When we had the pandemic, a lot of bloggers suddenly became amateur epidemiologists. Then we had the Ukraine invasion, and suddenly everyone is a defence analyst and strategist.

I steer away from those discussions, partly because I am no defence analyst,  but mainly because it strikes me a a "boys with toys" narrative. Computer gamers  transposing a virtual reality onto the real, world, which tends to be rather more complex.

I will get back to the main point of the diary in a future post: Joining NATO is not necessary for Ireland either now or in a united Ireland scenario.  Yes, Ireland's defence forces have been somewhat undermanned and resourced. I would prefer that to a macho military posture and culture.

A smart defence posture now would focus on intelligence gathering, cyber-security, drone surveillance  (both aerial and under water), and some limited missile capabilities. Bombers and fighter jets are hideously expensive and old school. The EU needs to take more responsibility for its own security, and rely much less on NATO. The US is losing interest anyway, and can be relied on only for its nuclear deterrence capability.

Index of Frank's Diaries