Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

Laissez-faire Handling Outbreak by PM Boris Johnson

by Oui Mon Apr 20th, 2020 at 09:20:57 AM EST

The failures of the Westminster elite on coronavirus are no surprise - so why do we let them run Wales?

Today's Sunday Times article reveals a staggering level of hubris, incompetence and callousness shown by the UK Government and some of its close group of advisors in their handling of the coronavirus pandemic.

The report - published by a newspaper that wholeheartedly endorsed the Conservatives at the General Election - is perhaps the most damning article ever written about an UK government. It reveals that the entire response has been a shambles. This is a national catastrophe of a very British sort.

One of the UK Government's own scientific advisors has said that the UK could end up with the worst death toll in Europe. At least 15,000 people in the UK have already died of coronavirus, and perhaps many more since deaths outside hospitals remain underreported. These are children, grandchildren, parents and grandparents.

And given what we now know about the UK Government's early handling of the crisis, it's almost impossible to conclude that their incompetence has not contributed to the death toll.

We now know that back in January, Professor Neil Ferguson, one of the UK's leading infectious disease epidemiologists and a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, warned the government that this virus was potentially as lethal as the Flu Pandemic of 1918.

He highlighted the need for a "60% cut in the transmission rate" -- in other words social distancing and lockdown.

But Boris missed five Cobra meetings, not attending his first meeting until March.

More below the fold ...

Coronavirus contagion rate makes it hard to control: studies | Reuters - Jan. 25, 2020 |

    Whether the outbreak will continue to spread at this rate depends on the effectiveness of control measures, the scientists who conducted the studies said. But to be able to contain the epidemic and turn the tide of infections, control measures would have to halt transmission in at least 60% of cases.

    "It is unclear at the current time whether this outbreak can be contained within China," said Neil Ferguson, an infectious disease specialist at Imperial College London who co-led one of the studies.

Why did Dr. Neil Ferguson and his Imperial College Advisory group promote "herd immunity" for Boris Johnson's Tories, ministers and staff until mid-March when new reports showed this was doomed to FAIL in a major catastrophy?

PM Mark Rutte did not lead!!

Rutte listened to his scientists he repeatedly stated, hiding behind others in his decision making. A coward as far as I'm concerned, after meeting President Trump in the White House and giving extensive interviews to CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos in January. After Brexit, the Dutch are open for business and special favors. Didn't quite work out that way with a large order for ASML from China.

PM Mark Rutte feels comfortable to get behind the herd immunity crowd of RIVM ... or is it the science from the UK Imperial's College?

Imperial College: NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling Methodology -- People

Advisory panel members

Jacco Wallinga, Head, Modelling Infectious Diseases Department. The Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)

OutbreakTools: A new platform for disease outbreak analysis using the R software | NCBI Resources - 2014 | Int'l Group with Jacco Wallinga and Neil Ferguson

Dutch models of COVID-19 are designed to help prevent overloading of hospitals and the need to transfer patients. Thomas Angus/Imperial College London ...

Mathematics of life and death: How disease models shape national shutdowns and other pandemic policies

Jacco Wallinga's computer simulations are about to face a high-stakes reality check. Wallinga is a mathematician and the chief epidemic modeler at the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), which is advising the Dutch government on what actions, such as closing schools and businesses, will help control the spread of the novel coronavirus in the country.

The Netherlands has so far chosen a softer set of measures than most Western European countries; it was late to close its schools and restaurants and hasn't ordered a full lockdown. In a 16 March speech, Prime Minister Mark Rutte rejected "working endlessly to contain the virus" and "shutting down the country completely." Instead, he opted for "controlled spread" of the virus among the groups least at risk of severe illness while making sure the health system isn't swamped with COVID-19 patients.

Outbreak -- Herd Immunity Is Damning! by Oui @EuroTrib on March 14, 2020

Simultaneous announcements by UK's PM Boris Johnson and great ally Dutch PM Mark Rutte ...

BoJo Explains Rising Death Toll and Herd Immunity | ESSF - March 17, 2020 |

Coronavirus: Michael Gove defends Boris Johnson over missing meetings... but SDLP warns 'complacency will cost lives' | Belfast Telegraph |

The SDLP has accused the UK Government of complacency that "will cost lives and cannot be replicated here" after reports suggested the Prime Minster had not attended five meetings of the key Government Cobra committee in the build-up to the coronavirus outbreak.

Responding to the reports of what he called the "serious mishandling of the Covid-19 crisis", SDLP leader Colum Eastwood MP said the Conservative Government's "slow response to the global pandemic underscores the need for a bespoke island-wide strategy".

He said: "The response to the coronavirus crisis isn't a sectarian political issue. It isn't a matter of scoring points, it's about saving lives. Reports about the British Government's complacency, however, leave very serious questions about crisis coordination across these islands.

"The SDLP is committed to constructively working with all parties in the Executive as well as the British and Irish Governments to manage our response to Covid-19 and save as many lives as possible. That is not a blank cheque for anyone to operate free from scrutiny when the stakes are so high. There is simply no margin for error.

Coming out of the woodwork to offer a complete bullsh*t defense: former Trade Secretary Dr. Liam Fox ...

[Update-1] Efficient, Smart, Health Hi-Tech and Humane

Merkel 'greatly concerned' as public life in Germany starts to reopen | TheLocal.de |


There is so much science and the experts do NOT know about the coronavirus and effect on the human body …

SARS_CoV-2 in COVID-19 patients is likely to infect the brain

A novel human coronavirus that is now named Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) (formerly called HCoV-19) emerged in Wuhan, China, in late 2019, is now causing a pandemic. The extent to which SARS-CoV-2 enters the brain may be partially responsible for respiratory failure in COVID‐19 patients. Arjen Brussaard, director of Amsterdam Neuroscience, discusses two recent studies that argue in favor of this so-called neuro-invasion hypothesis.

The first line of reasoning comes from Li et al (2020) J. Med. Virol. ‘Patients with COVID-19 have respiratory distress, and sometimes cannot breathe spontaneously. In addition, they may show neurologic signs, such as headache, nausea, and vomiting. Increasing evidence shows that coronaviruses are not always confined to the respiratory tract but may also invade the central nervous system inducing neurological diseases.’

Indeed SARS-CoV-1, the most closely related human coronavirus, has been reported in the brains from both patients and experimental animals, where the brainstem was heavily infected, and there is speculation that coronaviruses may spread via a synapse connected route to the medullary cardiorespiratory center from the mechanoreceptors and chemoreceptors in the lung and lower respiratory airways.

A second line of arguments underscoring the neuro-invasion hypothesis comes from a study by Baig et al. (2020) ACS Chem Neuroscience. ‘In the short time following the outbreak, it has been shown that - similar to SARS-CoV-1 - the SARS-CoV-2 virus exploits the angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptor to gain entry inside the cells. This finding raised the curiosity of investigating the expression of ACE2 in neurological tissue and determine the possible contribution of neurological tissue damage to the morbidity and mortality caused by SARS-CoV-2.’

Netherlands Institute for Neuroscience

Evidence of the COVID-19 Virus Targeting the CNS: Tissue Distribution, Host−Virus Interaction, and Proposed Neurotropic Mechanisms by Baig et al.

During a CNN panel discussion and interview this morning, front line doctors are perplexed by the intensity of the illness and once the patient needs Endotracheal Intubation, this condition is severe and the mortality rate is high. The virus infects the organs that leads to failure and often of the heart as well.

DoD COVID-19 Practice Management Guide

See image in comments section ...

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 20th, 2020 at 01:02:26 PM EST
by Cat on Tue Apr 21st, 2020 at 02:39:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 20th, 2020 at 02:16:31 PM EST
Re-posting comment from another thread:

Coronavirus: 38 days when Britain sleepwalked into disaster

Boris Johnson skipped five Cobra meetings on the virus, calls to order protective gear were ignored and scientists' warnings fell on deaf ears. Failings in February may have cost thousands of lives

On the third Friday of January a silent and stealthy killer was creeping across the world. Passing from person to person and borne on ships and planes, the coronavirus was already leaving a trail of bodies.

The virus had spread from China to six countries and was almost certainly in many others. Sensing the coming danger, the British government briefly went into wartime mode that day, holding a meeting of Cobra, its national crisis committee.

But it took just an hour that January 24 lunchtime to brush aside the coronavirus threat. Matt Hancock, the health secretary, bounced out of Whitehall after chairing the meeting and breezily told reporters the risk to the UK public was "low".

by Bernard (bernard) on Mon Apr 20th, 2020 at 08:17:24 PM EST
'Pre-settled status' EU citizens denied Universal Credit during coronavirus crisis
"The UK is not delivering what was agreed under the Withdrawal Agreement. People aren't able to get the help they need, including benefits. That is so important in times of crisis like COVID where families are facing great hardship."
archived Wed Oct 23rd, 2019
Rishi Sunak's ["]furlough support scheme["] fails to reassure Britons
"Even with the government's [Jobs Retention] scheme to backstop earnings, those in receipt of this will still be worse off as support has been pledged for 80% of their full income."
by Cat on Tue Apr 21st, 2020 at 02:24:15 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Apr 21st, 2020 at 07:22:07 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Apr 21st, 2020 at 07:24:43 AM EST
Boris Johnson to speak to Donald Trump and Queen.

That should reassure the masses no end.

Meanwhile 100 health care workers have died for lack of adequate PPE...

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Apr 21st, 2020 at 03:25:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by generic on Tue Apr 21st, 2020 at 06:08:51 PM EST
History of quarantine
The practice of quarantine, as we know it, began during the 14th century in an effort to protect coastal cities from plague epidemics. Ships arriving in Venice from infected ports were required to sit at anchor for 40 days before landing. This practice, called quarantine, was derived from the Italian words quaranta giorni which mean 40 days.
No mention of suspicion of infection.
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Tue Apr 21st, 2020 at 06:16:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Apr 21st, 2020 at 06:15:57 PM EST
The policy is that the hospital requesting to transfer patients to a Nightingale hospital has to provide staffing. Does that make sense? That and the Nightingale hospitals having little staff of their own maybe explains why they sit mostly empty.

Schengen is toast!
by epochepoque on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 12:42:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Apr 21st, 2020 at 06:17:42 PM EST
ONS to investigate why 8,000 weekly 'excess' death toll even higher than coronavirus figures imply

Nick Stripe, the health analysis and life events division at the ONS, gave a sobering interview to the BBC's Victoria Derbyshire a few minutes ago about the latest mortality figures. ("Life events" presumably include dying.) Here are the key points.

  • Stripe said that the ONS death figures released this morning for England and Wales for the week ending 10 April were almost certainly an understatement. He said 10 April, was Good Friday, and only around a third of registration offices were open. He went on:
  • So actually that number is slightly deflated because if the registration offices had been open, maybe another couple of thousand, if not more, deaths would have been registered.

He said the ONS figures that were published showed around 8,000 "excess deaths" in the week ending 10 April. That meant deaths above the five-year average. Of those, only 80% were directly related to coronavirus, he said.

Scientists join calls for UK public to wear homemade face masks outdoors

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 12:52:44 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 08:13:31 AM EST
Hey guys, we opted for letting it rage with our new allies The Netherlands and BIG benefactor USA's Trump

What is the EU medical equipment scheme and why did UK opt out? | The Guardian |

What has happened in the last 24 hours?

The Foreign Office's permanent secretary, Sir Simon McDonald, flatly contradicted the explanation of the UK's opt-out during an appearance in front of a House of Commons select committee. "It was a political decision," McDonald said. "The UK mission in Brussels briefed ministers about what was available, what was on offer, and the decision is known." The comments raised concerns that Brexit ideology had been put before the practicalities of saving lives.

Within an hour, Hancock denied that there had been a "political decision". Shortly afterwards, McDonald issued a formal correction in a letter to the chair of the foreign affairs select committee,

Commons foreign affairs committee urged to hold inquiry into UK's non-involvement

COVID-19: Commission creates first ever rescEU stockpile of medical equipment | EC - March 19, 2020 |

All EU Member States participate in the Mechanism, as well as Iceland, Norway, Serbia, North Macedonia, Montenegro and Turkey.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 10:18:44 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 02:10:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 02:13:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon May 4th, 2020 at 11:00:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 10:28:19 AM EST
In Dutch version RIVM only 😖

Best Estimate 23,000 Cases Prevented for ICU Admittance

Without measures against the spread of the new coronavirus, there would have been an estimated 23,000 more IC intensive care admissions for COVID-19 in the Netherlands.

    [Truth: if our intended "herd immunity" w/o control would have been followed - Oui]

Because people have adhered to the measures so well, we have been able to prevent this in the Netherlands. Jaap van Dissel said this during the technical briefing in the House of Representatives.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 12:56:16 PM EST
So the option of herd immunity failed ...

Healthcare Costs by 2040 Unattainable, need for rigorous overhaul | RIVM |

In 2060, the biggest part of the budget will be spent on hospital care (increasing by 2.8% per year to 96 billion). The expenditures for caring for handicapped persons and the elderly will also increase greatly. By 2060, the expenditures for mental healthcare will have increased by a factor of five. In relation to specific illnesses, expenses for dementia, cancer, and cardiovascular diseases in particular will increase significantly.

The above findings were the result of the preliminary study of the possible development of health care costs until 2060. RIVM carried out this study at the request of the Scientific Council for Government Policy (WRR). The WRR uses the findings to prepare a study of the long-term sustainability of the health care system in the Netherlands.

This foresight study is based on the Costs of Illness Study and the Public Health Foresight Study (VTV) by RIVM. The projections are associated with uncertainties.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 01:48:04 PM EST
Crunching the coronavirus curve is better than flattening it, as New Zealand is showing | The Guardian Opinion |

As Sars-CoV-2 has spread across the world, some countries have reacted with alarm and thorough preparations, given their previous experiences with Mers or Sars. In these countries, such as South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Vietnam, containment of the novel coronavirus became the imperative, regardless of cost.

In a significant number of confirmed Covid cases, the health outcomes are severe, the disease can result in multiple organ failure and long-term lung damage, and the clinical need of patients for oxygen, ICU care and ventilators is much higher. Early clinical management of symptoms, to which Boris Johnson had access, means that outcomes are generally better, but that requires testing at an early stage of the disease.

New Zealand is in the enviable position of having fewer than 20 deaths, while Australia has managed to stay under 100. With early physical distancing measures and border control, and aggressive testing, tracing and isolating procedures in place, these countries are in a better position to ease lockdown earlier and get their economy and society going again.

It is worth thinking through the long-term scenarios for the future of Covid-19.

The first scenario: if we have an effective, safe and available vaccine or antiviral in the next 18 months, the countries that minimised loss of life with the least harsh economic restrictions will be in the best position. Australia, New Zealand and numerous east Asian countries have the outbreak under control and can in the short term manage the trickle of cases while waiting for the scientific solution.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 03:25:36 PM EST
Having had weeks of a compliant media and full control of messaging to the citizens if The Netherlands, the Dutch government is held to account for the poor performance and high number of hospitalizations and deaths.

PM Rutte in anger shouts out: " You cross a boundary of decency." Up till now the PM could send replies to written questions. In the morning, the Commission on Health had a meeting with RIVM Head van Dissel. Members of parliament were well prepared, better than the situation of testing and stock of PPE for first line medical workers.

The debate with Lillian Marijnissen from the Socialist Party (SP) headquartered in Oss in the province of Brabant. Eindhoven and surroundings is the epicenter of the COVUD-19 pandemic.

Her statement that truly angered PM Mark Rutte: "It's better the be a smartphone searching for an App the a hospital worker in need of a face mask. It would be nice for the Prime Minister if he tackles the search for PPE with the same vigor and enthusiame. Rutte exploded with anger.

The first dent in the image of PM Mark Rutte ... may he have met his Waterloo  🤕 🇬🇧 🇷🇴 🇫🇷

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 04:17:59 PM EST
Entitled brats running governments: the other pandemic.
by rifek on Sat May 9th, 2020 at 01:44:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Dutch VIP, presenter, stock guru and extreme a$$hole Jort Kelder from his holiday home on the Island of Terschelling ...

"We save people who will die in two years' time"

Kelder is worried about the economic damage caused by the corona crisis. "You have to get loose once, and then when, in September, October, next year, when the entire economy is going down the drain?"

According to Kelder, the measures mainly protect a small group: "We are rescuing people over 80 who are overweight and have smoked."

Kelder's words make sense to right-wing parties of Baudet and Wilders plus the Conservative business crowd in The Netherlands.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 07:56:48 PM EST
Nederland, pop. 17.128M, climbs MSM ranking of dubious distinctions.

Dutch coronavirus cases rise above 37,000, with 120 new deaths - health authorities

The country's death toll stands at 4,409, the Netherlands Institute for Public Health (RIVM) said in its daily update. The actual numbers are likely higher, as not all suspected cases are tested, the RIVM said.
by Cat on Sat Apr 25th, 2020 at 04:14:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Crapitalists are SUCH contributors.  Ayn Rand said so, so it MUST be true.
by rifek on Sat May 9th, 2020 at 01:48:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Apr 24th, 2020 at 11:08:34 AM EST

by generic on Fri Apr 24th, 2020 at 11:32:57 AM EST
Incidence of thrombotic complications in critically ill ICU patients with COVID-19

Doctors report uptick in surprising coronavirus complication: dangerous blood clots | NBC News |

Whatever the mechanism, it's wreaking havoc on the sickest COVID-19 patients and doctors' ability to treat them.

Some physicians are reporting increases of patients in their 30s and 40s with COVID-19-related strokes that result when clots block blood vessels leading to the brain.

And blood from COVID-19 patients with kidney injuries is clotting so much, doctors have found, that it's clogging the filters in dialysis machines.

In some cases, intensive care doctors are finding that large catheters called cannulas are becoming clogged almost immediately in patients who are put on ECMO, a process that replaces the function of the heart and lungs if they're too damaged to work on their on own.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Apr 24th, 2020 at 01:47:35 PM EST

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Fri Apr 24th, 2020 at 04:25:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
COPD: Clearing Your Lungs

COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) is a long-term illness that makes it hard to breathe. When you have COPD, air does not flow easily into and out of your lungs. You may be short of breath, cough a lot, and have a lot of mucus in your lungs. Learning to clear your lungs may help you save energy and oxygen and may also help prevent lung infections.

This technique is used in a British hospital and with much succes!

How does coronavirus kill? Clinicians trace a ferocious rampage through the body, from brain to toes

How frontline doctors are saving coronavirus patients with innovative new techniques, sharing advice | Newsweek |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Apr 24th, 2020 at 07:43:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
My mom (77) died xmas 2019 of "complications" attributed to emphysema (COPD) 12 years after diagnosis. So I'm rather familiar with US "quality" and "continuity" of care drills at home or in hospital, indicated and contra-indicated RX, RX "side effects" as well as comorbid disease such as diabetes Type II (acquired, secondary condition), Medicare benefits schedules, and convergence of medical specialists and pulmonary equipment (eg. CPAP, BiPAP, ventilator) periodically assembled to maintain her ahh health.

I did previously mention the ultimate brief on "brain death" with the attending, while my brother grieved.

by Cat on Sat Apr 25th, 2020 at 04:32:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Nick Cordero's wife says he is 'recovering well' after doctors inserted temporary pacemaker
Nick Cordero's wife is giving an update on the Broadway star's health, who remains in a medically-induced coma after getting his right leg amputated over coronavirus complications.

Amanda Kloots told her followers Saturday that her husband is doing well after having a procedure Friday to insert a temporary pacemaker.

"He is recovering well [?] and doing really well with the pacemaker. His heart rate has been under control if everything goes well this weekend... on Monday they're going to put a trach (tracheostomy) in, take the ventilator out which will just make him more comfortable which is really great, and then also on Tuesday put a feeding tube in," Kloots said. "So that's their plans as long as this weekend is just kind of a steady resting recovery weekend."

putting people on life support because they can
by Cat on Sun Apr 26th, 2020 at 02:16:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Nick Cordero's coronavirus ["]recovery["]: Amanda Kloots shares update she hopes is 'great sign'
The [tracheostomy] procedure was scheduled for 3:15 p.m. [1 May], so Kloots asked her followers to sing at 3 p.m. in support of her Tony-nominated husband. ... And, later that day, Kloots returned to share some "amazing news": her husband is officially off a ventilator.
Amanda Kloots shared a positive update in her husband Nick Cordero's recovery from COVID-19: He is no longer on a ventilator.

"He is on the trach," Kloots exclaimed. "They did it! And he's OK, and he is free of the ventilator. Thank God."
On Thursday [30 Apr], Kloots said she's hopeful the Broadway star "will wake up" from a medically induced coma despite several setbacks in his recovery. During a virtual appearance on "CBS This Morning," Kloots said Cordero's blood count [CBC?] dropped "really, really low," suggesting there may be internal bleeding.
The drop in Cordero's blood count was the latest complication Cordero faced this week, according to Kloots, after the Tony nominee was making progress. In a matter of days [?!], Cordero developed a fever and went into septic shock when an infection in his lungs [?!] spread to his blood.

by Cat on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 06:15:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"less secretions from his lungs"

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Sun May 24th, 2020 at 06:48:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Apr 24th, 2020 at 08:08:34 PM EST
Great opportunity ... had some spare time ...

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri May 1st, 2020 at 04:34:37 PM EST
Spare time and apparently a bunch of spare parts stockpiled.
by rifek on Sat May 9th, 2020 at 01:51:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 08:50:30 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 08:54:57 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 09:01:53 AM EST
My calculation from the CBS - Dutch National Statistics 2020 compared to avg. of two previous years:

Deaths per 1M Pop.

Belgium    665
Holland    535
Spain      531
Italy      467
UK         405
France     377
Sweden     263
Ireland    256
USA        196
Germany     79
Iceland     29

These numbers make more sense, UK and USA catching up.

Icelanders, a remarkable pool of genes ...

Lessons from the past: Familial aggregation analysis of fatal pandemic influenza (Spanish flu) in Iceland in 1918

Iceland and COVID-19 Response

Related reading ...

Iceland's founding fathers underwent a rapid, 1000-year genetic shift

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 09:42:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 02:29:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Independent found the same thing that Politico found two weeks ago:

While most countries are only counting confirmed deaths in hospitals, Belgium is including all potential deaths in nursing homes -- even if COVID-19 has not been confirmed as the cause of death.

Experts argue Belgium's approach is more transparent, and that other countries are underreporting the total numbers of deaths. But there's also growing political backlash that Belgium's count could be just as misleading, but in the opposite direction.

The challenge (or uselessness?) of International League Tables between different countries who use different counting methods.

by Bernard (bernard) on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 03:49:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sweden's Coronavirus Death Rate Nearly Twice That of U.S. as Trump Says Country 'Paying Heavily' For Not Having Lockdown | Newsweek |

On Thursday, President Donald Trump noted the country was "paying heavily" for its decision. "Despite reports to the contrary, Sweden is paying heavily for its decision not to lockdown. As of today, 2462 people have died there, a much higher number than the neighboring countries of Norway (207), Finland (206) or Denmark (443). The United States made the correct decision!."

The country has reported more than 21,000 confirmed cases, including nearly 2,500 fatalities. Its death rate is nearly six times as high as that of Norway (nearly 2.6 percent) and nearly triple that of its other Scandinavian neighbors Finland (nearly 4.2 percent) and Denmark (nearly 4.9 percent).

Sweden also has more than double the number of confirmed cases as Denmark, nearly triple that of Norway and over four times as many as Finland.

Mortality in the most affected countries | John Hopkins |

Swedish PM warned over 'Russian roulette-style' Covid-19 strategy | The Guardian - March 23, 2020 |
'Closing borders is ridiculous': the epidemiologist behind Sweden's controversial coronavirus strategy | Nature |

Number of deaths across the US is not subsiding: last 21 days an avg. of 2200 deaths per day.

Source: Data on COVID-19 by Our World in Data

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 12:01:18 PM EST
Wot? No "LIBERATE SWEDEN!" all-caps tweet?
by Bernard (bernard) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 07:50:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And now the idiots here are holding up Sweden as a model for opening the economy back up.  The stupid, it burns.
by rifek on Sat May 9th, 2020 at 02:05:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Mismanagement, missed opportunities: How the White House bungled the coronavirus response | NBC News - March 14, 2020 |

Luciana Borio once worked on President Donald Trump's National Security Council, but she left last year after a purge of the global health unit.

So when she realized how bad the coronavirus outbreak was likely to get -- and saw that the Trump administration was not taking the necessary steps to contain it -- all she could do was take her case to the public.

"Act Now to Prevent an American Epidemic," was the headline of her Jan. 28 op-ed in The Wall Street Journal, in which she called for widespread testing and beefing up hospital preparedness. "The Wuhan coronavirus continues to spread at an alarming rate," she warned in a subsequent op-ed a few days later.

NPR Report: White House Knew Of Coronavirus' 'Major Threat,' But Response Fell Short

Dan Diamond on President Trump's listless attitude toward coronavirus testing:

    My understanding is he did not push to do aggressive additional testing in recent weeks, and that's partly because more testing might have led to more cases being discovered of coronavirus outbreak, and the president had made clear -- the lower the numbers on coronavirus, the better for the president, the better for his potential reelection this fall.

[Worthless graph as the data is provisional and cannot be compared at all - Oui]

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 12:04:09 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 12:15:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Worthless graph, because it is almost two months old. Not to mention the issues of death counting methods between different countries...
by Bernard (bernard) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 07:57:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Spread Of COVID-19 Coronavirus In The United States [Infographic]

Public Health Response to the Initiation and Spread of Pandemic COVID-19 in the United States | CDC |

Events and Gatherings

Various gatherings of persons from different locations, followed by return to their home communities, played a notable role in the early U.S. spread of COVID-19. During February 2020, the number of confirmed cases originating in the United States was low and appeared contained; thus, federal and local jurisdictions did not recommend restrictions on gatherings. However, during the last week of February, several large events led to further spread of the disease. These included Mardi Gras celebrations in Louisiana with more than 1 million attendees, an international professional conference held in Boston, Massachusetts, with approximately 175 attendees, and a funeral in Albany, Georgia, with more than 100 attendees (Figure 1). In the weeks after these events, amplifications in the host locations contributed to increasing U.S. case counts. Dougherty County, Georgia, a small rural county that includes Albany, had one of the highest cumulative incidences of COVID-19 (1,630/100,000 population) in the country. The substantial transmissibility of the virus and severity of COVID-19 triggered a series of recommendations, beginning in mid-March, to limit mass gatherings and travel (Table).

Workplaces and Settings Contributing to Accelerated Spread

Skilled nursing and long-term care facilities  and hospitals are settings in which persons at higher risk for severe COVID-19 illness are in close contact with staff members, many of whom work at multiple facilities. Other workplaces also facilitated amplification of virus transmission, including critical infrastructure sectors, such as multiple meat packing facilities in rural areas. Clusters of cases related to religious service attendance have been reported within the United States and worldwide. Congregate, high-density settings also might contribute to the spread of COVID-19.

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 12:05:06 PM EST

White House 'purge' campaign hunts for those lacking loyalty to Trump | MSNBC - Feb. 24, 2020 |

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 12:30:11 PM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 12:31:14 PM EST
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Misinformation During a Pandemic


We study the effects of news coverage of the novel coronavirus by the two most widely-viewed cable news shows in the United States - Hannity and Tucker Carlson Tonight, both on Fox News - on viewers' behavior and downstream health outcomes. Carlson warned viewers about the threat posed by the coronavirus from early February, while Hannity originally dismissed the risks associated with the virus before gradually adjusting his position starting late February

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 03:19:24 PM EST

Our Chief in White House cheering on protests in houses of democracy or State Capitols of Democratic Governors. The Law out of the barrel of a gun ... BIG MEN! Very stupid ...

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 03:36:36 PM EST
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Data per State -- USA

Deaths per 1M pop.

NY  1242
NJ.   849
CT.   653
MA.  544
LA.   422
MI.   388
DC.  351
CA.   55 !!

Quite a lopsided distribution across the States ...
RED country has been Liberated from the pandemic 🇺🇸🏳️‍🌈

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 04:30:23 PM EST
China: 3
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 04:53:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I know ... China is off the charts! But, ... but they ultimately knew what they were doing and needed to extend their Biosafety Level 4 (BSL-4) facility at Wuhan Laboratory to all of Wuhan city proper.


US germ warfare research leads to new early Covid-19 test | The Guardian |

    The test has emerged from a project set up by the US military's Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (Darpa) aimed at rapid diagnosis of germ or chemical warfare poisoning. It was hurriedly repurposed when the pandemic broke out and the new test is expected to be put forward for emergency use approval (EUA) by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) within a week.

In the meantime in fools paradise on the White House lawn ...

Trump Moves to Replace Watchdog Who Identified Critical Medical Shortages | NY Times |

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 06:04:32 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 07:48:59 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 02:32:30 AM EST
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Protests sweep California as governor promises changes to lockdown | The Guardian |

"Traitors!" the protesters screamed at police, according to a livestream of the protest produced by reporters from the Sacramento Bee.

Some protesters held signs questioning whether the coronavirus is real or promoting anti-vaccine conspiracies, while others protested the closure of businesses during the pandemic, arguing that all jobs are essential. Almost none of the protesters were wearing masks.

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 06:57:42 PM EST
Coronavirus has governors predicting big cuts in bid to balance their budgets | CBS News |

    States are facing a severe cash crunch as a result of the economic impact of the coronavirus, which has brought commerce to a standstill. Governors are contemplating unwelcome budget cuts as they wait to see if and when the federal government will provide any relief as their budgets come due in a couple of months.

    In New York, Governor Andrew Cuomo predicted a 20% budget cut for the state's schools, hospitals and local governments. And in Missouri, Governor Mike Parson paused about $227 million in state funding, including a freeze of $61 million that was slated for higher education. In Washington, Governor Jay Inslee has trimmed his spending budget by $235 million.

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 2nd, 2020 at 10:04:21 PM EST
Missing the UK and The Netherlands of Mark Rutte ...

The EU states will be joined by Norway in filling the immediate global funding shortfall estimated by the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (GPMB). Vaccines and treatments, say the leaders, will be made available throughout the world to developing nations with an emphasis on states in Africa.

    We will all put our own pledges on the table and we are glad to be joined by partners from the world over. The funds that we raise will kickstart an unprecedented global cooperation between scientists and regulators, industry and governments, international organisations, foundations and healthcare professionals.

    We support the WHO and we are delighted to join forces with experienced organisations such as the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the Wellcome Trust.

The urgent need for international unity in the crisis, and the warning that no country can go it alone, is stressed in an article in The Independent signed by German chancellor Angela Merkel; French president Emmanuel Macron; Italian prime minister Giuseppe Conte; Norwegian prime minister Erna Solberg; European Council president Charles Michel and Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission.

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by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 03:01:57 AM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 11:06:47 AM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 11:08:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 03:35:12 PM EST
Trump replaces HHS watchdog who found 'severe shortages' at hospitals combating coronavirus

A spokeswoman for the IG's office said Christi Grimm will remain in her current role as principal deputy inspector general.

"HHS OIG has for more than 40 years held a deep commitment to serving taxpayers and the beneficiaries of HHS programs," Tesia Williams said in a statement.

"Our professionals have risen to a variety of challenges, including our groundbreaking work fighting the opioid epidemic and health care fraud, as well as oversight of the planning, response, and funding for COVID-19. We will continue to serve the American people by ensuring that their health and welfare are protected."

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by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 03:36:45 PM EST
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Sat Jan 18th, 2020
Thu Jan 30th, 2020

DHS report: China hid virus' severity to hoard supplies
Not classified but marked "for official use only," the analysis states that, while downplaying the severity of the coronavirus, China increased imports and decreased exports of medical supplies. It attempted to cover up doing so by "denying there were export restrictions and obfuscating and delaying provision of its trade data," the analysis states.

The report also says China held off informing the World Health Organization that the coronavirus "was a contagion" for much of January so it could order medical supplies from abroad -- and that its imports of face masks and surgical gowns and gloves increased sharply.

Those conclusions are based on the 95% probability that China's changes in imports and export behavior were not within normal range, according to the report.

by Cat on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 09:46:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
From yr link ...

Science Says: What to know about the viral outbreak in China | AP News - Jan. 22, 2020 |


China has identified more than 500 cases and 17 deaths, most of the illnesses and all of the deaths in Hubei province. Cases have also been confirmed in Thailand, South Korea, Japan, the U.S. and Taiwan. The outbreak coincides with China's busiest travel season as people visit their families or go abroad for the Lunar New Year holiday. That travel rush is expected to spread the disease more widely.


Common symptoms include a runny nose, headache, cough and fever. Shortness of breath, chills and body aches are associated with more dangerous kinds of coronavirus, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In serious cases, the virus can cause pneumonia.

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by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 10:24:34 PM EST
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Let us also note, how early Mr Market signaled losses attributable to "lockdown" stalled production. And US gov eagerly anticipated return of manufacture, job growth, to USA.
by Cat on Sun May 3rd, 2020 at 11:24:55 PM EST
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'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue May 5th, 2020 at 09:15:23 PM EST

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