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German unemployment figures beat expectations

by jandsm Thu Dec 1st, 2005 at 11:46:28 AM EST

from the diaries. Note that French unemployment also fell for the seventh consecutive month last month, the numbers also came out this morning. -- Jérôme

For the first time since 1994, the German unemployment fell in the month of November. Here is a summary of the numbers by Bloomberg:


"German unemployment fell for a seventh month in eight in November as companies hired more part-time workers amid growing signs that Europe's largest economy is picking up steam.

The number of unemployed people, adjusted for seasonal swings, fell by 53,000, the Federal Labor Agency in Nuremberg said today. Economists expected a drop of 20,000, according to the median of 36 forecasts in a Bloomberg survey. The jobless rate fell to 11.5 percent from 11.6 percent.

``The labor market may be in for something of a recovery,'' said Christoph Hausen, an economist at Gothaer Asset Management in Frankfurt, in a telephone interview. ``Large-scale hiring of part-timers and mini-jobbers and broadening economic activity are spurring the recovery.''

In related good news, the German "Bundesagentur für Arbeit" - the responsible for the labor market, reported an increase in the number of open jobs to ca. 400.000. Also the agency managed to bring get an estimated 1. Mio people back into employment or to transfer them from one job into another without getting formally unemployed. Also an increase by 100 percent to 2004. It would be good news if the number of unemployed would stay below the symbolic 5. Mio mark in February.

There may actually be a silver line on the horizon. But I am not economically qualified enough to give a decent analysis.

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just cyclical...   </snark>
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Thu Dec 1st, 2005 at 12:39:09 PM EST
There may actually be a silver line on the horizon. But I am not economically qualified enough to give a decent analysis.

Perhaps.  Let's see how the markets react to the ECB's rate-hike.  If Western Europe can get its GDP and job growth up, Europe will look well.  It should also help that the dollar has gained on the euro -- and, therefore, so has the yuan.  So look for exports to improve in the eurozone, as well, so long as the American economy continues to move in the right direction.  (Who knows?  Maybe someday we'll even get China off the training wheels and have a floating yuan!  Ah, dreams....)

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Thu Dec 1st, 2005 at 01:49:59 PM EST
By the way, also, keep an eye on two things:  Oil prices, which should come down a bit (helping to push inflation down in both the EU and the US), but also heating oil as we head into winter.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Thu Dec 1st, 2005 at 01:52:03 PM EST
Accepting the smaller gains and the reality of the Grand Coalition, the business strike has ended.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu Dec 1st, 2005 at 01:54:25 PM EST
Tch tch, DoDo, you are not supposed to say this sort of thing.

;)

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Dec 1st, 2005 at 04:17:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Not used to the optimism, my radio had a warning at hand this morning: the end of counting for the month was due exactly at the end of an exceptional late indian summer, with all building sites working full throttle.
Just after that, an exceptionnal -again- cold weather wave hit.
We will see if people are relieved next month to get again the bad news they are used to ;-)

La répartie est dans l'escalier. Elle revient de suite.
by lacordaire on Thu Dec 1st, 2005 at 02:34:48 PM EST
Agenda 2010 and Hartz IV are working.
by tyronen on Thu Dec 1st, 2005 at 05:20:12 PM EST


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