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peak oil MIA in Brussels

by Jerome a Paris Fri May 30th, 2008 at 11:07:29 AM EST

Via a comment on Anders Piebalgs's blog by one Carolus Obscurus:

the term ‘peak oil’ seems to be DG TREN’s equivalent to the N-word in civilised society. It’s literally verboten, its use presumably creating grounds for disciplinary action. I’ve checked it out. At DGT [the Commission’s translation service – CO] we have access to the Commission’s entire translation corpus. This electronic database contains a vast range of documents emanating from all the Commission’s services as well as a huge volume of incoming mail from other EC institutions, national authorities, industry, private associations, and individual citizens.

Yet in DG TREN’s corner there is not one single document in which the term ‘peak oil’ occurs – not once, over the past 30 years, in texts dating back to 1977, the year I was recruited. As to the Commission as a whole, the taboo term crops up only twice in the entire text base – once in an open letter […] (2006) and once in draft report from the European Parliament (also 2006). And that’s it. There is no Commission document containing a term that may well encapsulate the defining moment of our century. Not even in an attempt to refute the theory. In contrast, ‘climate change’ scores over 12196 hits – giving us a ratio of 6000 to 1, although oil depletion may well have a more disastrous impact on our lives than global warming: misery today, rather than misery tomorrow. Even the term ‘Mickey Mouse’ mysteriously scores 57 hits –almost 30 times more than ‘peak oil’. ‘Donald Duck’, with 39 hits, still does 10 times better. Such are our priorities in Never-Never Land.”

This fits with what Monbiot noted recently about the UK government:

Our government must have known this, but it has refused to conduct its own analysis of global oil reserves. Uniquely among possible threats to the economy and national security, it has commissioned no research of any kind into this question. So earlier this year, I asked the Department for Business what contingency plans it possesses to meet the eventuality that the IEA's estimates could be wrong, and that global supplies of petroleum might peak in the near future. "The government," it replied, "does not feel the need to hold contingency plans."

Our governments are totally clueless - or in denial, or wilfully incompetent, your pick - about the most fundamental threat to our (non-negotiable) way of life. Sweet.


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heartily recommends euan mearns' summary of why oil prices are where they are today over at the Oil Drum.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 11:16:29 AM EST
I agree. Peak oil, water shortages, climate change & overpopulation will get us, one way or the other.
by Asinus Asinum Fricat (patric.juillet@gmail.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 11:18:28 AM EST
I think I'm going to add a [Crystal Ball of Doom Technology™] macro to the site for people making predictions of doom in a tone of certainty.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 11:26:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Feel free to edit the macro ((*doom)) to add a color that suits you to [Crystal Ball of Doom™ Technology]

This is not to be confused with ((*doomed)) which gives you [Europe.Is.Doomed™ Alert]

I'm wondering about making the macro take one argument so that, for instance, ((*doom Colman)) gives you [Colman's Crystal Ball of Doom™ Technology].

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 11:38:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Mig,

Aside from the thirteen items in the New User Guide is there a list of other resources, such as the one you just created.  I would be happy if I could just turn print bold, put it in italics, and change color.  A toolbar?

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 12:33:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
For bold an italics just use HTML tags: <b>bold</b> <i>italics</i>, and for color you can do <span style = "color:red">red</span>.
But you can also use * for bold as in *bold* and _ for italics as in _italics_

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 12:43:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks, Mig

Is there a compendium I could buy or find online?

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 01:19:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Here are all the elements you'll ever find on a web page. ET only support a subset of those. (it'll tell you if it is angry).

And the nice thing about html is, you can always look at the source to see how something is done : Ctrl+U in Firefox, for example.

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères

by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 03:56:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
From one of the software challenged, Thanks, Linca

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 06:30:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I heartily endorse the [Colman's Crystal Ball of DoomTM] macro.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 01:22:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
By the way, instead of Crystal Ball of Doom couldn't we just call it Palantir?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 04:44:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A jaundiced green would be perfect.
by Francois in Paris on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 07:10:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
[Francois in Paris's Crystal Ball of Doom™ Technology]

My first few choices of jaundiced green had too little contrast on a white background...

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat May 31st, 2008 at 04:36:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That one is perfect. As bilious as it can get :)
by Francois in Paris on Sat May 31st, 2008 at 07:02:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Only if we can have an [It Will Never Happen to MeTM Magic Denial Technology] macro to go with it.

It's not as if we actually are running out of food, oil, water and ecosphere. Or that we ran out of our last politicians of clue nearly half a century ago, so there are no plans to deal with anything much.

Apart from that - solid optimism. (And why not?)

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 01:42:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, we could add a [What the fuck makes you all knowing about the future] macro as well.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 01:47:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Probably best not to.

That one works both ways.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 02:18:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We Americans are really starting to feel the oil crisis. Everything is more expensive now and I'm barely making enough money to live off of, let alone save or invest. This Article I was reading called The U.S. Oil Supply -- A Look At Our Future Oil Needs is letting me know that I should probably act fast and find somewhere closer to work so I don't have to drive.
by paulgreyhunt (Paul Hunt) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 01:30:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And then hope that that job doesn't disappear and you have to move again,---when you find work.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 02:02:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
the term `peak oil' seems to be DG TREN's equivalent to the N-word in civilised society. It's literally verboten, its use presumably creating grounds for disciplinary action. I've checked it out.

Our government must have known this, but it has refused to conduct its own analysis of global oil reserves.

One formulation of Occam's Razor is: "The simplest theory that fits all available facts is the best."

What better theory is there to explain the above citations than that these governments and, of course, that of the US, effectively are thralls of those who control the petroleum industry?

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 12:29:24 PM EST
don't worry, they all know that if they do nothing then, we can all build nuclear power stations to run our cars as soon as it's all run out.

Politicians solve yesterday's problems, not tomorrow's.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 12:34:38 PM EST
The earth will submit to our demands for more oil. Don't you know anything?

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 02:09:21 PM EST
I'm afraid the populace takes the blame for the current mess. One of the flaws of democratic societies is that elected officials have to respond to the will of the majority.

If the majority votes to walk off a cliff, then over the nation goes. The west depends upon a capitalist/consumerist economic system and all efforts are aimed at fostering this. This ranges from education (where we teach students how to be good consumers) to advertising and mass media, subsidies for oligopolies (to make them more "efficient") and even colonial and neo-colonial foreign policies.

This has been going on ever since it was discovered early in the industrial revolution that textile factories could quickly produce more goods than actually needed. Thus was born all the psychological tricks to create demand - fashion, status, obsolescence, etc.

The kind of person that goes into government or business, and succeeds, is the kind who best understands this social system and can operate the levers of power to advantage.

Notice that autocracies never have achieved the standard of living of the democracies. With no public to answer to the leaders enrich themselves and let the rest of society languish.

In this latest second Gilded Age, any socialist or environmentalist concerns have been swept aside. The power of money has seeped into every corner of society, so that it is rare to find an academic or even clergyman of any note who questions the basic premises of capitalism.

I can't recall a single instance where a society sacrificed in anticipation of a disaster and used the saved resources to make the future better. Societies are reactive, not proactive. Could a better leader bring people forward and make them change their framework of belief? Perhaps.

You could claim that Gandhi managed to reform the Indian political regime with a minimum of violence (at least compared to other revolutions), but he didn't manage to reform the economic system - a much more difficult task.

Obviously people are hungry for an inspiring leader, hence the appeal of Obama, but I claim that the web of control which permeates modern society means that an individual can do little on his own. People want change, but they don't know of what sort and are unwilling to make any sacrifices of their own.

It is now the 50th anniversary of Pogo's saying:
"We have met the enemy and he is us."

He was talking about pollution, and even that hasn't gotten better. I see no peaceful nor painless paths.

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 04:15:42 PM EST
This is very good, can you make it a diary?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 04:43:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'll think about it, in the meantime:




Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 06:04:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Our governments are totally clueless - or in denial, or filfully incompetent, your pick

I'm not so sure about that. I know, from communications both private and public that peak oil is known at the highest possible political level in Sweden, even if the severity might not be fully appreciated.

Politicians are not ignorant. They are scared. Scared that resolve to act will throw them out of office.

And that's where we come in. We have to "spread awareness" (aargh I hate those pretenious words, but they do apply here). I figure this will be one of the main tasks of ASPO Sweden.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 06:48:33 PM EST
Starvid,

I'm afraid you grossly misunderestimate the phenomenal blockheadness of many politicians, all the more as you go towards to the top.

Not to say they are all idiots. You actually find a lot of smart and dedicated in the lower rungs. But the political rat race rewards the apparatchiks who have no other venue for social promotion and the smart and dedicated set just bug off to better careers outside of politics where they can have a life without having to deal with the blockheads.

by Francois in Paris on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 07:51:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I wonder what would a list of countries rated by Biggest Blockheads in Government come up like?  What might the criteria be?

"Thinks we need more prohibitions."

"Thinks the rich and the poor are not structurally related"

heh....I'd be interested to see any results.  Maybe start with the UN Security Council, then the U.N.--

"Thinks that global climate change is primarily an economic problem."

I can't resist.



Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.

by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Fri May 30th, 2008 at 10:01:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, sure. But I have actually talked about peak oil with a certain minister in the current government. He knows. Maybe because of his oil industry experience. The former soc dem PM mentions how he think how we have already peaked, in his recent memoirs.

Some people high up do know. But because of the workings of democracy they are constrained. They can't act against the will of the people without risking being thrown out. And also, for every peak oil guy telling them stuff, there is a Yergin telling the opposite.

Matt Simmons was an energy advisor to Bush. He has heard the stuff. But there are plenty of other advisors saying other stuff.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Sat May 31st, 2008 at 07:15:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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