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EuroPDB: July 27, 2005

by soj Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 05:04:36 AM EST

Welcome to the "Euro PDB", a briefing paper on today's events affecting Europe and European interests.

Today's big stories... Russia and Belarus grow closer... Rumsfeld is in Tajikistan to praise Caesar.. and the IRA is expected to renounce all criminal and non-democratic activity...



In English

A few weeks ago, Russia accused Ukraine of stealing about $27 million worth of natural gas. Ukraine later said it had the gas but it was in an undisclosed storage area. Russia is a major natural gas producer and most of its exports to Europe go through Ukraine. Now I see that Ukraine's SBU (former KGB) is saying a Russian-controlled international crime syndicate is controlling the sale of natural gas from Turkemenistan to Europe (via Ukraine):

The probe is part of a broader investigation into suspected money-laundering, smuggling and tax evasion stemming from the Turkmen gas trade. It will further aggravate Kiev’s strained relations with Russia and Gazprom, while highlighting the new Ukrainian government's struggle to overcome corrupt practices.

Talks at the World Trade Organization about reducing agricultural subsidies have broken up and it looks like no agreement will be reached.

The Invincible Taliban keep on rockin' like a hurricane, engaging in in major gun battles in Uruzgan Province, killing 1 American and 1 gov't soldier. In Kandahar Province, the IT attacked a gov't patrol, killing 1 and badly wounding another. And Pakitika Province, a bomb killed a prospective politician. Meanwhile:

More than 1000 protesters on Tuesday chanted "Death to America" as they banged on the gates of the main US base in Afghanistan to demand the release of three local villagers detained in a raid.

The three men were arrested on Monday night in a raid on Dheymullah village, about 3km from Bagram base, said local government chief Kaber Ahmad.

"Those three were wanted by the Americans, but no one knows why," he said.

A US military spokeswoman in Kabul said she had no details about the demonstration.

Meanwhile the western press says that 50 Taliban were killed in the fighting while the IT says only four were lost. According to the American military, over 1000 Taliban have been killed this year alone, so where do they keep coming from? Are they really invincible?

The ethnic Armenian in Georgia who tossed a grenade near Bush in May has now been officially charged with "terrorism".

Don't believe this crap for an instance but U.S. Rear Admiral Hamlin Tallent is now saying that Algeria's GSPC is the "greatest security threat" to northwestern Africa:

"What's needed [to rid the region of their insurgency] is a cooperative effort by well-armed militaries," he said.

What Tallent is referring to is an increasing American footprint in western Africa (the TSCTI), which I've explored more in-depth in articles such as this one. Looks like the Washington Post is on the case as well (two months after my blog of course!).

Independent media in Uzbekistan is reporting that there's a major shake-up going on in the fun-lovin' terrorist-bustin' Karimov government:

Official announcements have not been made yet, but the Prosecutor General's Office instituted proceedings against several senior state officials. All of them have to do, directly or not, with national economy - Shakhlo Abdullayeva (senior deputy minister of foreign economic contacts), Bakhtijar Khusanbayev (chairman of Uzbekturism), and E. Mirkhodzhayev, former chairman National Bank who resigned of his own volition in early July. There are the rumors that Khusanbayev and Mirkhodzhayev are already on the run.

After being on the ropes because of a collapsing economy and international shunning, it looks like strongman Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe has managed to get his new bestest pal China to save his bacon.

Yesterday U.S. SecDef Donald Rumsfeld was in fun-lovin' Tajikistan where he lauded them for their cooperation in the war on terror. Aren't you glad that your taxes paid for $42 million worth of goodies for this totalitarian dictatorship??

Journalists in Ukraine are demanding that President Viktor Yushchenko apologize after saying the son of a Pravda correspondent was a "killer".

Russian president Vladimir Putin has once again stated he is in favor of the merging of Belarus and Russia into a single entity.

A woman named Karyne Sylvestre, who hosts a Florida-based radio program about Haiti has said Gerard Jean-Juste was "planning terrorist attacks". The puppet gov't in Haiti then promptly arrested him. To understand what a heroic man Jean-Juste is, click here. Clearly his views are why he's being targeted by the anti-Aristide lobby in the U.S. From the December 2004 interview:

AMY GOODMAN: Father Jean-Juste, General Colin Powell, the Secretary of State is headed to Haiti now. President Bush praised Haiti in his joint news conference with the Canadian leader yesterday in Ottawa. Do you believe that the United States is behind the coup against Aristide that took place in Haiti on February 29?

REV. GERARD JEAN-JUSTE: Definitely. There were the three administrations involved in the administration of Wilfort Ferdinand, the administration of the Prime Minister Canada, Paul Martin, and the administration of Jacques Chirac of France. They were all behind the coup but mostly French and the U.S., the Bush administration. They kidnapped an elected president and it was something very bad, who asked the Haitian people and still calling for a return to order. To have peace in Haiti now and have an elected government and support the small group to go after the government and bring the government down so they are members of the United Nations, they are conventional people posed to respect and for government in our world to act like cowboys going after elected officials. It is wrong.

It looks like some 400 Uzbek refugees who fled to Kyrgyzstan in May are going to be given sanctuary in Romania.

And last but not least, it looks like today the IRA organization in Northern Ireland will make a public pledge to commit itself to democratic and legal activity only.
Peace/Paz/Pace/Paix

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This Russia/Belarus talk is interesting.  Does Putin object to their government, or are there economic reasons?  How are Russians treated in Belarus?
by BooMan on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 07:19:23 AM EST
Putin and Lukashenko get along like gangbusters and Russians and "Bylorussians" or Belarusians are extremely intertwined both culturally and politcally.  Most Belarusians don't even speak Belarus anymore or do so asa second language.

They're already going to merge their currencies.  What Putin is talking about is either introducing Belarus into the Russian Federation or else a "Serbia and Montenegro" type thing.

There are even rumors (just rumors!) that Putin might ask Lukashenko to step into the (joint) presidency in 2008.  Not likely but that's what the Russian media is whispering about.

Pax

Night and day you can find me Flogging the Simian

by soj on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 09:58:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
well, there's a lot of sound and fury, but not much action. Russians are understandably reluctant to share their now strongish currency with someone very likely to prit money with abandon...

As to the joint presidency. Lukashenka has his sights on it indeed, but the more intriguing possibility is for that presidency to be made really powerful and for Putin to take it over when his current mandate (which the constitution says he cannote reelected to again) ends.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 12:39:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
.
Meanwhile the western press says that 50 Taliban were killed in the fighting while the IT says only four were lost. According to the American military, over 1000 Taliban have been killed this year alone, so where do they keep coming from? Are they really invincible?

Interesting reaction by the Afghans.


      <Click photo for map>

  • US Navy Seals' Afghan disaster

    Dutch Special Forces in Afghanistan under US Command
    Have changed their desert camouflage tenue for the European green camouflage tenue so the Taliban won't mistake them for US forces!

    ~~~

  • Sharm el-Sheik Bombs  London Bombing :: Perfect Timing ◊
    ~~~

    'Sapere aude'
  • by Oui (Oui) on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 08:30:04 AM EST
    Thanks for this update.

    Is there a reason you don't (cross)post on Kos anymore? Just curious.

    "Political Violence is a perfectly legitimate answer to the persecution handed down by the dignitaries of the state." -Riven Turnbull

    by florida democrat on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 08:41:52 AM EST
    Not really. In fact, just because you mentioned it, I'll do so today! :)

    Pax

    Night and day you can find me Flogging the Simian

    by soj on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 10:01:30 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    so long as Eurotrib (along with fts, of course) can get some credit and publicity!

    In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
    by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 10:41:10 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Indeed ;)

    Pax

    Night and day you can find me Flogging the Simian

    by soj on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 10:51:39 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    is a topic I know pretty well, and well enough never to rely on only one story to follow. Simply put, Ukraine does not pay for Gazprom gas (traded for export transit rights), but consumers do pay for that gas, as well as that supposedly procured from Turmenistan, but delivered via Russia, i.e. by Gazprom. The only question is - which Ukrainian oligarch delivers the gas payments and shares the loot wiyh the Gazprom managers (note - not Gazprom) which control gas transit inside Russia. There are two treasures to share, for Gazprom gas and for "Turkmen" gas, worth at least 1.5 billion dollars per year, so lots of people trying to get a piece of these pies...

    In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
    by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 12:32:46 PM EST
    I'm very glad you do these PDB's soj.  These daily roundups help someone like myself to start getting an overall view of what is going on outside the US.

    "People never do evil so throughly and happily as when they do it from moral conviction."-Blaise Pascal
    by chocolate ink on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 03:14:21 PM EST
    Thanks choc... it takes a lot of time and hard work to put these together every morning.  I appreciate the kind word!

    Pax

    Night and day you can find me Flogging the Simian

    by soj on Wed Jul 27th, 2005 at 04:15:35 PM EST
    [ Parent ]


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