Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

Coronavirus: Chinese Xi Ping and Donald Trump

by Oui Fri Feb 28th, 2020 at 05:41:45 AM EST

Trump blames Monday and Tuesday's stock market slide on Dem debate that happened Tuesday night | Vox News |

More below the fold ...

We're ready, I have closed the borders, nobody has done that before. We have the BEST people in the world ...

Why Hasn't the U.S. Done More Coronavirus Tests? | NY Mag - The Intelligencer |

As cases of COVID-19 continue to spike around the world, the CDC warned on Tuesday that Americans should prepare for the likelihood that the coronavirus will eventually spread here. Amid escalating outbreaks outside of China, it's clear that there has been undetected transmission of the virus from countries with which the U.S. has not restricted travel.

Coronavirus samples at a laboratory in Scotland. (Photo: WPA Pool/Getty Images)

While there has not been a corresponding spike in cases within the U.S., many health experts are warning the coronavirus may already be here. That remains an unknown though -- in no small part because the U.S. has done very little testing for the virus. And thanks to problems at the CDC, including the distribution of a faulty test kit for the coronavirus, it's not clear when the country's testing capacity will improve.

"We're testing everybody that we need to test," President Trump insisted on Wednesday during his first press conference on the coronavirus. He's almost certainly wrong.

Also on Wednesday, the U.S. confirmed its first coronavirus case of unknown origin -- providing the first evidence that the virus is spreading, undetected, inside the U.S. without any known, direct link to the original outbreak in mainland China.

Wall Street drops >10% and is in correction territory, hitting the 200 day average. Stock market reflects a trust in Government, blame put on Democrats  ...

Dow Jones plunges nearly 1,200 points on virus fears — as it happened | The Guardian |

USA Outlook with a president Trump Ltd. ...

Wall Street: Bernie Sanders is more dangerous than the coronavirus ...

Dow plunges 10%: Sanders Is More Dangerous

"I hope the country is not prepared to elect a Communist as President."

Cooperman has all his wisdom in stocks ... knows nothing about today's society, suffering and immorality of inequality

Where is our leading coronavirus fighter??

Mike Pence, silences actual U.S. scientists, forbidding them from speaking publicly about Coronavirus without his consent | Vanity Fair |

Not science, the Republicans are fervent believers ...

I don't fear Bernie, I fear Trump and his Republican friends ...

Authoritarian top down "leading" to control the coronavirus outbreak ...

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Feb 28th, 2020 at 08:17:00 AM EST
Pence, Minister of Truth.
by rifek on Mon Mar 2nd, 2020 at 12:46:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Feb 28th, 2020 at 06:29:52 PM EST
The Stocks pundits on Bloomberg and CNBC all agree a Sanders win would shave 20% off the value U.S. stocks. Total value was $33 trillion at the beginning of the week. This amount is 50% of the global stock markets put together. This is the worst week for Wall Street since the financial crisis of 2008/2009. It's also the highest point loss in a week by far and the fastest decline ever! The loss is across ALL indices of a minimum 12% up to 14 - 15%.

We're almost there!! Wall Street is ready for a Bernie Sanders presidency and it's already factored in the value of U.S. stocks ending the month of February.

Articles from CNBC at the start of 2020 ...

The stock market is starting to worry about Bernie Sanders - Jan. 27

Wall Street might actually be fine with Sanders moving to the front of the Democratic pack - Feb. 4

Bernie Sanders is saying 'millionaires' less often, one way his 2020 message has changed - Feb. 13

Sanders leads by double digits in latest NBC/WSJ poll as Biden sinks, Bloomberg rises - Feb. 18

As the coronavirus spreads across the globe, fear in Wall Street and by investors from New York though London/Frankfurt to Asia: Singapore, Hong Kong and Shanghai.

Posted earlier in my diary ...

Sanders Heading To SC and Super Tuesday

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Feb 28th, 2020 at 07:52:35 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Feb 28th, 2020 at 08:34:24 PM EST

Diagnosis of Coronavirus Patient In California Was Delayed for Days

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Feb 28th, 2020 at 10:31:16 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Feb 28th, 2020 at 11:19:50 PM EST

other than that...

  • my associate sag a 2-pack of N95 ($50) on ebay for me and a $100 respirator for herself despite REUTERS Thurs Night fire sale
  • I spent the day in Annapolis with National Nurses Union (NNU) in a crowded presser and a hearing in the state House to support The Medical Debt Protection Act HB1081 and will return 5 March for Finance Committee hearing of SB873
  • I walked 12 blocks without my walker, didn't fall over, and got a dinner in a diner with youthful, invincible company

now the bad news...
  • US gov is all in on the ponzi
  • choose your crowd wisely
  • demand a CT scan
  • avoid remdesivir (JAMA)

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 12:47:40 AM EST

< wipes tears >

by Cat on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 03:18:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

< wipes tears >

early childhood ed, I swear by it.

by Cat on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 03:21:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

## Mental disorder is a communicable disease.

by Cat on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 03:24:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The New Yorker Slaps Donald Trump With Sarcastic Coronavirus Cover | Huff Post |

Republican response to potential pandemic aims at protecting Trump with cowardice, hypocrisy and outright lies | Salon |

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 03:17:22 PM EST
by Cat on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 07:57:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Coronavirus: Wall Street reports worst week since 2008 | DW |

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 05:25:01 PM EST
Who to Blame for San Antonio?

11 Cases of coronavirus from quarantine confirmed in San Antonio

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 06:08:19 PM EST
by Cat on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 07:25:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Cat on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 07:55:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

One King County patient had died due to novel coronavirus infection: first US death | Seattle Times |

Bernie Sanders and Mike Bloomberg Slam Trump Over Coronavirus | CBS News |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 08:19:47 PM EST

Two additional cases of COVID-19 in Washington State | DOH-WA |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 08:29:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
most ignorant, litigious nation on planet reports:
Pence says some COVID-19 patients in US are in intensive care units

"developing story ..." (read: This headline is circulating the innerboobs without a story, because AI printing and AP syndicated publishing)

by Cat on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 09:17:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Stamford Advocate
Updated 2:16 pm EST, Saturday, February 29, 2020
by Cat on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 09:19:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 10:53:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 09:40:21 PM EST
Single major difference COVID-19 is NOT like our yearly influenza: it's a new virus of which none in the population has antibodies. Thus it will be considered an outbreak because of wide transmission. Also in China a person became ill for a second time. We can combat the yearly influenza, not so with the coronavirus. Don't kid yourselves. The coronavirus is 3x more deadly than the ordinary flu. To keep it from spreading, the forced quarantines has caused a major upheaval of the nation's economy in China, South Korea, Italy and will have a global effect.

The recession is coming in 2020, it's up to the Trump/Pence team to fake news it away and blame the ills in society on that Communist Bernie Sanders. Due to divine intervention besieged by Republicans. the same team in the White House will not test de deaths of pneumonia patients for the coronavirus and due to a failed healthcare program cause the COVID-19 to spread unnoticed. This alien invasion has gone under the radar of our DHS and even the NSA, Pentagon and CIA were of little help. Costly error in allocating funds. Next president: better luck.

Covid-19 is now in 50 countries, and things will get worse

World countries with COVID-19 cases linked to Italian cluster (Infographics: Wikipedia)

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 05:57:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Just watched Delaney on CNN preview of SC results ... splitsing the Democratic party voters. A 2016 redux.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 09:54:15 PM EST
my bad: No drama, mama, here. I detect a distinct whiff of "Not my primary. You deal with it." National press corpse called it. Now piled onto red-eyes to L.A. Public Enemy + Bernie rally, 1 March.

CNN. 0% reporting. 970 total. The cost of acquisition/vote per candidate to be studied for centuries to come.

USAToday. 49% reporting. 3,422 total votes. Is the rest of the state already "self-isolated"?
Joe Biden posts a convincing - and quick - win in South Carolina primary
PLUNGING denouement to new low.

by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 12:38:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
s/b 0.49% reporting.

alrighty then. Indisputable work of de Law of Large Numbers.

by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 12:43:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
uhh. The headline sez one thing.
AP VoteCast: Many SC black voters back return to Obama era
roughly 50% of African American voters said they want a Democratic presidential nominee who would emulate the presidency of Barack Obama -- the first nonwhite individual to hold the office. ... South Carolina's primary provides the first DEEP LOOK AT the opinions and beliefs of African American voters, who have historically made up more than half of that state's Democratic voters and will continue to wield influence in upcoming races.
The story sez something different.

  • Nearly 70% of South Carolina voters identified as conservative or moderate, while just 32% considered themselves to be liberal.
  • 4 in 10 calling [health care] most important. These voters were roughly split between Biden and Sanders.
  • About 6 in 10 voters said they support reparations for slavery, an issue that revealed a sharp racial divide.
  • About 8 in 10 black voters support the government making cash payments to people whose ancestors and relatives were enslaved, compared to just about a third of white voters.
  • Separately, about 8 in 10 black voters want a candidate with the "right experience," compared to just about 5 in 10 white voters.
  • three-quarters of all South Carolina voters favored reforming the criminal justice system

"This is a national crisis. It is even worse in South Carolina."
AP-NORC poll: Most Americans oppose reparations for slavery
Top House Dem dismisses reparations as 2020 candidates endorse idea
NY DAILY NEWS | Obama opposes reparations for slavery, 2008

by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 01:13:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"I'm going to make a controversial statement. If someone in this room got up, took off all her clothes and walked out the door, no man has a right to touch her. Zero. She can be arrested for indecent exposure!"
~ Barack Obama
by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 05:25:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What the headlines tomorrow should read: "Pollsters Totally Blow It in SC"

but they won't

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 03:41:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
A person can carry and transmit COVID-19 without showing symptoms, scientists confirms

Quite important! In the West wrong assumptions are made by the infection disease experts. In The Netherlands, the policy in place has not recognized this danger. The cluster has a pass for a larger outbreak.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 10:33:51 PM EST
Fauci, a high-profile pusher of "lethal" science, was an early adopter of US propaganda ("outbreaks are not driven by that kind of spread")

DHS Secretary Chad Wolf, abetted by random twitterdemiologist, recently flogged the notion 0.1% flu mortality, casually repeated here as if CDC does not express seasonal (A,B) flu "burden" as incidence range, implying 5%-8% seasonal mortality--deaths/hospitalization. o, look.

CDC model FluView | Pneumonia and Influenza Mortality Surveillance from the National Center for Health Statistics Mortality Surveillance System

Another weird idea sweeping the innerboobs is that warmer weather will suppress vectorborne and waterborne diseases and transmission, despite substantial prediction to the contrary.
NJEM, Global Climate Change and Infectious Diseases (2010)
EEA, Climate change and human health (2015-2019)
Globalization and Health, Climate change and mosquito-borne diseases in China: a review (2013)
CDDR, Climate change and infectious diseases: What can we expect? (2019)

by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 02:36:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
mystery solved

Scientific American, Records from Ancient China Reveal Link Between Epidemics and Climate Change (2017)

The findings, published yesterday in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, particularly suggest that climate-related agricultural failures may have led to famines and declines in human health and nutrition, which made communities more susceptible to infection.
The lack of available data, including written historical sources and natural proxy archives, has constrained us when disentangling the effects of climate change on the prevalence of infectious diseases. We first reconstructed human epidemics in China over the last two millennia and analyzed the impacts of climate change on the prevalence of human epidemics at various time scales. We show that long-term trends of cold and dry conditions indirectly facilitated the prevalence of epidemics through locusts and famines. Nevertheless, temperature showed unstable associations with epidemics on a small time scale. Our study highlights the urgent need to investigate scale-dependent impacts of climate change on the prevalence of diseases.
The records [?] suggest that cold periods in ancient and pre-modern China were associated with an increase in the frequency of droughts, as well as attacks of locusts.
Some studies--such as one examining years during the Renaissance, published in PNAS in 2011, and another covering a period in the Middle Ages, published in Nature Geoscience last year--have suggested that periods of cooling in Europe have also been associated with both social upheaval and disease outbreaks. ...
by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 02:49:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
A person can carry and transmit COVID-19 without showing symptoms, scientists confirms

This virus is just like every other virus

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 03:44:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 04:22:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Market failure: My associate informed me this morning, 3 days later, that her orders were cancelled by both eBay vendors whom she'd paid.

Demand exceeds supply. US/EU supply-chain disruption. AUTHORITARIAN solutions to clinical risks. Sanctions and defense bills. archived: Team Trump invokes the Defense Production Act, 27 Feb

CNN | The surgeon general wants Americans to stop buying face masks

"They are NOT effective in preventing general public from catching #Coronavirus, but if healthcare providers can't get them to care for sick patients, it puts them and our communities at risk!" [US Surgeon General Dr. Jerome Adams] continued.
Number of all hospital beds in the U.S. from 1975 to 2017 declined. American Hospital Association (AHA) Fast Facts on U.S. Hospitals, 2020, beds, hospitals mapped; infer capacity and utilization, read "the report," or shelter in place--as is the custom. Maximum out-of-pocket costs. Neither EU, India, nor China is exporting these.
And, like Adams points out, if these masks run out, they won't be available to the medical professionals who are at the highest risk for disease transmission.
Zhongnan Hospital, Positive RT-PCR Test Results in Patients Recovered From COVID-19, 27 Feb
"All 4 patients were exposed to the novel 2019 coronavirus through work as medical professionals."

herd of elephants in room

by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 05:56:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Coronavirus may have circulated 'unnoticed for weeks' in Italy, say researchers, 28 Feb
The virus mutates from person to person, [Massimo Galli, the director of the Biomedical Research Institute] said, so researchers will be looking at why Italy has the largest number of cases in Europe and "the differences between this and the coronavirus in China".
Galli's team at the Sacco hospital in Milan, lead by immunology professor Claudia Balotta, worked on samples taken from three patients in the "red zone" around Codogno in Lombardy, home to Italy's first known case of COVID-19. They isolated the Italian strain in just four days.
The number of cases of infection reported has risen steadily each day, though Galli said that did not mean the virus was spreading. Most were people who had caught it previously, but had not been tested until now.
inconceivable. preposterous. egregious. unprecedented.
Balotta said it would "take weeks" to determine the exact date of arrival of this strain in Italy, saying results would likely only come "once the epidemic is over".
and transit droplets examined
by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 04:34:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
OMFG. Assume two-week paid vacation, four paid personal days, and 100% recovery, sez the infection disease economists, "in the event of a possible exposure to COVID-19."

How is self-quarantine different from self-isolation?

"Quarantine separates and restricts the movement of well individuals who have been exposed to an infectious disease," whereas self-isolation, "separates ill persons and restricts their movements until they are no longer contagious," said Dr. Bruce Ribner, medical director at Emory University Hospital's Serious® Communicable Disease Unit. In both instances, the idea is to stop the spread of the infectious disease.

No symptoms? No problem!
"In the event of a possible exposure to COVID-19, it's vital to impose a self-quarantine at home for the duration of the incubation period," currently believed to be 14 days, Dr. Robert Glatter, emergency physician at Lenox Hill Hospital, said.
After that?
Dr. Eric Cioe-Peña, director of Global Health for Northwell Health added, "When you get sick, please don't go the ER and sit in the waiting room for 7 hours. Don't get healthy people sick."
Take all the time you need for self-isolation until you feel better
"If you are coughing or have a fever, wearing a mask at home will serve as added protection for persons who may live with you at home," he said.
"People are more likely to identify as sick if they are allowed to stay home," Cioe-Peña said. "They are less likely to report they are sick if they know they are going to be taken to some isolation unit."
by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 06:40:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Incubation period: uncertain;
Contagious: high;
Surface contamination: up to 9 hrs;
Face mask to protect: a fallacy!

Once a person has been infected, a high-level protection full face mask is recommended to prevent infecting others.

WHO advice for public: When and how to use masks

Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 07:52:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In US America, measurement of contagion--like climate science--is directly related to an individual's numeracy, literacy, and social media hardware and software rather than common sense or life-long experiences with endemic, contagious diseases.

The data, collated by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CCDC), reports absolute number of COVID-19 cases collected by gov agents resident in China--such as dxy.cn, not CSSE-- a/o 11 Feb. There is no other source or infrastructure to provide this detailed, aggregated information to PR specialists and "contagious disease experts" worldwide, eg. the WHO and the CDC--which was specially excluded from institutional observation.

To disguise CCDC preeminent clinical and epidemiological knowledge of a particular communicable disease (obviating hundreds of others), foreign nationals adopt authorship of "study" simulacra, translated to their local languages and mean educational attainment. In US America, the product of
the only summary report of 72, 314 cases China, "Characteristics of and Important Lessons From the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in China,"

The first few cases of pneumonia of unknown etiology are shown in blue boxes on December 26 (n  4) and 28-29 (n  3). Most other cases that experienced onset of symptoms in December were only discovered when retrospectively investigated.
However, the total number of COVID-19 cases is likely higher due to inherent difficulties in identifying and counting mild and asymptomatic cases. Furthermore, the still-insufficient testing capacity for COVID-19 in China means that many suspected and clinically diagnosed cases are not yet counted in the denominator.
is a pulp "science" which dissociates "community" (infection vectors), actual diagnoses, and strict quarantine:

Five Reasons You Don't Need to Panic About the COVID-19 Coronavirus, published 29 Feb.

[Hubei] province is slightly smaller [area] than Nebraska, but with thirty times as many inhabitants. With this sort of population density, it's a positive sign that just .11% (roughly 1 in 1000) of the population has caught COVID-19. Even if there were 53,000 unreported cases, that would mean only one out of every 500 people in Hubei caught the virus. Given the population density in most other countries is significantly lower than in China, we can expect that the coronavirus will have a much harder time [?!] spreading in much of the world.
because hunter-gatherer nomads don't ride public transit
by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 04:50:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China, 7 Feb
Conclusions and Relevance  In this single-center case series of 138 hospitalized patients with confirmed NCIP in Wuhan, China, presumed hospital-related transmission of 2019-nCoV was suspected in 41% of patients, 26% of patients received ICU care, and mortality was 4.3%.

important lessons
Mary Mallon (1869-1938) and the history of typhoid fever

From 27 August to 3 September, 6 of the 11 people present in the house were suffering from typhoid fever. At this time, typhoid fever was still fatal in 10% of cases and mainly affected deprived people from large cities [5,6].

The sanitary engineer, committed by the Warren family, George Sober, published the results of his investigation on the 15th of June 1907, in JAMA. Having believed initially that freshwater clams could be involved in these infections, he had hastily conducted his interrogation of the sick people and also of Mary who had presented a moderate form of typhoid [7]. Mary continued to host the bacteria, contaminating everything around her, a real threat for the surrounding environment...

2019-2020, Asymptomatic cases: 889 (1%), CHINA national statistic

"The principle of vaccine making has remained almost the same since 1885 ..."

by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 06:39:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
DIY public health policy

< wipes tears >

"since testing is now more broadly available" Where is that? If everyone in USA follows medical advice sponsored by CNN, no one will seek even ER examination. Howie detects a business opportunity far on the horizon: NIH/NIAID "sub-licenses" manufacture of self-testing or absentee-testing kits to CDC community spread partners, serving self-quarantined and self-isolated workers of America.

by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 08:29:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The future is in "unknown sources". < wipes tears >

by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 08:34:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A critical question on getting an handle on coronavirus: What role do kids play in spreading it?

    Though the evidence to date suggests this virus doesn't inflict severe disease on children, there's reason to think kids may be helping to amplify transmission. It's a role they play to de devastating effect during the flu season, becoming ill and passing flu viruses on to their parents, grandparents, teachers and caregivers.

As coronavirus spreads, many questions and some answers | Harvard Medical School |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 29th, 2020 at 11:03:20 PM EST
'Thank you, God': Trump revels in reign as absolute king of CPAC  

Strange? Reminds me of George Bush traveling somewhere and isolated as the DHS failed miserably with Hurricane Katrina  inundating New Orleans. This COVID-19 outbreak will be more deadly.

The Undoing of George W. Bush

    While all this was going on, the president of the United States remained aloof from the disaster. Day after day, George W. Bush continued a long-planned vacation at his 1,600-acre Prairie Chapel Ranch in Crawford, Texas, and his staff didn't want to burden him with detailed information about the situation on the Gulf Coast. When Katrina made landfall, Bush had been on holiday at his ranch for 27 days.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 06:19:45 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 08:39:57 AM EST
White House press conference:  "... only affects the elderly ..."

Remember the doctor in Wuhan hospital?

Wuhan hospital doctor, 29, dies from coronavirus

Today in South Korea the toll of the disease is ever increasing:

South Korea reports more than 800 new cases

Also a 45 day old infant has contracted the coronavirus.

Coronavirus is bad enough -- Trump's cuts have made the danger far worse

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 09:06:01 AM EST
"It only affects the elderly" is wrong.

"It disproportionately affects the elderly" is absolutely correct though.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 10:10:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Age distribution (N = 44 672)

    ≥80 years: 3% (1408 cases)

    30-79 years: 87% (38 680 cases)

    20-29 years: 8% (3619 cases)

    10-19 years: 1% (549 cases)

    <10 years: 1% (416 cases)
Case-fatality rate

    2.3% (1023 of 44 672 confirmed cases)

    14.8% in patients aged ≥80 years (208 of 1408)

    8.0% in patients aged 70-79 years (312 of 3918)

    49.0% in critical cases (1023 of 2087)
No deaths were reported among mild and severe cases. The CFR was 49.0% among critical cases. CFR was elevated among those with preexisting comorbid conditions--10.5% for cardiovascular disease, 7.3% for diabetes, 6.3% for chronic respiratory disease, 6.0% for hypertension, and 5.6% for cancer.

adversely affect patients' treatment of pneumonia and prognoses regardless of age
by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 05:10:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Kinda feel attacked by that 30-79 category here.
by generic on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 06:48:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
moar LIES: KCDC confirmed case PR index, from 11 Feb, ie. preceding APsplain: Virus cases BALLOON in S. Korea as outbreak shifts, spreads
by Cat on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 07:13:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
THE NETHERLANDS: The Beatrix hospital in Gorinchem is closed due to coronavirus. A patient who was in the hospital for many days appears to be infected. She never was tested for corona "because there was no indication she had been in contact with a known cluster."

Due to her severity of illness, the patient was transported to Erasmus Hospital in Rotterdam where she was diagnosed for COVID-19.

Simply what I have stated before, the experts underestimate the fast moving transmission and the scientists wait for the numbers or stats before they adapt policy. So very ignorant. Same sequence of events started in the Lombardy, Italy, the hospital in Codogno.

The Dutch experts even tonight have stated a single person will on the average infect just 2 or 3 other persons. The zero patient in Italy infected 13 persons.

Coronavirus: Three more test positive; Dutch hospital closed after treating intensive care patient | NL Times |

Among those in the Netherlands who tested positive with the virus are a 23-year-old woman from Delft who returned from Lombardy, Italy on February 24, an Amsterdam woman and her husband who returned from Lombardy on February 23, their toddler-aged son, and a man from Loon op Zand, Noord-Brabant, who also traveled to Lombardy. He was the first person diagnosed in the Netherlands. On Saturday, his wife and their daughter also tested positive.

Health officials in the northern Italian province of Lombardy said on Saturday that 888 people there were known carriers of Covid-19 coronavirus. They said 21 of the patients had died because of the infection, newswire Reuters reported.

Authorities in the Netherlands are concerned about people who have traveled to China, Hong Kong, Iran, eight regions of northern Italy, Macau, Singapore or South Korea. The eight Italian areas include the Aosta Valley, Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Liguria, Lombardy, Piedmont, Trentino-Alto Adige & South Tyrol, and Veneto.

Coronavirus: inquiry opens into hospitals at centre of Italy outbreak | The Guardian |

Same happened in Germany, the cluster in North Rhine Westfalia near the Dutch border.

New coronavirus cluster spreads in North Rhine-Westphalia | DW |

Coronavirus latest: Germany's COVID-19 cases almost double

France bans large public gatherings to slow coronavirus spread | France24 |

A la une de @CNEWS demain, lundi 2 mars :

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 10:47:20 PM EST
Nike shuts European HQ after employee infection

Nike's will close its European headquarters in the Netherlands on Monday and Tuesday after an employee was infected with the coronavirus, Dutch news agency ANP said.

Citing an internal email, ANP reported overnight that the office in Hilversum would be disinfected. The employee was staying home in isolation for 14 days, it said.
Roughly 2,000 Nike employees from 80 countries work at the site.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Mar 2nd, 2020 at 07:27:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The WHO has raised the coronavirus threat level to "very high" :  PHEIC | DW |

Desperate for reliable information

Getting your hands on reliable information about the COVID-19 outbreak is challenging. Some national health care authorities, just like journalists, find themselves hunting for trustworthy sources of information. A major state institution recently contacted DW to inquire how we had obtained figures about the global number of coronavirus infections and recoveries. Our answer: from a reputable US university.

It's a chaotic situation, with reliable data hard to come by. But complaining doesn't help. Instead, we should accept that with the rapid spread of COVID-19, information that was available yesterday is bound to be outdated today. And determining whether the spread of COVID-19 classifies as an epidemic, could potentially escalate into a pandemic, or already counts as such, is really just a matter of semantics.

How long is the coronavirus incubation period?

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Mar 1st, 2020 at 11:22:17 PM EST
Got a sweet deal and fat matching 401(k) at Rand Corp, I suppose.
by Cat on Mon Mar 2nd, 2020 at 02:44:04 AM EST
Key Missteps at the CDC Have Set Back Its Ability to Detect the Potential Spread of Coronavirus | ProPublica |

As the highly infectious coronavirus jumped from China to country after country in January and February, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention lost valuable weeks that could have been used to track its possible spread in the United States because it insisted upon devising its own test.

The federal agency shunned the World Health Organization test guidelines used by other countries and set out to create a more complicated test of its own that could identify a range of similar viruses. But when it was sent to labs across the country in the first week of February, it didn't work as expected. The CDC test correctly identified COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus. But in all but a handful of state labs, it falsely flagged the presence of the other viruses in harmless samples.

As a result, until Wednesday the CDC and the Food and Drug Administration only allowed those state labs to use the test -- a decision with potentially significant consequences. The lack of a reliable test prevented local officials from taking a crucial first step in coping with a possible outbreak -- "surveillance testing" of hundreds of people in possible hotspots. Epidemiologists in other countries have used this sort of testing to track the spread of the disease before large numbers of people turn up at hospitals.

The coronavirus diagnostic testing snafu, explained | Vox News |

US health officials expect more cases of the coronavirus disease, Covid-19, in the coming days and weeks, even though the risk to the general public remains low.

So how will we know where those cases are and how fast the virus is spreading through the population?

The answer is simple: We need diagnostic test kits. A lot of them. And with cases of the disease confirmed in over 50 countries, we also need testing that focuses far beyond people with links to China, where the outbreak originated. While cases are slowly mounting in the US, widespread testing for the new coronavirus is still being rolled out. In many places, testing won't be up and running until at least next week -- even as the Food and Drug Administration rolled out a new policy on Saturday allowing some hospital and academic labs to create and use their own Covid-19 tests, ahead of the agency's approval.

The problem is testing in the US has been limited so far, with only a small number of labs available to assess the results, flaws in the manufacturing of the earliest kits sent out to states, and out-of-date criteria for testing people. Until Friday, most tests focused on people who'd been to China recently or those with known Covid-19 exposure.

"This has not gone as smoothly as we would have liked," Nancy Messonnier, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, said of the testing snafus in a Friday press briefing.

CDC Fixes COVID-19 Test Snafu; Symptoms Vary in Hospitalized Cases | MedPage Today |

Stigma Related to COVID-19 | CDC |

Posted at my follow-up diary - Covid-19 Pandemic: Europe and America Next.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Mar 2nd, 2020 at 01:57:08 PM EST
What an ass!  Reminds of another loser that got elected in Germany about 100 years ago. Short moron with a cheesy mustache. He also had a gang of racist goons that thought he was God.

Anyway. Re, the four cases in "Chicago", actually the western suburbs. All in Cook County but as far West as one can get in Cook. Coincidentally(?) about 30 miles from O'Hare airport.  

I live and shop about five miles from from the first two.
The latest two are next to where I worked before retirement.
Last Wednesday at a an area restaurant, a woman came up to us and said they were on the cruise ship quarantined in Japan, but tests showed they didn't have coronavirus. Her husband was hacking his lungs out. "Just a cold", she said. I didn't tell my wife that those test kits were known to be defective.
We are both 75 so if you never hear from me again, you can draw your own conclusions.

by StillInTheWilderness on Tue Mar 3rd, 2020 at 03:51:15 PM EST
Damn!! 💬  😎🐬🏊🏽‍♂️🛳🏝⛱
Inflicted and never been to China or had the "pleasure" of a cruise.

All the best and stay healthy!

I read or heard a stat from a Trump goon, time lapse to catch Covid-19 virus was 2 hrs within 6 ft. 😣 Calculate yr chance of survival ... 😡

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Mar 3rd, 2020 at 05:25:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Nothing yet.  Hanging in there.
Climate Change may get me first.
My daughter in Alabama saw two convoys of National Guard trucks moving North. She thought the worst, but I remember I always have to go through Nashville to get to Birmingham and Nashville has been hit hard by a series of Tornados.
by StillInTheWilderness on Sun Mar 8th, 2020 at 02:19:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well ....

shit, scheisse, merde.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Thu Mar 5th, 2020 at 04:12:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Good luck, the odds are still vastly in your favor.
by generic on Thu Mar 5th, 2020 at 04:18:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Go to: [ European Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]