by Nikita
Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 08:17:58 AM EST
Renewable energies have been given fairly little thought from strategic standpoint because their importance has been neglible in both total energy production and electricity generation.
However, the renewable energy production is increasing at pace of 20-30% per year in EU and thus it is becoming increasingly meaningful. The renewable share of EU energy production was roughly 6% in 2000 and most realistic predictions assume increase to 8-10% (goal is 12%) by 2010. At the same time European reliance on imported energy (especially oil and natural gas) is rising. EU responses have been diversification of suppliers and increased conservation efforts.
I see following interesting developments in renewable sector from purely strategic standpoint:
- The renewable energy sources have typically smaller unit sizes than concentrate power generation facilities. They are also more sparcely distributed. When you combine these effects with somewhat higher personnel use per generated energy unit, you have more jobs that are distributed more sparcely. Effectively this means more jobs in rural areas compared to urban locations. This has more effect in local rural politics but in large scale would keep more people working in rural areas.
- The renewable energy allows setting up local and/or national corporations that are responsible for entire energy generation within national borders. This increases both energy security in time of crises and probably helps in keeping more of money involved in local economy than paying to foreing supplier.
I believe that these two issues (rural/regional employment and domestic energy security/investment retainment) deserve more consideration even if renewable energy size of energy generation is still small due its potentially major strategic implications.