Fri Feb 17th, 2006 at 05:01:28 AM EST
A comment of wchurcill's got me thinking this morning, which is always a bad thing. He suggested that it would be interesting for us to think about how we would handle the situation in Iran if we were in charge. This suggests a game to me, albeit a deadly serious one.
I hereby institute the Gnomemoot, a formal event where the assorted site gnomes, elves and fairies1 can meet to determine the suggested community response to a situation.
The rules are simple: first we determine the problem, then we decide the acceptable and possible outcomes, then we determine possible solutions that could lead to those outcomes. A different story will be used for each stage: today we are only examining the problem. Someone will write up a summary at each stage. In fact, I suspect that several summaries will come out.
Our first topic is the case of the Iranian Nuclear Threat™.
The US contends that the Iranian government are developing a nuclear weapons programme behind the cover of a civilian programme. It Is further contended that Iran cannot be allowed develop such a capability as it will pose an unacceptable danger to the peace and safety of the region. It is proposed that to prevent Iran acquiring nuclear weapons all solutions are acceptable, up to and including nuclear strikes.
I refuse to accept this narrative at face value. Let's deconstruct it and see if we can get a better picture of what's really going on. Who are the players? What are their motivations? What do they want? What do we know for sure and what is unsubstantiated nonsense? What is the real problem here from Europe's point of view? Is there even a real problem?
I'd envisage each stage taking a couple of days - we can move the story into the debates box. I'd also suggest only trying one of these at a time. People are finite.