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I mean can't we? Seems that Russia currently has serious difficulties to supply a large force around Kiev. I don't see how they'd get to Warsaw. And despite all the urgency a large part of the Russian arsenal is soviet leftover and those aren't getting any younger.

But of course, in the real world the US is involved and the transatlantic tendency now has regained its stranglehold on European politics.

by generic on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 02:19:56 PM EST
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The inefficacy of the RF army astonished just about everyone; but the recklessness with which it has been used demonstrates that we can't exclude anything, and can't consider Russia as a rational actor.

My guess is that they will lick their wounds and stay out of trouble for 10 years or so (but what would I know?), giving the EU the time to raise its defense game and kick the US out of Europe.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 03:36:59 PM EST
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Eh. It's hard to say with certainty how badly the Russian army is really doing, but after predicting that it's nuts to entertain the idea that the Russians would invade in the height of mud season with half the number that seems reasonable and with logistics that are still very limited without a direct connection to their home rail network, I think I can claim the consolation prize of not being that surprised that things aren't going that smoothly for them.
by generic on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 10:09:22 PM EST
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by generic on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 10:10:26 PM EST
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ok... I better understand the hurry to evacuate the northwest after the failure to take Kyiv.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Mon Apr 25th, 2022 at 11:25:42 AM EST
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