American system, corruption, military enforcement and all, has led you to justify the imperialist wars of aggression of a murderous dictator.

I know that many of your diaries over the years have been motivated by your generosity and your truly genuine horror of the abuses of the US system and their relays in Europe and elsewhere.

Just because Putin strongly opposes the USofA doesn't mean we have to side with his fascist rhetoric and relay his talking points.

I'm truly saddened by what your writings have turned into.

by Bernard (bernard) on Thu Mar 17th, 2022 at 08:48:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The European Union was founded on the principles to prevent war. The war in the Ukraine was needless and should have been prevented ... leaders lacking courage and a Joe Biden, responsible for the coup d'etat of Feb. 2014, set the goal to finish the task no matter at what cost. The EU-27 has lost its innocence and Europe will be worse for it.

In no way do I condone war of choice, nor the dictatorial regime Putin build in Russia.

I always hope other writers step up to the plate and contribute by posting diaries. My pen hasn't dried up, however aim to post much less in coming days/weeks.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Mar 17th, 2022 at 10:10:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If i may insist, substack is free both the writer and the reader (although there are paying options). It includes commenting and layout possibilities. Why wait? Dont let us without your uniquely deep historical perspective.
by Tom2 on Fri Mar 18th, 2022 at 03:40:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Thx, much appreciated.

One of my weaknesses is loyalty ... I have been blogging since the presidential campaign of 2004 ... I started at big bad Daily Kos and moved with Martin Longman to BooMan Tribune early 2005. With the pie wars of spring 2005 at Markos Moulitsas Zúniga's dKos a surge of lady writers left the site and joined BooMan Tribune.

We set up a series of Welcome Wagons for newbies to get acquainted and introduce themselves. This build a great community spirit. By June 2005 the 5000th member was welcomed and the site blossomed with a truly great diversity of excellent writers. Intens and great time for many years, surviving  wars, and presidential elections. The community shared grief and joy.

Martin's political wisdom grew into a professional site now called Progress Pond ... link on top still under "BooMan Tribune" 😀 An original author writing on BT was Emptywheel.

Early in 2005 an European forum was started by Jerome a Paris. Excellent reading with a variety of sec topics for readers on this side of the Atlantic. Gradually the mix of writers based in America ebbed away and ET got its own identity. I wear UID #40 proudly.

My writing at dKos was under the handle "creve coeur", the location I happily lived for ten years and finished my college education in engineering doing fundamental research. From the earliest beginnings of blogging, readers have always shown appreciation for my thorough research of the topics. Heritage and French legend of Creve Coeur, Missouri.

I was honored to be banned by the dKos police vigilantes, banned but restored in my rights shortly thereafter 😂 ... within six months is was banned again for writing about The Netherlands, but an American living in Amsterdam disagreed with my version of state affairs and I was banned definitely. I wear it as a badge of honor.

I left BT when the RussiaGate followers starting troll rating all my posts without any arguments. McCarthyism returned to so-called progressive blogs. Censoring dissent.

A lovely memory of my labor @BooMan was the unmasking of Anna Chapman within a few hours when she became a member of the blog. 🤣

Anna Chapman calling on Booman Tribune

Link from my diary here @ET ...

DECEPTION: The Untold Story of East-West Espionage Today

A follow-up ...

The Big Spy Swap: The U.S.-Russia Secret Agent Exchange 10 Years Ago | RFERL - Ju,y 8, 2020 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Mar 18th, 2022 at 08:19:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Mar 18th, 2022 at 08:37:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The European Union was founded on the principles to prevent war. The war in the Ukraine was needless and should have been prevented

Indeed. It is a shame that the European Union has never, until these past couple of weeks, given itself the means to have any serious influence in defence matters.

If you recall, Putin was crystal clear from the start, that he wanted to negotiate with Biden and nobody else : the master of Nato.

So, hypothetically, they might have negotiated. Given that Putin's non-negotiable conditions included the disarming of the front-line NATO states, that would have needed a formal decision by all of the NATO member governments. The hypothesis that the USA decides everything in NATO would have been tested, and found to be false, because there is not the slightest chance that the front-line states would have accepted to disarm.

So from that point of view, no, the war could not have been prevented, and Putin knew it perfectly.

His only miscalculation was thinking that he could win the war he had already decided to launch, and that this would give him a strategic advantage. Instead, he has plunged Russia into decades of torment (Ukraine will recover much quicker)

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri Mar 18th, 2022 at 11:24:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Given that Putin's non-negotiable conditions included the disarming of the front-line NATO states

As I remember it, it was limited to nuclear weapons outside the home territory, and the Bush era missile bases in Poland and Rumania. Is this what you are refering to or were the demands more extensive than I remember? I tried finding it, but search enigines are so crappified.

by fjallstrom on Thu Mar 24th, 2022 at 01:53:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Mar 24th, 2022 at 02:18:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks.

From there the link to the Russian foreign ministry is blocked from here (can probably go around with a VPN, but annoying).

ABC reports:

The Russian draft treaties call for NATO to remove any troops or weapons from countries that joined the alliance after 1997, meaning most of Eastern Europe, including Poland, the Baltic states and Balkan countries. It also calls for the U.S. and Russia to refrain from deploying troops in areas where they could be perceived as a threat to each countries' national security, and a ban on sending their aircraft and warships into areas where they could strike each other's territory. The treaty would also ban the deployment of intermediate-range missiles in Europe.

The limits on NATO in Eastern Europe are seen as a non-starter by most experts. Most analysts in Moscow believe the Kremlin itself is aware that the proposals are unrealistic. Some said that rather than real goals, they may represent an opening gambit aimed at winning some concessions.  

Bolded the part eurogreen referenced. That does sound like disarmament, and would probably have been vetoed.

by fjallstrom on Thu Mar 24th, 2022 at 03:39:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Mar 24th, 2022 at 04:33:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks for these and also for the additional details on your involvement in the early days of ET (my own UID is in triple digits).

You have of course noticed that the site is a pale shadow of its former self; only a handful of us are commenting and posting diaries. Others have moved to, probably, [anti-]social networks like FB or Twitter.

Those who occasionally come back are horrified, not by the lack of content, but by the sheer deluge of pro-Putin regime talking points or outright propaganda, and not in small quantity.

You mentioned you do not "condone war of choice, nor the dictatorial regime Putin build in Russia".

Really? Pretty much everything you've been writing about Ukraine over the past months is echoing the  talking points of that very same dictatorial regime you claim not to condone.

You mentioned once that you read a lot (good) and that you have a lot of time for blogging - given your age, I suppose. Well, I don't: I'm not retired and I have a day job. I'm hanging out here during the evening or WE.

I like debating here on ET and I'm OK with the gnome duties (Newsroom, Open Thread & all).

The trouble is: you are putting so much content, lengthy comments in large quantities, that you are, literally crowding out the other commenters, putting dozen of comments while other think carefully before posting (I know I do).

Your diaries and your comments, on the other hand are lengthy, unstructured ramblings, a quick cut-and-past job, putting on the same level some serious journalistic work and some comment from "a dude on the Internet", an article from today next to another one from years ago,... This is literally diluting any message or opinion you wanted to convey. It's often difficult to notice where your diary ends and where your comments begin; that's how confused it is.

I had to search all over the place to find this statement where it turns out you don't condone wars of "choice" (invading a neighboring country is a choice, right?) and that Putin is a dictatorial regime.

Because again: you literally drowning out other commenters. I'll freely admit: I resent that.

Your prolific, yet hardly structured or at times intelligible fire-hose is also repelling those you came back and wanted a serious discussion: I resent that too.

You wrote this three days ago: My pen hasn't dried up, however aim to post much less in coming days/weeks.

Frankly, what you claim and what you write are - again - two different things. We've hardly seen any change from your usual one-diary-a-day-if-not-two pattern.

You claim to be attached to Eurotrib? Then, do us a favor and practice what you claimed. Your diaries and comments were certainly not the main cause for ET's decline, but given the present state it doesn't take much to kill it for good.

by Bernard (bernard) on Sun Mar 20th, 2022 at 09:23:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
At the time I was blogging at dKos as "creve coeur" in September 2004, the number of diaries written by the hour were excessive. The life span of a recommended diary was a matter of hours, and with high recommendations perhaps a day.

Martin Longman started BooMan Tribune with a extra top diary section for international writers. That was nice, although these also were listed in the general top diary section. This led to some criticism. Next to Frank Schnittger and myself, there were quite a few global writers on the sites with weekly contributions. Jerome, ask, Londonbear, Mattes, Sirocco, heathlander, Hurria, shergald, and a few from Germany and Australia.

As time went by, many moved on and quite likely social media was attractive to some. In the end both Frank and myself stayed on @BooMan. Having seen a number of flame wars on domestic American politics, the division on the site started as the election cycle of 2016 came to a close. Nearer the election date, the DNC group demanded blinded loyalty to the cause of HRC. Be with us or be damned. Personally I had wished for Bernie Sanders to be the nominee for the Democrats, it was not to be.

As soon as HRC lost the election to a misogynist and extreme rightwing fool Trump all hell broke loose. After her derogatory remarks about a basket of deplorables, her campaign and numbers started a backslide that gained speed after the remarks by FBI head Comey. The Hillary fans thought it time to attack community bloggers who had not "fully" supported her and were in the corner of Sanders. The intelligence community did a last attempt to unseat Trump by the whole RussiaGate episode and impeachments which did further damage to American politics and fueled the Red-Blue states divide.

Impeachment was not going to happen. So America went after Putin ... he did it.

In 2017-18 European Tribune was a desolate place. A recommended diary stayed up until expiration date. Most of the time the column did not reached 8 diaries, but often just six. Do I overcrowd (?) or is there lacklustre appetite to write an article. A number of times I suggested as such ... step up to the plate in baseball terms.

No surprise there is deep rooted division in an approach to contain Russia or try to get Russia closer to the European culture and tied to the EU and global economy. The Neocons of US foreign policy have chosen for the last two decades to destroy the regime of the Kremlin.

I saw no response to a number of suggestions, so I willingly lowered the number of comments about the War on Ukraine and wrote an article about the crucial role of Turkey and the Middle East. A breaking news item about former MP Ian Austin was the second article. I sense the criticism is more about my dissenting view than the number of diaries in recent months.

After the years of Brexit to keep the newspaper columns filled, Europe was confronted with the Covid-19 pandemic and kept all of us on edge. Tolerance level has decreased and patience is short. In the chaos of today, there is a power grab by the military and intelligence. The UK is out of the EU and the EU-27 is further weakened by division Old and New. Both Putin and Trump/Biden exploit this division. The AUKUS incident of cutting submarine ties with France in preference to GB was an early indication. After demonizing the Kremlin and Russia to full extent, all eyes will focus on China. The US has a long list of using crippling economic sanctions to put pressure on a nation and harm its people. Germany sees very harsh economic years ahead, the motor of the EU is sputtering.

The confrontation happening today will have a profound change on global politics for the next decades. An immense historical event that should be commented on and not result in closing shop. The ultimate form of censorship.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 06:14:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Indeed, it would seem that they cannot refute the facts. When i came here after you advertised for ET elsewhere (frankly i wonder why) there was a diary on alcohol in Ireland that stayed top of column for weeks if not months.
Some truths are hard to hear.
http://www.pascalboniface.com/2022/02/18/lemprise-la-france-sous-influence-4-questions-a-marc-endewe ld/
by Tom2 on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 08:10:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That is an interesting link, Tom2. Do you want to discuss the economic vassalisation of France under Macron? I'm up for it. Probably we shoud do it in a new thread?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 12:51:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 
Do I overcrowd (?)

Yes.

Next question :

I saw no response to a number of suggestions, so I willingly lowered the number of comments about the War on Ukraine and wrote an article about the crucial role of Turkey and the Middle East.

No, you posted YET ANOTHER diary about the Ukraine war.

I sense the criticism is more about my dissenting view than the number of diaries in recent months.

From my experience in recent weeks, I would say that your refusal to respond or to engage in discussion of your views is the probleme; but maybe that's just me?

It's true that most people don't bother to respond to you, because they can see that it's fruitless.

Here's a proposition, Oui : I believe you are in good faith in saying you don't want to kill the site. SO : When you post a diary, spend a bit of time discussing things with the people who respond to it.

Don't post another diary until the discussion runs out.

If nobody responds to your diary, don't post another one.

Deal?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 11:41:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think I understand the cause of the misunderstanding. Oui or me are not using the internet as a social media but as an archive. People who know the quality of some diaries at Eurotrib will check for some information by searching for "eurotrib" "[researched object]" on Google.
So for me at least, the fact that the diaries are "dumped" are not meant to start a conversation but precisely to create an archive where relevant material is grouped thematically.
Hope that helps.
by Tom2 on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 12:12:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
wow, so this is specifically about propagating specific views to a wider audience by profiting from the perception of high-quality diaries on Eurotrib?

I have already raised the problem of reputational damage resulting from the bulk of the content being not representative of the views of most of the site's participants. But several people have already raised the quality-control issue, which is a far more serious one. Oui's diaries are simply not up to the standard of a Eurotrib diary.

It's also possible that Tom2 is having some mischeivous fun with us. We'd better let Oui answer for herself.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 01:00:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"propagating specific views"
how on earth is quoting official documents identical to propagating views?
by Tom2 on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 01:15:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
.. I fail to see why obliging people to take position in a conflict that is not theirs, and where they don't fight nor have they relatives fighting, would be some sort of evident 'moral'.
On the other side, a large majority of the world states are since 3 weeks watching the EU and the US with incredulity. Basically, it was demonstrated 3 weeks ago by American economists themselves that a war between Russia and Nato/Ukraine/whatever would provoke a world famine. What do you suggest? Any military expert will tell you that the power balance is from day one in favour of Russia. You don't engage your forces when you know you are going to lose.
Unless of course you have a recession and you need a smoke screen. This is as old as humanity and most people are not fool.
by Tom2 on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 01:22:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Any military expert will tell you that the power balance is from day one in favour of Russia.

Any military expert expected Putin to take Kiev and decapitate the Ukrainian regime within a week, tops.

So much for military experts.

You don't engage your forces when you know you are going to lose.

It's a shame Putin didn't realise that.

But if you're talking about a forthcoming war between NATO and Russia, forget it. Nobody here is advocating it, and nobody among NATO governments either.

With respect to world famine (and especially famine in the Middle East) the key is for the Russian troops to go home before the planting season.

And if any military expert suggests that Russia would "win" a war with NATO, can you provide a link?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 01:47:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, again. When you have no gas to put in your military trucks and places, that your people are freezing because the heating is off, and you are busy bombing the Red Square, who is supposed to be working and keeping the energy and critical resources production and circulation in place?
by Tom2 on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 01:56:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If you could outline your scenario, we could conceivably discuss it, if there were any interest. Who is bombing the Red Square in your fantasy world? Currently all the bombs are falling in Ukraine, as I suspect you know.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 02:12:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You are talking of a war between to of the richest countries in the world (in terms of their underground), and between some of the richest oligarchs in the world (both sides even have extra Israeli passports in case they need additional off-shore business which is perfectly integrated to the intl markets).
The EU is just offering itself as a champ de bataille for a long war between the US and China. If you think it has any chance to benefit from the war, you are delusional.
by Tom2 on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 02:18:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually from my point of view, it's more a question of the right to self-determination and freedom from invasion and the slaughter of civilians. If that is too simple for you, I'm sorry.

I am on record on the internet as having opposed the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq, by the way. This is the most clearcut example of one nation invading the other that I can think of since those two. It is not only war in Europe that bothers me.

richest countries in the world (in terms of their underground)

Yes, I've read that the depth of the Kiev metro system is saving lots of lives.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 02:32:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Following on "propagating specific views", the algorithm of Google makes it that a normal user won't find eurotrib on top. So either you already know it, and you type "eurotrib" or you don't. In addition to that, depending on the second keyword term, you might not find the most obscure diaries but rather any title that includes the term; if a country that will result in a lot of results. So I would say that this is unnecessary paranoia from you.
by Tom2 on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 02:14:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm just pointing out that if Oui's strategy is as you describe, then it amounts to parasitic piggybacking and there is a good argument for deleting her diaries.

Dumps of material which is not intended for discussion is not the vocation of this site. Substack or whatever would indeed be better, as you have suggested.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 02:19:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"her" diaries?? he already answered you on that.
on top of everything, this is misoginy.

you are right on one point: Oui should have a substack

by Tom2 on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 02:24:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Then I shall apologise to him. Honest mistake, and I fail to see in what respect it is misogynistic.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Mon Mar 21st, 2022 at 02:34:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
AFICT, this story originated with an outfit billed, Pledge Times, specifically, the Polish TV channel TVN24 source and the statement
"Last night I spoke with the German Interior Ministry, where we were asked to suspend special trains that go to Germany, because there is already a bottleneck situation there," he said in an interview with a journalist.
attributed to Deputy Interior Minister of Poland Pavel Shefernaker.

TVN24's synopsis of the interview, "Ukraine, refugees in Poland. "Deputy Minister Paweł Szefernaker: I agree with President Rafał Trzaskowski", does not include that remark, or detail, but broadly describes Szefernaker's interests in EU27 co-ordinating Ukrainians' resettlement...elsewhere. Coincidentally, DW affirms accommodation "bottlenecks", Ukrainian refugees: Can Berlin cope with the influx?, conspicuously developing around central train and bus stations.

Berlin's authorities have asked that responsibility for the incoming refugees be better shared among other German states too. They have even asked for help from the German army. A lot of Germans are also volunteering to help deal with the unfolding humanitarian catastrophe here.
Perhaps German media could corroborate or deny Interior's policy and regulation?
by Cat on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 10:20:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"Perhaps German media could corroborate or deny Interior's policy and regulation? "

It is quite easy: Travel of Ukrainians is by no means restricted, in the contrary. Poland has been asked to enable more train connections to Germany, and especially: trains not only to Berlin. These additional lines are now being established. Presently more and more of the refugee trains are going to Hannover Laatzen, and from there people can travel on. It is hardly a secret.

by Katrin on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 10:29:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Moin Katrin...

the bahnhofsmission in greater downtown Bremen greets the Refugees arriving at the train station. regular small buses take the families to the conference hall where they are initially housed.

there are also private buses which take the families to the medical center where doctors treat them, and most also wish to be vaccinated. several kids have already been taken to the hospital as their condition was too poor.

there are already wounded being treated here as well, even though we're on the other side of Deutschland from Berlin, which i find amazing. as of a few hours ago the trains continued to run.

i am not pleased when the white people's name for a native drum is used as a signal. i felt lucky i was never educated enough to learn to read, though i did have a Gene Krupa set of Slingerland Radio Kings.

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anas Nin

by Crazy Horse on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 10:57:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Moin Crazy Horse,
that sounds remarkalby orderly and efficient. Here in Hamburg there are very long queues for the registration process. Emergency accomodation is overrun although new places are added every day (We have said that it must be in clace BEFORE 2015, but hey, it would cost some money). Many of the refugees are staying in private homes with relatives or strangers. Still, to access funds and medical services the registration is necessary. At present I am concerned about a lady who is staying in a private home with someone, and how is seriously ill, needing hospital care. It is out of the question to take her to the queue at the registration centre, and without that she is not entitled to free care. I am sure there are thousands of refugees with worries like that, and I am very furious about the bad preparations made for them.
by Katrin on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 11:11:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There's probably exception cases everywhere, because the cause is such a horrible situation. Though it's reportedly so much worse in Mariupol (obviously).

with 450 refugees as of yesterday, Bremen doesn't have a flood yet. Because our vaccination centers were so well established and efficient, and the demand is decreasing since we're already over 90%, they converted some of the largest facility to being a medical center for them.

I know there are many people, especially russian speakers, volunteering.

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anas Nin

by Crazy Horse on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 09:01:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Hi Katrin
Does that mean that if she turns up at the hospital without having her papers in order, she will be denied care? Surely the paperwork can follow later?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 01:34:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Oh, she will receive care. Likely even for free, because Ukrainian refugeees are entitled to that. The moment she is registered the hospital knows they will get paid by the state. Otherwise the "paperwork" will be a fat bill for private patients. It is entirely possible that this will get sorted out eventually, but it is not certain, because normally people without public health care insurance have to get the necessary document in advance. Our health care is simple for workers, for people getting benefits, but deliberately complicated for people outside these categories.
by Katrin on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 04:09:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hi Katrin!
Refugees are showing up in Sweden too, though probably at a slower rate than in Germany. To decrease pressure on migration offices a simplifed online form has been set up for those who are not in need of as much help, in order to prioritise those in most need fo help.
by fjallstrom on Thu Mar 24th, 2022 at 02:51:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There is full information on all of this on the homepage of the DB. Is it too much to expect a journalist to look at this?
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 09:50:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
for the record, DB states one can use their Ukraine Passport to travel to Berlin, Munich, Dresden or Nuremberg. If a Ukrainian wishes to go to another city anytime , they need to get a ticket, but it's without cost.

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anas Nin
by Crazy Horse on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 10:25:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
PS. i forgot to put in the sarcasm emoji when i wrote:  "the trains are still running."

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anas Nin
by Crazy Horse on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 10:27:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, but are the trains running on time? </sarcasm>
by Bernard (bernard) on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 06:51:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Of course not. Random example: the night train fron Wroclow to Berlin will  be an hour late, due to passport controls.
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 08:09:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
APsplain Polish the bottlneck: Priceless paper: Refugees get IDs for new lives in Poland
Refugees started queuing by Warsaw's National Stadium overnight to get the coveted PESEL identity cards that will allow them to work, live, go to school and get medical care or social benefits for the next 18 months. Still, by mid-morning, many were told to come back another day, the demand was too high even though Polish authorities had simplified the process.
[...]
Poland has so far taken in more than 2 million refugees from Ukraine -- the bulk of more than 3.3 million people that the U.N. says have fled since Russia invaded Ukraine on Feb. 24. Hundreds of thousands more have also streamed into Hungary, Slovakia, Moldova and Romania.

Most of the refugees fleeing Ukraine have been women and children, because men aged 18 to 60 are forbidden from leaving the country and have stayed to fight.

Polish authorities said more than 123,000 refugees have been given the ID numbers -- including more than 1,000 each day in Warsaw -- since the program was launched Wednesday [16 Mar].

~1.8M to go!
parity watch
UAH (hryvni):PLN (zloty), 1:0.14
PLN:EUR, 1:0.21
PLN:USD, 1:0.23
Refugees can receive one-time benefit of 300 zlotys (USD 70) per person and a monthly benefit for each child under 18 of 500 zlotys (USD 117). Those who find jobs will have to pay taxes on their earnings just like Poles.
[...]
Many of the refugees from Ukraine have since moved on to other countries in Europe, mostly to stay with friends and family. Some, however, have chosen to go back home even as the end of the conflict is nowhere in sight.

Among them was 41-year-old Viktoria, who was waiting Saturday with her teenage daughter Alisa to board a train back to Zhitomyr in central Ukraine.

"For the last five days it has been quiet," said Viktoria. "Our local authorities are good. They prepared everything for us there so we can go back to work, have normal life and children can have online education."

Alisa said she is not afraid to return and wants to reunite with the rest of the family who are still in Ukraine.

"My relatives are there," she said.


by Cat on Sat Mar 19th, 2022 at 05:13:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article237648761/Ukraine-Vertriebene-Enorme-Probleme-bei-Reg istrierung-der-Fluechtlinge-in-Deutschland.html
by Tom2 on Sun Mar 20th, 2022 at 08:13:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ukrainian refugees: Can Berlin cope with the influx?

It's the same for thousands more Ukrainians. Every day, some 15,000 arrive in Berlin. For almost all of those who travel via Poland, Berlin is their first stop in Germany. Here at the German capital's central train station and at the main bus station in the west of the city, is where all the buses and trains from the border arrive.

It's proving to be a serious challenge for the city. Berlin's mayor, Franziska Giffey, believes the city-state is nearing its limits, as to what it can do for the refugees. Some of the Ukrainians are now being accommodated in halls usually used for trade fairs, she said. That just shows "we are at the limits of our capacities."

Berlin's authorities have asked that responsibility for the incoming refugees be better shared among other German states too. They have even asked for help from the German army. A lot of Germans are also volunteering to help deal with the unfolding humanitarian catastrophe here.



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 09:51:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 09:51:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thank you for providing links showing that the travel of Ukrainian refugees to Germany is by no means restricted. I am sure, though, that everyone here was already aware of that. When I was a regular here, ET contributors were well read and disinformation was not tolerated.

After Berlin (for obvious geographical reasons) other large cities are "at their limit" = showing how bad preparations for an influx of refugees were. There are now calls to distribute the Ukrainian refugees evenly over the country in the same way as asylum claimants. This is legally impossible, because Ukrainians are a different category residence permit-wise. Asylum claimantss are not´free to choose their place of residence, but the Ukrainians are.

by Katrin on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 10:15:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The "European dream" for the coloured (no matter if their fathers and grandfathers helped their bit in WW1 and WW2).

Integration by giving half your salary of cleaning-staff to an intermediate agency (who often has headquarters in the USA, when profitable enough).
Just follow the name: "diversey.nl" !

by Tom2 on Wed Mar 16th, 2022 at 06:59:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
/reddit early warning "meme" system: "Bloomberg Terminal.. you okay?" (17 hrs ago)

SEC | Division of Trading and Markets, 14 Mar

• Broker-dealers should collect margin from counterparties to the fullest extent possible in accordance with any applicable regulatory and contractual requirements.
• Concentrated positions of prime brokerage counterparties pose particular concerns. Staff urges broker-dealers to seek sufficient information to determine counterparties' aggregate positions in any markets that may experience liquidity concerns and work with the counterparties to mitigate risk.
• Staff urges broker-dealers to stress test positions with the proper severity in light of current events and potential market movements, and act to manage the risk of the positions, particularly those that are concentrated, appropriately.
• Staff urges broker-dealers to monitor risk management limits, calibrated to the financial resources of the broker-dealer, closely intraday and escalate any breaches promptly to senior management.
supra No joke
by Cat on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 03:19:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
See me entering college 1981? no? Didn't think so.

ill-conceived chart title w/e 19 Mar 2022, 15 Mar, feat. 2 mo NBER cyclical "recession" call of '21
The expectation is for the Fed to embark on a faster cycle of interest rate increases than it did after the ["]Great Financial Crisis["]. With the pace of price increases spiking over the last year, markets are now pricing a decent likelihood [a scientific term?] of between six to eight interest rate increases this year (which would be a total increase of between 1.50% or 2.00%).
wut
by Cat on Tue Mar 15th, 2022 at 04:21:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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