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First estimates at 20:00 CEST:

Abstention : 52.8% - a record...

In terms of votes:

NUPES (Left alliance): 25.2%
Ensemble (Macron's party + Bayrou's party + allied): 25.2%
RN (Le Pen's party): 18.9%
LR (Sarkozy's party): 13.7%
Reconquete: (Zemmour's party): 3.9%

However, due to the constituency based system, the projections in terms of seats are:

NUPES: 150 to 190 seats
Ensemble: 255 to 290 seats
LR: 50 to 80 seats
RN: 20 to 45 seats
Others: 10 to 17 seats

Remember that the majority is 289 seats, so it looks like Macron might not have an absolute majority at the National Assembly. Most likely scenario in that case: an ad hoc right-wing coalition with LR.

by Bernard (bernard) on Sun Jun 12th, 2022 at 06:27:33 PM EST

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