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Trust In Government Big Loser By Disinformation

by Oui Mon Nov 4th, 2019 at 07:44:15 PM EST

Creating chaos in the world is a planner's delight to mould civilization in one's image. What we have seen and experienced during the last four decades, the expansion of capitalism to solve the ills of our world. The designers of this policy have flunked in my perception how the world has changed.

The fact that Western Democracy needs Disinformation to fight "evil" of adversaries we ourselves have fostered, is the ultimate proof of failure.

The armed forces investigate the use of disinformation | Time24 |

More below the fold ...

    What's the news?

  • The armed forces investigate whether soldiers should spread disinformation and propaganda. This would allow the Netherlands to better defend itself against hostile fake news campaigns and also influence the course of the battle in a mission area such as Afghanistan.

  • The Counter Hybrid Unit was established in 2017 to better arm the Netherlands against so-called hybrid threats, whereby "the enemy, for example, influences political processes and spreads fake news."

  • To fight fake news, according to Lieutenant Colonel Gwenda Nielen of the Counter Hybrid Unit, soldiers are talking to intelligence services such as the MIVD about actions that are not allowed yet.

A long read in Dutch paper NRC - quite revealing how The Netherlands the intrusion into privacy of its citizens emulated from the AngloSaxon leading nations the US and UK. To fight on foreign soil, disinformation has been militarized and is part of a large budget to expand power. Europe still has a choice to make war or make peace as the founding fathers of the EU envisioned: The Four Freedoms.

Meddling in foreign affairs

One has to take into account the tools at hand in a specific decade. In the 1980s under Thatcher and Reagan, the face of the world began to shift. Nations were to some extent sovereign, diplomats carried the burden of conversation, policy and economic affairs. During the Cold War it became usance to establish covert intelligence - spies - in the embassies and nations became embattled with one another. The book 1984 was not as much as a prophecy as it was a vision of what had already started.

Listening posts were quite primitive, as were phone taps and with further automation, the IBM computers became a tool of government to steal economic and diplomatic data. With the launch of satellites it became so much easier to cover earth for the purpose of espionage. As the amount of data surged, so did the agencies to decipher, translate and act on information. The AngloSaxon intelligence empire of surveillance was established with the Five Eyes with GCHQ and NSA. The Israeli Mossad and Unit 8200 soon was accepted as a leading ally. The spread of Eves Dropping became a profitable cause as we have seen across the globe in authoritarian states. Israel and Western nations were the suppliers of state-of-the-art equipment and software. See my recent diary - American Cyber Security Comboys.

In the 1990s, the era of globalization and the role of multinationals came to the forefront. The role of western "values" became part of a mission to expand into other continents the riches of capitalism and the fortunes of democracy. In the home nations, economies had to adapt from manufacturing to a role in high tech and services. Jobs moved quickly abroad to "low-income" states.

Often I search the archives here @EuroTrib to read what has been diaried in the past. This time it was a reference to James Petras.

A perspective still worthwhile to read ...

A World Transforming -- from Nation States to ...? by Ren on Aprl 18, 2007

A trend which I have been looking at since I first got interested is the increasing freedom transnational corporations have been gaining to negotiate and effect nation state policies.  I'm not sure if this is included in that stated formula in point 42 of sovereignty or if it's an issue that essentially transcends the EU focused discussion, one that all states as a whole face in a globalizing environment.

I see some major macro issues that the globalization trend is facing, and I have read others here -- Helen, for one, in her diary brings this up -- and those issues indicate a need for nation state entities to find solutions for the upcoming challenges of accumulations of global eco-destruction, global warming, and declining cheap fossil fuels that so far fuel the globalizing economy.  Subsets of that will be dealing with other large states, the US -- at least for now, though its hegemonic decline seems possible thanks to the acceleration of certain national factors that once gave it preeminence -- and what the US policies continue to do to effect the regions of significant resources, like the Middle East, where other emergent nations like China and India will be looking if they want to increase their economic standing in and share in the larger global economic system.

All of this to me is part of a larger neoliberal process that has a history that spans the beginning of European colonial expansion in the 1400s through a period of the colonies transforming to the composition of nation states the world is now.

Ren linked to an article from The Independent ...

So, what has Europe ever done for us? Apart from...

Published: 21 March 2007

1. The end of war between European nations

While rows between England, France and Germany have been a feature of EU summits, war between Europe's major powers is now unthinkable. The fact that the two world wars that shaped the last century now seem so remote is, in itself, tribute to a visionary project that has permanently changed the landscape. As the EU celebrates the 50th anniversary of the signing of the Treaty of Rome it is clear that while the detailed topography will always be difficult to agree, it is an extraordinary achievement that we are standing on common ground.

2. Democracy is flourishing in 27 countries

Spain, Portugal, Greece, and the EU's 10 ex-Communist countries are parliamentary democracies. None of these nations were truly free in the decades following the Second World War. Each is now a democracy anchored within the EU and is unlikely to change course.

[Read on ...]

A comment to his diary ...

Globalization, US Intervention, and Hegemony

While I left the conclusion open, I was not thinking "empire" as a specific answer, though I acknowledge it is worthy of consideration. I would see empire as transitional as well. After all, the colonialization process was part of nation state initiated empire building that occurred within generally the same structural parameters, with the client areas defined by given states and charted and controlled by them.  For example, the original Thirteen Colonies of the US that "rebelled" were essentially chartered corporations of the British Crown (reference).  

In terms of globalization, many argue that the world is globalizing.  I'd argue it has been globalized for some time.  In the scenario I'm envisioning, that was achieved primarily through the colonization process, in which colonies transformed to client states, and from that a kind of globalized hierarchy of developed and underdeveloped nation states emerged, with varying forms of governance. All of that remains in flux.


While my primary interest in what I've brought up in the diary is the changing roles of transnational corporations and the NGOs who are taking on some of the traditional roles of nation states in international diplomatic negotiations, if I were to use "empire" as a descriptor now for the macro globalized world, I would present it more along the lines of a multi nation state polyarchic world governance system. Polyarchic in the following sense (from a review of Promoting Polyarchy: Globalization, US Intervention, and Hegemony (Cambridge Studies in International Relations):

Dr. James Petras offered this structural arrangement which makes sense to me (from: Understanding Empire: Hierarchy, Networks and Clients):

Hierarchy of Empire

The structure of power of the world imperial system can best be understood through a classification of countries according to their political, economic, diplomatic and military organization. The following is a schema of this system:

I. Hierarchy of Empire (from top to bottom)
A. Central Imperial States (CIS)
B. Newly Emerging Imperial Powers (NEIP)
C. Semi-autonomous Client Regimes (SACR)
D. Client Collaborator Regimes (CCR)

II. Independent States:
A. Revolutionary
Cuba and Venezuela
B. Nationalist
Sudan, Iran, Zimbabwe, North Korea

III. Contested Terrain and Regimes in Transition
Armed resistance, elected regimes, social movements

At the top of the imperial system are those imperial states whose power is projected on a world scale, whose ruling classes dominate investment and financial markets and who penetrate the economies of the rest of the world.  At the apex of the imperial system stand the US, the European Union (itself highly stratified) and Japan.  Led by the US they have established networks of `follower imperial states' (largely regional hegemons) and client or vassal states which frequently act as surrogate military forces.  Imperial states act in concert to break down barriers to penetration and takeovers, while at the same time, competing to gain advantages for their own state and multinational interests.

What a bullsh***er written in policy Dutch Armed Forces, a single line to "protect" the Kingdom ...

2018 Defence White Paper - Investing in  our people, capabilities  and visibility

    Modernisation and strengthening of the Russian armed forces.
    Increasing military activity and hybrid threat.

Related reading ...

Counter-Hybrid Warfare: Winning in the Gray Zone

Different sources, varying conclusions ...

BuzzFeed: An Intelligence Report Will Say UK Spy Agencies Found No Evidence Of Russian State Interference In The Outcome Of The Brexit Referendum

Dodgy Dossier author Christopher Steele gave evidence to UK intrusion inquiry | The Guardian |
PM accused of cover-up over report on Russian meddling in UK politics | The Guardian |
Boris Johnson 'too busy with Brexit' to read secret report on Russian interference in UK politics, Tory minister claims | The Independent |

More interference from UK troll factory linked to Downing Street 10 ...

Ex-Johnson aide behind banned Facebook ad worked on fake grassroots campaign | The Guardian |

Related reading ...

Foreign Policy: Boris Ally Lynton Crosby and CTF

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Nov 5th, 2019 at 08:07:15 PM EST
Ex-Johnson aide behind banned Facebook ad worked on fake grassroots campaign | The Guardian |

The former Boris Johnson aide who was behind a Facebook ad that broke the social network's funding disclosure rules previously worked on a fake grassroots campaign pushing for a no-deal Brexit, the Guardian can reveal.

Alex Crowley, who left No 10 in September, oversaw the previous "Mainstream Network" Facebook campaign alongside employees of the lobbying firm run by Sir Lynton Crosby, the Australian political strategist who helped run three Conservative general election campaigns.

His new ad claimed that Labour's tax plans would cost "an extra £214 each month" for everyone, and was posted under the name "Fair Tax Campaign". But despite using clear political language, including the name of a political party, Facebook only became aware of the advert and removed it after being contacted by the BBC.

Foreign Policy: Boris Ally Lynton Crosby and CTF
Netanyahu's Weaponization of Facebook in Israeli Election Offers Roadmap for Trump 2020 | Tikun Olam |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Nov 7th, 2019 at 08:56:15 AM EST
blimey, I allegedly made a good point in 2007. My time here has not been entirely wasted

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Nov 7th, 2019 at 05:38:32 PM EST
You must be due another one soon, surely? :-)
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 7th, 2019 at 05:54:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe, but I'm gonna bask in the glow of my present achievements for a little while

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Nov 7th, 2019 at 07:53:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Nov 11th, 2019 at 01:50:31 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Nov 11th, 2019 at 02:00:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Did Russia kill White Helmets founder James Le Mesurier?
The ultimate point is this: Absent evidence established to the contrary, Russia should be regarded as a primary suspect in Le Mesurier's death.

by das monde on Wed Nov 13th, 2019 at 09:24:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
From the same article:

Last week, the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs attacked Le Mesurier on Twitter, accusing him of being a British intelligence officer and a terrorist.

Remember when Russia tweeted out their intention to take Crimea?

If anything, such tweets should be seen as an counterindication.

Throwing people from fatal heights is effective and has the pretense of being accidental. Second, befitting their broader assassination philosophy, the Russian intelligence services revel in using window-fall assassinations in a target's home or place of frequency as a calling card.

Isn't defenstration a Czech tradition? The plot thickens... (not really, though)

Russian intelligence retains a significant presence on Turkish soil. In part this is because Turkey is a nominal NATO ally, in part it's because Istanbul is a major global intelligence playground.

Replace "Russian" with any significant power and this remains true.

This is a literal conspiracy theory with no evidence at all. Of course, it is rarely needed as long as the official enemy is attacked.

by fjallstrom on Wed Nov 13th, 2019 at 12:34:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Does Turkey know more than they let us in on?

Turkey starts returning IS fighters

Body of UK mercenary Le Mesurier to be flown from Istanbul to London

James Le Mesurier: from UK mercenary to "humanitarian" | MintPress - 2017 |

Though mainstream narratives have suggested that the White Helmets were trained by the Red Cross, the White Helmets were actually founded in March 2013 by Le Mesurier. He, like many officers in the British military, attended the Royal Military Academy, where he graduated at the top of his class, receiving the Queen's Medal.

He later served in the British Army and operated in a variety of theaters. Most notably, Le Mesurier served as intelligence coordinator for Pristina City in Kosovo soon after the NATO intervention that led to NATO being accused of war crimes for its targeting of thousands of civilians and media.

    Le Mesurier left the British Army in 2000 and joined the UN serving as deputy head of the Advisory Unit on 'Security and Justice', and Special Representative of the Secretary General's security policy body within the UN mission in Kosovo. His career then took him to Jerusalem where he worked on implementing the Ramallah Agreement, then to Baghdad as a special advisor to Iraqi Minister of Interior, and to the UAE to train their gas field protection force, and later to Lebanon during the 2006 war. In 2005 he was made Vice President for Special Projects at private mercenary firm Olive Group, and in January 2008 he was appointed as Principal for Good Harbour International, both based in the Emirates. [Olive Group has been acquired by Constellis - Oui]
    [Source: 21st Century Wire - Vanessa Beeley]

Iraq Britain Business Council (IBBC) (Security role Olive Group and Constellis)

Dutch review of the monitoring systems in Syria: AJACS, White Helmets and NLA

Related reading ...

Constellis appoints exec Tim Reardon to be its new CEO, replacing DeYonker (former Blackwater)
Military Contractors and the Hidden Flow of Bipartisan Blood Money
Michael Mulroy - CIA - Special Operations Center - Tertia Optio Assassinations CIA - White Helmets

Article published in The National (UAE) in December 2010 has vanished in last few days ...

James Le Mesurier is an expert in strategic urban security at Good Harbor Consulting based in Abu Dhabi [webcache]

Good Harbor Partners | Richard A. Clarke | Roger W. Cressey |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Nov 13th, 2019 at 08:10:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Turkey slaps travel ban on ex-MI6 officer's wife | Anadolu Agency |

    Turkish authorities have slapped a travel ban on the wife of a former British intelligence officer who was found dead in Istanbul, judicial sources said Thursday.

    Swedish citizen Emma Hedvig Christina Winberg, 39, has testified twice in the case saying her husband told her he wanted to commit suicide 15 days before his death. He was getting treatment for a stress disorder, she said.

    The mystery surrounding James Gustaf Edward Le Mesurier's death continues as police suspect it was a suicide.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Nov 14th, 2019 at 11:34:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Nov 11th, 2019 at 02:07:15 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Nov 11th, 2019 at 02:31:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
FBI wanted Ali Hamad a Alzabarah - Criminal Complaint.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Nov 11th, 2019 at 02:32:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Nov 11th, 2019 at 02:12:41 PM EST
OpenAI GPT-2: An Almost Too Good Text Generator

OpenAI's 'dangerous' AI text generator is out: People find GPT-2's words 'convincing'| ZDNet |

Among the malicious purposes for which OpenAI admitted GPT-2 might be used are generating misleading news articles, impersonating others online, automating the production of abusive or fake content for social media, and automating the creation of spam and phishing content.

The model was the leading text-generating AI until Google researchers developed BERT or Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers, which it's using to predict what people are searching for.  

According to OpenAI, humans find output from the 1.5-billion parameter GPT-2 model "convincing", but only marginally more so than the 774-million model it released in August. Cornell University surveyed people to see how credible humans found the output.

"These results make us more inclined to release the 1.5-billion model, as the incremental increase in human-perceived credibility relative to 774 million seems low," OpenAI noted.

However, OpenAI says GPT-2 can be "fine-tuned" for misuse. The Middlebury Institute of International Studies' Center on Terrorism, Extremism, and Counterterrorism (CTEC) reckons GPT-2 can be tweaked to generate synthetic propaganda to support white supremacy, Marxism, jihadist Islamism, and anarchism.

OpenAI's GPT-2: A Simple Guide to Build the World's Most Advanced Text Generator in Python

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Nov 12th, 2019 at 09:15:42 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Nov 12th, 2019 at 10:03:36 AM EST
History as a giant data set: how analysing the past could help save the future
Goldstone recognised that the different components of a society - state, elites, masses - would respond differently to strain, but that they would also interact. In other words, he was dealing with a complex system whose behaviour was best captured mathematically. His model of why revolutions occur consists of a set of equations, but a crude verbal description goes something like this: as the population grows there comes a point where it outstrips the ability of the land to support it. The standard of living of the masses falls, increasing their potential for violent mobilisation. The state tries to counteract this - for example, by capping rents - but such measures alienate the elite whose financial interests they hurt. Since the elite has also been expanding, and competing ever more fiercely for a finite pool of high-status jobs and trappings, the class as a whole is less willing to accept further losses. So the state must tap its own coffers to quell the masses, driving up national debt. The more indebted it becomes, the less flexibility it has to respond to further strains. Eventually, marginalised members of the elite side with the masses against the state, violence breaks out and the government is too weak to contain it.
Educated, middle class progressives are invariably the last to notice that the society is swimming in a Malthusian-Darwinian phase. There can always be yet more institutional care, stimulation and justice, right?
by das monde on Wed Nov 13th, 2019 at 08:39:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Dude runs straight into the Law of Medium Numbers:

For medium number systems, we can expect that large fluctuations, irregularities, and discrepancy with any theory will occur more or less regularly.

Medium number systems are those smaller than infinity and greater than systems reducible to one independent and one dependent variable.  

Medium Number systems are inherently unpredictable.

See:  Weinberg, Gerald M. An introduction to general systems thinking. Vol. 304. New York: Wiley, 1975.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Wed Nov 13th, 2019 at 06:01:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
At what sample size does analyzed past guarantee future conditions?

Organisms have to learn and decide their behaviour and strategies based on very Medium Numbers. Does that mean they have large freedom for fictitious presumptions? Surviving organisms may have to take Pascal's Wagger more seriously than Ockham's razour.

by das monde on Thu Nov 14th, 2019 at 11:51:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Organisms don't use mathematics, for the very reasons I outlined. Each organism continually constructs its Umwelt* using its genotypic heritage as modified by its particular phenotype plus learned experience plus memory of specific conditions of its ecological niche within its environment and communicating genotypically defined Information** to other members of its species and other species capable of 'listening in.'

  •   the world as it is experienced, at a specific instance, by a particular organism

  • using Bateson's definition: a difference that makes a difference

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Thu Nov 14th, 2019 at 05:57:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Is human Umwelt determined mathematically rather than genetically? What will make more differences: IPCC or tribal prejudices?
by das monde on Thu Nov 14th, 2019 at 07:05:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Fri Nov 15th, 2019 at 03:48:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I hope Macron's remarks do not lead to repair work in NATO HQ.

In the 1990s NATO was a walking dead man ... was saved by Article 5 plea from the USA after 9/11 ... fighting a full blown war and never ending "War on Terror" ... NATO regrouped to become proxy to fight wars for American capitalism and expansion [into Eastern Europe] ... creating adversaries to increase weaponry and spending ... not heeding Eisenhower's Cold War warning of the military establishment. Time to rethink priorities to save the planet ... not increasing capacity to destroy our planet. Fortunately nr. 1 world power USA is exposing itself by electing a mad man as president ... the planet on precipice of destruction .. time to rethink European defense and Europe's interest. 😖🍀😄

Policy after the 9/11 attacks on America, reaping deaths thereafter ...

Related reading ...

British Spooks Exploiting Populist Insurgency for Anti-Russia Campaign
Crime in Progress: The Secret History of the Trump-Russia Investigation [By the founders of Fusion GPS]
Dutch Gov't Admits Support for Salafist Jihadists in Syria
NATO has become the center of the global coalition of the willing

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Nov 22nd, 2019 at 06:10:02 PM EST
A mobster at large ... daughter fell into false historian content ...

Ivanka defends father with fake impeachment quote

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat Nov 23rd, 2019 at 09:26:50 PM EST
I love this spat ... WTFI Grenell?

Huawei Affair: German Insult on Spying Insults US

It's about time the toxic campaign of misinformation, lies and propaganda is countered.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Nov 26th, 2019 at 08:21:31 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Nov 26th, 2019 at 10:14:28 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Nov 27th, 2019 at 06:12:48 PM EST

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