Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

SIDEBAR WARNING ChatGPT "hallucination" based on 2024 estimates by country.
by Cat on Sun Jun 9th, 2024 at 07:18:52 PM EST
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F24 | France's Macron calls new legislative elections over projected far-right [EPP] victory, 9 June
In an address to the nation from the Elysee presidential palace, Macron said: "I've decided to give you back the choice of our parliamentary future through the vote. I am therefore dissolving the National Assembly." The vote will take place in two rounds on June 30 and July 7, he said.
by Cat on Sun Jun 9th, 2024 at 07:27:09 PM EST
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ChatGPT | Voter turnout at record high as Macron tries to thwart far right -- live updates
Nearly 60 percent of registered voters cast their ballots before 5 p.m.—a roughly 20 percentage point increase compared with 2022. It sets the vote on track to have the highest turnout in at least 25 years.
France's leadership position in the EU, its seat on the U.N. Security Council and its military reach as a global power make this almost as much of a "world election" as Biden vs. Trump! in November. An open letter signed last weekend by 170 serving and former French diplomats said that Moscow! but also Beijing!, New Caledonia!  would see a far-right victory "as an enfeeblement of France and an invitation to interference in our national life, to aggression against Europe ... and the economic vassalisation of France and the continent."
The stakes are high as the country prepares for a political big bang: French President Emmanuel Macron's centrist coalition risks annihilation, not only by the far-right National Rally (which polls show could be ruling the country as of next month), but also by the left.
EP Election 2024 Turnout (%): FR, 51
by Cat on Sun Jun 30th, 2024 at 05:56:24 PM EST
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cnn | Markets fear the French far right could trigger a FINANCIAL CRISIS, 14 June
Finance minister, Bruno Le Maire noted that France now has to pay a higher interest rate than Portugal—one of the countries bailed out during the [PIIGS] European debt crisis more than a decade ago—to borrow from investors. "This comes down to the (parties') plans that are on the table, whether we can, yes or no, finance this debt," Le Maire said.
reuters | France election 2024: Why public finances will lose, whoever win, 30 June
Already under scrutiny from ratings agencies, financial markets and Brussels, France's public finances are likely to come under more strain no matter what the outcome of a snap parliamentary election, which starts with a first round of voting on Sunday.
The outgoing government had promised to cut the budget deficit from 5.5% of Gross Domestic Product last year to a European Union ceiling of LOL! 3% by 2027—an objective that may be unattainable after the vote, which concludes with a second round on July 7.

If it forms a government, the RN wants as soon as July to cut value added (VAT) sales tax on energy, which it says would cost 7 billion euros for the rest of this year and 12 billion in a full year.

by Cat on Sun Jun 30th, 2024 at 06:51:25 PM EST
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LeChatGPT | Le Pen questions French president's 'reserved domain' on defense and foreign policy, 28 June
"Head of the armed forces, for the president, it's an honorary title since it's the prime minister who holds the purse strings. Jordan Bardella, president of the RN, has no intention of picking a quarrel with him, but he has set red lines," said Le Pen, when asked how a possible future prime minister from her party's ranks might get on with Macron. "On Ukraine, the president would not send troops," she also insisted, even though Macron and his government, in the absence of concrete progress, have for several weeks begun to clear the air on this option, speaking of "instructors" as part of a "coalition" of willing states, rather than "troops."
archive Weimar Triangle 2022 in Antagonizing, Weimar plane geometry 2024 tabloid USA reuters | France election: How does it work - and what's next?
France has had three periods of "cohabitation," where the government is of a different political stripe from the president, in its post-war history. The government has most of the power on the domestic front, but the president is the head of the military < wipes tears > and wields influence abroad. However, the division of power on foreign policy is not clear cut and that could be an issue for France's stance on the war in Ukraine or European Union policy.
lefigaro | Résultats des législatives 2024 : le RN et ses alliés largement en tête devant la gauche, la macronie distancée, June 30
by Cat on Sun Jun 30th, 2024 at 06:25:02 PM EST
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F24. France's far-right National Rally party makes big gains in first round of legislative elections
by Cat on Sun Jun 30th, 2024 at 07:26:26 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jun 30th, 2024 at 10:10:11 PM EST
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