Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

Reverse 'Incursion' of Coup d'Etat Feb. 2014

by Oui Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 12:20:33 PM EST

Article in The Guardian today seems as a likely option of Putin's intent. Getting rid of the fascist elements now dominating the pro-EU Kyiv government. As has been clear, Ukraine is run by corrupt oligarchs with some pro-EU and some pro-Russia. The intelligence unit SBU has the lead in corrupt matters, this is not what democracy should look look like. The election of pro-Russian Yanukovych was as democratic compared to earlier elections. After the Colour Revolution of the Maidan, the nation has been divided as never before with the unrest in Donbas and Odessa.

Russia urges Ukraine to investigate attack on consulate, demands better security | Tass - Dec. 24, 2021 |

[footage petrol bomb]


Most agreements for diplomacy such as the Minsk and Normandy format have not been complied with. NATO has thrown out former agreements with Russia and has thrown out the last representatives at the HQ in Brussels.

    Russia says it has notified its partners under the 1992 Open Skies arms control treaty that it will leave the group in December, following the departure from the accord by the United States late last year.

    "Russia has notified all the member states about its decision to withdraw from the Open Skies Treaty six months after sending a notice. Therefore, this will occur on December 18, 2021," the Foreign Ministry said in a statement on June 18.

Positions have only hardened since 2004. The new Cold War was a choice of Western powers, not Russia. With the new mission of NATO across the globe after 9/11, de defense goal has changed dramatically. With the Article 5 mission in Afghanistan 🇦🇫 that all changed for the worse. After the illegal invasion and occupation of Iraq in March 2003 came the support and initiative by the UK, France and Italy for military force for a Coup d'Etat in Tripoli to overthrow the Gaddafi regime. A colour revolution ending in military conflict and chaos ten years later. Immediately, the US, Arab States and Turkey continued the same blue print to overthrow Assad. The Syria campaign was an joint US-Israel fantasy of the Neocons from before 9/11. In Syria NATO too was involved as both the UK and France had historic ties. This quagmire and drama has not ended and has long lasting effect on the Syrian population, the neighboring countries and has accelerated xenophobia and Islamophobia in most European nations.

The clash of civilizations was fictional and has become a plan effected by rightwing parties and government as a route map to destroy society as we knew it. The weapons industry has taken priority of our lives in a fight fir survival if the climate crisis. Today all foreign policy has mutated in its previous mission of some solidarity and recognition of human rights. Third world country aid has been cut back and replaced by the 2.5 fee to NATO for our "protection". What a scam this is.

The ill-conceived R2P policy by the United Nations after the Yugoslavia split-up has been a recipe for disaster. The evil powers in the world has taken advantage of it and given nothing in return. Yemen is a human disaster and as is the African continent, still getting robbed of its minerals, precious metals by men and corporations getting away with murder. The displacement of peoples will only increase, so Fort Europe raise your bridges and fortify your walls to keep the unfortunates out.

Looking at history of past centuries, the Russian Federation has no other option but to react. Today is a last chance to give diplomacy a chance. Russia will not accept a no for an answer. Good luck and wisdom to Blinken and Lavrov in Geneva. I hold no hope as the war rhetoric was hardened positions on both sides. For me it is a Cuban missile crisis executed in reverse on the European continent. The highest risk as Europe is now represented by a foreign power the US, the battlefield and blood will flow in Europe starting in the Ukraine. Why did Zelensky leave Ukraine for a 2-day visit to Poland?

US accuses Russia of conspiring to take over Ukraine government | The Guardian |

The US has alleged that Russian intelligence is recruiting current and former Ukrainian government officials to take over the government in Kyiv and cooperate with a Russian occupying force.

The US Treasury on Thursday imposed sanctions on two Ukrainian members of parliament and two former officials it said were involved in the alleged conspiracy, which involved discrediting the current government of the president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy.

"Russia has directed its intelligence services to recruit current and former Ukrainian government officials to prepare to take over the government of Ukraine and to control Ukraine's critical infrastructure with an occupying Russian force," the Treasury statement accompanying the sanctions said.

A Russian view and source ... ⚠️

Moscow's Compelling Strategy | FPRI Eurasia - Jan. 18, 2022 |

How ambitious are Russia's foreign policy objectives, and how much force does Moscow believe it must employ to achieve them? Moscow has submitted various ultimatums, but the most critical and pressing issue is that the Kremlin now regards Ukraine as a permanently hostile country continuing to increase its defense capabilities. Russian hopes for improved relations with President Volodymyr Zelensky were dashed in 2021, and Moscow is now focused on reducing the long-term security risk posed by Ukraine, including halting its expanding defense cooperation with NATO. However, this is one of the most unrealistic and difficult demands for NATO to satisfy, particularly because Ukraine is developing long-range missiles domestically. This diplomatic impasse suggests a significant risk of a Russian military escalation in Ukraine with few obvious offramps.

....
In December 2019, a summit in the Normandy format (Germany, Russia, Ukraine, France) was held in Paris - the first for Mr. Zelensky. And so far the last one. The leaders of the four approved a list of steps to be taken to implement the Minsk agreements.

Kiev officially admits violating Minsk agreements -- LPR envoy

Translation:
Kuleba and Blinken divide Europe. Modern Yalta Conference-2022 😂
Does the US Secretary of State know that on this map the lands of Poland are also assigned to Ukraine? In particular, Przemysl and Chelm. Poles don't mind? 😜
But for some reason Kulebyak sends his guest to Kherson. What is the reason?

Secretary Antony J. Blinken and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba at a Joint Press Availability

While developing relations with the West, FM Kuleba ignored its powerful neighbour to the East ...

The MFA's main achievements, according to Kuleba, include the launch of the Crimean Platform, the development of a strategic partnership with Washington, London and Ankara, the emergence of the Associated Trio, the progress of the Lublin Triangle and Quadriga (bilateral dialogue with Erdogan, Turkey), Ukrainian leadership in the Danube region, NATO Enhanced Opportunities Partner status, as well as creation of the Foreign Policy Strategy of Ukraine.

Adopted back in the summer, the Strategy became the issue Kuleba paid the most attention to as a key achievement of Ukrainian diplomacy.

Quite likely when the Geneva talks fail miserably today, the Russian Federation united with Belarus will create a buffer zone along the long Ukrainian border as Zelensky & Co has become overtly hostile to its neighbour and the Russian speaking citizens of Ukraine.

As new PM of Rutte IV, announced a visit to Ukraine with new fresh FM Hoekstra, the former Financev Minister and leader of the rightwing Christian Democrats (CDA).

Apparently there was a misunderstanding as President Zelensky went on a brief 2-day holiday to Poland, a friendly state for Ukraine - see unison during WWII.

Nevertheless Rutte thought it appropriate to announce the willingness to provide defensive weapons to Ukraine, if asked by NATO. There seems to be some NATO coordination to fulfill weapons and arms requirements for a non-member in a state of war with its neighbour.

A stark warning to FM Hoekstra as PM Rutte sometimes loses sight of his colleagues and they end up in a backroom of Putin's Russian dasha. 😂

Dutch FM Halbe Zijlstra quits after lying about Putin meeting | SMH AU - Feb. 14, 2018 |

"We live in a country where the truth matters. [Rutte regulair collector of 5 Pinocchio's] That's why I see no other option than to resign," said Zijlstra, who had held the job for less than four months.

Zijlstra admitted that he had lied in 2016 when he said he had attended a meeting a decade earlier at which Putin reportedly spoke of plans for regional expansion.

He said he did not in fact attend the meeting but had heard second hand about the president's remarks - comments that led opposition parties to demand his resignation and that the Russian Embassy dismissed as "fake news".

The Russian Embassy said in a statement that Zijlstra's allegations "do not hold up against any criticism and are only intended to spread false perceptions of Russia's intentions."


Display:
Excellent thought ... we can start building right after solving the crisis between our superpowers ... hotspots Ukraine, Yemen, Taiwan ... purposely overlooking North Korea, Venezuela and Iran ... the minor issues.

The Dutch were renowned for its peace institutes with additional studies Polemology at most major Universities. In the last thirty years, the institutes of peace have transformed into think tanks ... strictly evolving with rightwing funding ... keeping in stride with development political parties. Not leading but trailing.

Dutch and Arms Control

Peace Research Institute Director Henk Neuman -- National Archive 1969-1982

1982 when the evolution to confrontation started ... who was President in the US? The peace initiatives lasted a bit longer until the end of the Cold War.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 01:17:27 PM EST
Preliminary result: no war next week.



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by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 02:14:54 PM EST


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by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 02:15:57 PM EST
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'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 03:50:56 PM EST

Translation:
I told President @ZelenskyyUa that Ukraine can count on our country's support. Poland rejects the concept of spheres of influence and supports full Euro-Atlantic integration of Ukraine. Thank you very much for this valuable visit and constructive consultation.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 05:00:33 PM EST
Poland rejects the concept of spheres of influence

I guess they messed with the Belarus elections and riots just for the fun of it, then?
by pelgus on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 05:06:58 PM EST
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Hijack: Plane Diversion from Minsk to Kyiv

Ukraine spies tried to ensnare alleged Russian war criminals with a fake website, promises of riches and an international sting

It was apparently of interest to US intelligence too, although US officials deny having a direct role. According to the Ukrainian intelligence officials, the Ukrainian-led operation got US cash, technical assistance and advice from the CIA on how to draw the Russian mercenaries in.

The US mercenaries convicted of Baghdad massacre were pardoned by the former President.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 05:56:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 09:15:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]


'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 08:08:12 PM EST
The charges were filed by the National Police of Ukraine. If convicted, Groszhans could be sentenced to life in prison, though Ustimenko said a sentence between 12 and 15 years was more likely. 

....
Calling himself "a deceived American investor," Groszhans wrote bluntly: "Roman Nikolaevich Leshchenko deceived me. And I have been suing him for several years." 

The American claimed that judges delayed his lawsuits, explaining that he "should understand who you are suing." 
Leshchenko's lawyer, Tetyana Kozachenko, told CBS News that the funds lent to him by Groszhans were "returned in full," and that the dispute was related to "business transactions."

Groszhans' attorney, however, said his client wanted more than the return of $250,000 in cash that was taken -- he was also seeking to cover the costs of "soy beans, corn, use of machinery" and legal fees totaling around $1 million.

Work in progress ... not a democracy yet 😂

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 08:09:06 PM EST
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'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 09:59:47 PM EST

'Out of touch': chilly Cheltenham gives Boris Johnson cold comfort

Never mind, hanging by a thread during an Ukrainian crisis. Survival mode.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 07:02:43 AM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 10:01:38 PM EST

Security Alert - U.S. Embassy Kyiv, Ukraine

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by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 10:19:22 PM EST

Russia's Top Five Persistent Disinformation Narratives

Of course the US and UK do not have a clean record on war rhetoric and getting media to publish lies and propaganda.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 10:48:03 PM EST


'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jan 21st, 2022 at 10:48:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Just out for a stroll ...

NATO to hold major naval drills in the Mediterranean Sea | DW News |

NORFOLK, Va. (Dec. 1, 2021) The aircraft carrier USS Harry S. Truman (CVN 75) departs Naval Station Norfolk Dec. 1, as part of Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group's (HSTCSG) deployment in support of maritime security operations and theater security cooperation efforts. The USS San Jacinto (CG 56), USS Cole (DDG 67), USS Bainbridge (DDG 96), USS Gravely (DDG 107), USS Jason Dunham (DDG 109) and HNoMS Fridtjof Nansen (F310) will support maritime security operations along with other coalition maritime forces. (U.S. Navy video by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Kris R. Lindstrom)

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 02:40:10 PM EST
SECDEF Orders U.S. Carrier USS Harry S. Truman to Stay in Mediterranean to Reassure Allies | USNI - Dec. 28, 2021 |

A U.S. carrier strike group is lingering in the Mediterranean Sea rather than journeying to the Middle East on orders from Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, USNI News learned on Tuesday.

USS Harry S. Truman (CVN-75), Carrier Air Wing 1 and its escorts are now operating in the Ionian Sea between Greece and Italy rather than resume a planned transit through the Suez Canal to U.S. Central Command, a defense official confirmed to USNI News. USNI News first reported the Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group in the Ionian Sea Monday, according to the USNI News Fleet Tracker. [Location near Crete]

The schedule change, blessed by Austin, is to reassure European allies of U.S commitment to regional security, one official said without mentioning the ongoing Russian military buildup on the eastern border of Ukraine.

Capt. Bill Speaks, spokesperson for European Command, confirmed that the Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group is operating in the Sixth Fleet's area of command. He could not comment on future operations as "these deployments are dynamic in nature and due to our operational security policy."

The ongoing border tensions between Moscow and Kyiv have been building over the past two months, after Russia began moving troops near Ukraine. Satellite images published by the BBC show buildup of Russian troops from as early as Nov. 9 in Russian cities around Ukraine, including in Crimea, which Russia invaded in 2014.

Remember, Ukraine is Biden's baby and wants to honor John McCain for his courage leading upto the Maidan.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 02:41:14 PM EST
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HMS Defender: AIS spoofing is opening up a new front in the war on reality

An incident involving a British warship off the coast of Russian-occupied Crimea on June 24 may have begun online - with a virtual voyage that never really happened.


British destroyer HMS Defender arrives at the port of Batumi, Georgia.  (Credit AP/UK Defense Ministry)

NATO representatives did not respond to requests for comment on the fake AIS. The tracks were confirmed as false by Dutch naval warfare news site Marineschepen.nl.

The AIS positions were shared with AIS aggregator MarineTraffic.com by a receiver station in Chornomorsk, which is close to Odessa. Other AIS aggregators also reported the false positions. HMS Defender was shown under the credentials that she is currently using, IMO 4907878. HNLMS Evertsen was reported as  Netherlands Warship MMSI 244942000. Both the Defender and Evertsen are part of CSG21, the carrier strike group centred around HMS Queen Elizabeth.

HMS Defender MS Evertsen #WeAreNato sailing for Crimea | Sept. 17, 2021 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 07:11:05 PM EST
Russia preparing to attack Ukraine by late January: Ukraine defense intelligence agency chief | Military Times - Nov. 28, 2021 |

Russia has more than 92,000 troops amassed around Ukraine's borders and is preparing for an attack by the end of January or beginning of February, the head of Ukraine's defense intelligence agency told Military Times.

Such an attack would likely involve airstrikes, artillery and armor attacks followed by airborne assaults in the east, amphibious assaults in Odessa and Mariupul and a smaller incursion through neighboring Belarus, Ukraine Brig. Gen. Kyrylo Budanov told Military Times Saturday morning in an exclusive interview.

Russia's large-scale Zapad 21 military exercise earlier this year proved, for instance, that they can drop upwards of 3,500 airborne and special operations troops at once, he said.


The Ukraine military's assessment of a how a potential attack by Russia would play out shows the country ringed by Russian battalion tactical groups, or BTGs. (Courtesy of Ukraine military)

NATO motto: Do not give diplomacy a chance.

NATO Mission Change and Supreme Allied Commander  Gen. Breedlove 2013-2017

For example, that reliable bellwether of Moscow-baiting hyperbole General Breedlove has asserted, and many have dutifully echoed, that Russia is "weaponising" Syria's refugees , deliberately fomenting migration to put pressure on Europe. [Source: Mark Galeotti - The Guardian]

The Americans appoint the most horrible war hawks as NATO Commander ☹

US Policy of Military `Re-alignment' and Obama's Military Think-tank | BooMan - Dec. 24, 2015 |

Gen. Breedlove (Ret.) is also on the board of advisors of the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), a think tank funded by the likes of Northrop Grumman, Neal Blue of General Atomics, Lockheed Martin, and the U.S. government, among other governments and corporations.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 07:20:46 PM EST
Did you notice in that hilarious table right next to the "battle plan" the Russian BTG strength has dropped 25% in preparation for an attack...

Not going into how many troops Russia would have in that area* even without any crisis and NATO countries dumping their expiring ammunition to Ukraine, one just have to wonder what all these hyperventilating morons experts will do, when "the attack" never materializes.

I mean, unlike Brig. Gen. Budalov, we could assume Mr. Putin would not want something like a war to spoil his visit in Winter Olympics in February.

* hint: the two military districts bordering Ukraine, Western and Southern, have about 400000 men between them, so anything between 150000-200000 would be a decent guess.

by pelgus on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 08:52:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sueddeutsche
Schönbach hatte mit Äußerungen über die von Russland annektierte Krim und den russischen Präsidenten Wladimir Putin Wirbel ausgelöst. Bei einem Besuch in Indien hatte er gesagt, die Halbinsel Krim sei für die Ukraine verloren, und damit der von Deutschland und seinen Partnern offiziell vertretenen Position widersprochen. Zu Putins Motivation hatte er erklärt, der russische Präsident verlange lediglich Respekt und verdiene diesen wahrscheinlich. Dieser Wunsch sei leicht zu erfüllen.
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 08:09:11 PM EST
... that the Russian president only demands respect and probably deserves it.

Crimea is returned to the Motherland ... Russia and Putin have been attacked in Chechnya by Jihadists rooted in Wahhabism (re: Afghanistan). Same intervention of Jihadists via Iraq and Libya in Syria of Assad. In 2008 Saakashvili miscalculated the support by America and George Bush in an election year and attacked Russian peacekeepers in South Ossetia.

The positioning of NATO weapons in the Ukraine is a direct security risk for Russia --- creeping expansion.  The US is unreliable to deal with, most treaties with Russia have been abandoned. Diplomacy has been absent for years. Russia has received harsh sanctions ... there are not enough benefits to deal with Europe. Russia can choose for Central Asia (Caspian Bassin) and fossil fuel delivery to China. Europe will be cut off as only Germany would be a large customer through Nord Stream 1 and 2. Russia is set to secure its frontier with a military buffer zone on the soil of the Ukraine. Likely ethnic cleansing and the zone would be a new "Iron Curtain" of mines. This is Russia's main border at risk ... needs urgent attention. No turning back as NATO and the Bucharest Nine will not meet the security demands of Putin.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 09:20:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The biggest obstacle for Ukraine to get Europe and especially NATO full backing.

Will Green Minister of Defense Baerbock sack the Commander-in-Chief of the Navy on the eve of hostilities.

The Federal Ministry of Defense distances itself from Schönbach's statements

The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry stated in a letter that the German ambassador had been summoned, saying it was about the "unacceptability of the statements made by the Commander-in-Chief of the German Navy, Kay-Achim Schönbach." Among other things, it is about his statement "that Crimea will never return to Ukraine and that our state will not meet the membership criteria for NATO".

This leak by Schönbach is an indication of high risk NATO is willing to engage Russia in a war. Numerous examples in history, reminds me of Barack Obama leaking intelligence Israel was in final planning stages to attack Iran and use airfields in Azerbaijan.

Hacks, leaks and disruptions -- Russian cyber strategies | ISS - 2018 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 09:43:43 PM EST
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But Ukraine is not a member, nor will it ever be, so what would be NATO's excuse to go to war?

Couldn't Schönbach's outcome rather be sign that the military wants the politicians to quit grandstanding and deal with the reality so that the military doesn't have to?

It's a very small clique that is actually willing to fight Russia over Ukraine (or for Baltic countries, for that matter), and most of the armed forces and civilians in the West or Ukraine are not in it.

by pelgus on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 09:59:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Vice Admiral Schönbach Takes Command Of The German Navy | Naval News - April 2021 |

On March 24, 2021, the Inspector General of the Bundeswehr, General Eberhard Zorn, handed over command of the German Navy from Vice Admiral Andreas Krause to his successor, Vice Admiral Kay-Achim Schönbach.

....
No one else before him was Navy Inspector for so long. His term of office was marked by a radical paradigm shift in Germany's security and defense policy. After 30 years of peace dividends and focusing on international crisis management, it was important to change course decisively in the direction of national and alliance defense. The operations of international crisis management, the recognized missions of NATO and the securing of the free sea routes also remain obligations of the Navy.

The Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA), India is organising a Talk by Vice Admiral Kay-Achim Schonbach, Chief of the German Navy on 'Germany's Indo Pacific Strategy' On Friday, 21 January 2022 from 1415h to 1530h

Ukraine demands public refutation of statement by German Navy commander on Crimea | UkrInform |

Publicity is always welcome ... otherwise it may have been missed by Western media. 🇩🇪  🇮🇳 😂

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 10:53:06 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 10:37:21 PM EST
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I guess Liz doesn't approve sanctions, either? Oh, wait, "rules based" means something different than based in mutually accepted rules...
by pelgus on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 10:46:27 PM EST
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One year after near overthrow of US Election in attack on the Capitol in Washington DC ...

Appeasing Putin in Ukraine would be disastrous for European security | The Atlantic Council - Jan. 5, 2022 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 09:53:52 PM EST

For telling the obvious truth ... never a war of choice, only as last resort. Peace ☮️

German navy chief resigns over controversial comments on Putin, Crimea | France24 |

Germany and warfare ... the Nuremberg Tribunals are real. Germans have been mostly peacekeepers ...

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 11:06:40 PM EST

German navy chief Schönbach resigns over comments on Putin, Crimea | DW News |

... courageous for not putting his men in harms way at the request of idiots in Washington DC. Europe has no appetite for war over Ukraine, corruption, oligarchs and a divided nation. #Maiden was not a revolt, it was regime change initiated by #nuland #pyatt #America.

The Dutch Referendum on the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement: Legal options for navigating a tricky and awkward situation | CEPS - April 8, 2016 |

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jan 22nd, 2022 at 11:56:21 PM EST
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A Softer Iron Curtain Falls in Ukraine | Forbes - Feb. 23, 2016 |

Throughout the Cold War, the symbolic center of the standoff between the Soviets and the West was Germany, split in two -- much as the whole of Europe was -- by the infamous Iron Curtain. But now, in Ukraine, a new center has emerged in the rivalry between East and West, dividing the country in ways that could prove just as enduring as the decadeslong partition of Germany.

This week marks the second anniversary of the Euromaidan uprising that drove former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich from power, shaking Ukraine to its foundations and driving Russia-West relations to their lowest point since the end of the Cold War. Much has changed in the two years since: A pro-West government formed in Kiev, Russia annexed Crimea, and a rebellion in eastern Ukraine developed into a full-fledged war. Meanwhile, the United States and the European Union have levied sanctions against Russia. Moscow has responded with countersanctions against the West. Economic activity between Ukraine and Russia has ground to a halt.

[Issue Stratfor]



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by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 12:19:16 AM EST
Russia's Possible Invasion of Ukraine | CSIS |

If peace talks fail, the Russian military has several options to advance into Ukraine through northern, central, and southern invasion routes. But a Russian attempt to seize and hold territory will not necessarily be easy and will likely be impacted by challenges from weather, urban combat, command and control, logistics, and the morale of Russian troops and the Ukrainian population. The United States and its European allies and partners should be prepared for an invasion by taking immediate economic, diplomatic, military, intelligence, and humanitarian steps to aid Ukraine and its population and shore up defenses along the North Atlantic Treaty Organization's (NATO) eastern flank.



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 12:20:21 AM EST
The Big Lie of a diplomatic solution ... comes out of the barrel of a gun.

Putin was right, Blinken and Biden can't be trusted and needs to act in self-defense or live in fear of a fascist regime in Kyiv.

US lost Afghanistan ... humiliated and Trump pulled out of Iraq and Syria leaving the countries in chaos and prey for Iran backed militia's and Russia in Syria.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 01:16:54 AM EST

Is it another war coming chap? Are the papers launching it with support from the DoD ... 🔥 ⁉️

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by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 08:31:00 AM EST

Only on Friday at the center of the storm in Geneva there was a brief lull in the confusion, now the warmongering has picked up steam again, as has the NATO arms shipments into a non-member country. Poor Ukrainians... the shot in Sarajevo heard around the world.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 08:36:19 AM EST
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I doubt that Putin will actually invade. A pity, as he could deal with all the Nazis Ukraine is full of. Here is a Guardian article that hilariously gives the game away. The picture of their van really is worth thousands of words (the caption is new; when the article first came out they obviously had no clue what they were doing.)
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 09:25:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The proper New Cold War way to "send a message" would be, me thinks, to allow Russian Air-Space Forces fully support Syrian Arab Army operations to return At Tanf area and Mayadin-Hasaka road with the adjacent oil fields under the control of Syrian government.

That would mean direct contact with US forces, but in a place and way US could really not protest strongly.

by pelgus on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 09:50:25 AM EST
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Aidar Battalion

Murderous crazies ... joy in killing for whatever cause ... against separatists in Chechnya ... against Armenia ... Liberate Georgia? Or meant to liberate South Ossetia and Abkhazia... in Iraq ... help me out for which faction??

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 10:11:36 AM EST
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Germany bans Estonia from transporting GDR-era howitzers to Ukraine

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 12:31:21 PM EST
Germany blocks Estonian arms exports to Ukraine | DW News |


Unlike the US, UK and Poland, Germany has opposed exporting weapons directly to Ukraine

For a clear eyed vision of Germany's position, see the speech of Vice-admiral Schönbach on Saturday ...

There are just a few nations abiding by treaties, agreements and International Law ... bravo Germany! Not so the Bucharest Nine. No torture, no rendition, no more lies. War is not a game. De-escalation by pouring in weapons ... vying for a blood bath.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 12:34:14 PM EST
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Former U.S. Ambassador to The Netherlands and Special Envoy to Baghdad to rebuild Iraq after the devastation ... painting a picture of the Ukraine.

There are just a few nations abiding by treaties, agreements and International Law ... bravo Germany! Not so the Bucharest Nine. No torture, no rendition, no more lies.

International Cooperation on Non-proliferation Export Controls: Prospects for the 1990s and Beyond

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 01:55:05 PM EST
The Salvador Option: Introducing death squads to Iraq , School of the Americas.

From El Salvador to Iraq: Washington's man behind brutal police squads | The Guardian - March 6, 2013 | .

Retired Colonel James Steele, whose military decorations include the Silver Star, the Defence Distinguished Service Medal, four Legions of Merit, three Bronze Stars and the Purple Heart, is not at home. Nor is he at his office headquarters in Geneva, where he is listed as the chief executive officer of Buchanan Renewables, an energy company. Similar efforts to track him down at his company's office in Monrovia are futile. Messages are left. He doesn't call back.

For over a year the Guardian has been trying to contact Steele, 68, to ask him about his role during the Iraq war as US defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld's personal envoy to Iraq's Special Police Commandos: a fearsome paramilitary force that ran a secret network of detention centres across the country - where those suspected of rebelling against the US-led invasion were tortured for information.



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 01:58:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
James Steele: America's mystery man in Iraq | BBC Documentary |

The Pentagon's "Salvador Option for Iraq" initiated in 2004 was carried out under the helm of the US Ambassador to Iraq John Negroponte (2004-2005) together with Robert Stephen Ford, who was appointed US Ambassador to Syria in January 2011, less than two months before the beginning of the armed insurgency directed against the government of Bashar Al Assad. Negroponte has an infamous record of involvement in torture, kidnapping, rape, extra-judicial killing and other police state crimes against democratic movements in Central America.

Part from my diary ...



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 02:02:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
For the sake of democracy here and in Europe ...

Joni Ernst to Vlad: "My message to you don't do it."

To my fellow Democrats and the former President ...

By-pass the US Constitution, throw out votes and stop the certification in US Congress.

I approve of this message ...

Get It?

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 02:48:47 PM EST


'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 02:49:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A day of American Democracy In shambles

A follow-up

Trump for US President in 2024 ...



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Jan 31st, 2022 at 12:23:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 02:50:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

From unnamed sources in our Intelligence community ...

Kremlin plan to install pro-Russian leadership in Ukraine exposed

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 03:00:00 PM EST
Always present for a bit of warmongering ... Iraq, Libya, Syria, and today Ukraine. Usually ends in chaos and human suffering ... in the limelight on MSM.

Bernard-Henri Lévy  @BHL
Ecrivain, philosophe. Official account created by L. Lazar.

Could all the #Putin's military maneuvers be a smoke screen for this? #Zelensky , #Poroshenko and all #Ukrainian patriots should pay great attention. It is the great heritage  of the Maidan that is at stake here.

Promoting article The New York Times:
Britain Says Moscow Is Plotting to Install a Pro-Russian Leader in Ukraine



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 08:51:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
French philosophers, a reading ...

Cafe-philo in English, with a French flavour

Michel Onfray: «Eric Zemmour n'est pas gaulliste, il est le FN des années 1970»

Bernard-Henri Lévy started his attacks against Michel Onfray in the media way before he read even one single sentence of the book. But Onfray counterattacked by brushing aside baseless attacks

'Freedom ceased to exist in France a long time ago,' says French left-wing philosopher Michel Onfray

"Bernard-Henri Lévy" and Love for Israel

Love for Israel and Hate for Russia in ideology of French writer Bernard-Henri Lévy in 2015.

He must be confounded by friendship between Russia and Israel plus the divided opinion of Israel with Ukraine.

Yad Vashem Apologizes for Historical Error at World Holocaust Forum | Haaretz  - Feb. 3, 2020 |

The maps presented in the video erred in their depiction of the borders of Poland and its neighbors, and contained no reference to Ukraine, currently in the midst of an ongoing conflict with Putin's Russia. It confused concentration camps with death camps, and contained additional historical information that was either only partial or mistaken.

For political gain and national interest, Netanyahu hosted a Who-Is-Who in global authoritarian regimes from Azerbaijan, Arab states, Rwanda, Hungary, Poland, Russia, Philippines, Brazil and of course Trump & Co.

Yad Vashem and Holocaust: Putin's Private Party

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 09:07:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Guardian
The unusual Foreign Office revelation on Saturday night that British intelligence had unmasked a plot to install a Russian puppet government in Ukraine was issued alongside a lengthy release from Downing Street in effect claiming Boris Johnson was now at the helm of an anti-Russian alliance.
So Putin has nothing to worry about (apart from dying of laughter)
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 09:22:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
LOL 😂

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 09:40:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Is this the same plot Zelensky already threw some of his opponents in jail for, or this a new one? I'm a bit confused now whether Russia is supposed to invade or organize a coup - or both?

Considering that Zelensky was elected as a "peace candidate", because he promised to solve the issues with DPR, LNR and Russia diplomatically and quicly, I wonder why Russia would want to replace him...

What I wonder most is if there's anything left for Russia to do to pressure "West", since Foreign Office and MI6 seem to be already busy on the job.

by pelgus on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 09:47:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Silence from Downing Street 10 .... shrubbing carpets and doing minor repairs.

From a year ago ...

Haven't seen BJ on the rounds of Sunday interviews or talk shows!



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 10:08:25 PM EST



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 10:10:12 PM EST


'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Jan 24th, 2022 at 01:40:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 10:11:41 PM EST


'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 10:45:19 PM EST


'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 10:47:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Dmitri Alperovitch, haven't we heard of him before ... certainly not with Ukraine's effort pro-Hillary in 2016 presidential election. 😁

Dutch Fake News, Warmongering, Anti-Russia Propaganda

More on CrowdStrike ...

The Trail of VP Alperovitch @CrowdStrike

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jan 23rd, 2022 at 11:25:27 PM EST


'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Jan 24th, 2022 at 12:11:40 AM EST


'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Jan 24th, 2022 at 12:12:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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