Mon Apr 20th, 2020 at 09:20:57 AM EST
The failures of the Westminster elite on coronavirus are no surprise - so why do we let them run Wales?
Today's Sunday Times article reveals a staggering level of hubris, incompetence and callousness shown by the UK Government and some of its close group of advisors in their handling of the coronavirus pandemic.
The report - published by a newspaper that wholeheartedly endorsed the Conservatives at the General Election - is perhaps the most damning article ever written about an UK government. It reveals that the entire response has been a shambles. This is a national catastrophe of a very British sort.
One of the UK Government's own scientific advisors has said that the UK could end up with the worst death toll in Europe. At least 15,000 people in the UK have already died of coronavirus, and perhaps many more since deaths outside hospitals remain underreported. These are children, grandchildren, parents and grandparents.
And given what we now know about the UK Government's early handling of the crisis, it's almost impossible to conclude that their incompetence has not contributed to the death toll.
We now know that back in January, Professor Neil Ferguson, one of the UK's leading infectious disease epidemiologists and a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, warned the government that this virus was potentially as lethal as the Flu Pandemic of 1918.
He highlighted the need for a "60% cut in the transmission rate" -- in other words social distancing and lockdown.
But Boris missed five Cobra meetings, not attending his first meeting until March.
More below the fold ...
○ Coronavirus contagion rate makes it hard to control: studies | Reuters - Jan. 25, 2020 |
Why did Dr. Neil Ferguson and his Imperial College Advisory group promote "herd immunity" for Boris Johnson's Tories, ministers and staff until mid-March when new reports showed this was doomed to FAIL in a major catastrophy?
PM Mark Rutte did not lead!!
Rutte listened to his scientists he repeatedly stated, hiding behind others in his decision making. A coward as far as I'm concerned, after meeting President Trump in the White House and giving extensive interviews to CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos in January. After Brexit, the Dutch are open for business and special favors. Didn't quite work out that way with a large order for ASML from China.
PM Mark Rutte feels comfortable to get behind the herd immunity crowd of RIVM ... or is it the science from the UK Imperial's College?
Imperial College: NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling Methodology -- People
Advisory panel members
Jacco Wallinga, Head, Modelling Infectious Diseases Department. The Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)
OutbreakTools: A new platform for disease outbreak analysis using the R software | NCBI Resources - 2014 | Int'l Group with Jacco Wallinga and Neil Ferguson
Dutch models of COVID-19 are designed to help prevent overloading of hospitals and the need to transfer patients. Thomas Angus/Imperial College London ...
Mathematics of life and death: How disease models shape national shutdowns and other pandemic policies
Jacco Wallinga's computer simulations are about to face a high-stakes reality check. Wallinga is a mathematician and the chief epidemic modeler at the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), which is advising the Dutch government on what actions, such as closing schools and businesses, will help control the spread of the novel coronavirus in the country.
The Netherlands has so far chosen a softer set of measures than most Western European countries; it was late to close its schools and restaurants and hasn't ordered a full lockdown. In a 16 March speech, Prime Minister Mark Rutte rejected "working endlessly to contain the virus" and "shutting down the country completely." Instead, he opted for "controlled spread" of the virus among the groups least at risk of severe illness while making sure the health system isn't swamped with COVID-19 patients.
○ Outbreak -- Herd Immunity Is Damning! by Oui @EuroTrib on March 14, 2020
Simultaneous announcements by UK's PM Boris Johnson and great ally Dutch PM Mark Rutte ...
○ BoJo Explains Rising Death Toll and Herd Immunity | ESSF - March 17, 2020 |
Coronavirus: Michael Gove defends Boris Johnson over missing meetings... but SDLP warns 'complacency will cost lives' | Belfast Telegraph |
The SDLP has accused the UK Government of complacency that "will cost lives and cannot be replicated here" after reports suggested the Prime Minster had not attended five meetings of the key Government Cobra committee in the build-up to the coronavirus outbreak.
Responding to the reports of what he called the "serious mishandling of the Covid-19 crisis", SDLP leader Colum Eastwood MP said the Conservative Government's "slow response to the global pandemic underscores the need for a bespoke island-wide strategy".
He said: "The response to the coronavirus crisis isn't a sectarian political issue. It isn't a matter of scoring points, it's about saving lives. Reports about the British Government's complacency, however, leave very serious questions about crisis coordination across these islands.
"The SDLP is committed to constructively working with all parties in the Executive as well as the British and Irish Governments to manage our response to Covid-19 and save as many lives as possible. That is not a blank cheque for anyone to operate free from scrutiny when the stakes are so high. There is simply no margin for error.
Coming out of the woodwork to offer a complete bullsh*t defense: former Trade Secretary Dr. Liam Fox ...
[Update-1] Efficient, Smart, Health Hi-Tech and Humane
○ Merkel 'greatly concerned' as public life in Germany starts to reopen | TheLocal.de |
END OF UPDATE
There is so much science and the experts do NOT know about the coronavirus and effect on the human body …
SARS_CoV-2 in COVID-19 patients is likely to infect the brain
A novel human coronavirus that is now named Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) (formerly called HCoV-19) emerged in Wuhan, China, in late 2019, is now causing a pandemic. The extent to which SARS-CoV-2 enters the brain may be partially responsible for respiratory failure in COVID‐19 patients. Arjen Brussaard, director of Amsterdam Neuroscience, discusses two recent studies that argue in favor of this so-called neuro-invasion hypothesis.
The first line of reasoning comes from Li et al (2020) J. Med. Virol. ‘Patients with COVID-19 have respiratory distress, and sometimes cannot breathe spontaneously. In addition, they may show neurologic signs, such as headache, nausea, and vomiting. Increasing evidence shows that coronaviruses are not always confined to the respiratory tract but may also invade the central nervous system inducing neurological diseases.’
Indeed SARS-CoV-1, the most closely related human coronavirus, has been reported in the brains from both patients and experimental animals, where the brainstem was heavily infected, and there is speculation that coronaviruses may spread via a synapse connected route to the medullary cardiorespiratory center from the mechanoreceptors and chemoreceptors in the lung and lower respiratory airways.
A second line of arguments underscoring the neuro-invasion hypothesis comes from a study by Baig et al. (2020) ACS Chem Neuroscience. ‘In the short time following the outbreak, it has been shown that - similar to SARS-CoV-1 - the SARS-CoV-2 virus exploits the angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptor to gain entry inside the cells. This finding raised the curiosity of investigating the expression of ACE2 in neurological tissue and determine the possible contribution of neurological tissue damage to the morbidity and mortality caused by SARS-CoV-2.’
Netherlands Institute for Neuroscience
○ Evidence of the COVID-19 Virus Targeting the CNS: Tissue Distribution, Host−Virus Interaction, and Proposed Neurotropic Mechanisms by Baig et al.
During a CNN panel discussion and interview this morning, front line doctors are perplexed by the intensity of the illness and once the patient needs Endotracheal Intubation, this condition is severe and the mortality rate is high. The virus infects the organs that leads to failure and often of the heart as well.
○ DoD COVID-19 Practice Management Guide
See image in comments section ...