Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Sep 15th, 2022 at 06:47:13 AM EST
PM Magdalena Andersson concedes victory to right-wing opposition | DW News |

Leader of the nationalist Sweden Democrats, Jimmie Akesson, declared victory and pledged to "put Sweden first."

Coalition leader Ulf Kristersson of the conservative Moderates will become Prime Minister if the results are confirmed.

Far-right to be part of governing coalition

Never before have the Sweden Democrats, a party who relies on anti-immigration and nationalist rhetoric, been part of a government.

The party has so far won more than 20 percent of ballots, becoming the second-biggest party behind outgoing Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson's Social Democrats, which have dominated Swedish politics since the 1930s.

The Sweden Democrats are set to overtake the Moderates, having gained 20.6% of the vote compared to the coalition 19.1%.

What are the chances of forming a new minority government?

Sweden: How the First Female PM Had To Resign Hours After Her Appointment--And Then Returned | Dec. 5, 2021 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Sep 15th, 2022 at 06:48:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What are the chances of forming a new minority government?

Very slim, unless the far-right - centre-right collaboration fails so spectacularly that the Liberals bolts to the left again.

The 2018 election results were in raw numbers was very similar to this one. To quote myself from January 2019:

For practical purposes the parliament can be divided in far right (Sweden Democrats, 62 seats), conservative parties (The Moderates, 70 seats, and the Christian Democrats 22 seats), the liberal parties (the Liberals, 20 seats, and the Centre, 31 seats) the cabinet parties (the Greens, 16 seats, and the Social Democrats, 100 seats) and finally the left (Left party, 28 seats).

What has happened since is that after the 2021 Midsummer crisis the Liberals has gone to the right instead. They are not very comfortable there, and the Sweden Democrats at one point did threaten to bloc a cabinet if the Liberals are in it (but then again the Sweden Democrats change there position easily whenever the leadership so desires).

In this election far right + conservatives + Liberals gained a total of two seats, for a 176-173 majority.

So if the Liberals gets dissatisfied with how much influence the Sweden Democrats gets, they can bolt and a new minority government on the left can be formed. But right now, that looks very unlikely.

by fjallstrom on Thu Sep 15th, 2022 at 08:50:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Also the Sweden Democrats has won seats mainly from the conservative parties, after the conservative parties started leaning on their de facto support in parliament. Sleep with dogs, and so on.
by fjallstrom on Fri Sep 16th, 2022 at 07:44:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]


Occasional Series