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Probably Incredibly Unreadable Modelling Thread 3: Tariffs and capital controls

by JakeS Fri Oct 10th, 2008 at 12:30:19 PM EST

One of the key points of the version of popular economics that gets passed around as Conventional Wisdom is that constraining the movement of capital is equivalent to erecting tariffs.

Intuitively, this does not seem right: If capital is free to cross borders while workers are not, it can go to where labour is cheapest - meaning that all other things being equal, I should think that capital would get a larger share of the value added.

That goods are free to cross borders without tariffs, however, does not intuitively appear to permit capital to leverage differences in laws, degrees of worker organisation, etc. to its advantage.

My first problem is that I have a hard time constructing a convincing toy model of trade between countries. So how many different kinds of goods would I need in order to construct a convincing toy model, and how many countries would I need? My own guess is at least three countries and at least two different types of goods.

With only one kind of good, there would either be no trade, or at least one country would be in permanent current account deficits, which would be A Bad Thing for said country and encourage it to close its markets completely, giving us the no trade situation.

With only two countries, I think (but cannot prove) that the model would yield results that cannot be generalised to a scenario with more than two countries.

And the problem here is, of course, that the number of combinations that need to be analysed increase much faster than linearly with the number of goods and countries involved. So I'd like to keep things as simple as possible.

So how many goods and countries do I need?

- Jake


[editor's note, by Migeru] Renamed from Socratic Economics.

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God knows. I think there's only a couple of people on this site who even have a clue how to approach this wquestion.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Oct 13th, 2008 at 09:19:02 AM EST
I think this diary belongs not in the Socratic Economics series but in the Possibly Incredibly Unreadable Modelling Thread series. :-)

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 08:04:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Probably Incredibly Unreadable Modelling Thread series:
It's been two years, it was about time we had a third installment.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 08:08:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
How about n goods and m countries?

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 08:03:24 AM EST


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