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Campaign Watch Hungary: Six Weeks of Insanity

by DoDo Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 07:32:43 AM EST

...can safely be predicted. (The second round of elections is in 5½ weeks.) The overture: the March 15 commemorations yesterday.


As now traditional, a state celebration has to have partisan attacks and provocateurs. But this time, the players outdid themselves, it turned into a multi-act comedy - you can laugh at some photos and events and words. The above, erm, not too intelligent-looking guys came to jeer at the central celebration at the National Museum.



The older guy on the right and behind the young shouting crazy is a favourite of photographers: a far-right 'dandy', he practically went to every far-right sect's protest since 1989, dressing according to whatever was in - arrowcrossers' uniform [the Arrow-Cross Party was the local ally of the Nazis], skinhead, all-black-clad with iroquis-hair, WWII soldier uniform, and now ancient nomadic Magyar...


Security madness à la Hongroise. You'd think this is the picture of some Bush (or Putin) visit. No, allegedly because of attending ambassadors, these sharpshooters were posted besides the statues on the National Museum's tympanum...

If the rent-a-crowds and police measures weren't silly enough, there were the speeches themselves. Opposition PM-hopeful Viktor Orbán (below) declared that the Republic is but a cloth on the body of the Nation - dear Viktor, you may wish to change clothes, but later someone may point out that the Emperor is naked...


PM Ferenc Gyurcsány's reply was: "The Republic R us!" And the State, too... Liberal Budapest major (since 1990) Gábor Demszky declared that in the April elections, the outcome again depends on Budapesters - as if there wasn't enough capital-countryside conflict...

Fitting finish for the day: the traditional state awards handover ceremony.

By law the recipients are 'proposed' by the PM but awarded & handed over by the (ceremonial) President; then he, the PM, and the head of Parliament shake hands with the awardee. This year, for some obscure reason, against the objections of their liberal coalition partners and the President, the (Socialist) PM's picks included two guys who held high posts during the dictatorship in the eighties: a former National Bank Vice-President and a former deputy PM. So how did the ceremony go?

  • Round one: the former bank Vice-President won't get a handshake from the President:


  • Round two: after a short hesitation, the former deputy PM (who by all means had the more incriminating past) does get a handshake from the President.

  • Round three: the 1990-1994 head of Parliament (of the now small conservative MDF party), also an awardee, 'overlooks' the PM between shaking hands with the President and the current incumbent of his former post...

(Photos from e-zine Index.hu and from daily Népszabadság)


What you find in my older posts on Hungarian politics (oldest first):

  1. After a bizarre press vs. politicians court case, an introduction of parties & history since 1989.
  2. The workings of non-issue-based politics: the tragicomic double referendum on barring hospital privatisations and giving neighbouring countries' ethnic Hungarians double citizenship.
  3. Bush and Hungary: why the nominal centre-left (now governing) is pro-Bush and the nominal centre-right opposition anti-Bush.
  4. Campaign season opens - half a year early.
  5. Further in the campaign, October polls and nonsensical rhetoric (how can you give preferential treatment to both the elites and the poor?)
  6. The juiciest of the many storm-in-the-bathtub scandals: Mata Hari in Budapest
  7. A foray into history (not much to do with recent Hungarian politics, but some further perspective for the debate on Turkey's accession to the EU).
  8. European Dream: where would Hungarians like to live?
  9. Hungarian Orange (no relation to the Ukrainian version): on a clever opposition poster campaign and its contrast with reality.
  10. On another poster campaign by the same party - how to outsource negative campaign, and how it can be made to backfire.
  11. Of Socialists and Presidents.
  12. On the Oscar-winning film director who was The Mephisto Behind Mephisto.
  13. The Inverted Example of Spinning Jobless Statistics: doing the exact opposite of what the Bushites did.
  14. Mephisto And Informants Update.
  15. Non-partisan corruption, meta-corruption.
  16. Another foray into history: March 15, 1848 revolution.

Display:
  • Candidates first need to collect signed recommendations from voters to run. In Szombathely, a city with two election districts, both candidates of anti-semitic MIÉP (which, fortunately, is below the 5% threshold) handed down recommendations that were 50% photocopies - and were rejected, one of them reported to police.

  • Small conservative party MDF declared that the rival candidates of large right-populist Fidesz tried to get 27 of their candidates to not present their collected recommendations, with threats, blackmail and bribes. It was also reported that Fidesz activists "collected" recommendations in MDF candidates' names. (It seems even the anti-Nader US Dems could learn some lessons here...)

  • Latest polls: Willingness to vote and those who can choose a party rose sharply. Socialists (MSzP) and small parties climbed slowly but significantly (in multiple polls). Still, it looks like a three-party parliament with a dead heat between Socialists + liberals vs. Fidesz -  with the latter getting more seats than MSzP because of the election system and the geographic distribution of their voters.



    (From March 2005 at top to now at bottom; red=MSzP, yellow=Fidesz, light-blue=SzDSz (liberals), dark-greenish-bluish=MDF)


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 08:02:35 AM EST
It was also reported that Fidesz activists "collected" recommendations in MDF candidates' names. (It seems even the anti-Nader US Dems could learn some lessons here...)
You rather mean Fidesz has learnt from the Dems' tactics to keep Nader out of the ballot in 2004.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 08:04:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sure, but they added to the repertoire...

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 08:19:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
BTW, I added your diary to the wiki. Hungary needs a spat with a neighbour, otherwise you'll never catch up with Russia.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 08:20:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Hungarian-Americans are predominantly Republican voters. So Bush commemorated March 15 yesterday. Only, he confused it with 1956...

THE PRESIDENT: Thank you all. Please be seated. Mr. Speaker, thank you for having me here in this beautiful Capitol to celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Hungarian Revolution.

And AP doesn't know any better:

WASHINGTON -- President Bush on Wednesday marked the 50th anniversary of the Hungarian uprising, the first significant move against Soviet dominance in central Europe.

You can't make this up....

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 08:26:17 AM EST
I guess on May 3rd I can look forward to Bush congratulating Poles on the twenty seventh anniversary of Solidarity ;)
by MarekNYC on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 04:03:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Oops, I meant twenty sixth of course
by MarekNYC on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 04:04:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
By the way, have you seen my March 15 front-page story?

It would be interesting if you could write more about Józef Zachariasz Bem. (Or if Agnes could.)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Mar 17th, 2006 at 05:06:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, it was very good. Unfortunately I don't have much to add on General Bem. Except that Polish officers turned up in leadership roles in revolutionary forces all over the place in Europe up through the Paris commune. They were among the rare revolutionaries with military experience courtesy of the uprisings against the Russians in 1830/1 and 1863/4.
by MarekNYC on Fri Mar 17th, 2006 at 12:36:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The "Security madness à la Hongroise" photo is a amazing and worth keeping! Especially when you realise there is a hidden security officer looking out with binocular over the shoulder of the lady on the left.
by Alexandra in WMass (alexandra_wmass[a|t]yahoo[d|o|t]fr) on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 10:28:58 PM EST


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