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Macron's lead over Le Pen (almost 5 percentage points) higher than forecasted.

Mélenchon's was real, but not enough to get to the 2nd round. This will be a Macron-Le Pen re-match of 2017.

Two main parties have totally sunk:

  • Les Républicains (Pécresse): beaten by Mélenchon and by Zemmour (Pétainist). Sarkozy refused to support her and is said to be negotiating with Macron (the irresistible smell of hot soup cooking on the stove).

  • The Socialists descent to hell continues unabated: Hidalgo has been beaten not only by the Communists (Roussel) but also by Lassalle (no real party) and Dupont-Aignan (extreme right).

Also, as much as the Greens have done rather well for the municipal elections two years ago, the presidential one is really not their thing. The fact there were so many left wing candidates didn't help either.
by Bernard (bernard) on Sun Apr 10th, 2022 at 06:20:59 PM EST
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