Part of the problem is well known. Far fewer Gen Xers and, especially, Millennials have land line phones and are thus hard to poll. This probably will require that some foundation fund an effort to actually survey those groups with a combination of knocking on doors and random interviews of the age group on the street. If a cell phone user gives a polling company their phone number, then the company could call them when doing surveys or set up a message based interview scheme. But there HAS to be a population large enough to enable the polling company to accurately determine what is a representative sample and not always be calling the same people - unless that is the point in a particular poll.

Bigger problem are finding and determining the propensity to vote in specific situations of large populations not as visible as the Gen-X and Millennial populations with cell phones. And then there is the problem of wealthy partisans funding such an effort with a view to manipulate the electorate to their ends and with no intent to even acknowledge that such information exists - which it may or may not presently.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

I agree Sanders has a chance. I use Who's On Track For The Nomination? | FiveThirtyEight to make sense of the results. Since delegates are proportionally distributed (as long as candidates meet the 15% limit), who wins the state matters for newspaper headlines but not so much for candidates.

Anyway, status right now:

Clinton 113% of target
Sanders 86% of target

A week ago it was 116% vs 83%.

Can't remember where I saw it but they said that, post-Michigan, if he can carry Ohio and Illinois, then he has a chance. Otherwise all he's done is delay the inevitable

keep to the Fen Causeway

New York Times/CBS Poll: 74% of Republicans Don't Support Cruz, 80% Don't Support Kasich...

The universe is wonderfully conspiring for Trump.

The Democrat Establishment Plan for a Three-Front Anti-Trump, Republican-Splitting, Anti-Left Campaign

(1) The Democrats (and the Clintons) don't want to give Sanders a thing. They don't want him personally to be part of the campaign, and they are willing to write off his supporters, in classic Democrat "they have no place to go" fashion [...]

(2) The Democrats (and the Clintons) would rather appeal to "moderate Republicans" than Sanders voters. This is sensible realpolitik if the number of moderate Republicans who would vote for Clinton is larger than the number of Sanders supporters who would sit this one out or vote Green [...]

Bernie Sanders Just Received A Wall St Endorsement That Has The Industry Stunned

Greed is good," those are the three words which most people remember from the iconic 1987  movie titled Wall Street, which featured a character named Gordon Gekko played by Michael Douglas. The Gekko character was based on a few different people, but one of the main inspirations was an infamous corporate raider named Asher Edelman. Recently Edelman shocked a business show panel with his endorsement of the Democratic presidential candidate and avowed "Democratic Socialist" Bernie Sanders [...]

Edelman began his career as a corporate raider in 1961. In 1988, he taught a course called "Corporate Raiding - The Art of War" at Columbia Business School, using Sun Tzu's The Art of War as his textbook.  Edelman was considered Wall Street royalty in many financial circles.

Aloha! Delegate deficit drops by 68 to 226. Bernie wins by 47% in WA, 41% in HI, and 63% in AK.

Looking forward, Bernie needs 987 delegates out of 1747 (56.5%) remaining to hit the 2,026 majority of 4051 total pledged delegates. That is down from 59% after Super Tuesday. The 538 demographic model suggests he would receive 51.3% (896) of delegates remaining if the race was tied. We need to bump that up by 5%.

538's model has not been so reliable, it has held races to close to the national average, compared to actual results where both Sanders and Clinton has overperformed in their strong areas.

Dysfunctional Democracy: Then and Now, Left and Right

People of my vintage and my political persuasion tended to see Tricky Dick Nixon as the exemplar of crooked and shady politics, but Lyndon Johnson could have given Nixon a run for his money in the corruption, voter fraud, double dealing, and dirty tricks departments [...]

What Johnson did in Texas in 1948 was extravagantly, blatantly, and egregiously fraudulent. He stole an election, buying huge numbers of votes in Mexican-American and black districts that turned in pluralities in Johnson's favor that ran as high as 100 to 1, and where turn out was virtually 100% [...] Corrupt judges tampered with votes, and there were other irregularities sufficient to allow Johnson to overcome a huge gap in voter support, and to ultimately steal the election. That wholly corrupted outcome had a ripple effect of consequences, some good, some not so good. Had Johnson lost that election - as he should have - he would never have become Vice President, and Kennedy may never have made that fatal trip to Dallas on November 22, 1963. We might also never have had a Civil Rights Act of 1964, but we may have avoided the depth of our disastrous entanglement in Vietnam. Way leads on to way, as the poet said, and sometimes the ways are crooked, perilous, and riddled with consequences not intended nor even remotely imaginable.

When it comes to attempts to subvert the will of the people, Republicans have long been intent on proving that what Democrats like Daley and Johnson could do, they could do better. The got themselves a George W. Bush-engineered Supreme Court that could gut the voting rights act, freeing up lots of people like Helen Purcell, and Republican-controlled state legislatures to target demographic slices of voters and then make it harder and harder for those people to vote, especially minority groups and younger voters, and even more especially in college districts.

I found this interesting.

First:

Bernie Sanders Rocks the Bronx | | Observer

Ms. Clinton is still the top dog, carrying the endorsements of just about every elected official in New York State

And then at the end:

Bernie Sanders Rocks the Bronx | | Observer

The lone Bronx elected official supporting Mr. Sanders, Assemblyman Luis Sepulveda, said at the rally tonight that the Democratic machine had pressured him into endorsing the more moderate Ms. Clinton--and he had to say no, citing the devastation of the Iraq War. Bronx Councilman Ritchie Torres, who is officially neutral in the primary, also attended the rally.

"Bernie is a man of integrity," Mr. Sepulveda said. "Bernie is a man who's gonna lead this revolution."

Arizona Secretary of State Confirms Election Fraud Happened in State Primary  Amanda Girard  usuncut.com

March 22. During yesterday's testimony at the Arizona state capitol in Phoenix, Secretary of State Michele Reagan was asked what her office was doing to investigate the claims that registration for thousands of voters had been changed from Democrat or Republican to independent. As US Uncut previously reported, thousands of voters were given provisional ballots, which aren't actually counted, due to their party registration mysteriously showing up in the system as "independent" or "no party declared."

Reagan answered "yes" when asked if she knew for certain voter registration had been changed prior to the primary election, then followed up by saying:

    "This was something that I know happens, and I know it happened to people in this room. It's not hearsay. It happened to someone in my own office. One of my employees was registered as a particular party, went to go vote, and I don't want to divulge his personal details, but it happened to him."

While Reagan didn't give confirmation that the voter database was hacked, as Anonymous has suggested, she did say the elections division was cross-checking all of the voters who cast provisional ballots and seeing how many had been registered as one party or another prior to the March 22 primary.

I find it hard to believe that a Republican did this. But it appears that Hillary's Arizona victory was due in some part to electoral fraud by someone.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

Hillary Clinton's Support Among Nonwhite Voters Has Collapsed   Seth Abramson   HuPo

On February 27th, Hillary Clinton led Bernie Sanders among African-American voters by 52 points. By March 26th, she led Sanders among African-Americans by just nine points. And today, Public Policy Polling, a widely respected polling organization, released a poll showing that Sanders leads Clinton among African-American voters in Wisconsin by 11 points.

Clinton's 48-point lead in New York less than two weeks ago is now just a 12-point lead, according to the latest Quinnipiac Poll. That poll shows Sanders with approximately 300 percent more support among African-American voters in New York than he had in Mississippi earlier this month.

To understand the significance of what is happening we have to look at the trajectory of the various polls and other data points in time.

Meanwhile, in the only poll taken in Indiana, Sanders is said to be beating Clinton handily. Sanders is leading by 8 points in West Virginia. And the only polling done so far in Kentucky -- among nearly 1,000 students at the University of Kentucky -- has Sanders up on Clinton there by more than 70 points.
But what the latest Reuters polling underscores is that even Clinton's support in the South has collapsed.

....

In Illinois, Sanders won Latino voters 50 percent to 49 percent and lost African-American voters by a percentage (-40) midway between his recent, improved performance in Wisconsin and his March 1st performance in the Deep South (-73.5 average). These numbers were born out also in Missouri, where Sanders lost African-American voters by 35 points and nonwhite voters by 23 points. These data aren't surprising or disheartening for Sanders or his supporters -- indeed, the figures, taken together, are almost algebraic -- given that Sanders lost African-American voters by 73.5 points on March 1st, 40 points on March 15th, and was ahead in Wisconsin among this group by 11 points by March 31st.

In other words, nonwhite voting offers the media a clear and unambiguous narrative about Sanders -- an unmissable trajectory -- if only they're willing to see it. And the same dramatic trajectory -- albeit in the opposite direction -- is evident for Clinton.

It would seem that the billionaires who own the MSM really don't like Sanders.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

Sanders wins most delegates at Clark County convention - Las Vegas Sun News

Nearly 9,000 delegates were elected on caucus day in late February, but only 3,825 showed up to Saturday's convention. An additional 915 elected alternates and 604 unelected alternates also turned out to support their favored candidate.

The final delegate count was 2,964 for Sanders and 2,386 for Clinton. That means the Sanders campaign will send 1,613 delegates to the state convention, while the Clinton campaign will send 1,298.

Judging from discussion on DailyKos both campaigns are accused of trying to disinform the delegates.

Hillary Clinton plan: Defeat Bernie Sanders, then unify party - CNNPolitics.com

As Sanders took a victory lap following a 14-point triumph in Wisconsin, Clinton took fresh aim at the Vermont senator as part of a three-part strategy before the New York primary on April 19: Disqualify him, defeat him, and unify the party later.

"Some of his ideas just won't work because the numbers don't add up," Clinton told a labor union audience Wednesday in Philadelphia. "In a number of important areas, he doesn't have a plan at all."

It's the latest chapter in Clinton's approach to Sanders. She's tried ignoring him, brushing him aside, gently dismissing his policies. The Clinton campaign has refrained from going nuclear on Sanders, aides say, in large part to keep at least some good will alive in hopes of unifying the party at the end of the primary fight.

No more, a top adviser told CNN. The fight is on. Extending an olive branch to Sanders' supporters "will come later," an adviser said.It's a new moment in this Democratic primary fight, with the Clinton campaign poised to dramatically escalate its criticism of Sanders in the coming days.

For someone who supposedly already won, she sure is taking chances with losing support in the general election.