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October Surprises 2020 Edition

by Bernard Fri Oct 2nd, 2020 at 05:10:21 PM EST

I read the news today, oh boy ...

I now give a 1 in 100 chance of a comprehensive FTA between the EU and UK to come into force next January. Perhaps a 20 in 100 chance of such an agreement ever being reached.

Most likely outcomes are either no trade agreement or a lightweight accord of very limited scope.

RTÉ | Brexit talks: Optimism falters ahead of the tunnel

Diplomats are adamant, however, that it will be made crystal clear to London that entering the famous tunnel and concluding an agreement are entirely contingent on the withdrawal of clauses 42-45 of the Bill.


By Friday evening, when Michel Barnier briefed member state officials, it was clear there had been no big breakthrough and the tunnel was still some way off.


Ahead of her phone call today with Boris Johnson, Ursula von der Leyen reportedly told EU leaders that the level-playing field remained a fundamental problem, and that a no deal might even be better than a lopsided deal, with half-baked state aid and level-playing field provisions.

The clock is now truly ticking.

by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]protonmail[dot]ch) on Sat Oct 3rd, 2020 at 11:26:51 AM EST
Op-Ed: Think prison labor is a form of slavery? Think again
My prison job made me feel like I was fulfilling my existential duty to society: I was contributing.

Obversely, "Slavery is a form of prison labor".

Conversely, if you are persuaded by this proposition, you likely are one of 80%, 73%, or 71% of Americans oppose reparations for descendants of US slaves.

by Cat on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 09:59:39 PM EST

I'll just put this here for future reference. It's corona infections by age group in Berlin. A lot of cases in the 5-15 group while official policy seems to be that kids can't get it.

by generic on Mon Oct 12th, 2020 at 11:36:24 AM EST
In Sweden, the main spread right now seems to be 20-29 year olds.

Kids can get Covid, there are even a few (0-9 year olds) who have died from it in Sweden.

In Sweden there is now the policies from the spring to keep kids at home if they have an symtoms and two extra days after symtoms (and the adult that doesn't go to work gets 80% of lost income), and in addition some regions are now recommending and providing testing on kids from 10 years and up, mainly so they can get back to school without the two extra days if it isn't Covid. Teachers have not been more ill then the average population, so it seems to be working.

by fjallstrom on Tue Oct 13th, 2020 at 09:08:17 AM EST
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