Putin will raise the territorial stake by closing off the Ukraine from the Black Sea completely. Under Joe Biden, there is zero chance for negotiations, proven by history as VP under Obama 2009-2016 and his term as president. Any settlement will mean Ukraine can become a member of NATO. Russia won't permit that as this will be a clear existential threat. Once the war started in February 2024, all options for a diplomatic solution were left untouched by the Western allies in NATO and UK/US.

The military importance of Crimea and the Black Sea is historic as Russia and Türkiye know. The West and the US are alien to the diverse cultures and is only interested in fossil fuel and minerals of the region. Losing Afghanistan and the War on Terror, the US lost its foothold in Central Asia. The EU has been enlisted to foot the bill for economic recovery of Ukraine. The protest across Europe will start in 2024 ... election of a new EU parliament and a number of nations will be hit by austerity measures and high taxes. Higher cost of living and the start of an economic recession across Europe.

Amnesia and Gaza Genocide