Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

NATO Plans Europe Troops Surge to War Strength

by Oui Mon Jun 27th, 2022 at 05:30:55 PM EST

NATO to massively expand quick response force

Nato is increasing the number of troops available to its response force from 40,000 to 300,000, the military alliance's secretary general announces.

"We will strengthen our forward defences. We will enhance our battle groups in the eastern part of the alliance, up to brigade levels. We will transform the Nato response force and increase the number of our high readiness forces to well over 300,000," Jens Stoltenberg tells reporters in Madrid ahead of a summit there this week.

He describes Russia as as the most significant and direct threat to the alliance's security and values and the Nato response to the invasion of Ukraine as the biggest overhaul of its collective defence and deterrence since the Cold War.

Secretary General: NATO to agree "fundamental shift" in defence posture

Related reading ...

NATO Response Force (NRF)

Too many voices to escalate and call the Kremlin's bluff of a nuclear war.

Are we witnessing the emergence of Baltic values, if we can call them that?

The three states would perhaps see it as a Baltic adaptation of American values in the sense of a highly standardised foreign policy. Just as the Americans, even if they intervene militarily, they justify their actions. This basis of a value-orientated foreign policy, which the EU also refers to, is taken very seriously in these three countries, especially in Lithuania. Politicians then make decisions rather rapidly, such as the move to upgrade the status of Taiwan's diplomatic representation, opening themselves up to China's scorn and the consequences that go with it, especially economic ones. One should note that this type of decision-making by the Lithuanian government is not universally popular throughout the country, as there are fears that it could have negative consequences on its citizens' quality of life.

My observation is that the political debate, as well as the public one, is based on a very British and American understanding of international politics. By this I mean a rather casual approach, not the more well-considered approach that the likes of Germany stand for. People prefer to read The New York Times or The Economist not least because they are easy to read. Of course, these exist in the German or French language too. But the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, Süddeutsche Zeitung and Der Spiegel are not widely read.

Kaliningrad and EU Sanctions

Kremlin promised a quick response

Transit ban on sanctioned goods could increase already high levels of tension between Russia and NATO | Al Jazeera |

Blockading Kaliningrad will have no effect on the outcome of the Ukraine war, but it could escalate the conflict into a world war. We should instruct Lithuania to stand down immediately.

Moscow carefully evaluates blockade action by Lithuania

According to Dmitry Peskov, Russia is absolutely right in the Kaliningrad issue | Tass |

The Kremlin does not rule out the possibility of Lithuania lifting its restrictions on transit to Russia’s Baltic exclave, but is preparing for the worse, he said.

"Let us not rule out anything. Let us hope for the better and prepare for the worse. And this is exactly what we are doing now," he said.

Lithuania imposed restrictions on the rail transit of some goods from Russia to the region from June 18 due to EU sanctions. Kaliningrad later confirmed that restrictions also applied to truck freight.

Russia says the move is illegitimate as it violates the agreements the country committed to when joining the EU. Vilnius and the European Union insist they are only enforcing the sanctions regime.

Russian Security Council Secretary Nikolay Patrushev visited the Kaliningrad Region on June 21.

Estonian PM says Baltic states would be H’wiped off the map' under current NATO plans

Dark Shadow of Centuries of Empire Building

Geopolitical shadows far too quickly closed in on this beleaguered nation -- Lithuania

Baltic States to be Occupied by NATO Forces

Ukraine war: all eyes on Lithuania as sanctions close Russian land access to Kaliningrad

Keynote Address by Ukrainian Deputy MFA Emine Dzhaparova | Clingendael |

Lithuania-Poland border and the Suwalki agreement

NATO Operation Reassurance In Baltic Sea

HMCS Summerside and Kingston will spend four months deployed near the Baltic states as part of Operation Reassurance, Estonia's public broadcaster ERR News quoted a statement by the Canadian Armed Forces.

Ships depart Halifax on NATO mission to demine North Atlantic, Baltic Sea

The barbaric, irrational Balt: Western Europe begins demonising Lithuania - opinion

Migrants were forcibly returned to Belarus. Parliament voted against legalizing same-sex unions. Domestic violence remained widespread. Lithuania had still not ratified the Istanbul Convention, nor implemented the European Court of Human Rights' ruling regarding Abu Zubaydah.

Arbitrary detention

Abu Zubaydah, a Palestinian national detained in Guantánamo Bay, submitted a petition in April to the UN Working Group on Arbitrary Detention, and in November to a US federal court, calling for his release. In 2018, the European Court of Human Rights had ruled against Lithuania for its deliberate facilitation of Abu Zubaydah's enforced disappearance and torture in a secret CIA prison that it hosted between 2005 and 2006. By the end of the year, Lithuania had still not yet fully implemented the court's decision.

European Court of Human Rights finds Lithuania and Romania committed human rights violations due to involvement in the CIA's rendition program | 31 May 2018 |

See previous diary …

EU Inflation and Russia Sanctions Timeline

Excellent open-discussion seldom seen before television camera ... on Ukraine and Zelensky starts at 22:00 min.

See two reports on this debate ...

NATO: Ukraine to Decide How Much Territory It Trades for Peace

(FNA)- NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said on Sunday that the US-led alliance aims to strengthen Ukraine's position at the negotiating table, but added that any peace deal would involve compromises, including of territory.

Stoltenberg spoke at the Kultaranta Talks in Finland, following a meeting with Finnish President Sauli Niinisto. While the NATO chief stated that the West was willing to "pay a price" to strengthen the Ukrainian military, Kiev will have to make some territorial concessions to Moscow in order to end the current conflict, RT reported.

"Peace is possible," he said, adding, "The only question is what price are you willing to pay for peace? How much territory, how much independence, how much sovereignty...are you willing to sacrifice for peace?"

These reports are one-on-one identical to the statements made recently by former NATO SG Jaap de Hoop Scheffer.

Confirms the NATO hardliners are winning the debate for further escalation.

The Fantasy of Fanaticism | Consortium News |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Mon Jun 27th, 2022 at 10:13:55 PM EST
Taking the lead in Europe after Brexit ... no debate or discussion ... we act! Zelensky and Ukrainians love if!

UK 'steadfast' in backing Ukraine as officials say Russia mass mobilisation near | Evening Standard |

Boris Johnson promised the UK would be "steadfast" in supporting Ukraine and said any concessions to Moscow would be a "disaster", as Western officials indicated mass mobilisation is imminent in Russia.

The Prime Minister vowed to ensure "fresh political, military and financial support from the international community" to the war-torn country as he warned of "growing fatigue" around the conflict, his official spokesman said on Tuesday.

"The Prime Minister's concern is that it may not be at the forefront of everyone's minds, because of... some of those wider global challenges we're facing, not least on inflation around the world," according to the official.

Mr Johnson told Cabinet that

    "We must not allow anyone to believe that making concessions to Putin would lead to anything but disaster",
as this could be "perceived to be a reward for their unwarranted aggression" and "would embolden not just Russia but their allies and have an impact on UK security and on our economy," the spokesperson said.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 04:25:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
UK Armed Forces: Mobilisation  Order

Sir Patrick Sanders: Willingness to shed blood means we will persevere ... sanctions alone doesn't work, one needs boots on the ground to hold territory.

As the West pivots to Asia and China, Europe must be prepared to do its bit. NATO t lose the war is no option.

A 1937 moment!

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 08:34:39 AM EST

The UK has refused to engage diplomatically with Russia during the last 12 years.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 08:36:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The head of the British army, General #PatrickSanders considers it necessary to prepare for a third world war.

Defence Secretary Ben Wallace has confirmed that Her Majesty The Queen has approved the new appointment of Chief of the General Staff | Feb. 24, 2022 |

Just a coincidence of date?

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 08:54:04 AM EST

The new chief of the British army Patrick Sanders said: "The invasion of Ukraine by Russia underlines our main aim: to protect the United Kingdom by being ready to fight [...]

Timely entrance of the new Chief of Staff of UK Armed Forces ... where have you been hiding so long?

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 08:55:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 09:22:35 AM EST
Implications of the OPEC+ Announcement to Increase Oil Production

On June 2, 2022, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and 10 other oil exporters, collectively known as OPEC+, agreed to increase crude production by 648,000 barrels per day (b/d) in both July and August, compared with 432,000 b/d each month in their earlier commitments.[1] OPEC attributed this 50 percent increase over the previous agreement, which was set to last through September 2022, to the recent easing of lockdowns post pandemic and an anticipated increase in demand from refineries following seasonal maintenance. The Russian invasion of Ukraine and subsequent energy sanctions were not mentioned in OPEC's press release from the meeting. While resilience in demand recovery likely remains a concern, the recessionary threat from high energy prices in general, and crude oil in particular, may become a focus of the group going forward.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 09:23:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 09:25:01 AM EST
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 09:26:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 09:25:51 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 10:06:31 AM EST
Presenter: Adrian Finighan

Ulrich Brueckner, professor of political science at Stanford University in Berlin
Doug Bandow, senior fellow at the Cato Institute
Glenn Diesen, professor of international relations at the University of South-Eastern Norway

Waiting for the video listing on the Internet ...

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 11:50:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 11:51:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 11:26:25 AM EST

Excellent Public Relations -- summer recess immediately after NATO decision Peace

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 11:56:25 AM EST
Hoe think tanks function and cooperate as echo chamber of the Atlantic Council for NATO Resolve ... not peace ☮️

The TAG NATO Shadow Strategic Concept 2022: Preserving Peace, Protecting People | German Marshall Fund |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 03:51:35 PM EST
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 03:52:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Iran must be held to account for downing of UIA Flight 752 | UkrInform |

The Group of Seven countries (the United Kingdom, Italy, Canada, Germany, the United States, France and Japan) will continue to support international efforts to bring Iran to justice for the downing of a Ukraine International Airlines plane.

That's according to a joint communique issued by the heads of state and government of the Group of Seven (G7) countries after the summit in Elmau (Germany) on June 26-28.

"We continue to support international efforts to hold Iran to account for the unlawful shooting-downof Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752," the statement said.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 05:46:15 PM EST
Two missiles targeted a very large industrial plant of 25ha ... RF and UA are low on munitions ... see previous Guardian article ... no guidance for a precision strike ... great risk of collateral damage and civilian casualties ... Zelensky's number of 1000 was a fudge factor ...  the factory was targeted, not the shopping mall.

Kremenchutsʹkyy Zavod Shlyakhovykh Mashyn

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Jun 28th, 2022 at 10:46:02 PM EST
Kremenchuk is in the Poltava oblast. And Sweden just decided to join the war. Will they never learn?
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Wed Jun 29th, 2022 at 08:42:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Following the attack, President Volodymyr Zelensky said there were more than 1,000 people inside, and "the number of victims is unimaginable." He later corrected himself, explaining that there were initially more than 1,000 people in the mall but many managed to get out on time before the missiles hit thanks to the air raid sirens. 

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Jun 29th, 2022 at 09:16:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Guardian joins Bellingcat to spread disinformation on the size of the machinery enterprise next door to the mall

Satellite images showing the distance between the mall and the factory. Photograph: c/o Bellingcat

However there were 2 or 3 missile strikes on the outskirts of the 25ha plant.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Jun 29th, 2022 at 09:34:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jul 1st, 2022 at 06:37:43 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jul 1st, 2022 at 06:40:39 PM EST

President Erdogan's statement is as follows:

The last NATO summit is really about our country's fight against terrorism, as well as its cooperation with other NATO countries and finally Sweden-Finland membership... This is an invitation process and we said 'yes' to this invitation.

This invitation has some conditions, we have placed these conditions in the contract.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Fri Jul 1st, 2022 at 07:46:18 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jul 2nd, 2022 at 11:44:04 AM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jul 2nd, 2022 at 07:47:20 PM EST
Tank company of the 6th Cossack regiment, which liberated #Lysichansk

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat Jul 2nd, 2022 at 08:02:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Provocation to join in conflict Russia with Ukraine ... NATO can't lose this battle.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 3rd, 2022 at 09:57:08 PM EST

US to send Ukraine advanced NASAMS air defense weapons in $820 million package | Defense. News |

    NASAMS, developed by Norway's Kongsberg Defence and Aerospace as well as American company Raytheon Technologies, marks a shift from the Russian-made air defense systems, like the S-300, that Ukraine had used.

    The new aid also included $50 million worth of ammunition drawn from U.S. stockpiles for American-supplied High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems that arrived in Ukraine last week. Ukrainian forces have used the systems successfully against Russian command posts and other targets, the official said.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 3rd, 2022 at 09:59:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 3rd, 2022 at 10:00:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Spinning the critical loss of all of Luhansk ...

Ukrainian defence ministry spokesman Yuriy Sak has told the BBC that Lysychansk is not under the "full control" of Russian forces | BBC News - 7 hrs ago |

On Dutch TV the NATO propaganda mouthpiece covered only heavy losses on Russian side and the lack of forces due to high death rate and number of wounded. All across Russia there are protests and bombing of recruitment centers. The possible fall of Lysychansk is more symbolic than a victory for advancing Russian forces. Ukraine was able to regain territory in other regions. More than fog of war ... next to censorship is Dutch tv spreading false news and disinformation. NATO is fully engaged.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 3rd, 2022 at 10:03:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 3rd, 2022 at 10:04:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Preparing for the worst case scenario ... well prepared and planned.

    The situation is reminiscent of the early 1950s when communism emerged and the Korean War caused a global shock. It was the beginning of a successful American-led containment policy that lasted until the end of the Cold War.

    Rob de Wijk (Clingendael and HISS):
    A new iron curtain is inevitable. Containment or barrier becomes the new concept that will dominate the discussion for decades: Europe is heading for a new Cold War.

My desperate plea and anguish 5 weeks before the war ...

Winston Churchill Explains Enigma Russia

Putin is preparing for an Ice Cold future with the West and seeks security to live without fear of a military confrontation with an aggressive NATO commanded by Washington DC. Apparently as a weed, the military in Brussels NATO HQ - the seat of the European Union - has overgrown the political force and stands to suffocate European democracy ... this has to stop before another devastating war hits Europe. In de vise of two super powers ... why do the European media not care?  

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 3rd, 2022 at 10:35:52 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Jul 6th, 2022 at 03:43:11 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 10th, 2022 at 06:59:49 AM EST

In its latest intelligence update, the Ministry of Defence in London said: "Ukrainian forces continue to make gradual advances in the south-western Kherson sector."

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 10th, 2022 at 07:00:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 10th, 2022 at 07:02:20 AM EST

Zelensky's Rapid Fire On Several Fronts

Ukraine fires ambassadors to Germany, India, Czech Republic, Norway, Hungary

Ukranian President Volodymyr Zelensky has urged his diplomats to drum up international support and military aid for Ukraine.

Kyiv's relations with Germany, which relies heavily on Russian oil and natural gas to fuel Europe's biggest economy, are particularly sensitive.

Melnyk, 46, won praise for his aggressive efforts to push for more German backing for the war -- he once accused German Chancellor Olaf Scholz of behaving like an "offended liver sausage."

But controversial comments last week from the outspoken ambassador, about Stepan Bandera, a Ukranian nationalist leader implicated in collaboration Nazi Germany during World War II, put him in the spotlight in a negative way.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 10th, 2022 at 07:04:53 AM EST
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 10th, 2022 at 11:18:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
From British tabloid the Telegraph ...

Authority Donetsk say execution of Brits in Ukraine 'won't be public'

Denis Pushilin: "We are awaiting a [appeal] court session. If the court finds this punitive measure and the sentence to be appropriate, then their cases will be handed over to the corresponding agency to carry out the verdict."

A statement from the Foreign Office said it was doing "everything we can to support the men".

Two other Britons, Dylan Healy, 22, and Andrew Hill, 35, are also in custody in Donetsk having been captured in July and charged with carrying out "mercenary activities".

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sun Jul 24th, 2022 at 06:43:09 PM EST

Go to: [ European Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]