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What could also derail either one: While French polling is generally very highly thought of, polling races with > 2 viable candidates is pretty tricky.  Statistically it wouldn't be altogether shocking if (say) Le Pen didn't advance.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Mon Apr 4th, 2022 at 02:00:43 PM EST
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