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by afew Fri May 14th, 2010 at 10:27:25 AM EST
because it's Friday, and the countdown to the DFB Pokal nears completion, afew has graced us with an early thread. "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
And I went to check on this. Using the website of the KNMI, I estimate that during the past 13 days, we've had a mean deviation of the mean temperatures 3.9 degrees.
Yesterday was 6.5 degrees colder than May generally is. Today is not much better.
I'm sitting in the sun, and am cold. Bah.
wiki says it's May 11-13. Wind power
Eisheilige - Wikipedia
Mamertus - 11. Mai Pankratius - 12. Mai Servatius - 13. Mai Bonifatius - 14. Mai Sophie - 15. Mai Es handelt sich bei den genannten Heiligen um Bischöfe und Märtyrer aus dem 4. und 5. Jahrhundert.
Es handelt sich bei den genannten Heiligen um Bischöfe und Märtyrer aus dem 4. und 5. Jahrhundert.
I sure hope that after the 'cold sofie' it is getting warmer again - the average here as been around 7°-10° and cloudy and rainy.
The forecast solemnly promised today would be warm which, fleetingly, it was this morning. But then the wind got up and the cloud rolled over and we're back to march. Bah !!! keep to the Fen Causeway
sure would be very welcome...
glug, glug. 'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
the combo of fits of sun and starts of rain have created a juiciness in all the forest and pasture greenery that reminds me of hawaii.
struggling to learn Logic music software, not easy for a non-geek like moi...
good rainy day passatempo. 'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
In a week, everybody will be complaining about how hot it is...
/snark "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
the kool-aid tastes so sweet at first. "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
Late in 2008, early 2009, there was some very effective labor organizing in Guangdong, but firms have been closing factories there and moving further inland, or out to Vietnam. The latest trick to prevent labor organization in Southern China has been hiring ethnic minorities from the West, bringing them in to factories, and stirring up ethnic conflict to cast worker's eyes away from class issues. It's Rosa Luxembourg on the Pearl River. The explosion of ethnic violence against Uighurs that occurred in Shaoguang in Guangdong, and was reciprocated by them to Han victims in Xinjiang got its start on the shop floor. And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg
Without market share expansion, the Chinese are stuck with the rate of economic growth of the target market, and that's an unappealing thing to be stuck with at the moment. I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
The crisis came and the army advanced. Its battalions were thousands of dealing rooms, connected into a global network acting round the clock. Its targets were selected by the intelligence of three rating agencies. Its morale was sustained by an unwavering faith: that we, the market, are those who know best. What they did not understand was that, in our era, the dynamics of history consist precisely of the search - largely unguided, often painful but inexorable - for an optimal distribution of power along the scale of ever-wider human aggregations, which are tied by common interests more than by tribal identity. The optimality can be gauged with a simple criterion: the consistency between the span of government and the "common good" entrusted to it, be this a public garden in the city, the administration of justice in the state, or climate change on the planet. Seen in this light, the advent of the euro is just an episode - a most significant one - in the building of a post-Westphalian order.
What they did not understand was that, in our era, the dynamics of history consist precisely of the search - largely unguided, often painful but inexorable - for an optimal distribution of power along the scale of ever-wider human aggregations, which are tied by common interests more than by tribal identity. The optimality can be gauged with a simple criterion: the consistency between the span of government and the "common good" entrusted to it, be this a public garden in the city, the administration of justice in the state, or climate change on the planet. Seen in this light, the advent of the euro is just an episode - a most significant one - in the building of a post-Westphalian order.
An overwhelming majority of University of Puerto Rico Río Piedras campus students ratified in a general assembly Thursday the indefinite strike vote that has kept the state-run academic institution shut for 23 consecutive days. The assembly, which had been endorsed by UPR President José R. De la Torre, Río Piedras campus Chancellor Ana R. Guadalupe and Board of Trustees president Ygrí Rivera, was initially questioned by the striking students who considered it a "desperate attempt" by university administrators to coerce the students into lifting the strike without considering their demands. "They tried to ambush us. Today we went to their assembly, at a place of their choosing, in their own terms, and we won. This clearly demonstrates our strength," Student Negotiating Committee member Giovanni Roberto said. "They should negotiate. They should stop being so intransigent," added the student leader.
The assembly, which had been endorsed by UPR President José R. De la Torre, Río Piedras campus Chancellor Ana R. Guadalupe and Board of Trustees president Ygrí Rivera, was initially questioned by the striking students who considered it a "desperate attempt" by university administrators to coerce the students into lifting the strike without considering their demands.
"They tried to ambush us. Today we went to their assembly, at a place of their choosing, in their own terms, and we won. This clearly demonstrates our strength," Student Negotiating Committee member Giovanni Roberto said.
"They should negotiate. They should stop being so intransigent," added the student leader.
Those who in recent weeks have talked about the University of Puerto Rico since the absolute misinformation and especially to those who may think that the University of Puerto Rico is a burden for the country, I present the Rio Piedras Campus University of Puerto Rico, the University of the unspoken, the university where he studied and where I work 20 years ago.
Including a redesign of a site that hasn't even been launched yet. Which we discovered we had to do when the client emailed us a new logo they'd had designed ...
your client's father's brother's nephew's cousin's former roommate had a dream. Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
not She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
not
Very impressive pictures. Wind power
And apparently the methane gas freezes when it comes out of the pipe, so the oil doesn't have the buoyancy to get to the surface. The visible spill is therefore only a tiny fraction of what is really going on. Since deep water currents are slow (about 1/10 of surface current speed), it will take months before the full effect becomes visible. The west coast of Florida is probably in big trouble.
Too bad for the 10,000,000 British tourists that haunt Tampa.
A gameplan for getting to 100% renewables Switching to renweable power, as we frequently hear, is difficult. It's unreliable, expensive, requires complicated changes to infrastructure, regularly falls foul of nimby-ism, and somewhat ironically, environmental problems. At the same time, fossil fuels are not looking like being an easy option forever. Even if one overlooks climate change, other problems of pricing, supply, and geopolitics are increasingly apparent. And now PriceWaterhouseCoopers has come up with a sketch [PDF] of how Europe and North Africa could get 100 per cent of their electricity from renewable energy by 2050.
Switching to renweable power, as we frequently hear, is difficult. It's unreliable, expensive, requires complicated changes to infrastructure, regularly falls foul of nimby-ism, and somewhat ironically, environmental problems.
At the same time, fossil fuels are not looking like being an easy option forever. Even if one overlooks climate change, other problems of pricing, supply, and geopolitics are increasingly apparent.
And now PriceWaterhouseCoopers has come up with a sketch [PDF] of how Europe and North Africa could get 100 per cent of their electricity from renewable energy by 2050.
Three objectives currently underlie European energy policy --competitiveness, security, and decarbonisation. They form the starting point for our 2050 vision. An ambitious move to renewables would be a huge and dramatic way of fulfilling the goal of decarbonising the power sector. If we are to deliver competitiveness then all customers must be able to continue to access as much electricity, at affordable prices, as they need. Given constraints in the land area available in Europe for renewable energy, in order to ensure competitiveness, a vision of 100% renewablew will require Europe to import some of its renewable power from North Africa and, therefore, the development of substantial renewable supply from North Africa is a key part of our vision.... The current power systemes of Europe and North Africa are very different in most respects, mainly due to the large differences in economic development and the abundance of oil and gas in North Africa. European power consumption is 3300 TWh/a, whereas the five north African countries have a cumulatied power demand of 180 TWh/a, of which almost 100 TWh/a is consumed and produced in Egypt. North Africa, excluding Egypt, thus has a power consumption that is lower than the consumption in the Netherland alone...
The current power systemes of Europe and North Africa are very different in most respects, mainly due to the large differences in economic development and the abundance of oil and gas in North Africa. European power consumption is 3300 TWh/a, whereas the five north African countries have a cumulatied power demand of 180 TWh/a, of which almost 100 TWh/a is consumed and produced in Egypt. North Africa, excluding Egypt, thus has a power consumption that is lower than the consumption in the Netherland alone...
2010: total 3480 TWh/a EU-NA, of which 5% North Africa
In 2050, we envisage that the EU-NA power system will have a total electricity consumption of at least 5000 TWh/a, with approximately 25% of this demand in North Africa and the remainer in Europe. In total, only 60% (3000 TWh/a) of the system-wide electricity supply is produced in Europe, whereas 40% (2000 TWh/a) is produced in North Africa. Thus, a large fraction --20%-- of European electricity is produced in North Africa....
2050: total 1250 TWh/a consumption by North Africa, representing an 594% increase over the next forty years.
A pan-European, cross-Mediterranean SuperSmart Grid is the key enabling development for our vision of 100% renewable electricity generation in Europe and North Africa by 2050. The unification of the European and North African markets would require an overlay HVDC Super Grid, a strongly reinforced HVAC grid and the area-wide introduction of Smart technologies and Smart Grids. All bottlenecks at artificial obstacles, such as national or legislative borders, would need to be removed. In particular, the North African HVAC grids and interconnections would need to be expanded and all North African off-grid electrification schemes integrated into the synchronous EU-NA system (except UK and Ireland, which would still only be connected to the continent via the HDVC transmission grid).
Desertec. Resistance is futile. Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
The Serious Organised Crime Agency (SOCA) is a non-departmental public body of the United Kingdom government and a national law enforcement agency in the United Kingdom. A consequence of the Serious Organised Crime and Police Act 2005, SOCA formally came into being on 1 April 2006 following a merger of the National Crime Squad, the National Criminal Intelligence Service (elements of which were incorporated into AVCIS), the National Hi-Tech Crime Unit (NHTCU), the investigative and intelligence sections of HM Revenue & Customs on serious drug trafficking, and the Immigration Service's responsibilities for organised immigration crime. The Serious Fraud Office remains as a separate agency.
A consequence of the Serious Organised Crime and Police Act 2005, SOCA formally came into being on 1 April 2006 following a merger of the National Crime Squad, the National Criminal Intelligence Service (elements of which were incorporated into AVCIS), the National Hi-Tech Crime Unit (NHTCU), the investigative and intelligence sections of HM Revenue & Customs on serious drug trafficking, and the Immigration Service's responsibilities for organised immigration crime. The Serious Fraud Office remains as a separate agency.
FRANKFURT, May 14 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank camouflaged the evidence of its government bond buying activities on Friday, masking its actions and intentions from markets in a bid to maximise their potency. In its daily breakdown of market operations, the ECB scrambled the extent of its recent bond purchases by folding the total into its estimate of autonomous (special) factors that impact the euro zone banking system's liquidity needs. It put the combined figure at 339.63 billion euros. That compares to the 348.8 billion estimation of autonomous factors on Thursday, and comes out roughly 12 billion euros below the 352 billion euros the figure has averaged out at since the start of the year. "They have just made it impossible to actually say how much they have bought," said RBS economist Nick Matthews. "Some won't like the lack of transparency but it's actually a smart move. They are keeping an element of mystery to get the biggest bang for their buck, or rather euro."
It put the combined figure at 339.63 billion euros. That compares to the 348.8 billion estimation of autonomous factors on Thursday, and comes out roughly 12 billion euros below the 352 billion euros the figure has averaged out at since the start of the year.
"They have just made it impossible to actually say how much they have bought," said RBS economist Nick Matthews. "Some won't like the lack of transparency but it's actually a smart move. They are keeping an element of mystery to get the biggest bang for their buck, or rather euro."
From the ECB's monetary policy rules and procedures (pdf):
ANNOUNCEMENT OF BILATERAL OPERATIONS Bilateral operations are normally not announced publicly in advance. In addition, the ECB may decide not to announce the results of bilateral operations publicly.
Bilateral operations are normally not announced publicly in advance. In addition, the ECB may decide not to announce the results of bilateral operations publicly.
Dutch minister resigns after affair scandal | Radio Netherlands Worldwide
Caretaker Deputy Defence Minister Jack de Vries has resigned. He is leaving politics and will not contest the 9 June election. He was number 15 on the Christian Democrat list of candidates for the poll. However, his position has been compromised by recent news of an extra-marital affair with a female worker in his department. He says "continuing media interest" has put unreasonable pressure on those around him, explaining that the scandal has led to his no longer being able to do his job properly.
Caretaker Deputy Defence Minister Jack de Vries has resigned. He is leaving politics and will not contest the 9 June election.
He was number 15 on the Christian Democrat list of candidates for the poll. However, his position has been compromised by recent news of an extra-marital affair with a female worker in his department.
He says "continuing media interest" has put unreasonable pressure on those around him, explaining that the scandal has led to his no longer being able to do his job properly.
This morning I was hoping he'd stay a bit longer. For kicks and an extra dose of ridicule. Shame CDA, shame.
Why can't we just acknowledge that the markets have the attention span of a ferret on crack and just ignore them for the purpose of public policy? By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
(la Corbeille being the nickname of the Paris stock exchange) Wind power
I wish a few more politicians stopped thinking that the bankster's tail should wag the economic dog. keep to the Fen Causeway
They're mad as hell & they won't take it any more. She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.1% in the month of April over the previous month, which sets the year-over-year rate at 1.5%, 1 point higher than March, according to a report released today by the National Statistics Institute. In this manner, the year over year inflaction rate rose to its highest since November of 2008. The core inflation rate (excluding energy and food items) returned to negative rates (-0.1%) for the first time since August 1986, at which time it began to be calculated.
Translation mine And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg
Why can't we just acknowledge that the markets have the attention span of a ferret on crack and just ignore them for the purpose of public policy?
We should make one of these, but instead of a UFO, it would have a stock chart going up.
Below it would be that pithy Galbraith quote:
However, the time had come, as in all periods of speculation, when men sought not to be persuaded of the reality of things but to find excuses for escaping into the wide new world of fantasy.
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
- J.K. Galbraith, The Great Crash of 1929 Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
The debt crisis in Europe will not necessarily have a direct impact in Finland's public economy. According to some experts, the crisis may actually be of indirect benefit to the country. A weaker euro and low interest rates are expected to boost economic recovery.
There are downsides, but escalation of exports due to a weaker euro gives instant gratification on three sore issues: financial lubrication in the form of export insurance, guarantees etc, jobs retained or increased, and of course more taxes into the coffers, so fewer cuts in services and a stronger government. Not to mention the spending trickledown. Looks vin-vin to me. Celebrations all round. You can't be me, I'm taken
Reuters: Exclusive: Waddell is mystery trader in market plunge
A big mystery seller of futures contracts during the market meltdown last week was not a hedge fund or a high frequency trader as many have suspected, but money manager Waddell & Reed Financial Inc, according to a document obtained by Reuters. Waddell sold on May 6 a large order of e-mini contracts during a 20-minute span in which U.S. equities markets plunged, briefly wiping out nearly $1 trillion in market capital, the internal document from Chicago Mercantile Exchange parent CME Group Inc said. The e-minis are one of the most liquid futures contracts in the world, providing holders exposure to the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500 Index. The contracts can act as a directional indicator for the underlying stock index. Regulators and exchange officials quickly focused on Waddell's sale of 75,000 e-mini contracts, which the document said "superficially appeared to be anomalous activity." Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, said in congressional testimony on Tuesday that it had found one sale was responsible for about 9 percent of the volume in e-minis during the sell-off in the U.S. markets. Gensler said there was no suggestion that the trader, whom he did not identify, did anything wrong in only entering orders to sell. Gensler said data show that the trades appeared to be part of a bona fide hedging strategy.
Waddell sold on May 6 a large order of e-mini contracts during a 20-minute span in which U.S. equities markets plunged, briefly wiping out nearly $1 trillion in market capital, the internal document from Chicago Mercantile Exchange parent CME Group Inc said.
The e-minis are one of the most liquid futures contracts in the world, providing holders exposure to the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500 Index. The contracts can act as a directional indicator for the underlying stock index.
Regulators and exchange officials quickly focused on Waddell's sale of 75,000 e-mini contracts, which the document said "superficially appeared to be anomalous activity."
Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, said in congressional testimony on Tuesday that it had found one sale was responsible for about 9 percent of the volume in e-minis during the sell-off in the U.S. markets.
Gensler said there was no suggestion that the trader, whom he did not identify, did anything wrong in only entering orders to sell. Gensler said data show that the trades appeared to be part of a bona fide hedging strategy.
"a growing revulsion towards paper assets that would mark a sea-change in the world economy, and the beginning of the end for the dollar reserve currency."
I found interesting his recalling Greenspan's "Gold and Economic Freedom" 1966 essay. Here's Greenspan:
In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value. If there were, the government would have to make its holding illegal, as was done in the case of gold. If everyone decided, for example, to convert all his bank deposits to silver or copper or any other good, and thereafter declined to accept checks as payment for goods, bank deposits would lose their purchasing power and government-created bank credit would be worthless as a claim on goods. The financial policy of the welfare state requires that there be no way for the owners of wealth to protect themselves. This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold standard.
This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold standard.
Jesse concludes:
Given his Randian audience and the mood at the time, it is interesting that Greenspan defines the culprits in the scheme of fiat monetization as 'welfare statists.' How ironic, that over a period of time there is indeed a group of welfare statists behind the latest debasement of the currency, the US dollar, but the recipients of this welfare are the Banks and the financial elite, who through transfer payments, financial fraud, and federally sanctioned subsidies are systematically stripping the middle class of their wealth. Perhaps they decided that if you cannot beat them, beat them to the trough and take the best for themselves until the system collapses through their abuse.
It would seem the Randians, such as Greenspan, destroyed the dollar (and gunning for the euro) on purpose to 'prove' their point. Anointing Alan "fiat currency is a crock" Greenspan to the U.S. Fed, is like putting the Republican "government cannot work" Party in charge of the U.S. government -- self fulfilling prophecies.
He seems to reject Greenspan while pimping many of the same ideas that lead people to Greenspan's persuasion.
I may be reading him wrong, granted, so feel free to correct me. It just sounds a lot like the crazy libertarian "Buy gold, ammo and canned food!" thing.
Particularly among traders, there's an unhealthy obsession with gold and a lack of understanding of money. I think reports of the death of fiat currencies -- including the dollar and euro -- are greatly exaggerated. They surface whenever the economy is in crisis. Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
There are good practical reasons why buying physical gold is stupid. Just like having a public vegetable garden is stupid - if TSHTF, it makes you target number one.
So - ironically - gold is only valuable as long TSDHTF and civilisation continues to function.
But it's really not a bad investment during a cyclic meltdown.
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