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Activism Time: Bolkestein 2.0

by DoDo Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 08:18:56 AM EST

Between the 24th-27th this month, the European Parliament will debate the amended version of the Draft Directive [pdf!] on EU-wide services liberalisation, commonly named (for its drafter1) the Bolkestein Directive.

Since I expect some divergent views about it here on ET, I explain my opposition below the fold, here I will just say:

  • Whatever your opinion, I encourage you to write it to your MEP of choice.
  • Input about the amendments would be welcome - from what little I read, no significant changes.
  • An organised platform for opponents is the StopBolkestein petition, which I signed - their arguments have faults (see below), but they keep you updated of what happens.
  • Many (Western) opponents and proponents (everywhere) have cast the issue as the rich West keeping the poor East out, my approach below the fold is different.


  1. Frits Bolkestein was the previous Internal Market Commissioner, a Dutch market-liberal. Also famous for drafting that other red-flag Draft Directive, the one on software patents; and for phony Islamophobia.


What follows is an edited English version of what I wrote - I thus far wrote to two MEPs, a Socialist and a Liberal from my country, and plan to write to two fraction leaders and a Left MEP (once I did the German and French translations too...)

My opposition is not to a common market for services in general - it is to (common) marketising specific sectors of basic 'services', and the 'how' of doing it for the rest. I put them in three points.

First: education.
Private schools, especially if they are given the freedom to make their own curriculum [worst-case example from Britain] get into the scope of the directive. But this is inspired by the economics view of education, that is, education as only the training of future skilled workers. With appropiate protections for poorer regions or communities, a supply-demand solution for this may2 appear sensible. The education of culture (global, European, national, minority) may not need comprehensive standards.

However, in a democracy, it would be important for voters, all voters to know the world and society in general to a sufficiently high level to make qualified decisions. Be them referendums, parliamentary votes - or daily decisions as consumers buying some product. For this, education needs to be comprehensive and curriculum needs to have standards, if not at EU or global level, at least at country or state level. Individual countries' marketisation of education would/does erode that, creating an EU-wide single market between such countries would make the destruction permanent.

Second: healthcare.
The fear of opponents in the West (here too) is social dumping. However, hiring of doctors and nurses in the West in large numbers would be a problem for the poorer new EU members, too: a shortage of medical staff - and, one can suspect, a decrease of the average competency of staff.

This problem, doctors moving where they are better paid and some regions having worse healthcare, already exists at country level. Even the national healthcare privatisation plans I'm aware of [and reject] call for some State role in mitigating it. However, the problem would be of much higher magnitude at EU level, and completely without instruments to compensate it.

Third and last: labor rights and oversight.
More superficial opponents of Bolkestein ignore that for foreign workers too, the Draft Directive grants the workers' rights of the host country; and that its scope is only services and countries already liberalised nationally. But, in my opinion these defenses are worth little:

  1. As far as I know, there is no word about renationalisation - marketisation is a one-way street.
  2. The employer can always exert indirect pressure on the employee - if residing in a different country, thus he can undermine labor rights.
  3. Hence the most alarming point in the Draft Directive, the one nebulously entrusting the authorities of the employer's country of registration with oversight, remains very much on-topic: since conducting checks in another country has its practical problems, this prescription leads at least to lapses, at most a complete loss of overseeing the activities of service companies.
  4. A common market and different national labor rights means a competition between countries - a competition leading to the lowest common denominator.
  5. Hence my most general argument: no common market before common, and high-level, labor rights.


  1. May, meaning: even this is debatable, but I won't argue about it here.

Poll
Should services be marketised across the EU?
. Yes, it will eliminate red tape and privileges. 0%
. Yes, but only with protections against social dumping. 0%
. Yes, but not for education. 0%
. Yes, but not for healthcare. 0%
. Yes, but not for basic services. 0%
. Not now, only after harmonisation of labor laws and taxes. 0%
. Not now, only after GDP per capita differences are reduced. 0%
. Not ever, let's stay national. 0%
. Not ever, services shouldn't be marketised. 100%

Votes: 3
Results | Other Polls
Display:
This is not on topic, but I feel I should point out that accusing Bolkenstein of Islamophobia without providing further context is a little too stigmatising. Although I have my personal pro and cons with Bolkenstein's political views, to his credit he was the very first in the Dutch government to point out that the multicultural society had yawning rifts and that things were going to deteriorate if no amends were made. This was in a time that it was an absolute taboo (early ninenties) to point the glaring mistakes the previous governments had made to integrate the foreign influx into the Dutch society. During those years, he was often flakked as a right wing extremist, and some really loony people went as far to call him a racist. Those were the times.

Since 9/11 he has seen his vision come true one step at the time, ultimately culminating in the assassination of Theo Van Gogh, now almost one year ago. The Dutch press has humbly accepted that Bolkenstein had it absolutely right; he's well respected for that. It was Pim Fortuyn who took Bolkenstein's vision a step further and as we know, he also lost his life for it (albeit by another sort of extremism).

If you want to paint someone Islamophobist, concentrate on the latest Dutch curiosa, Geert Wilders. Frits Bolkenstein has built up a considerable amount of credit in the Netherlands and I would certainly not dismiss his viewpoints on Islam in Europe, based on the argument of scare-mongering. To me, this severely undermines your criticism of Bolkenstein.

Enough about that, now onto the directive.

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 09:29:34 AM EST
Sorry for harping back on the Islamophobia issue, but

  1. Have you clicked my link?
  2. "The Dutch press has humbly accepted that Bolkenstein had it absolutely right" - and we all believe the press' judgement here on ET...
  3. If Bolkestein had warned of a breakout of violent extremism in general, covering the murderer of Pim Fortuyn and the arsonist attacks and beatings and skinheads that came after both the Fortuyn and van Gogh murders, rather than focus on just one sort of 'walking bombs', I would agree with your press. But it appears to me he is the usual xenophobe capitalising on the mainstream's hypocrisy and denial of social problems (including immigrant integration).
  4. The new Dutch integration rhetoric is all too familiar to me from my time in Germany under Kohl.


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 02:19:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Succinctly:

  1. Yes, but if you don't press the link, that is not clear. That's why I mentioned Geert Wilders especially, since if anyone should be labelled a phony Islamophobe, it's him. And Frans Groenendijk carries as much weight as any person. He speaks only for himself; he does not represent a group. Also, the linked post is at least one year old and Wilders has gone from bad to abysmal during that time.

  2. Really, I don't understand the necessity for the implicated scepticism towards other press sources. Let me rephrase: those who generally entitled Bolkenstein as an extreme, xenophobic alarmist have near to all admitted he was right in his predictions - on this particular issue.

  3. Warnings in 1994 of breakout of violent extremism - now THAT would have been alarmist. Bolkenstein didn't and couldn't predict 9/11. He simply said, "If we don't re-invent our (Dutch) multicultural society soon, there will be irreversible damage and a growing rift between cultures." 9/11 exacerbated matters, they didn't cause them. To make clear, in hindsight immigrant integration wasn't good in the Netherlands for at least 20 years, or at least that's what I feel. Denial of social problems? Bolkenstein was one of the first to put a finger on the sore spot of immigrant integration people simply didn't see (myself included). And what mainstream hypocrisy? Bolkenstein wasn't mainstream until xenophoby became a fashion for populist politicians e.g. Fortuyn and Geert Wilders. Again, this was 1994. I don't understand your points. If anything, he might be getting cocky now he has experienced the "I told you so" syndrome, then again, he has always been cocky.

  4. Too young to have anything to add to that. My age is showing, but I didn't interest myself for German politics at that time.
by Nomad (Bjinse) on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 04:13:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Put it the wrong way. Frans Groenendijk's post is recent, but he refers to matters that were happening in 2004. Wilders split from the VVD before the murder of Theo van Gogh.
by Nomad (Bjinse) on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 04:37:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's from 2004, but his site seems to have had a timestamp problem when upgrading.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri Oct 7th, 2005 at 11:57:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
  1. OK, your phrasing about Wilders sounded to me as if you aren't aware the linked post deals with him, a misunderstanding.

  2. In my view, the press was wrong then, and is wrong now.

  3. If he said just this general claim (which was stating the blinding obvious to the self-blinded), coming true "one step at a time" and being "absolutely right" is bit of a boasting. From your next sentences, it's clear you didn't understood what I wrote, but not where. Maybe you read me as if Bolkestein was part of the hypocritical mainstream (rather than the outsider capitalising on the mainstream's hypocrisy, i.e. thematising issues his way, issues the mainstream won't even admit exists). At any rate, with 'social problems' denied by that mainstream, I didn't just mean violent extremism among immigrants, but the outbreak of violent extremism in other parts of the Dutch population too - and Bolkestein's (and recently Dutch newspapers', and your) focus on just immigrants is my problem.

  4. Sorry should have made clear, I more wrote this to imply why I feel like I do, not as something you should have known. But to tell more about it, what upset me there 15 years ago was (a) the pretense that crime and violent crime is an immigrant problem [if you look for societal sub-groups, it was much more of a poverty problem], (b) the pretense that failure to integrate is a failure of immigrants [restrictions for refugees, for would-be-citizens, housing, lack of serious integration programmes, and racism on part of employers and public officials had more to do with it, closing off is more often a reaction], (c) the calls for 'integration' policies that take the form of more controls/obligations on and less benefits for (all) immigrants [which, see previous point, actually work for more alienation and segregation]. (BTW, another personal angle: I have a relative in the Netherlands, who unfortunately became a Fortuynist, despite being an immigrant himself - and emails such drivel, including his quotations from newspapers, to here.)


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri Oct 7th, 2005 at 12:30:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
One more thing:

I would certainly not dismiss his viewpoints on Islam in Europe, based on the argument of scare-mongering.

Since I provided no argument just a link, I must ask. What rational point can you find in this?

"The American Islam expert Bernard Lewis has said that Europe will be Islamic at the end of this century. I do not know if this is right, or whether it will be at that speed, but if he is right, the liberation of Vienna in 1683 would have been in vain."

To me, this looks and smells like standard-issue meaningless emotional right-populist drivel (but unfortunately very much like some stuff German Left Party co-leader Lafontaine wrote in his book); starting out with a, let's just say, controversial proto-neocon orientalist (as in, his nemesis Edward Said's Orientalism) as some kind of authority.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 02:36:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Firstly, I don't really like the kind of quotes without surrounding context, but I confess it does exactly the kind of thing Bolkenstein would say. Over the top, with a flair for the dramatic but not entirely based on thin air.

To be fair, demographic predictions for the Netherlands agree. Birth rate of the Islamic society is still in the lift, while a decrease is seen for non-islamic groups. People who are born in a family adhering Islamic religion, generally tend to stay there, and there are not many who break with the faith. Despite growing popularity under the youth, secularization of Christian churches is still strong and predicted to increase. Added together and if these trends continue, the largest religion will be Islam in 70-80 years in the Netherlands, clear and simple. I don't know demographic trends for other countries. I'm the first to admit that a lot can happen in 70 years, and I expect so, too. But if we put as much faith in predicting, say, the climate, then there's a legitimate point to build a case.

Everyone would need to make out for themselves whether they would object to such a development. Clearly, Bolkenstein does, while you think the sketched scenario is complete hogwash. I just say, he wasn't always wrong, so give him the space to argue, before you paint him black - on this issue. (Mind that I'm strongly disagreeing on many other points Bolkenstein stands for.)

Then again, he'll be leaving Brussels, so I wouldn't be surprised if he's just behaving like a bull in a porcelain shop just to have a few parting shots.

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 04:49:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Birth rate of the Islamic society is still in the lift, while a decrease is seen for non-islamic groups. People who are born in a family adhering Islamic religion, generally tend to stay there, and there are not many who break with the faith.
Birth rates are on the rise? I admit I haven't seen figures on the Netherlands, but for France and Germany what I've read is that birth rates are a lot higher for immigrants themselves, and then fall dramatically from the first generation to the second - just like Hispanics and Asians in the US.
Don't break with religion? Again what I've read of France suggests that a majority are non-observant, and while more religious than non-Muslim origin people in France, a lot less religious than people in their home countries or for that matter American Christians. That probably explains why roughly half of all 'Muslims' supported the headscarf ban.

I've said this before, I'll say it again, worrying about the Islamicization of Europe is a bit like worrying about the 'Asianification' of America in terms of numbers. Overall immigration from Muslim countries is quite low, the numbers already in European countries are as well - peaking at 6-8% in places like France and Holland - and birth rates are converging with those of non-Muslims.  Plus, as DoDo pointed out in a diary today, fertility  rates in countries of origin are falling fast. Of the four countries that provide most of continental Europe's Muslims two already have below replacement level rates (Turkey and Tunisia), a third is either just above or just below (Algeria) and Morocco, while still well above replacement level, is dropping fast.  To sum up, Europe's Muslims make up less than five percent of the total population, their fertility rates are converging with the non-Muslim population, fertility rates in their countries of origin are headed below replacement level,  and net immigration rates are low. How the hell do you deduce the 'Eurabia' scenario from that!?

What Europe does have a serious problem with is the utter failure of their integration policy. There is also a real issue with a small but not insignificant minority of this minority radically rejecting the basic values of European society (though considering the relative sizes of populations I am pretty sure that in absolute numbers far more white Europeans reject those values than Muslim ones) Spreading paranoid unfounded phobias among the majority population will only make things worse.

by MarekNYC on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 05:49:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks for those numbers. You make an interesting point I wasn't aware of. The majority of the second generation immigrants in the Netherlands has not hit yet the demographic peak to "reproduce", they're mostly in their late teens, early twenties now. Any day now...

How the hell do you deduce the 'Eurabia' scenario from that!?

It looks like a rhetorical question, but I still answer it: I wasn't trying to build a case for Eurabia, something I've never been concerned enough about to learn the numbers you quoted.


What Europe does have a serious problem with is the utter failure of their integration policy. There is also a real issue with a small but not insignificant minority of this minority radically rejecting the basic values of European society (though considering the relative sizes of populations I am pretty sure that in absolute numbers far more white Europeans reject those values than Muslim ones)

Zing. I think I flared up because, even if Bolkestein would be losing his hold on his rhetoric these days, he should be credited for pointing that out before it had become common knowledge. That's not Islamophobic, that's pragmatic in my book. Call the problem by its name and don't be a wishy-washy.

Agreed, his quote is out there. But he leaves enough wriggle room to say it doesn't need to happen, yet suddenly the implication is that Bolkestein thinks Europe will be overrun by the armies of Allah. Rubbish. There's enough in the rest of his speech that says he has given the membership of Turkey a lot of thought. Also, I think he's dead on on the European agrarian policy when Turkey would join; that's simply unsustainable.

He IS saying, plainly, that while China's economy starts booming faster, Europe is getting more Islamic. Combine that with the failed integration policies, and he sees troubles. Again.

Ugh. I'm very weary of this argument. Next time, I stick to climate change.

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 08:05:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In addition, I quote some other stuff from my year-ago comment - on religiousity.

In Turkey itself, a 2002 Gallup poll indeed found that 37% say religion is 'very important', 41% say it is essential to life, and for 27% it is the most important thing in life.

However, the long-term trend is of decrease (tough I only found scant and non-countriwide-sampled data). Two local samples: I found one from the sixties in which 50% preferred the "Turk" identity and 37.5% the "Muslim" one, and one from 1993 in which 69% preferred "Turk", 21% chose "Muslim Turk", and 4% chose "Muslim". A 2000 study of factory workers (on page 9 of this pdf) found a strong decrease with age of those who think prayer at work is important.

In contrast, Muslims/Turks in Germany are less religious.

One 2003 study (pdf!) counts 3,112,000 inhabitants with a Muslim cultural identity, of which 2,365,120 (76%) profess a Muslim religious identity, but only 309,000 (9.9%) are organised. Even in the year after 9/11 and up to the Iraq War, the number of Friday prayer attendants is just 464,000 (14.9%), and that of daily prayers in a mosque 185,000 (5.9%) - not dissimilar to similar numbers in the 'Christian' population! Prior to 9/11, weekly attendance was about 9%, but that was down from 22% measured in a study in the middle of the nineties (see towards the end here).

Furthermore, in a printed source (I forgot where since last year...), I found this further data from that study in the nineties: of under-16 children of Muslims in Germany, 58% have broken with their parents' religious traditions, 12% consider to do so; and of the 42% still holding to the traditions, 22% percent do so at parental pressure. Another 1997 poll for the Berlin local government asked youth of Turkish origin about membership in an assotiation - 23.5% were, but of these, 19.2% were members of sports assotiations, and a mere 0,4% of a religious assotiation.

If I have more time, I'll trawl for more and more recent data (and will put it all in another diary).

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Oct 7th, 2005 at 11:44:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Marek dealt with the other point, I get back to the 1683. What does it mean, again?

The Ottoman Empire, tough Islamising large churches in conquered capitals, largely left people to believe what they want - witness Christian majorities in all the Ottoman Balkans holdings but Bosnia, Southern Hungary, Romania, or Armenians until the (secular) genocide.

In fact, in 1683, the Ottoman troops were supported by a Hungarian rebel army (which hated the Habsburg rule more).

So is he ignorant of history, or does he fear another Turkish Empire, or what?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Oct 7th, 2005 at 11:28:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Whatever one might think of Bernard Lewis' views he is certainly an excellent scholar. The problem with the overenthusiastic Said followers, including Said himself, is that they fail to understand that someone can be biased and hold ugly opinions yet be a good historian. (Benny Morris is a perfect recent example, going further back you have the various historians who dominated the field in the first decades of the Bundesrepublik but were hardcore Nazis, from the opposite political camp you have Eric Hobsbawm) So there is no problem with citing Lewis as an authority on something dealing with his true area of expertise - Middle Eastern history. But on the 'Eurabia' issue we are not dealing with Lewis - as - historian but rather Lewis as pundit. Lewis has no expertise in demography, no expertise in the sociology and anthropology of immigrant populations and integration.  To sum up - don't dismiss people's expertise and professional competence because of their political views, don't fall into the trap of believing that the fact that someone is good in their field means he is an expert in others.
by MarekNYC on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 05:25:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
they fail to understand that someone can be biased and hold ugly opinions yet be a good historian.

Hm. As I see it, historical research is about searching for sources and constructing narratives based on existing sources, and both are corrupted when someone seeks out only the evidence fitting his conceptions. This is especially true when Lewis deals with the history of the I/P conflict. Also, again as I see it, modern historians should have expertise in demography, sociology and anthropology (enough to be able to find relevant material on modern issues too).

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Oct 7th, 2005 at 12:59:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
both are corrupted when someone seeks out only the evidence fitting his conceptions.

First of all bias does not mean that they will necessarily do that - think Benny Morris, radical right on the I-P issue, no hesitation in digging up sources unfavourable to Israel. Secondly, even when historians do engage in such selective behaviour, they can produce excellent history. Western historiography of the Soviet Union is a case in point. There you had both cold warriors and apologists for the Soviet Union fighting it out. Lots of good work on both sides. In general selective sourcing is an occupational hazard that goes well beyond mere political bias.

Historians will look at other disciplines when it is necessary to whatever they are working on. That applies equally to modern and non modern ones.  So yes, a historian studying the history of Muslim immigrant populations in Europe would probably end up doing a lot more reading in social science journals than historical ones, but to my knowledge Lewis never has studied this or any related issue.

NB The irony is that Lewis and others of his ilk are quick to dismiss their opponents in the academy for their political bias. But the truth is, if we were to reject the work of all ME specialists with strong opinions on the I-P issue we wouldn't have anything left to look at.

by MarekNYC on Fri Oct 7th, 2005 at 02:03:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
UK presidency shelves services directive [EUobserver.com - Headline News]

05.10.2005 - 17:45 CET | By Lucia Kubosova
EUOBSERVER/ BRUSSELS - London has stopped pushing for agreement on the controversial "Bolkestein directive", aimed at opening up European services markets, following an MEPs' decision to delay a crucial vote on the bill until next year.

"We cannot push the issue for the ministerial debate before the European Parliament completes the first reading of the services directive", Emma Lockwood from the UK presidency told EUobserver.

The bill has been on top of Britain's agenda during its term at the bloc's helm, in a bid to boost initiatives aimed at improving Europe's economy.

However, the projected timetable received a blow this week when the leading parliamentary groups in the internal market committee on Tuesday (4 October) failed to agree on a compromise summing up over 1,500 amendments to the report presented by socialist member Evelyn Gebhardt.

As a result of that, the vote in the committee has been delayed until 21 November, and the final vote in plenary until January.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 12:38:59 PM EST
Heh, just one day behind the news... at least I sent my emails yesterday.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 02:21:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I tire of reading documents like these. Wool and fluff and then in one sentence the rules of the game are upside down. Where's the abstract?

I didn't find anything on the point that always concerns me: education. Except for the mentioning that the Directive wants to exclude education (under 7. Specific Questions) from its listed services and leave that to Member states to deal with.

Care to point out a hint, or should I view the Directive as a whole for interpretation to changes in education?

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Wed Oct 5th, 2005 at 05:17:31 PM EST
I didn't find anything on the point that always concerns me: education. Except for the mentioning that the Directive wants to exclude education (under 7. Specific Questions) from its listed services and leave that to Member states to deal with.

Let's quote that part in full:

However, the definition does not cover non-economic activities, nor activities
performed by the State for no consideration as part of its social, cultural, education
and judicial functions where there is no element of remuneration.

As far as I can see, this doesn't close out private schools (or universities where there is a fee, but that's not general education).

(I must admit though - and I have re-written that part in my post a few hours after first posting it - that my memory tricked me. I thought the Draft Directive explicitely deals with schools and teachers, but it must have been an approving-of article I read half a year ago.)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Oct 7th, 2005 at 11:55:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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