Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

Financial Crisis of 2022-25

by Oui Thu Dec 15th, 2022 at 07:10:43 PM EST

Update: The Brief — Casus belli | EuroActiv |

UK banking rules in biggest shake-up in more than 30 years | BBC News |


ECB: Inflation to last longer

Determination and resilience to break the Russian gas monopoly on Europe

UNECE - Executive Committee (EXCOM)

As to the important  question of energy resilience in Europe, this time last year, we started to see the first signs of unprecedented high gas prices and market volatility. This has since been exacerbated by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and its weaponisation of gas through subsequent cuts in gas supplies.

Since the start of Russia's war in Ukraine, 13 Member States have been cut off from Russian gas - either partially or totally.

We have seen a 76% reduction in gas flows from the East. At the same time, flows from Ukraine are down by 83%.

Nord Stream 1 and 2 were blown up in Europe's defense and promote national interests

So far, the European gas system has proved to be resilient and able to absorb alternative gas supplies to replace Russian gas.

More time needed to break Russian economy

The United States has rallied over 30 allies and partners around the world to impose drastic costs on Russia and the U.S. led coalition will continue to increase pressure on Putin. In the span of a few months, U.S. exports to Russia, including of critical technology inputs Putin needs to maintain his military, have decreased approximately 97%. Russia's imports of goods from around the world could fall by 40%. Factories across Russia are struggling to maintain production. Russia's GDP will likely decline by double digits, inflation is rising to over 20%, Russia's struggling to make bond payments, and Russia's defaulted on its sovereign debt for the first time in more than a century.

Stern warning from Stoltenberg, war may spread to NATO

Need to stand United behind a corrupt endeavor

h/t Cat for his recent and many posts scrutinizing double talk from the White House, Pentagon and NATO HQ. War hawks galore.

The Brief — Casus belli | EuroActiv |

The news broke at a time when the US said plans to send to Ukraine the sophisticated Patriot air defence system were in an advanced phase.

The Patriot air defence system reportedly requires trained personnel in large numbers. The US could of course train Ukrainian servicemen, but reportedly the process would take six months. Another solution – in theory – is to have US or NATO personnel operate the system on the ground.

This, of course, would mean “boots on the ground”, a new phase in the war in which NATO member countries would become – or be regarded by Russia – as co-belligerent. In such a scenario, Russia would certainly see it as legitimate to retaliate against NATO targets.

Although such a development would not necessarily trigger World War III or a nuclear holocaust, the security risks would increase dramatically.

MERRY CHRISTMAS

Remember our heroes in Ukraine, sacrificed so we can live in riches and "freedom" ... didn't the Aztecs offer human sacrifice to appease the war gods? What does it take to appease our Atlantic war hawks of Pax America and the criminal war racketeering. #fossiltfuel #coal #lockheed #raytheon #halluburton #WeAreNato

Europe's new natural gas suppliers ... QatarGate and Azerbaijan friendship

As corruption scandal unfolds, Germany's Habeck wants to keep Qatar gas | Politico |

Borrell urges the Jungle to supply more fossil fuel to the Garden

Crisis in the Lachin Corridor

From the comments ...

Azerbaijani aggression of war on Armenia has the support of Turkiye, Israel [and EU] ...

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Hey ... optimists lose confidence in a soft landing.

Amnesia and Gaza Genocide

by Oui on Thu Dec 15th, 2022 at 09:04:02 PM EST


Amnesia and Gaza Genocide
by Oui on Thu Dec 15th, 2022 at 09:35:58 PM EST
Finazagentur GmbH | Issuance plan of the Federal government for 2023, 14 Dec
In the coming year, the German government intends to issue Federal securities with a total volume of around €539 billion. It is planned that a total of €274 billion of that amount will be raised on the capital market in auctions of conventional Federal securities and further €242 billion will be issued on the money market. In addition, €15 billion to €17 billion will be raised via Green Federal securities and €6 billion to €8 billion via inflationlinked Federal securities.

As a general rule applicable to all Federal securities, amounts and issue dates stated in the annual preview may change, depending on the financing requirements and liquidity situation of the Federal government and its special funds, and/or subject to conditions on the capital markets.
[...]

WaPoo | Russia is destroying Ukraine's economy, raising costs for U.S. and allies, 15 Dec
Before those strikes, Kyiv expected to need at least $55 billion [per month] in foreign assistance next year to meet basic expenses -- more than the country's entire annual prewar spending.

Now, with its energy systems severely battered, and more Russian attacks likely, some officials believe Ukraine could end up needing another $2 billion a month, and political leaders have begun trying to brace Western supporters for such worst-case scenarios.[...] Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal, at an international donor conference in Paris on Tuesday, said the contraction next year could reach 9 percent [?!] depending on the severity of continued Russian attacks.
[...]
Some aid promised for this year was slow to materialize, FORCING Kyiv to print money and devalue its currency to ensure its economy remained competitive [?!], contributing to a spike in inflation of more than 20 percent.

wut
Western supporters do not like to admit aloud: THE KREMILIN has made Ukraine's economy a pivotal theater of the war -- one in which Moscow is arguably having far more success than on the front lines, where its troops have struggled.

"How does an economy function at all -- while supporting the war effort -- with this level of damage to civilian infrastructure? I don't think we've ever seen this," said Simon Johnson*, an ["]economist["] at MIT who is in communication with Ukrainian officials. "I can't think of any economy that's ever tried to do this."

wut
Mining and manufacturing -- which make up roughly one-fifth of Ukraine's economy -- are among the hardest-hit sectors. Two of the country's biggest steel plants, located in the industrial southeast [oh. DONBAS], shut down last month because of blackouts. Dozens of coal miners had to be rescued after a power failure trapped them underground.
[...]
* former "odious debt" voice of IMF in the Panic of '08 and innerboob muse
by Cat on Thu Dec 15th, 2022 at 09:40:16 PM EST


Amnesia and Gaza Genocide
by Oui on Thu Dec 15th, 2022 at 09:57:47 PM EST


Amnesia and Gaza Genocide
by Oui on Thu Dec 15th, 2022 at 09:58:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Infantino doesn't get many decisions right .... this was a no-brainer.

Fu*king idiot elevated in spheres of irrational arrogance ... stop stupid wars. #StopNato #rejectjoe

Amnesia and Gaza Genocide

by Oui on Fri Dec 16th, 2022 at 02:01:24 PM EST
War Hawks Can Never Deliver Message of Peace

A gotspe



Amnesia and Gaza Genocide
by Oui on Fri Dec 16th, 2022 at 03:00:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Calling Bill Browder to launch an attack on Infantino ...

Translation:
People from all over the world came here to Qatar, the atmosphere was fantastic. The whole world discovered the Arab world and understood that the prejudices that existed had no reason to exist: it is probably the most important legacy of this World Cup, the mutual opening of two worlds that did not know each other. The Qataris have opened their doors to everyone and whoever has been here will return to their country and be able to tell about it, it is a mutual understanding between peoples

One year ago Zelensky was a unpopular president who promised peace during his election campaign. He failed, the neo-nazis won ... Ukraine lost. NATO doesn't represent the global community, thank goodness.

Amnesia and Gaza Genocide

by Oui on Fri Dec 16th, 2022 at 05:55:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Call for Peace ... In an actor's fantasy to play-act.

Zelensky proposes 'global peace summit' for Ukraine to G7 nations | France24 |

For Zelensky his world extends to Western Europe and the Five Eyes nations. The G7 is hardly a representation of the World community.



Amnesia and Gaza Genocide
by Oui on Sun Dec 18th, 2022 at 07:46:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Running out of Pinocchio's ...

So predictable .... started with Ronnie Reagan and William Clinton leading the way fin de siècle to detriment of all, especially the less fortunate in society ... wiping out cohesion and solidarity ... replaced by narcissism and inequality. Libertarians.

Amnesia and Gaza Genocide

by Oui on Thu Dec 22nd, 2022 at 09:24:14 AM EST


Amnesia and Gaza Genocide
by Oui on Thu Dec 22nd, 2022 at 09:56:46 AM EST
Compared to the UK and Canada where healthcare per capita spending is $5,400, in America the costs are above $12,300.

New Report Confirms U.S. Life Expectancy has Declined to Lowest Level Since 1996 | CDC Press Release |

"Historic," "horrific" and "alarming": Demographers are struggling to find the best adjective to describe falling life expectancy in the United States. It's a decline that has been deepening over the last two years, under the combined effects of Covid-19 and structural factors in American society.

Related ...

Charted: Healthcare Spending and Life Expectancy, by Country

Amnesia and Gaza Genocide

by Oui on Thu Dec 22nd, 2022 at 11:13:55 PM EST


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