by Laurent GUERBY
Fri Jun 2nd, 2006 at 07:09:59 AM EST
3. Non not against Europe
Whether you want it or not, a small half (25 out of 55 in France) of the non vote was a soverienist non. The "we want a better Europe" "non" was, at 30%, a big minority of the pro-Europeans, and they chose to associate with the hard sovereignists to make their point, because they were losing the debate otherwise. Hell, at that time, most governments were of the right. Balkenende, Berlusconi, Aznar, Chirac, Barroso and Blair alongside. The European Council was pushing policies that reflected that majority across Europe. Instead of fighting this at the political level, the non chose the "atomic bomb" of the "non".
Yes, it's absolutely true that we have xeno/sovereign/extreme left about 15-30% total negative vote in France on European issues.
But, it has always been the case since we started (too rarely) voting on European issues whatever the proposal, there is absolutely nothing new in the latest referendum, it was 100% predictable and obviously predicted.
Now this means you have to achieve consensus amongst the remaining voters to make it to 50%. For Maastricht it was a big enough minority on the regular right side that allowed together with a majority of regular left for the yes to win. See here if you want a useful comparison .
The people writing the constitution knew the risk they took by alienating the founder left-meaning people by writing their "constitution", and they pushed it a bit too far.
And because xenophobe vote one of the two possible way that happens to be my vote, I'm by no mean "associated" to them, sorry. No wonder to me that the debate is quickly heating up if we allow such statements to be made.
So Jerome I'd pleased to know if you still stand by this one and why.
 Note the choice of possible answers for the reasons of the "no" of the IPSOS poll is a wonderful work of media manipulation.