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Quite a contentious claim

The EU has also accommodated far more diverse peoples, with far more horrific recent histories, within a relatively harmonious overall democratic structure. It is time to take the blinkers off and see what good politics can enable.

The European Union is falling apart, failing in its founding principles and taking part in a proxy war of the American Empire. Leading expansion into Ukraine, Georgia and now Armenia? Not bringing people together ... more authoritarianism to keep up appearances. Reform the EU before further expansion.

Watch the democratic Vote for the European Parliament this year: 6-9 June ...

Top down or bottom up? Diversity is not a formula for harmony ... with rising nationalism [fascism] that era has gone and passed.

EU Election Projection 2024

No value to this poll as we have seen recently in national elections ... expect a titanic shift to the right. With BreXit one arm of the Union was cut off. Ukraine is not an equivalent partner. Bring peace, not war.

Have a peaceful cultural summer

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 1st, 2024 at 09:35:35 AM EST
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georgiatoday | "Yes to Europe! No to Russian law!" rally underway near Parliament (15.04.24)
The rally at the Parliament - "No Russian Law" has been ongoing since the morning, in parallel with the discussion of the draft law "On transparency of foreign influence".

euronews | Mass brawl breaks out in Georgian parliament over controversial media law (15.04.24)
The legislation under debate will compel media and non-commercial organisations to register as being under foreign influence if they receive more than 20% of their budget from abroad.

[INCONTINENCE ALERT]
ChatGPT | AI chatbots spread falsehoods about the EU election, report finds, 11 Apr
by Cat on Mon Apr 15th, 2024 at 11:35:17 PM EST
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lemonde | Poland, Czech Republic warn of Russian interference ahead of European elections (30.03.24)
"Money from Moscow has been used to pay some political actors who spread Russian propaganda," said BIS, the Czech intelligence service, before adding that those with "strong pro-Russian views," including European politicians, were given a platform.
archive voiceofeurope results

Violent clashes break out in Georgia amid controversial 'foreign agents' law debate, 16 Apr capitol riot

"Second night of massive protest in Tbilisi against the Russian Law," Georgia's President Salome Zourabichvili said in a post on social media on Tuesday.
archive Mme. Cheeto "expressed support for the demonstrators and vowed to veto the legislation."
"Insistence of the authorities to push through this law against the will of the population and despite partners protest is a direct provocation*mdash;a Russian strategy of destabilization," said Zourabichvili, who has vowed to repeal the law if it crosses her desk. The Georgian Dream party, which has been pushing for the law, has the parliamentary majority which could override a presidential veto.
archive EU 'foreign agents' law spooks NGOs
Videos shared on activist Telegram channels and news agencies showed riot police trying to clear demonstrators from the area around the parliament. In the videos, police could be seen grabbing protesters by the clothes and firing what appeared to be water cannons. At least one employee of the Ministry of Internal Affairs was injured during Tuesday's clashes, the ministry said in a statement.

If protesters "continue their illegal actions," the Ministry of Internal Affairs will "administer special measures defined by law," it warned. "Each illegal action will be followed by appropriate legal response from the police," it added.

by Cat on Wed Apr 17th, 2024 at 01:49:42 PM EST
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ChatGPT | Big, bold and unchecked: Russian influence operation thrives on Facebook, 17 Apr doppelgänger "according to an investigation shared exclusively with POLITICO"
archive OpenAI to pay Politico, Business Insider publisher
by Cat on Wed Apr 17th, 2024 at 03:16:45 PM EST
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georgiatoday | 14 Senators to Georgian PM: If foreign agents bill becomes law, we'll be forced to encourage change in US policy towards Georgia(28.04.24)
Voice of America reports that "the unprecedented note of concern sent by 14 Senators to Irakli Kobakhidze is the most severe among other statements of the Senate" led by Senators Jeanne Shaheen and Senator James Risch.
eur-lex.europa.eu | Requirements in the internal market on transparency of interest representation carried out on behalf of third countries and amending Directive (EU) 2019/1937
"Enacting this legislation could send a powerful message to the Georgian people that their government no longer reflects their wishes, is actively undermining its EU membership agenda, and refuses to uphold the Constitution. As a result, this legislation will tarnish Georgia's closest partners, the United States and the European Union, as malicious actors. Such a change will lead to a change in America's policy towards Georgia and reflect the new state of Georgia's politics," said the letter sent to Prime Minister Kobakhidze.
by Cat on Sat Apr 27th, 2024 at 08:26:08 PM EST
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EU election debate exposes weakness of lead candidate system, 30 Apr user engagement
"The debate showed the current weaknesses of The System," noted Luise Quaritsch, an expert on European politics at the Jacques Delors Centre think tank, pointing to the relatively obscure debate participants and a narrow [sic] public audience.

"There were around 2,500 live viewers on YouTube, neither the media nor the candidates nor the parties massively advertised the debate, so there is still a lack of interest and public attention", Quaritsch told Euractiv, adding that some of the candidates also were "not properly prepared."

While the number of viewers rose to 15,000 during the night, it is still a relatively low figure for an election with some 350 million eligible voters.

system failure
EU leaders introduced the idea that voter choices would matter in selecting the chief of the EU executive [European Commission] ahead of the 2014 election. But the principle took a significant hit after the heads of state and government picked Ursula von der Leyen for the top job in 2019 despite her not being in the running [or a "transnational" ballot].
[...]
european-union.europa.eu | What does your vote decide?
European elections are held every five years to elect your representatives in the European Parliament, the world's only directly elected transnational assembly.
[...]
How are EU leaders appointed?

Following the elections, the European Parliament votes to approve the new President of the European Commission, as well as the entire College of Commissioners. The new European Commission is then appointed by the European Council.

by Cat on Wed May 1st, 2024 at 03:38:59 PM EST
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by Cat on Wed May 1st, 2024 at 03:46:00 PM EST
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T -42. Macron Gauging Support for a Plan to Install Draghi in the Top EU Job
[...]
When von der Leyen became the surprise president in 2019 following an agreement between Macron and then German Chancellor Angela Merkel, she vowed to transform the institution into a "geopolitical commission." But she may have sunk her own chances, a separate official said, by over-politicizing her role.
[...]
"The commission presidency is there to defend the general interest, so it must not be over-politicized," Macron said in Brussels last month. "Which, it has to be said, was not at all the case with this outgoing commission." A spokesperson from Macron's office declined to comment.

There's broad consensus that a decision won't be made until after the June 9 European election, when EU leaders will hash out who will fill the top posts, including for the European Council, the parliament and the foreign policy service. That process is a complicated, back-room negotiation, which weighs geographical balance and, more importantly, which political parties are entitled [!] to the most consequential [sic] roles.

Save the date: "Macron will give a broad policy speech at the Sorbonne on Thursday", 25 April
Regardless of Macron's maneuvering, von der Leyen is still the clear favorite [FKA spitzenkandidat] since she's the lead candidate for the center-right European People's Party [EPP], which is expected to handily win the most votes in June. Traditionally, that means an EPP candidate would get the commission role.
[...]
EU leaders are scheduled to meet on June 17 to discuss the reshuffle, just a week after the election. Even if von der Leyen is picked by the leaders at the summit, where no consensus is required [?], she would still face a difficult confirmation vote at the parliament, which must agree by absolute majority. In 2019, von der Leyen was elected president by only nine votes. And given the expected increase in support for the hard-right [EPP] parties, her margins will be even tighter this year.
ChatGPT | Who could take on von der Leyen for Commission president?, 25 Apr

archive EPP: March ELECTION 2024, G7 ECON & FIN value chain, sweeping treaty reform 2023, power to the councils 2022, "pragmatic federalism", December 2021 grandpa energy

by Cat on Thu Apr 25th, 2024 at 02:07:18 PM EST
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Anyone but Ursula ...ask Frans Timmermans ... was also on non-speaking terms with VDL ...

Atlantic Council set out to honor VDL with  Distinguished Leadership Awards (DLA), for exemplary individuals during a time of great global discord ... no matter her contribution to said failures.

Ursula Von der Leyen traveled to the Negev desert to receive honorary degree ...

She will forgive and forget your country's outrages and crimes and wish you a happy birthday in return, apparently, for an honorary degree.

That quid pro quo was on blatant and telling display last week when von der Leyen took to social media to congratulate Israel on its 75th birthday.

What shut the door for VDL is skipping the Q&A session of EU parliament to be on time to deliver a speech at her beloved Hudson Institute ... horribilis. Just go sway ...

Have a peaceful cultural summer

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 25th, 2024 at 03:06:34 PM EST
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lemonde | In EU speech, Macron says Europe is 'mortal' and 'can die' (25.04.24)
The French president also called for a "revision" of EU trade policy to defend European interests, accusing both China and the United States of no longer respecting the rules of global commerce. "It cannot work if we are the only ones in the world to respect the rules of trade—as they were written up 15 years ago [2008?]—if the Chinese and the Americans no longer respect them by subsidizing critical sectors." Macron only made a brief explicit reference to the June European elections at the end of his almost two-hour [?!] speech, even though, with this speech, he is clearly seeking to wade into the campaign. "The response is not in timidity but in boldness" including at the June 9 European elections, he said. "The choice is not to do what we have always done but to adopt new paradigms."
reuters | 'Europe could die': Macron urges stronger defences, economic reforms
"Europe 'must show that it is never a vassal of the United States and that it also knows how to talk to all the other regions of the world', he said."
archive Yer gonna need a bigger psycho-therapist
by Cat on Thu Apr 25th, 2024 at 07:46:02 PM EST
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globalsecurity rferl | China In Eurasia Briefing: Previewing Xi's Big Europe Trip, 24 Apr
...The trip will be rich in symbolism and comes at a crucial time with Russia advancing on the battlefield in Ukraine, escalating trade tensions between Beijing and Brussels, and potential fallout from November's U.S. election.
China and  Serbia commemorate the date when the United States of America and NATO countries destroyed the China embassy, 7 May 1999
Against this backdrop, Xi will be looking to repair some of the damage done to the relationship with Europe since his last trip to the continent. In particular, he'll be aiming to unwind some of the European Union's moves toward de-risking, which Beijing sees as an unwelcome alignment between Brussels and Washington....
ChatGPT: EU pulls its gun on China, 26 Apr
Another thing on the agenda will be China's participation at the upcoming peace summit in Switzerland about the war in Ukraine set for mid-June. ...The dates of the tour have not been publicly announced, but various European officials have pointed toward May 7 as a starting day, a date that has also been reported by Serbian media as when Xi could visit Belgrade....
< wipes tears >
bloomberg | Chinese President Xi to Visit Hungary on May 8-10, Minister Says, 25 Apr
...Prime Minister Viktor Orban is seeking to expand economic ties with China, including by broadening Hungary's participation in the Belt and Road Initiative to include further rail modernization projects as well as the financing of a new crude pipeline connecting it with Serbia....
< checks watch >
ChatGPT euronews | Chinense president to visit France, Serbia and Hungary in May, 26 Apr
...One reason for the visit is Italy's decision to withdraw—after some hesitation—from China's grandiose New Silk Road programme, which Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni will finalise in Beijing in July....
by Cat on Sat Apr 27th, 2024 at 07:15:08 PM EST
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5-10 May 2024
at the invitation of President Emmanuel Macron of the Republic of France, President Aleksandar Vucic of the Republic of Serbia and President Tamas Sulyok and Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Hua Chunying announced on Monday, a trip that experts believe is expected to shape the future of relations between China and Europe.
[...]
bloomberg | Xi Is on a Mission to Drive a Wedge Between Europe and the US
[...]
Xi's visit to Europe comes after US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned Communist Party leaders in Beijing this month that Chinese overcapacity was a problem for the world—a message echoed days later [lolno] by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. Exemplifying how both blocs are coalescing around a joined-up China policy, they seek to "de-risk" from the world's second-largest economy.
[...]
Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian's Regular Press Conference on April 30, 2024
The "China overcapacity" accusation may look like an economic discussion, but the truth is, the accusation is built on false logic and ignores more than 200 years of the basic concept of comparative advantage in Western economics. All countries produce and export products of their comparative advantage and this is the nature of international trade. If a country should be accused of overcapacity and asked to cut capacity whenever it produces more than its domestic demand, then what would countries trade with? If exporting 12 percent of Chinese-made EVs is called overcapacity, then what about Germany, Japan and the US who export 80, 50 and 25 percent respectively of their automobiles? Wouldn't that be considered more serious overcapacity? Let's not forget that according to the statistics of the International Energy Agency, to realize carbon neutrality, the world will need 45 million NEVs by 2030, 4.5 times that of the demand of 2022. When the global capacity is still far below the market demand, how could there be "overcapacity"?
aaaand Ricardo spun in his crypt
by Cat on Wed May 1st, 2024 at 07:07:57 PM EST
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euronews | Italy's Giorgia Meloni throws her hat in the ring for EU elections (28.04.24)
Live from the Fratelli d'Italia programmatic conference in Pescara, the Italian prime minister announced her candidacy in the European elections next June. Giorgia Meloni is officially a candidate in the European elections next June. From the stage of the programmatic conference of her party, Brothers of Italy, in Pescara, the Prime Minister announced that she will run.
This article misrepresents Meloni's  electoral ambition @ 02:12:28 - 03:26:09.
synopsis: The next general election in Italy is 2027, barring a snap. Italian local elections will be held 8-9 June 2024 during EP elections. Meloni did not announce her candidacy for any EP seat. And the venue is too far removed from EP and College lobbies ("debate about who should be the president of the Commission before the vote is objectively surreal") to pad Selmyr's favor bank. However, Italy is hosting this summer's G7 bully pulpit. So with typical populist, nationalist, or patriotic pride (without mentioning names beginning with Mo) she positions Fratelli d'Italia's domestic achievements near the center of European political tradition; in fact, "center-right" lol. She emphasizes, "The European People's Party is finished" and the "Italian model" best represents Charles De Gaulle's imperative designs for the ECC. In her words, "'there can be no other Europe than that of national states.' Everything, the rest, is myth, speeches, superstructures. Today like yesterday, a Europe of strong nations that decide to get together in foreign politics and international defense of the external borders can really live up to building a strong Europe." Meloni is not a eurosceptic; to the contrary, she urges further integration of "L'Italia Cambia L'Europa" in the EP and Commission in order to "bring honesty into the institutions" in both Italy and the EU—class conflict (epitomized by peculiar comparisons of communists with -socialists, subsidarity with competition, immigration with exploitation, Albanians with Africans, family with feminism, Moscow with Brussels). Accordingly, euronews' report skims Meloni's voluminous litany of financial "scams" in Italy fostered by 'gods, bureaucrats, locked in a glass palace' in Brussels. In conclusion, Meloni rejects "federalism," quibbles over tactics, and prepares partisans to pack parliaments—high and low—with "Made in Italy" auteurs. She rehearsed the Brothers' stump speech.
by Cat on Mon Apr 29th, 2024 at 08:11:53 PM EST
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ECC s/b of course EEC

in re: candidacy
Meloni did not articulate any interest in European Council presidency. This slight is consistent with her aspiration, leading Italy's uhh renaissance until end of term 2027. Her purported devotion to direct democracy animates the conservative dialect that she speaks to party deputies. Besides, the Council president is appointed by European Council members. The Council rejected Charles Michel's resignation earlier this year and persuaded him to extend his term into July 2024, after EP elections. It's not obvious to me, who most likely will occupy the office when the new (or incumbent) Commission president distributes College portfolios. Meloni is an unlikely Council nominee for president in any case. I can't imagine, hostility toward far-right-authoritarian-antisemitic wings of the EPP subsiding so long as fear of EC infringement enthralls the states' MPs.

by Cat on Tue Apr 30th, 2024 at 12:19:00 AM EST
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Call me Ursula, 29 Apr #ProudGrandma
[...]
"People know her as Commission president," said URSULA2024 spox Alexander Winterstein. "What people may know less about is who she actually is as a person ... Who is Ursula von der Leyen?"

Statements on the campaign website are signed with von der Leyen's handwritten autograph and on the website, she states that "as a mother of seven, I want my children's children to grow in a safe, prosperous Europe."

Will this new image of von der Leyen be on display during Monday's Maastricht debate, the first debate between the lead candidates for the presidency of the European Commission?
[...]

aaand Mutti wept
by Cat on Wed May 1st, 2024 at 07:30:26 PM EST
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polsatnews.pl | Donald Tusk is pleased with the results of the survey. "I think we won", 21 Apr municipal rounds and exit polls
Earlier on Sunday, Tusk wrote on the Internet: "either a strong, secure Poland in a united Europe, or a lonely and mired in chaos country subjected to Russian provocations and sabotage." In his opinion, "this will be the subject of the European elections."

"We can't afford low attendance. This is the lesson of today's elections," he said.

ChatGPT | Poland's leader says his country is ready to host NATO members' nuclear weapons to counter Russia, 22 Apr
President Andrzej Duda made the comments in an interview published Monday in the Fakt tabloid....Prime Minister Donald Tusk, who shares Duda's views on national security, later told journalists that Poland's security and military potential are his priorities, but he needs to discuss this suggestion with Duda urgently.
European Parliament elections., 24 Apr
The Civic Coalition has nominated all the candidates who will compete for the euromandals. There was no shortage of big names on the lists-there were three ministers of the current government on the" units".
[...]
In Poland, voting will take place on Sunday, June 9. Poles will choose 53 politicians to represent the country in the European Parliament.
by Cat on Fri Apr 26th, 2024 at 12:30:55 AM EST
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sputnik | Turkiye Supports Rutte as NATO Chief - Reports, 29 Apr
Turkiye has expressed support for outgoing Dutch Prime Minister Rutte's bid to head NATO, Dutch broadcaster NOS reported on Monday, citing sources in the military alliance.
Turkije is om: Rutte mag van Ankara NAVO-chef worden
Het Turkse staatspersbureau Anadolu zegt dat Turkse functionarissen aan andere NAVO-landen hebben laten weten dat Turkije Rutte steunt. Ook persbureau Reuters heeft dit van Turkse bronnen gehoord. Eerder spraken bronnen binnen de NAVO al over de toezegging. De Roemeense president Klaus Iohannis heeft zichzelf opgeworpen als alternatief voor Rutte, maar krijgt weinig bijval.
-------------
dailysabah |Türkiye to back Mark Rutte as next NATO chief
"NATO's southern wing needs Türkiye and its leadership," Rutte told a joint news conference with Erdoğan after their meeting. "Türkiye is a geopolitical actor with significant influence in the region. They're working to help end the war in Gaza. They're also making effort regarding the horrible war in Ukraine," Rutte had remarked.
Rutte came to Istanbul last week for a meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, one of the last holdouts. Only Turkiye, Hungary, Slovakia and Romania have not endorsed Rutte, who needs the support of all 32 member states to succeed Jens Stoltenberg....
by Cat on Mon Apr 29th, 2024 at 06:09:21 PM EST
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The Maastricht Debate 2024 (29.04.24)
The 2024 Maastricht Debate was the political moment of the spring for European voters. We put the candidates in line to lead Europe onstage to answer your questions—so you can decide how you want your MEP to cast a ballot for EC president. Candidates answered questions from our expert moderators on the themes chosen by European youth via a survey conducted by Maastricht University.
Spitzencandidaten. All the registered European Political Parties were invited to send a Spitzenkandidat. The following eight parties attended the debate.

Walter Baier, Bas Eickhout, Valeriu Ghilețchi, Ursula von der Leyen, Maylis Roßberg, Nicolas Schmit, Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann, Anders Vistisen

I detect a pattern.
by Cat on Tue Apr 30th, 2024 at 07:33:41 PM EST
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"The standing order is based on the method used for U.S. primary debate, which means the party < wipes tears > scoring highest in the polls right now are at the center fanning out to the edges in either direction."
by Cat on Tue Apr 30th, 2024 at 07:43:37 PM EST
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Socialists clash with EPP as von der Leyen leaves door open to cooperation with hard right

The Party of European Socialists lead candidate Nicolas Schmit is fuming over Commission President and centre-right EPP party lead candidate Ursula von der Leyen, who left the door open to collaboration with the far right in the European Parliament after the elections.

The two clashed at the Maastricht Debate, co-organised by Politico Europe and Studio Europe Maastricht, one of two debates between parties' Spitzenkandidaten, with the next one scheduled for 23 May in the European Parliament, organised by the European Broadcasting Union.

Von der Leyen left the door open to collaborating with hard-right European Conservatives and Reformists group (ECR), the political family of Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni.

"It depends very much on how the competition of the Parliament is and who is in what group," von der Leyen said, adding, "It's the Parliament who makes majorities," when directly asked by the Greens' Bas Eickhout.

Europe Elects June 2024 - Latest Poll Data

Highly inaccurate as major shifts will only be tabulated on the voting days

Have a peaceful cultural summer

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Apr 30th, 2024 at 09:21:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"manufactured adulation"
[...]
The Greens are polling far worse than in 2019 and face losing the power to shape legislation if von der Leyen works with far right parties—a prospect she didn't deny during the debate. The motivation of young voters is also shifting. They are backing the far right [EPP] in increasing numbers. And the multiple crises facing Europe have also diluted the focus of a generation that five years ago was unified around a "climate change".  

"There's been lots of things happening since then. So people have kind of forgotten about it, mostly because of COVID, inflation, cost of living," said Maastricht University student RobertKeogh. "It's depressing."
[...]

by Cat on Wed May 1st, 2024 at 07:48:34 PM EST
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