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Zelensky A Leader Failed to Rise from the Ashes

by Oui Sat Apr 16th, 2022 at 06:08:06 PM EST

Eisenhower Warning: Military Industrial Complex

Battlefield Ukraine 🇺🇦

Defend our borders from over there ...

Volodymyr Zelensky: 'Ukraine fights back' | Kyiv Independent - March 13, 2021 |

Untimely revelation puts the Zelensky regime under pressure from US Treasury and beholden to the White House and Pentagon.

Revealed: 'anti-oligarch' Ukrainian president's offshore connections | The Guardian - Oct 3, 2021 |

Report by the infamous Luke Harding!

It was a storyline that in earlier times would have seemed impossible. For four years, the actor and comedian Volodymyr Zelenskiy entertained TV audiences in Ukraine with his starring role in the sitcom Servant of the People. Zelenskiy played a teacher who, outraged by his country's chronic corruption, successfully runs for president. In 2019, Zelenskiy made fiction real when he contested Ukraine's actual presidential election and won.

On the campaign trail, Zelenskiy pledged to clean up Ukraine's oligarch-dominated ruling system.

The Pandora Papers, leaked to the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ) and shared with the Guardian as part of a global investigation however, suggest Zelenskiy is rather similar to his predecessors.

The leaked documents suggest he had - or has - a previously undisclosed stake in an offshore company, which he appears to have secretly transferred to a friend weeks before winning the presidential vote.

In a recent opinion piece for the Atlantic Council, Zelenskiy said his ultimate goal as president was to destroy "the traditional oligarchic order" and to replace it with a "fairer system". Critics, however, say Zelenskiy has failed to reform the state and embraced the same shadowy ways as his predecessors. EU auditors warned last month that "grand corruption and state capture" remained widespread in Ukraine.

Since entering politics Zelenskiy has been dogged by claims he is under the influence of Igor Kolomoisky, a billionaire whose TV channel screened Zelenskiy's show.

Fighting a Hybrid War with Hybrid Means: Zelensky Sanctions Pro-Russia Media and Parties | Wilson Center - Feb 22, 2022 |

Faltering fightback: Zelensky's piecemeal campaign against Ukraine's oligarchs | ECFR - July 6, 2021 |

On 12 March this year, Ukraine's president, Volodymyr Zelensky, released a short appeal on YouTube called "Ukraine fights back". He declared that he was preparing to take on those who have been undermining the country - those who have exploited Ukraine's weaknesses in particular, including its frail rule of law. He attacked "the oligarchic class" - and named names: "[Viktor] Medvedchuk, [Ihor] Kolomoisky, [Petro] Poroshenko, [Rinat] Akhmetov, [Viktor] Pinchuk, [Dmitry] Firtash". He proceeded to address the oligarchs directly, asking, "Are you ready to work legally and transparently?" The president went on, "Or do you want to continue to create monopolies, control the media, influence deputies and other civil servants? The first is welcome. The second ends."

Ukrainians have heard this kind of talk before. Zelensky's predecessor, Poroshenko, also made `de-oligarchisation' a policy pledge. So, is this Groundhog Day, with the same empty promises, or is anything different this time? The signs are that some change may now be afoot in Ukraine, although it is proceeding in fits and starts, and with no small number of setbacks. And Ukraine's international situation is having a significant influence over this.

The wording reveals that Zelensky's démarche is as much about strengthening Ukraine's national security and handling its relations with Russia as it is about taking on corruption and improving his own standing. Since the start of the year, Russia has increased its pressure on Ukraine, leading Zelensky to seek help from the United States. And the arrival of the Biden administration means that, to receive American help, Zelensky must reduce his ties to his traditional oligarch partner, Kolomoisky, who is now under US sanctions. Once again, moves by Russia and the US have a direct influence on Ukraine's domestic political trajectory.

Ukraine Caught Between East and West, Red and Blue | Oct 3rd, 2019 |

Zelensky had no power to change the trajectory of events, he became a political football kicked and roughed up by both the Kremlin and the White House in conjunction with a disastrous US Congress. Hatred, covert action, feeding conspiracies in the mix, disinformation and a compliant Western media (re: Operation. Mockingbird) and decades, if not centuries of conflicts sealed the fate of the Ukrainian and Russian people. Shame! A global power play that will have a decisive impact for this century. The planet is starving, so too will the people trying to make ends meet and get food on the table.

After 8 Years, Maidan Massacre Unsolved

Unsolved Maidan massacre casts shadow over Ukraine | Atlantic Council - Feb 18, 2020 |

Imagine a European capital city where dozens of unarmed protesters are shot down in broad daylight. Now imagine that six years later, those responsible for the slaughter have still not been brought to justice. Inconceivable? Incredibly, this is precisely the situation in today's Ukraine, where scores of protesters participating in the country's Revolution of Dignity Right Sektor Revolt were killed in the vicinity of Kyiv's Independence Square (Maidan) in late February 2014.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who has inherited this thorny case from the previous administration of Petro Poroshenko, says that everything is being done to uncover the truth about these crimes. Emphasizing that he and his team have the political will and determination to see this through, he nevertheless cautions that enduring flaws in the legal system still stand in the way.

Zelenskyy acknowledged last week that the killings on Maidan remain "the most complicated case in our country." He told the media that evidence and documents have been lost, while the scene of the crime has been tampered with and "cleaned up." He could not say when those who gave the orders would be found ...

It is easy to understand why the Kremlin would encourage conspiracy theories about what actually occurred on Maidan. More surprising is the failure of the post-Maidan Ukrainian authorities to prioritize a credible and definitive investigation into the killings. Indeed, while the overall veracity of the "heroic narrative" has never been in doubt, the motives for this inaction by the Poroshenko administration, which some consider amounted to a de facto cover-up, have raised questions and invited further conjecture.

Maidan's importance as a turning point in modern Ukrainian history and as a catalyst for the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War mean that the unsolved killings will not go away. On the contrary, they will remain an open wound until the nation can achieve some kind of closure.

Anne Applebaum's Dull Conspiracy Existence | MofA - Feb. 28, 2014 |

Several diaries written at the time of the coup d'état ...

The "Snipers' Massacre" on the Maidan in Ukraine | Researchgate - 2015 |

This academic investigation concludes that the massacre was a false flag operation, which was rationally planned and carried out with a goal of the overthrow of the government and seizure of power. It found various evidence of the involvement of an alliance of the far right organizations, specifically the Right Sector and Svoboda, and oligarchic parties, such as Fatherland. Concealed shooters and spotters were located in at least 20 Maidan-controlled buildings or areas. The various evidence that the protesters were killed from these locations include some 70 testimonies, primarily by Maidan protesters, several videos of "snipers" targeting protesters from these buildings, comparisons of positions of the specific protesters at the time of their killing and their entry wounds, and bullet impact signs. The study uncovered various videos and photos of armed Maidan "snipers" and spotters in many of these buildings. The paper presents implications of these findings for understanding the nature of the change of the government in Ukraine, the civil war in Donbas, Russian military intervention in Crimea and Donbas, and an international conflict between the West and Russia over Ukraine.

Leaked Phone Call: Tymoshenko's 'Nuland' Moment? | RFERL - March 25, 2014 |

A crackly recording has been posted on YouTube that appears to catch former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko using salty language and calling for all Russians remaining on Ukrainian territory to be killed with an atomic weapon.

The publisher, "Sergiy Vechirko," alleges the call took place on March 18 -- two days after Crimea's referendum calling for reunification with Russia. He also identifies the speakers as Tymoshenko and the former deputy secretary of Ukraine's National Security and Defense Council, Nestor Shufrych.

The conversation is mostly in Russian, with Shufrych bemoaning the state of affairs in Crimea before Tymoshenko brusquely cuts him off, saying, "Screw it, we should take up arms and kill the goddamned katsaps" -- derogatory Ukrainian slang for Russians -- "along with their leader."

She adds, "I'm sorry I'm not there right now -- there's no way they would have gotten Crimea away from me."

Shufrych goes on to say that a mutual acquaintance, "Viktor," asked what Kyiv should do about the 8 million Russians still living on Ukrainian territory.

"We should hit them with an atomic weapon," Tymoshenko answers back.

Right Sektor Returns to Mass Protests and Violence In Kiev | by Oui - Oct 14, 2014 |

Ukrainian parliament to debate legalization of OUN-UPA on Oct. 14 | TASS/RT News |

The Verkhovna Rada will debate a draft law legalizing the OUN-UPA nationalistic organization and a possible ban on the Communist Party, a lawmaker said.

Oleh Tyahnibok, head of the parliamentary faction of the radical nationalistic party Svoboda (Freedom), said on his Facebook page that the draft law suggested recognizing OUN-UPA (Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists -- Ukrainian Insurgent Army) members as "freedom fighters."

UPA fought mostly against the Armia Krajowa of Poland, the Red Army and Soviet guerrilla fighters in Western Ukraine. The OUN-UPA men, whom people began to call the Bandera men, by the name of their leader, are guilty of numerous crimes. For example, they physically destroyed some 100,000 Poles, Czechs and Jews in the Western Volyn Region. Thousands of Ukrainians, who refused to cooperate with OUN, were also brutally murdered. For all those crimes, as well as for terrorist activities on the Polish territory before the war, Bandera is now regarded as a criminal and terrorist in Poland.

To place this war and the Ukrainian far right in its historical context, Rania Khalek was joined by Tarik Cyril Amar, a historian from Germany, who is currently associate professor of history at Koc University in Istanbul, working on Russian, Ukrainian, and generally East European history.

Zelensky orders more weapons to save Mariupol

Former German defense minister Von der Leyen in her new role as EU Commissioner …

As the destruction of war continues, more empty promises … IOU

De-nazification near Mariupol, Donbas and Eastern Ukraine ...


⚡ #Russian Forces announce they will destroy the nazis in #Azovstal since they do not want to surrender.

#zelensky is definitely winning the PR war from the Russians ... all in all a very poor situation he got trapped in ... a lose-lose proposition over the last twelve months.


Moscow views eliminating Ukrainian nationalist battalions as priority task | Tass |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 10:05:40 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 11:06:20 AM EST

ITV News  PS Ben Wallace as Defense Minister recent visit was the first in 12 years and Liz Truss made herself a complete fool in the Kremlin ... no loss there.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 11:10:28 AM EST
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by Cat on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 07:25:27 PM EST
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Azov Battalion had previously asked Kyiv permission to surrender. Answer was 'nyet'.

Earlier Zelensky had stated he was willing to talk to Kremlin and reject NATO membership for security guarantees from allies.

White House and London won't  budge.

Today in a Sunday foreign policy panel discussion with Onno Ruding, Wierd Dok and an assistent Defense Secretary Christophe van der Maat (1980). The first two offered a realistic view conflict needs to be resolved by talks. Obvious the Donbas and Crimea will remain part of Russia to protect the Russian speaking citizens. Zelensky under pressure from nationalist groups has not offered peace to the Donbas, but antagonized opposition parties and banned the Russian language.

The participant Van der Maat had no input whatsoever and repeated the NATO and White House policy: not an inch of Ukrainian sovereign territory will be Russian.

Conclusion of discussion, highly likely a nuclear confrontation will happen. Absurd ... M.A.D.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 11:13:13 AM EST
I don't trust that one minute.

There's video everywhere documenting Azov declarations not to surrender as well as UAF enlisted admitting their commanders' exec decisions to abandon arms and surrender.

by Cat on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 04:25:48 PM EST
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Indeed no verification ... is an extreme large underground complex from Soviet era. Unknown number of defenders left, already large group has surrendered ... some 1,700 fighters.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 06:23:40 PM EST
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'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu May 12th, 2022 at 06:18:17 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 05:26:35 PM EST
Zelenskiy says Ukraine willing to discuss neutrality at Russia talks | The Guardian - March 28, 2022 |

He used a video interview with independent Russian media outlets to signal his willingness to discuss the idea of Ukraine adopting a "neutral status", and also make compromises about the status of the eastern Donbas region, in order to secure a peace agreement with Russia. But he said he was not willing to discuss demilitarisation, and said Ukrainians would need to vote in a referendum to approve their country adopting a neutral status.

Zelensky has changed his position and the peace talks have been "postponed". Turkey is still willing to host talks, PM Bennett of Israel has halted calls with Putin.

Ukraine says Russia wants to split it in half, like North and South Korea | SMH Australia |

Pentagon willing to deliver heavier weapons to Ukraine with risk of an enduring conflict.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 09:22:43 PM EST
$2.4B of $13.6B appropriated a/o 13 Apr
$50B from G7 to cover budget deficit
unspecified IMF loan for "reconstruction"

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky tersely stated that western countries are assisting Ukraine, but Kiev has yet to pay for it.

"The money allocated by Europe and other nations is spent only on humanitarian aid or weapons. Sometimes we receive weapons directly, but you have to understand that everything has its price," he claimed.

Zelensky added that "whenever the money that we get is mentioned - well, it all came at a cost, it's not for free."

Perhaps the CBs will proportionately split Russia's forfeit assets so long as UA repays in EUR?
by Cat on Sun Apr 17th, 2022 at 10:20:27 PM EST
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CNN | Former UK prime minister has a plan to prosecute Putin and his inner circle, 15 Apr A/V (EN) a special tribunal along side the ICC, requested by Zelensk*
by Cat on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 12:13:47 AM EST
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Sideline of UNGA - Sept 2, 2019

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 06:13:16 AM EST
Ukraine's president finally gets date for White House visit | ABC News - July 21, 2021 |

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, whose hopes for a White House meeting played a central part in former President Donald Trump's first impeachment, will finally get his chance for an Oval Office sit down late next month.

The White House announced in June that President Joe Biden had extended an invitation to Zelenskyy for later in the summer. But the administration decided to publicly announce the exact date of Zelenskyy's visit -- Aug. 30 -- as a top State Department official confirmed that the U.S. and Germany had come to agreement on a controversial Russia-to-Europe gas pipeline that Ukraine vehemently opposes.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 06:15:15 AM EST
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 06:16:31 AM EST

#❤️🇺🇦 nationalist theme: Ukraine for Ukrainians only. Russian language banned and Russian speaking citizens in Donbas should be ethnically cleansed.

Analysis: Ukraine bans Kremlin-linked TV channels | Atlantic Council - Feb 5, 2021 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 07:44:18 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 10:09:46 AM EST
Ukraine peace drive hits first bump, but Moscow says `Normandy' summit possible | EurActiv - Oct. 10, 2019 |

Ukraine refused to pull back troops in its restive east, saying for the second time this week that continued shelling by pro-Russian separatists there precluded the implementation of a disengagement agreement.

Moscow, however, said the door was still open for a fresh meeting of the leaders of Russia, Ukraine, France, and Germany (the so-called Normandy Four) to discuss resolving the five-year-long conflict in the Donbass region, in which UN monitors say more than 13,000 people have been killed.

In a breakthrough this month, negotiators from Ukraine, Russia and the rebels agreed that Kyiv would grant the rebel region special status and hold local elections there. Under the agreement, rebel fighters and Ukrainian troops would also pull back from the line of contact.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy's decision to support the peace plan previously rejected by Kyiv has triggered protests in Ukraine, with some opponents accusing him of capitulation. Zelenskiy has said he would "never betray Ukraine".

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 10:10:36 AM EST
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Ukraine got the leadership it fought for during Maidan Revolt ...

Ukraine crisis: Opposition leader Klitschko booed in Kiev | BBC News - Feb. 21, 2014 |

Ukrainian opposition leader Vitaly Klitschko has been booed by anti-government protesters in Kiev's Independence Square, hours after signing a deal with President Viktor Yakukovych aimed at ending the country's political crisis.

The agreement means a presidential election would be called earlier than planned, by the end of 2014.

However one activist from the Right Sector, a radical group, took to the stage to demand that Mr Yanukovych resign even earlier - by 10:00 local time (08:00 GMT) on Saturday.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 10:11:22 AM EST
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Zelensky unchained: What Ukraine's new political order means for its future | ECFR - Sept. 25, 2019 |

Like many populists, Zelensky came to power by demonising his predecessor; indeed, he appears determined to overturn almost every aspect of the old regime. He is both the latest and, in many ways, the most radical example of an insurgent outsider who has won power. His successes entitle him and his movement to comparisons with Donald Trump and Emmanuel Macron's La République En Marche! Some have even likened his Servant of the People party to the Bolsheviks.

Zelensky defies easy analogies: he is a specifically Ukrainian phenomenon. This paper examines the origins and significance of Zelensky's meteoric rise, considers his prospects for transcending Ukrainian politics as normal, and sets out recommendations for Western partners of Ukraine to follow as they support the country in the next stage of its eventful post-independence journey.

Ready for a reset

Ukrainian presidents always lose power at the end of their first term - and Zelensky's predecessor, Petro Poroshenko, was no exception. Zelensky is the sixth Ukrainian president since independence in 1991. Only one has won re-election - Leonid Kuchma in 1999 - but he did not do so by free and fair means. Support for every president of Ukraine has declined at similar rates during the course of their term.

But the mood around this year's presidential election portended change even more strongly than at previous polls. Seventy percent of Ukrainians thought the country was heading in the wrong direction, and only 16 percent the right direction. Attitudes towards political institutions were extraordinarily negative: only 16 percent of Ukrainians trusted the president and 70 percent did not, giving Poroshenko a trust rating of minus 54 percent. Trust in the government was even lower, at minus 63 percent - and hit minus 72 percent for the Rada, Ukraine's parliament.

Zelensky's top aide survives after gunmen open fire on his car | France24 - Sept 22, 2021 |

President of Ukraine on the attack on Serhiy Shefir's car: They will not intimidate us

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 10:16:09 AM EST
The Betrayal of Volodymyr Zelensky | The Atlantic - Dec 3, 2019 |

Zelensky realized that he needed an American understanding of the situation confronting him, so he sought the advice of a former Obama-administration official named Amos Hochstein, who served on the board of supervisors for Naftogaz, Ukraine's state gas company. During a nearly three-hour session, Zelensky asked pointed questions; he found the mayor's relationship with the president maddeningly unclear. Was Giuliani an official representative of the Trump administration or a freelance operator? Did Zelensky have a diplomatic obligation to meet with him? And why did Giuliani want to cause so much trouble for a presidency that hadn't even begun?

Representative Adam Schiff's impeachment hearings made it so. For two weeks in November, American members of Congress talked about Zelensky with casual intimacy: They offered insights into his thinking; they expressed outrage on his behalf; and they bandied about his past statements, as if they could be sure of exactly what he'd meant.

If Zelensky was paying close attention to the hearings, he likely despised how the committee routinely described his nation as hopelessly corrupt. The corrupt part was fair enough--Zelensky won the presidency on a promise to dismantle the kleptocracy--but the hopeless part was not. Indeed, his victory embodied his nation's faith that it might succeed where the rest of the formerly Soviet world has failed.

Four days before Zelensky's inauguration, the oligarch Ihor Kolomoisky boarded a private jet. The fourth-richest man in Ukraine--a figure both accused of ordering contract killings (which he denies) and hailed for fending off Vladimir Putin--was returning home from self-imposed exile in Israel to the city of Dnipro. The plane descended toward a skyline dominated by Kolomoisky's monumental construction, the Menorah Center, seven marble-and-glass buildings in the shape of a candelabra: the largest Jewish community center in the world.

Before returning to his native city, he told reporters that he "will not be the shadow leader of the country and the gray cardinal." It was the sort of denial that suggestively implies everything it ostensibly refutes.

Kolomoisky's return was triumphant, but his exit had been ignominious. The government had nationalized the bank he'd founded after discovering a $5.6 billion hole in its ledgers. Investigators reported that the bank had fraudulently loaned Kolomoisky and his business partner massive sums (both men deny this). A court in London froze $2 billion of their assets. When Kolomoisky departed Ukraine, he said he feared that the government would "invent" a criminal case against him.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 10:17:13 AM EST
High Court judge says it would be unfair to force Ukrainian billionaires to fight $4.2bn fraud trial | London CityAM - Apr 7, 2022 |

A High Court Judge has halted a $4.2bn fraud trial after claiming it would be unfair to force two of Ukraine's richest men to fight the court battle due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The High Court Judge adjourned the court battle between Ukraine's biggest bank, Privatbank, and Ukrainian billionaires Gennadiy Bogolyubov and Ihor Kolomoisky, as he agreed with the argument that the war in Ukraine would prevent the two billionaires from preparing for their trial.

The judge said current laws banning males between the ages of 18 and 60 from leaving Ukraine may lead to issues in trying the two Ukrainian billionaires, as he said that while both men could in theory tune in remotely, they could also face difficulties in establishing a stable internet connection.

Delaware Judge Presses Pause on Ukrainian Oligarchs' Legal Case in U.S. | CleveScene - Aug. 25, 2021 |

Joseph Slights, Vice Chancellor of Delaware's Court of Chancery, filed the 41-page opinion. He ordered that the suit, which was initially filed by Ukraine's PrivatBank in 2019, can't go forward just yet. But he denied an outright dismissal of the case, as the defendants had hoped for. 

As Scene first reported in 2019, PrivatBank alleged that Kolomoisky and Bogolyubov oversaw a scheme to fraudulently procure loans from PrivatBank, which they owned from 2006-2016, and to launder the proceeds through various shell companies around the world. They are alleged to have ultimately used those proceeds to acquire U.S. metallurgical and real estate interests.

Why Giuliani eyed 2 Ukrainian oligarchs -- Dmitry Firtash and Ihor Kolomoisky -- for help in digging dirt | NY Times - Nov 25, 2019 |

Related reading ...

Financial loopholes exploited by authoritarians to fund political interference in democracies | Alliance for Securing Democracy - Aug 2020 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 10:22:33 AM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 12:50:54 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 12:54:06 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 12:58:10 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 01:02:44 PM EST
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h/t Cat my diary Ukraine: President Zelenskiy A Servant of Trump

US Policy of Military 'Re-alignment' and Obama's Military Think-tank | Dec 24, 2015 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 01:25:56 PM EST
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Gonzalo Lira - Chilean

"If you haven't heard from me in 12 hours or more, put my name on this list. GL"

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 05:08:05 PM EST
I've tuned into Duran programming almost every day since The Invasion week. Duran also operates a multi-user, Wordpress site; paying subscribers acquire permission to comment and post "diaries". I watched Lira graduate from chat contributer to regular Zoom-box personality--Our Man in Ukraine (actually, center city Khark*v apartment). An invidious effect is, Duran trimmed its prior short-list of invited guest-experts (primarily fin/fund analysts drawn from YouTube channels) to zero. Though I caught his introductory c.v. ("banking" to film industry, writer/director), I've still no idea why he immigrated, iirc, 4 years ago, to Ukraine of all places on planet earth.

Lira's primary influencer ROLE, AFAICT, is confirming Mercouris and Christoforou presentiments--informed by MSM reporting, RU media articles, interpretive readings of select ministerial READOUTS, and site users' comments and Qs--from his virtual tower of solitude/loneliness (for a week or so, this topic pre-occupied his hosts' perception of distant combat). They not only encouraged him to espouse cargo cult knowledge and beliefs on any topic--typically, public figures (which inadvertantly revealed idiosyncratic sophistication)--they promoted his YouTube channel. One could hardly be concerned for his safety as he gave little to zeroo indication of danger in or around Khark*v until the BUCHA flag and RU withdrawal from suburban K**v.

While I have been greatly moved over the past 2 months by Lancaster's recorded reconn under shelling in several Donbas locales, I cannot recall Lira's interest in any or sympathy for the well-being of their plight.

I do recall Lira casually dropping his SBU detention prophecy into one of the mutual admiration portions of each program just before then--some five weeks ago. The topic his mental health evolved with his importance to Duran broadcast reach into manifest paranoia--real or imagined SBU surveillance, retreat to undisclosed housing arrangements, and 12-hr "wellness check". Last week he inexplicably promised to post a video-documented excursion to a grocery shop to display a range of local product inventory.

I listened to this guy Saturday, not Friday, morning You can too. Is Galloway's Sunday night OUT CRY to 1M fans of Lira's "disappearance" premature--a case of WiFi technical difficulty or a tribute to Peng Shuai self-censorship? Only time will tell if he finally managed to escape the cauldron with a script.

by Cat on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 09:27:35 PM EST
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a subplot that only two hacks could love
by Cat on Mon Apr 18th, 2022 at 09:41:44 PM EST
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published by Seeking Alpha, an early FT skunk works, and benefactor of the notorious Felix Salmon.
by Cat on Tue Apr 19th, 2022 at 12:09:01 AM EST
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Here's Intel Slava Z - reposting what they have found out regarding Lira so far...

If anyone knows where Gonzalo Lira is, please make a single bicep pose 7:21 AM April 18 2022

Source @Anabel_Villeroy

Meet Azov Neo-Nazi Sergey Velichenko, call sign 'Chile', who allegedly kidnapped Gonzalo Lira, according to AFU 🇺🇦 /botsmanua.

Сергей Олегович is said to be one of the authors of kneecapping Russian POWs.

IG: chilli_1654
Telegram: chilli_1654

Allegedly tracked down with support from on-line bloggers at Daily Beast ...

RIP Gonzalo

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Apr 19th, 2022 at 06:11:01 AM EST
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no proof of death either, not even a trophy photo or personal memento, as is the custom.

Azov--unlike ISIL/ISIS/DAESH/al-Quaida-in-the-* whose PR savvy western press depended on to confirm or deny rumored atrocities--can scarcely be considered an authoritative source of facts from battle fields. First of all, western press can't agree that Azov militia operate independently of the UAF or how they are integrated in UAF command structure.

Why, just this morning, to commemorate the official start of NATO-designated "phase 2" of Russia's offensive in Donbas-Mariupol, CNN discovered that revnants of Azov brigade No. x, barricaded in the Azovstal plant for two months, had discovered women and children in the basement who inexplicably were not counted among POWs eligible for trade or evacuation.

Obviously, "degrees of atrocities" attributed to them--whether true or false--by unauthorized or uncredentialed reporters contradict NATO's confidence in UAF discipline, European values, and RFA's exclusive perpetration of war crimes. Which leaves "social media" operators ample opportunities either to discredit, valorize, manufacture, or monetize by sheer repitition  an exemplary patriotic figure--general, warrior, journalist, artist, widowed and orphaned refugee--one "meme" of war to represent the obscurity of countless combat zones. Kherk*v, for example. What's been happening in this city, this region, those settlements, this weekend, this month, while voyeurs fretted that "chili" and Gonzalo might miss "the fall" of Mariupol?

by Cat on Tue Apr 19th, 2022 at 09:14:09 PM EST
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Exhibit n+1

trade marked with uncanny resemblance to vintage DailyKos GRAPHIC WARNING

by Cat on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 03:02:13 PM EST
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  1. PUTIN'S WAR ended at Tabloid USA. Some time last week editorial management stopped publishing a front-page ISW "situation map", or readers' guide. Although Zelensk* headline of the day still ledes domestic disturbances, management isn't even linking to it.  

  2. TIME deprecated at YouTube. I first noticed this format alteration appeared generalized a few weeks ago: end of date stamps on disassociated account assets, ie. YouTube automated "suggestions". The Story of a Ukrainian Sniper (below) is an example of anachronistic info and content management systems disintermediate knowledge formation. In this case in the context of PUTIN'S WAR, the oldest comment is 4 years, the latest is 1 day.
by Cat on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 08:09:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
@IronForge - 258

Thanks for the info though not happy to see it. I wrote that Lira was risking his life with his comments way back on March 6th and was surprised nothing happened sooner but it still remains awful to see play out.

One of those in the picture is former Azov Commander Maksym Zhorin, seen here boasting that Azov do not forgive lies and slander, and here gloating over the executed remains of a pro-Russian mayor in the, overwhelmingly pro-Russian, region of Luhansk, i.e. the execution by outsiders of someone who almost certainly represented the will of his community.

By itself this should be more than enough to open a criminal investigation against Zhorin in relation to Lira's disappearance but unless the Chilean, or another, government puts some pressure on people I won't expect anything to happen.

Posted by: Brannagyn | Apr 19 2022 6:39 utc | 271

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Apr 19th, 2022 at 08:01:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
повідомлення від Жорін з Азову

Колаборанта Володимира Струка, мера Кремінної Луганської області знайшли вбитим! Зрадник, який так хотів «руского міра» ще в 2014му, таки розплатився за все.

Мабуть, хотів і зараз здати місто окупантам, але не встиг. Отримав, що заслужив.



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Apr 19th, 2022 at 08:04:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Executed on the spot by Azov fighters ...

Four mayors turned out to be traitors in the Luhansk region - the Head of the Regional Military Administration | PravdaUA |

The mayor of Kreminna, Volodymyr Struk, was found dead with a gunshot wound to the heart on 2 March. According to his wife, he was abducted on 1 March by people in camouflage uniforms. At one time, he was the deputy from the "Party of Regions", supported Russia, was suspected of promoting the self-proclaimed "Luhansk People's Republic" group, but he won the 2020 elections.

On 1 March, the Luhansk Regional Prosecutor's Office opened a criminal case for treason (Part 1 of Article 111 of the Criminal Code) against the head of the Markivka amalgamated territorial community and the head of the Milovka amalgamated territorial community. They are accused of having sided with Russia and helped the Russians to carry out subversive activities against Ukraine.

After the Russian forces left Bucha, the National Guard imposed punishment on "collaborators" on a huge scale.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Apr 19th, 2022 at 08:05:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

ancient web rule: Nobody knows you're a dog on the internet

ancient web vendetta: @Not-a-fan

< wipes tears >

That's quite a "hotel room" set up for a RU spy.

by Cat on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 02:29:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 Nice find ... 🙏🏽 hoping this is for Real.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 03:37:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
See post on earlier thread MofA

Brannagyn | Apr 21 2022 13:47 utc | 385

The account offers zero photographic or video proof of life, something that would be easy to do. it has also not reached out be email to Gonzalo's friends or family. All signs point to it being fake.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 04:16:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Here pictured is the alleged murderer of Gonzalo Lira ...

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 04:37:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"Путин - Хуйло" - author of the hit "Putin - fuck off!" Released from custody to fight for Ukraine | Feb. 28, 2022 |

Sergei Velichko, known as Chile, was in jail on suspicion of racketeering.

ATO veterans are being released from detention centers.

Some prisoners are being released from custody to take part in the defense of Ukraine. This was announced on February 28 by Prosecutor General Irina Venediktova. She also mentioned that the author of the song "Putin is a bastard!" This is a representative of the Kharkiv "National Corps" Sergei Velichko, a suspect in the racket, who was in jail.

Each of the released has significant combat experience in the anti-terrorist operation zone in 2014-2015. All of them are ardent opponents of the "Russian world", and one is the author of a famous song by Ukrainian fans about the main aggressor.

An update on the sensational video with the torture of captured Russian servicemen of the Russian Armed Forces was captured on March 25 on the eastern outskirts of Kharkov. People who shot at the feet of bound soldiers have been identified - fans of Kharkiv Metalist Sergei Velichko nicknamed Chile and Konstantin Nemichev[Костянтин Немічов].

Unfortunately NOT TRUE ...

Russian special forces capture Ukrainian torturers | PravdaRU - Mar 29, 2022 |

According to most recent reports, Ukrainian military Konstantin Nemichev and Sergei Velichko recorded a video message, in which they stated that they were still in Kharkov. They were not captured by the Russian special forces, they added.

These men lived for another murder or execution ...

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 04:45:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Last night Alex Christoforou of The Duran published a short video talk with Gonzalo Lira (vid).

h/t MofA: Gonzalo Lira is alive

Disappeared on April 15th at 13:00 hrs ... arrested by the SBU ... his computer and phone have been confiscated. All social media messages are not his and all new accounts nether.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 02:56:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Indeed dual citizenship Chile and the US.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Apr 23rd, 2022 at 05:07:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
titled "April Fifteenth Seventeenth Or Eighteenth I forget" forthcoming.

by Cat on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 12:00:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's sweet that, thought authorities have EMBARGOED his natural person, his SBU interrogators replaced his phone and laptop.
by Cat on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 12:33:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Which would you prefer?


IWPR is registered as a charity in the United Kingdom (charity reg. no: 1027201, company reg. no: 2744185); in the United States as a not-for-profit organisation with tax-exempt status under IRS section 501(c)(3); and as a charitable foundation in The Netherlands.
SOUTHFRONT, 21 Apr Kherson
KHARK*V CITY NEWS, 22 Apr City News
by Cat on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 12:55:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Pentagon John Kirby: NATO countries provided new platform and parts to keep the UAF in the air. Platforms are fighter planes. In essence, to increase their fleet size.

Backfilling NATO MiG Transfers to Ukraine Not Quick or Easy | Air Force Mag |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 07:59:17 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 07:59:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
... the Department of Defense's chief spokesperson JOHN KIRBY told reporters that Kyiv had "received additional platforms and parts" -- with "platforms" meaning aircraft -- to increase its fleet size.

That sent reporters, including your friends here at NatSec Daily, off to figure out what new planes Ukraine now had and who gave it to them.

But it turns out that Kirby misspoke ...

Another LIE!

I listened to the press briefing and John Kirby spoke quite clearly and emphasized in typical Pentagon arrogance that "platforms" were aircraft. He refused to clarify further specifics how and where these crossed the border into Ukraine. A very dangerous path the US White House and Pentagon are on.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 03:19:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ukraine receives fighter planes, parts to bolster air force: Pentagon | AFP/France24 |

Ukraine has received fighter planes and aircraft parts to bolster its air force in the face of Russia's invasion, the Pentagon said Tuesday, declining to specify the number of aircraft or their origin.

Ukrainian forces "right now have available to them more fixed-wing fighter aircraft than they did two weeks ago," Pentagon spokesman John Kirby told reporters.

"Without getting into what other nations are providing, they (Ukrainian forces) have received additional platforms and parts to be able to increase their fleet size," he said.

Kirby did not specify the type of aircraft delivered to the Ukrainian military, which had been pleading for warplanes for weeks, but suggested that they were Russian-made.

"Other nations who have experience with those kinds of aircraft have been able to help them get more aircraft up and running," Kirby said.

He underscored that while the United States had helped with the shipment of some parts, it had "not transported whole aircraft."

Kyiv has asked its Western partners to provide MiG-29 fighter jets that its pilots already know how to fly, and which a handful of Eastern European countries have.

Ukraine has received new warplanes, source unnamed - Pentagon | JPost |

"They [Ukraine] have received additional aircraft and aircraft parts to help them get more aircraft in the air," Pentagon Press Secretary John Kirby.

Transcript has been updated to leave out part about platforms meaning aircraft ...

Pentagon Press Secretary John F. Kirby Holds a Press Briefing - April 19, 2022 |

A few hours later came a denial by Ukrainian Air Force.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 06:40:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 06:50:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 08:00:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Repeat of Iraq ...

Pentagon has shipped over $2.5bn worth of lethal weapons and more ..
nearly the same sum as Ukraine's yearly defense budget.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 02:56:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 06:07:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 08:01:34 AM EST
Ze promoting a Columbia on the Dniepr
by Tom2 on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 12:57:39 PM EST
Both Marcy Wheeler and Glenn Greenwald put a separation wall between their reporting at The Intercept and Pierre Omidyar.

Journalism After Snowden: The Future of the Free Press in the Surveillance State

Edward Snowden's release of classified NSA documents exposed the widespread government practice of mass surveillance.

The Intercept: Omidyar Co-funded Ukraine Revolt | by Oui on Mar 1st, 2014 | h/t Mark Ames

Omidyar Network helped topple Ukrainian president in 2014 | Manila Times |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 05:05:13 PM EST
Obama's war on whistleblowers leaves administration insiders unscathed | The Guardian - Mar 16, 2015 |

Five key political players enjoy `virtual impunity' - while four lower-level figures are in prison or facing time.

On his watch, there have been eight prosecutions under the 1917 Espionage Act - more than double those under all previous presidents combined.

Omidyar and Nazis in Ukraine | 2017 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 05:05:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 05:06:52 PM EST

Glenn Greenwald's Self Hack: "I could go on and on" | by Marcy Wheeler - Oct 30, 2020 |

As you've no doubt learned, Glenn Greenwald left The Intercept in a huff after editors wouldn't let him publish an article repeating the last illogical rant he made about "censorship" of a non-story about Joe Biden (I unpacked the earlier piece here, and did an interminable thread on the interminable piece he wanted to publish as part of this thread).

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 05:08:24 PM EST

Frau Baerbock kicks ass .... CDU Chancellor Angela Merkel.

Germany's Scholz tries to dodge criticism over Ukraine heavy weapons deliveries

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 08:05:14 PM EST

The Dutch have been on a war footing ... no room for diplomacy or ceasefire talks.

Propaganda War in Europe: The Far-Right Media

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Apr 20th, 2022 at 08:06:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

On TRT World news item President Erdoğan has invited both sides to return to negotiations and a ceasefire. The West is more inclined to prolong fighting to diminish military might of Russia.

Situation may worsen if Ukraine war prolongs: FM Çavuşoğlu

Elaborating on the relations between Turkey and the United States, the minister welcomed a letter by the U.S. State Department to the Congress endorsing the sale of F-16 fighter jets to Turkey.

"We attach importance to the letter in a positive way. Congress needs to be persuaded. It is the Biden administration that will convince the Congress," he said.

Çavuşoğlu noted that Washington invited him to meet U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken on May 18.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 07:28:08 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 05:44:17 PM EST

Putin hails liberation of Mariupol, calls off operation to storm steel plant

Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu told Putin that the sprawling Azovstal steel plant where Ukrainian forces were holed up was "securely blocked" while the rest of the city was "liberated," which Putin hailed as "success."

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 05:45:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

"If the war is allowed to go on with explosive weapons in urban areas, I cannot fathom how it will be in months from now. We need a ceasefire now," @NRC_Egeland tells @CNN live from Lviv, #Ukraine this morning.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 06:46:18 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 06:46:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Lyndon B. Johnson and the Vietnam War

The major initiative in the Lyndon Johnson presidency was the Vietnam War. By 1968, the United States had 548,000 troops in Vietnam and had already lost 30,000 Americans there. Johnson's approval ratings had dropped from 70 percent in mid-1965 to below 40 percent by 1967, and with it, his mastery of Congress. "I can't get out, I can't finish it with what I have got. So what the hell do I do?" he lamented to Lady Bird. Johnson never did figure out the answer to that question.

Now it's an experienced Joe Biden leading the nation in the wrong direction ... Pax Americana as the Romans remember.

Poll: Many Americans think Biden 'not tough enough' on Russia over Ukraine | TRT World |


'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 10:18:57 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 10:26:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Good find Oui :
LBJ = Putin

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 10:42:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Lyndon Baines Johnson and the war on poverty in Texas

I disagreed on foreign policy and the troops surge in Vietnam, but on many domestic issues Johnson was a great president with courage. A real Texan. In today's terminology, LBJ was a socialist, quite European.

Your comments often illustrate your quite shallow thinking, but go ahead if that is what makes you tick.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 02:39:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You're quite right, it was a cheap shot. LBJ was indeed a progressive president. Putin isn't.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 03:03:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Because Obama was inexperienced in Foreign Affairs he relied on VP Biden. Even worse, as Senator Obama was schooled by Lieberman on the Middle East and foreign affairs ... made poor choices on team of advisors ... nomination of Hillary was not just clumsy, but a disaster ... Susan Rice and Samantha Power with R2P policy ... 8 years wrong direction .... drone assassinations ...Iraq, Afghanistan (nixed advise in 2009 from Richard Holbrooke), Libya and Syria. War crimes and crimes against humanity. Gross failure in so-called reset with Russia ... initiated policy to make Russia a pariah state ... regime change Kyiv 2014 ... US Congress pressed this policy forward last two decades.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Apr 21st, 2022 at 10:23:02 PM EST

If Turkey can still be in NATO, why not a India-UK defense agreement!?

by Tom2 on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 10:10:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Boris is desperate to find people to sign treaties with, to demonstrate the triumph of "Global Britain".

Next stop : north Korea?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 10:45:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Noam Chomsky on How To Prevent World War III | Current Affairs |

The eminent scholar on the worsening threat of nuclear warfare, how to end the war in Ukraine, the self-justifying myths propagated by imperial powers, why the Global South finds American moralizing laughable, and more.

Professor Noam Chomsky is one of the most influential public intellectuals in the world. He has written more than 100 books, including, most recently, Consequences of Capitalism: Manufacturing Discontent and Resistance, co-authored with Marv Waterstone, and, forthcoming, The Withdrawal: Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, and the Fragility of U.S. Power by Noam Chomsky with Vijay Prashad. He is currently the Laureate Professor at the University of Arizona and Professor Emeritus in the MIT Department of Linguistics and Philosophy. Professor Chomsky recently came on the Current Affairs podcast to talk to editor in chief Nathan J. Robinson about the threat of nuclear war, how American culture often promotes indifference to the suffering of people in other countries, and the history of U.S. foreign policy that brought us to this point. This interview has been lightly edited for grammar and clarity. The full exchange can be listened to here.

I was sent a article written by Hubert Smeets who attempted to smear the live-long work of Chomsky as nothing more than an attack on imperialistic America. We should all join the media effort to support NATO in its stand against a dictator. Hubert Smeets is a journalist and historicus known for his blog a Window on Russia. Khodorkovsky and the Henry Jackson Society would be proud of him.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 08:17:42 AM EST
I guess this is the article :
According to Noam Chomsky, Ukraine was not allowed to wear such a short skirt
Seven weeks after the start of the war against Ukraine, linguist Noam Chomsky finally appeared at the front. As always, the 93-year-old American had a relentless case again. Putin is not dear, but Biden is more to blame. America wants to suck the Russians into a "cruel guerrilla" just like in the 1980s in Afghanistan. He also has a solution. Putin must be given an "escape." This is possible if Ukrainians obediently come to terms with neutrality, the autonomy of Donbass in the federal state structure and the eventual loss of Crimea, Chomsky told the site last week. Current affairs† The alternative is "the destruction of Ukraine and nuclear war".

Shorter Chomsky : "The cause of every problem in the world is American imperialism. I got that right in the 1960s, and nothing ever changes."

He should have prolonged his silence.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 10:57:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Chomsky is completely right here. I see that NATO central would be happy as a clam if they could keep the meat grinder going for years, but that's hardly a moral stance.
I'm still surprised how successfully two imperial powers fighting a (proxy) war over who gets to be the hegemon in a piece of territory is somehow treated as this new and unique crime and not the most common thing in European history.
by generic on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 12:14:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There is a fairly large concensus among the citizens of Europe that those days are meant to be over.

This isn't a proxy war; it is a war between a hegemon which disagrees that those days are over, and a nation which aspires to join that concensus, but has the misfortune to have a long border with the aforesaid hegemon.

The danger for Europe is that letting the hegemon win the war sets a, to put it mildly, dangerous precedent.

I'm not a nationalist; international borders are largely arbitrary historical accidents; but allowing a hegemon to revise them by military conquest is ALWAYS a bad idea. Nevertheless, I hope that Ukraine will agree to a territorial settlement, because the war has to end.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 12:52:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How is this not a proxy war? The Ukrainian government is large funded by IMF loans and nearly all of the new military equipment comes from NATO. If that isn't a proxy war than there never never was one.

And frankly "..and a nation which aspires to join that consensus.." is ahistoric and completely removes meddling by one side from consideration. Do you deny that the first pro-Western Orange Revolution government was voted out of office, and I think our guy got something like sevenths place in that election? Or that the US was involved in the Maidan revolution to the point they got to pick the PM afterwards? And finally, Zelensky was voted in as the peace candidate with large majorities, but in the end was unable to implement any part of the ceasefire, at least to a large part because of the threat of violence be far-right elements.

And I certainly agree that the majority of Europeans would like to believe that that age is over, but what the majority of Europeans wants never mattered much when it came to matters of war.

by generic on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 02:03:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How is this not a proxy war?

Since it was Russia that invaded Ukraine, do you consider that they did so in order to damage the US?
Or perhaps that the US (specifically) forced Putin to invade?
Because those are the only two ways I could see it as a proxy war.
That the EU, and the US, don't wish Ukraine to lose, and provide weapons, doesn't make it a proxy war. It makes them allies.

You seem to consider that the Maidan revolution is tainted, but no revolution is ever pure. It's axiomatic.
That the US was in favour of it, or meddled, is largely beside the point. The actual people of Ukraine had the right to overthrow their president after he flip-flopped over the crucial issue of choosing between Europe and Russia.

Also rember : the government that follows a revolution always betrays the revolution; that's axiomatic too. Poroshenko, as an oligarch himself, was singularly ill-equipped to fight corruption.
The fact that he was  overwhelmingly defeated by a candidate who is clearly pro-European possibly illustrates a popular aspiration in that direction, no?

And frankly "..and a nation which aspires to join that consensus.." is ahistoric and completely removes meddling by one side from consideration.

You'll have to walk me through that part. Consider that after Maidan, there was a certain amount of meddling by one side (annexation of Crimea, the Donbass war) which dwarfs anything the Americans attempted.

I have no idea why you believe that the aspiration of Ukrainians to join the EU is ahistoric. It's been a fundamental, and divisive, issue for the last couple of decades. The succession of presidents elected - Yushenko, Yakunovich, Poroshenko, Zelenskiy - would seem to show a temopral strengthening of popular desire to strengthen ties with the EU and reduce dependency on Russia.

If you believe that Ukrainians have been fooled by the US into becoming pro-EU, rather than making a clear-eyed choice, can you explain the process to me?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 03:45:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
US influence in Ukraine was clearly the deciding factor, yes. What would be an example of a proxy war if this isn't one? Both Korea and Vietnam had their own motivations.

You'll have to walk me through that part. Consider that after Maidan, there was a certain amount of meddling by one side (annexation of Crimea, the Donbass war) which dwarfs anything the Americans attempted.

Maidan had, to the best of my knowledge, never more popular support than about 40%.  And do you think that it's expected for a revolution to have another country's representative pick the political leadership afterwards? Political meddling is a matter of chronology, not arithmetic.

have no idea why you believe that the aspiration of Ukrainians to join the EU is ahistoric. It's been a fundamental, and divisive, issue for the last couple of decades. The succession of presidents elected - Yushenko, Yakunovich, Poroshenko, Zelenskiy - would seem to show a temopral strengthening of popular desire to strengthen ties with the EU and reduce dependency on Russia.

The point is exactly that it was disputed. Both "pro-Russian" and "pro-western" candidates could win, and would very likely not win reelection. Before the war Zelensky polled at 20% and if election had been held the "pro-Russian" opposition might very likely have won. But, of course the party leader was put under house arrest for conspiring with Russia (under orders of the Poroshenko government, funnily enough)

by generic on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 04:45:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
...and by the way, why is it the case that in January 2022, the most influential players in building the case for a war (pretending they had proofs of Russian intentions) are English speakers, while within the EU, English speaker are now represented only by southern Ireland?
by Tom2 on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 07:15:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, if you are talking about the well-publicised US intelligence announcements... what language were you expecting it to be published in?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 03:15:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Adding : I really wish the US were out of the equation. That would require Europe to be able and willing to defend itself. That will be the long-term result of the current war, sadly; it's an existential necessity as long it has a hostile hegemon for neighbour.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 12:55:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I mean can't we? Seems that Russia currently has serious difficulties to supply a large force around Kiev. I don't see how they'd get to Warsaw. And despite all the urgency a large part of the Russian arsenal is soviet leftover and those aren't getting any younger.

But of course, in the real world the US is involved and the transatlantic tendency now has regained its stranglehold on European politics.

by generic on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 02:19:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The inefficacy of the RF army astonished just about everyone; but the recklessness with which it has been used demonstrates that we can't exclude anything, and can't consider Russia as a rational actor.

My guess is that they will lick their wounds and stay out of trouble for 10 years or so (but what would I know?), giving the EU the time to raise its defense game and kick the US out of Europe.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 03:36:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Eh. It's hard to say with certainty how badly the Russian army is really doing, but after predicting that it's nuts to entertain the idea that the Russians would invade in the height of mud season with half the number that seems reasonable and with logistics that are still very limited without a direct connection to their home rail network, I think I can claim the consolation prize of not being that surprised that things aren't going that smoothly for them.
by generic on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 10:09:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by generic on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 10:10:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ok... I better understand the hurry to evacuate the northwest after the failure to take Kyiv.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Mon Apr 25th, 2022 at 11:25:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What about the UK?
the leaked conversation of the UK defense secretary with someone posing as Ukr vice prez?
the 'small' post-Brexit and post- (not so post- actually) Corona economic problems?
by Tom2 on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 07:17:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
For your heartfelt views I'll consider you a honorary member of the London Henry Jackson Society.

As a warning ... Anne Applebaum resigned from a similar organ, the Legatum Institute. 😂 enjoy

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 02:00:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"Why War?, An exchange of letters between Freud and Einstein," 1932, 13 pp + cover

tl;dr: Parents are first teachers.

by Cat on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 01:00:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah and thank you for suggesting this blog. It gives a clearer idea why Putin's inner circle might support the drive to war.


The oligarchs who emerged under Yeltsin's rule gave up their involvement in Russia's domestic politics. They earned their money in Russia, but used the West to invest their capital. The balance of power shifted to Putin's cronies and security apparatus. After the annexation of Crimea their anti-Westernism became a platform for consolidation, argues political scientist Kirill Rogov at the Russia File of the Kennan Institute.

A clear understanding of why and how Russia's monstrous war of aggression against Ukraine, a war destructive for both countries, became possible will require much time and effort. So far, the focus of immediate commentary has invariably been on President Putin, as the outbreak of war is perceived as his personal decision. However, reasoning along the lines of 'we are all the hostages of one man's insanity' is more likely to produce a fictitious answer rather than a genuine one.

Old oligarchs abandoned any ambitions for political change, post Khodorovsky, and went west; new oligarchs also dreamed of golden retirement in western Europe, but that went up in smoke post Crimea; embittered, they doubled down on a bad bet. A coherent picture.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri Apr 22nd, 2022 at 01:57:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Ukraine's president criticises decision by Antonio Guterres to head to Moscow before visiting Kyiv next week | Al Jazeera |

UN chief to meet with Putin, Zelenskyy to press for peace | AP News |

U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres is set to meet separately with the presidents of Russia and Ukraine next week to make urgent, face-to-face pleas for peace, the world body said Friday.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed that Guterres is to meet Tuesday with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and that Putin will also host the U.N. chief.
The U.N. later said that Guterres will head Thursday to Ukraine to see President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Apr 23rd, 2022 at 09:36:00 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 09:13:12 AM EST
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Back in the USSR: Lenin statues and Soviet flags reappear in Russian-controlled cities | The Guardian |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Apr 23rd, 2022 at 10:14:45 PM EST
You mean they couldn't find any statues of Stalin to erect?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 01:50:29 PM EST
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As soon as the Azov brigade the town reconquers, the Bandera statue is pulled from storage to be prominently displayed.

A complicated history of the UPA, Poles, Galicia and Ukraine.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 02:59:36 PM EST
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Interesting, given Putin's aversion to Lenin.
by rifek on Mon Apr 25th, 2022 at 04:52:49 AM EST
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'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 01:02:15 AM EST

Report 06/03: The SMM has completed the temporary evacuation of all international members of the Mission from its area of operation.
The Mission's local staff will manage SMM facilities and assets pending the resumption of operations in Ukraine.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 01:02:49 AM EST
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'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 08:40:15 AM EST
Top US Diplomats To Visit Kyiv Today, Ukraine Says Will Seek Heavy Weapons | NDTV News |

Ukraine's president says he hopes to secure heavy weapons at talks with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Secretary of Defence Lloyd Austin in Kyiv on Sunday, supplies that he said were vital for Ukraine to eventually retake Russian-occupied territory.

"As soon as we have [more weapons], as soon as there are enough of them, believe me, we will immediately retake this or that territory, which is temporarily occupied," he told reporters.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 08:41:59 AM EST
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Zelenskyy says he will meet with Blinken and Defense Secretary Austin in Kyiv | MSNBC |

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said that U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin will visit his war-torn country on Sunday.

While taking questions during a press conference in Kyiv Saturday, Zelenskyy said that both officials will be arriving on April 24.

The White House, the National Security Council and the State Department have declined to comment on Zelenskyy's remarks. The Pentagon will not speak to the claim from the Ukrainian president, according to two defense officials.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 08:43:09 AM EST
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Germany has jettisoned its policy of not exporting deadly weapons to conflict zones

A major power in Europe has come to Ukraine's help, though it is early days to call it a rescue mission. As Chancellor Olaf Scholz said in a statement, "The Russian invasion of Ukraine marks a turning point. It threatens our entire post-war order. In this situation, it is our duty to help Ukraine to the best of our ability, to defend itself from Vladimir Putin's invading army."

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 08:50:44 AM EST
German tanks and armored vehicles arrive in Lithuania | UAwire - Feb 27, 2017 |

A heavy machine division of the Bundeswehr successfully reached Lithuania on Friday, February 24, a representative of the German armed forces reported. Twenty Marder infantry fighting vehicles and six Leopard 2 tanks were delivered by rail to Sheshtokai station. From Sheshtokai they were transported to their place of permanent deployment at the Rukla military base.

Transports of the heavy machine division to Lithuania took several days. On February 21, part of the division departed from Grafenwöhr, Bavaria. Thus, Germany has completed material provision of the base in Rukla. Starting from mid-January 120 military cargo containers and 200 vehicles were sent to Lithuania. About 300 German soldiers are already on base, another 150 will be relocated there in the near future.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 08:51:48 AM EST

EFP: Die Panzergrenadiere ,,klar zum Gefecht" | Bundewweh - April 2021 |

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by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 08:53:36 AM EST
Swiss veto German request to re-export ammunition to Ukraine - paper | The Star - Apr 22, 2022 |

ZURICH (Reuters) - Neutral Switzerland has held up German arms deliveries to Ukraine by blocking the re-export of Swiss-made ammunition used in Marder infantry fighting vehicles that Kyiv would like to get, Swiss paper SonntagsZeitung reported.

The news comes as German Chancellor Olaf Scholz faces growing criticism for his government's failure to deliver heavy weapons to Ukraine to help it fend off Russian attacks, even as other Western allies step up shipments.

The Marder, made by German arms manufacturer Rheinmetall, uses ammunition manufactured in Switzerland, the paper said. Switzerland restricts the re-export of such war materiel to conflict zones.

The paper quoted a spokesperson for the Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) as saying it had received two inquiries from Germany about transferring to Ukraine munitions it had got from Switzerland.

"Both of Germany's requests were answered in the negative with reference to Swiss neutrality and the mandatory rejection criteria of the war material legislation," it quoted the spokesperson as saying.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 08:54:48 AM EST
Does this mean that German troops are forbidden from shooting across the border at an oncoming enemy (exporting munitions) but must wait until they are on German soil?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Sun Apr 24th, 2022 at 01:46:25 PM EST
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Small history lesson:
Without Genscher's and Baker's commitment to #Russia not to expand #NATO to the east, there would have been no German reunification.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Apr 30th, 2022 at 07:56:33 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 7th, 2022 at 05:26:49 PM EST

Stop fu**ing war 😡

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat May 7th, 2022 at 05:27:39 PM EST
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That's a lie.
by Cat on Sat May 7th, 2022 at 08:14:01 PM EST
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Defense News | Biden asks Congress for new $33 billion Ukraine aid package, 28 Apr
An official from the White House's Office of Management and Budget told Defense News earlier this week that Biden has approximately $250 million in spending authority left out of the $3.5 billion* that Congress authorized for the president to use in transferring military equipment to Ukraine from U.S. stockpiles.
Defense News | Partisan politics threaten to derail Ukraine aid package as Biden runs out of money, 26 Apr
The Defense Department received $6.5 billion in FY22 [NDAA] Ukraine funding.
Last month, Washington finalized the fiscal 2022 $1.5 trillion spending bill [CONSOLIDATED APPROPRIATIONS ACT, 9 Mar 2022], which provides $13.6 billion in new aid for the Ukraine crisis.
Defense News | Biden pledges $800 million in new aid to Ukraine, 21 Apr

* $6.5B + $13.6B + $3.5B ± $800M = $23.6B - $24.4B appropriated Jan 2021-Apr 2022
which US "Ukraine Caucua" will "supplement" $33B in next 30 days, bring total through Q2 to ~ $56B.

by Cat on Sat May 7th, 2022 at 08:53:40 PM EST
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by Cat on Sun May 8th, 2022 at 03:54:32 PM EST
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'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 8th, 2022 at 09:22:54 PM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Sun May 8th, 2022 at 10:32:57 PM EST
Where have the Armed Forces of Ukraine been hiding out since 24 February 2022? And who has been receiving "high-tech" lethal aid from EU27 and US?

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Mon May 9th, 2022 at 09:43:44 PM EST
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Ukrainian President Vladimir #Zelensky will make a special statement on Azovstal tonight. - @Oleksiy Arestovych, presidential adviser 🇺🇦
According to reports, an emergency meeting of the leaders 🇺🇦 is currently under way in Bankova.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon May 16th, 2022 at 08:57:18 PM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Mon May 16th, 2022 at 09:02:44 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Mon May 16th, 2022 at 09:43:32 PM EST
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Body bags for #azovstal 'heroes' or status POWs.

Azovstal Defenders Vow To Fight Until The End, Saying, 'We Don't Have Much Time' | RFERL - May 8, 2022 |

The last Ukrainian fighters in the besieged Azovstal steel plant in the strategic port of Mariupol vowed on May 8 not to give up as they face a bloody final showdown with Russian invaders after the evacuation of civilians.

"We will continue to fight as long as we are alive to repel the Russian occupiers," Captain Svyatoslav Palamar, a deputy commander of Ukraine's Azov Regiment, told an online news conference.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue May 17th, 2022 at 07:35:39 PM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Tue May 17th, 2022 at 07:36:52 PM EST
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Oh really? So what are you doing after the deputy commander of the Azov Battalion, Svyatoslav Yaroslavovych Palamar ('Kalina')? Puente, beware that he is venturing into a minefield.

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by Oui (Oui) on Tue May 17th, 2022 at 07:37:47 PM EST
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by Oui (Oui) on Tue May 17th, 2022 at 07:38:37 PM EST
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Члени "Нацкорпусу" намагалися прорватися до Порошенка в Черкасах

UA/RU Members of the National Corps tried to break through to Poroshenko in Cherkasy. Tear gas and explosive packages: Hundreds of members of the National Corps staged a rally in central Kiev. First, a 2-hour protest was held on Independence Square. They demanded to arrest the participants of the scandal concerning theft in the defense. Then they moved to the Presidential Administration. Then they went by bus to Cherkasy - there were also clashes and casualties. Issue of TSN.19: 30 for March 9, 2019

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue May 17th, 2022 at 07:40:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Biography ...

Soldiers of the Azov Armed Forces - Sviatoslav Palamar, friend of KALINA, Deputy Commander of the Azov Regiment: It is very important that there are officers in key positions in the Army who are capable of aggressive actions, have courage and something between the legs

And where did you study and grow up?
I am Galician, I was born in a small town near Lviv, where I spent my childhood until my student years.

After military service, I trained at the International Peacekeeping Training Center [Yavoriv military base near Lviv a NATO PfP center] where I was a contractor. 89th Airmobile Brigade, had experience in handling weapons, some tactics at a minimum level and believed that I may be needed at this time, because I took the Oath of Allegiance.

Deputy Commander a separate detachment of special purpose NMU "Azov" to work with a special staff. Call sign - Kalina.

Azov battalion: - "We stand! Nobody is going to leave the eastern outpost."

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue May 17th, 2022 at 07:42:53 PM EST
French writer Adrien Bocquet discusses what he witnessed in Ukraine during his recent 16-day humanitarian trip | Sud Radio |

Adrien Bocquet is a French writer and former soldier who spent 16 days in Ukraine on a humanitarian mission. He discussed what he witnessed with Sud Radio last week. The original interview is in French. This is a version with English subtitles. One thing to note is that Bocquet says he has numerous videos as evidence of his claims. The videos are not shown on this program. Presumably, this French outlet would have looked at his evidence as part of the fact-checking process, but I can't say that with certainty. So far, I am not aware that any other outlet has interviewed Bocquet or covered his story.

This interview is blocked on YouTube channel for "spreading hate".

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by Oui (Oui) on Wed May 18th, 2022 at 06:11:10 AM EST
Another Western Truthspeaker - French Adrien Bocquet in a video interview

Adrien Bocquet is a retired military officer, writer and journalist from France, and author of the book "Get Up and Walk Thanks to Science". [Lève-toi et marche ! Grâce à la science] Several years ago he suffered a severe spinal injury.

He spent three weeks in Ukraine on a humanitarian mission, and after returning home, he gave an interview to French Sud Radio and spoke, without any cuts, about the numerous war crimes of the AFU, the neo-Nazis from AZOV and the supply of Western arms to Ukraine. He separately mentioned the events in Bucha.

The Ukrainian Presidential Commissioner for Children's Rights, Darya Herasymchuk, exposed the fakes of Ukrainian propaganda. She said that the information spread about the alleged abuse of small children by "occupiers" is a fake.

Former French Army man accuses Ukraine of war crimes against Russian forces | Economic Times |

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by Oui (Oui) on Wed May 18th, 2022 at 06:19:34 AM EST
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