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Ukraine War Timeline of Non-Diplomacy

by Oui Wed Feb 22nd, 2023 at 10:39:23 PM EST

Zelensky: Only diplomacy can end conflict with Russia | TOI/AFP - May 21, 2022 |

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that only a diplomatic breakthrough rather than an outright military victory could end Russia's war on his country, as Moscow cut gas supplies to Finland.

'It will be bloody'

Against this backdrop, Zelensky told Ukrainian television the war would end "through diplomacy."

The conflict, he warned, "will be bloody, there will be fighting but will only definitively end through diplomacy" -- promising only that the result would be "fair" for Ukraine.

"Discussions between Ukraine and Russia will decidedly take place. Under what format I don't know -- with intermediaries, without them, in a broader group, at presidential level."

President Biden on Staying the Course in Ukraine | May 31, 2022 |

My principle throughout this crisis has been "Nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine." I will not pressure the Ukrainian government -- in private or public -- to make any territorial concessions. It would be wrong and contrary to well-settled principles to do so.

Ukraine's talks with Russia are not stalled because Ukraine has turned its back on diplomacy. They are stalled because Russia continues to wage a war to take control of as much of Ukraine as it can. The United States will continue to work to strengthen Ukraine and support its efforts to achieve a negotiated end to the conflict.

Zelensky says Ukraine will not give up territory for peace with Russia: 'This is our land' |  CNN - July 7, 2022 |

Ukrainian President  Volodymyr Zelensky told CNN's Wolf Blitzer that Ukraine is unwilling to cede any of its land to Russia, standing firm that a concession of Ukrainian territory won't be part of any diplomatic negotiations to end the war.

"Ukrainians are not ready to give away their land, to accept that these territories belong to Russia. This is our land," Zelensky said in an exclusive interview aired on CNN's "The Situation Room."

"We always talk about that, and we are intending to prove it," he added.

Zelensky spoke to CNN at the same time as one of his top Western allies, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, announced he would be resigning.

Speaking in Ukrainian via a translator, Zelensky said he was confident that Britain's policy toward Ukraine "will not be changing" even if the country's leadership is in tumult.

"He resigned not because he was in Ukraine. I think on the contrary, what Johnson has been doing for Ukraine was helping us a great deal. I consider him a friend of Ukraine, but I think his society also supported Ukraine in Europe. That's why I think the UK, it's on the side of good, on the side of Ukraine," Zelensky said.

Defining and Achieving Success in Ukraine | Sept. 30, 2022 |

Top U.S. General Urges Diplomacy in Ukraine While Biden Advisers Resist | NY Times - Nov. 6, 2022 |

WASHINGTON -- A disagreement has emerged at the highest levels of the United States government over whether to press Ukraine to seek a diplomatic end to its war with Russia, with America's top general urging negotiations while other advisers to President Biden argue that it is too soon.

Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has made the case in internal meetings that the Ukrainians have achieved about as

The Confidential Negotiations with Russia | Nov. 8, 2022 |

A sample of the MSM following official bull$hit from unofficial sources inside US government ...

The Risks of Negotiating an End to the War in Ukraine | Carnegie Europe - Dec. 6, 2022 |

Only the combination of military assistance and reconstruction efforts now will one day put Ukraine in the position to decide if and when it wants to negotiate.

While there is still widespread support for Ukraine in its defense against Russia's aggression across most Western capitals, the idea of a negotiated end to this war has cropped up repeatedly. And it has been taking on a new momentum.

The difference is that this time the vague idea of negotiations has been aired by U.S. state officials, including National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan on a recent trip to Kyiv.

While U.S. President Joe Biden has been eager to emphasize publicly that the time is not ripe for negotiations, French President Emmanuel Macron has fueled new doubts over the United States' and the EU's commitments to Ukraine.

Upon his December 2 return from his visit to Washington, Macron spoke not only about the need for negotiations but also for concrete security guarantees for Russia within a future European security order. Macron explicitly referred to NATO's eastward enlargement as being unacceptable for Russia.

This statement has set off alarm bells in other Western capitals, including in Berlin--usually a close ally of Paris. Macron seems to have forgotten that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had put Ukraine's neutrality up for negotiation just weeks after Russia's full-scale invasion began.

Ukraine Diplomatic Flurry Centers on War, Not Peace | WSJ - Dec. 22, 2022 |

What is Zelenskyy's 10-point peace plan? | WION - Dec. 28, 2022 |

The Ukrainian president has been promoting his formula for peace with US President Biden and urging world leaders to hold a global peace summit based on it.

What does the proposal miss?

A report by The i, a British national newspaper, said that while the analysts have called the list "maximalist" and unrealistic, it also offers better scope for negotiations moving forward. Notably, while Ukraine has emphasised on "territorial integrity", it fails to mention Crimea, which was annexed by Russia in 2014. 

Here are the highlights of his plan and reactions to it: ...

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said that chances for any peace talks are small any time soon.

"I do believe that the military confrontation will go on, and I think we'll have still to wait for a moment in which serious negotiations for peace will be possible," he said in late December.

Avoiding a Long War - U.S. Policy and the Trajectory of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict | RAND Corp. - Jan. 2023 |

Some analysts make the case that the war is heading toward an outcome that would benefit the United States and Ukraine. Ukraine had battlefield momentum as of December 2022 and could conceivably fight until it succeeds in pushing the Russian military out of the country.

Proponents of this view argue that the risks of Russian nuclear use or a war with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will remain manageable.  Once it is forced out of Ukraine, a chastened Russia would have little choice but to leave its neighbor in peace--and even pay reparations for the damage it caused. However, studies of past conflicts and a close look at the course of this one suggest that this optimistic scenario is improbable.

In this Perspective, therefore, we explore possible trajectories that the Russia-Ukraine war could take and how they might affect U.S. interests. We also consider what the United States could do to influence the course of the conflict.

An important caveat: This Perspective focuses on U.S. interests, which  much as they could reasonably expect on the battlefield before winter sets in and so they should try to cement their gains at the bargaining table, according to officials informed about the discussions.

    White House says not 'nudging' Zelensky to negotiate, after Milley said Ukraine has upper hand to enter talks

But other senior officials have resisted the idea, maintaining that neither side is ready to negotiate and that any pause in the fighting would only give President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia a chance to regroup.

A Downing Street spokeswoman said: "The prime minister spoke to President Zelenskyy this evening, ahead of the one-year anniversary of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine on Friday the 24th.

"The prime minister updated on his visit to the Munich Security Conference, and said he had used the event to call on allies to accelerate their support to help Ukraine progress military gains in the coming weeks and months.

"Now was the time for Ukraine to seize the opportunity to make real progress on the battlefield and further demonstrate to Putin that Ukraine would ultimately win, the leaders agreed."

Borrell sanctions have had too little economic impact on Russia

Latest news ...

Zelensky has ruled out giving up any of his country's territory in a potential peace deal with Russia

Ukraine updates: West not plotting to attack Russia, Biden says | Al Jazeera |

32 Sec. of Biden's historic speech in Warsaw

Inspiring for future generations 🥱

Should have happened at the beginning of Biden's presidency ... BIG loser, how Trump hates him.  Cost 💵💰of war, don't seed the war profiteers. Stop the political global power game, planet Earth can't cope much longer.

h/t Cat

Full program ...

Bercoff dans tous ses états - Émission du 20 février | SUD Radio |

With Caroline Galacteros, geopolitical scientist with a doctorate in political science, colonel in the operational reserve of the Armed Forces and former director of a seminar at the École de guerre (Paris), directs the think tank GEOPRAGMA - French Pole of Realistic Geopolitics (Paris). She is also the author of the blog Bouger les Lignes.

🇺🇦💬 "#Biden's visit to Ukraine reflects the growing concern in the United States 🇺🇸 over the evolution of the #UkraineRussiaWar conflict."

🇺🇦💬 "American imperialism 🇺🇸 and Western imperialism will not be able to cope with the great geopolitical upheaval that we are experiencing. The West is an ostrich!"

🇺🇦💬 "The #UkraineRussiaWar conflict will last until it is no longer possible to avoid the reality on the ground."

How much longer will there be fighting and dying on the battlefield of Ukraine? And now, a year later, what is actually the goal of this war? The German Foreign Minister recently said that "we" are waging a "war against Russia". In earnest?

President Zelenskyj makes no secret of his goal. After the promised tanks, he is now also demanding fighter jets, long-range missiles and warships - to defeat Russia across the board?

The German chancellor still assures that he does not want to send fighter jets or "ground troops". But how many "red lines" have already been crossed in recent months?

It is to be feared that Putin will launch a maximum counter-attack if Crimea is attacked at the latest. Will we then inexorably slide towards world war and nuclear war? It wouldn't be the first major war that started like this. But it might be the last.
Supported by the West, Ukraine can win individual battles. But it cannot win a war against the world's largest nuclear power.

That's what the highest military in the United States, General Milley, says. He speaks of a stalemate in which neither side can win militarily and the war can only be ended at the negotiating table. Then why not now? Immediately!

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 10:32:02 AM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 02:48:43 PM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 02:49:45 PM EST
The Bucharest Nine


The spark that lit the fuse to the Ukraine War ...

NATO Bucharest Summit launched by GWB/Cheney in 2008 ...

US seeks to cement military foothold in Balkans | @EuroTrib by vladimir on May 17th, 2009 |

... or is it an attempt to further destabilise Europe?  

The US is apparently unhappy with the slow « progress » that the EU high representative has been making in bringing this international protectorate into NATO. In an effort to cement the US military presence in the region. On February 13 of this year, the US Congress voted in favour [sanctions act] of scrapping the Dayton Agreements which brought peace to the region

    "Supporting a High Representative by the international community, who does not enjoy the required legitimacy, is filled with negative consequences for the post-conflict settlement process in Bosnia and Herzegovina and may undermine all achievement made on this track over the last quarter of a century. It directly contradicts the Dayton principles and jeopardizes their implementation."

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 03:46:46 PM EST

... and on the far right side in Europe 🥺 ... indeed the warring anti-Russia states

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 03:47:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
h/t  Cat @ The Bat Man Cave

USAToday | What's the difference between a tactical and strategic missile?

Developed under the nuclear arms race of the 1st Cold War and referred to as handy mini-nukes to be used on the battlefield at the discretion of the field commander. In a design to avoid escalation into a full-fledged nuclear Armageddon. Preferably to be executed against a non-state actor of terror, certainly a non-nuclear state. 😉 Hate them reprisals ...

Tactical Nuke for the Battlefield

"The US invented and deployed an amazing array of nuclear weapons that were intended for battlefield use," according to Gary Samore, the senior White House official for countering nuclear proliferation in the administrations of Barack Obama and Bill Clinton.

The smallest of them was the Davy Crockett, which could be moved on a portable launcher and whose missile contained a small nuclear warhead that could be fired a short distance, about 2 miles. Compared to the 15,000 tons of TNT yield of Little Boy, the bomb the US dropped on Hiroshima in 1945, the Davy Crockett's yield was indeed small, similar to 20 tons of TNT.

    "The dark humor was that the blast radius was bigger than the range."

A brief but terrifying history of tactical nuclear weapons

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 05:01:55 PM EST
Tactical Nuclear Weapons: Europe's Redundant WMD | May/June 2004 |

This paper examines the case for the withdrawal of US tactical nuclear weapons (TNW) from European soil on the following grounds:

  • The new strategic context makes redundant the original purpose of these weapons' deployment;
  • There is a real concern that these weapons will play a part in the new US doctrine of pre-emptive use of nuclear weapons to achieve military objectives;
  • There is a need to buttress the non-proliferation regime through reducing the circumstances in which nuclear weapons might be used rather than undermining that regime by devising new purposes for nuclear weapons;
  • The removal of all TNW from nuclear arsenals (especially those in the former Soviet Union) would constitute an important act of disarmament that would increase international and regional security;
  • Their removal would also avoid the enormous (opportunity) cost of sustaining these deployments through planned modernisation of storage facilities;
  • Their removal would be another step towards fulfilling the political commitments made by the US and the other established nuclear powers under Article VI of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) to eliminate their nuclear arsenals.

TNW in the Cold War

During the twenty years after 1945 the US and Soviet Union found ways of making nuclear warheads small enough to be used as battlefield weapons. These quickly evolved into a variety of different shapes and sizes. Air forces were equipped with bombs and air-to-surface guided missiles.

Navies, in addition to aircraft bombs, developed nuclear depth charges and anti-submarine rockets. Armies were equipped with nuclear artillery of various calibres and free-flight rockets. Ground-launched cruise missiles (GLCMs), landmines and surface-to-air defence missiles were all given nuclear warheads. The US even fielded a nuclear mortar, Davy Crockett, until it realised that this was more dangerous to its own troops than to an enemy.

Tactical doctrine evolved to match, and in the 1950s and 1960s it was assumed that in any war between NATO and the Warsaw Pact nuclear weapons would be used from the outset.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 05:03:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ukraine first lady cites rights violations, urges tribunal, 22 Feb
kraine's first lady Olena Zelensk* gave a video tour of human rights violations in the country following Russia's invasion almost a year ago, telling a U.N. meeting Wednesday: "We have the right to live free, not to be killed or tortured."
kraine's first lady Olena Zelensk* gave a video tour of human rights violations in the country following Russia's invasion almost a year ago, telling a U.N. meeting Wednesday: "We have the right to live free, not to be killed or tortured."
International pressure has been mounting for a special tribunal to be established to prosecute the crime of aggression. The European Union's legislature passed a non-binding resolution in January calling on the 27-nation bloc to work "in close cooperation with Ukraine to seek and build political support in the U.N. General Assembly and other international forums ... for creating the special tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine."
Does the case fall under the ICJ's jurisdiction?
ICC | Statement of ICC Prosecutor, Karim A.A. Khan QC, on the Situation in Ukraine
Ukrainians who have suffered from russian aggression can apply to the ECHR online
ICC prosecutor pushes back on special tribunal for war crimes in Ukraine
"Justice for Ukraine is justice for the entire world," Zelensk* said.
The International Criminal Court, which has a mandate to prosecute war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide, has opened an investigation into crimes committed in Ukraine. But it does not have jurisdiction to prosecute Russia's leaders for aggression.
UN International Law Documentation
"The International Criminal Court (ICC) is an independent judicial body with jurisdiction over persons charged with genocide, crimes against humanity, and war crimes....The ICC is not part of the UN"

eurparl.europa.eu | Tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine - a legal assessment, 60 pp loophole

After examining the innovative character of the proposed ["special"] tribunal, the paper analyses three main interconnected elements linked to the establishment and functioning of the ["special"] tribunal: the legal basis for its creation; problems of immunity; and questions of enforcement and implementation of its decisions. In the end, taking into account legitimacy considerations which are of crucial importance in this case, the authors evoke two possibilities. A first option would be to ground the tribunal's creation in Ukrainian domestic law and on its right to self -defence, which would open the door to prosecute foreign nationals for the crime of aggression, complementing it with an agreement with the United Nations (UN) or another (regional) organisation: the tribunal would thus be 'established by law.' A second option, more legitimate as it would be based on the UN Charter, would be to interpret broadly existing legal mechanisms, especially the 'Uniting for Peace' resolution. Given the [UNSC] UN Security Council's inability to discharge its duties due to the veto of one of its permanent members (Russia), the UN General Assembly could exceptionally defer the crime of aggression against Ukraine to the International Criminal Court [ICC]. In both cases, however, it must be kept in mind that significant problems of legality remain.
don't let that stop y'all now.
by Cat on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 05:56:31 PM EST
Ukrainian news outlet suggests UK and US governments are primary obstacles to peace | May 9, 2022 |

A recent report in Ukrainian news outlet Ukrainian Pravda, quoting officials from the Ukrainian president's office, claimed that talks between Ukraine and Russia have stopped due to pressure exerted by UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson during his unannounced visit to Kiev on April 9. 

    The first is that Putin is a war criminal, he should be pressured, not negotiated with.

    And the second is that even if Ukraine is ready to sign some agreements on guarantees with Putin, they are not.

    Johnson's position was that the collective West, which back in February had suggested Zelenskyy should surrender and flee, now felt that Putin was not really as powerful as they had previously imagined, and that here was a chance to "press him."

    Three days after Johnson left for Britain, Putin went public and said talks with Ukraine "had turned into a dead end".

According to the report, Johnson came to Kiev on a surprise visit apparently to "express solidarity" and announce financial and military aid to Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression. However, during his meeting with Zelensky, Johnson asked him not to continue with the talks which were going on in Turkey, asserting that Putin needs to be defeated.

Zelensky's public position on talks with Russia shifted dramatically following this visit. Only a few days prior to the visit, Zelensky had proclaimed that there is no alternative to talks with Russia. He had declared the necessity of the talks even amidst the international outcry over the alleged mass killings in Bucha. 

During the last physical round of talks between both the countries in Istanbul in late March, Russia had claimed that Ukraine was ready to consider its demand of Ukrainian neutrality. The Russians had also said there were talks of a possible meeting between Zelensky and Russian president Vladimir Putin. 

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 08:02:31 PM EST
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 08:03:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
UK PM Johnson says Ukraine peace talks are doomed because of "crocodile" Putin | Reuters - Apr. 21, 2022 |

But he [Boris Johnson] suggested that the Ukrainian president may have given up on hopes of regaining Crimea saying that Zelensky was "not as maximalist" about Russia quitting the peninsula.

Speaking to reporters on his two-day trade trip to India, Mr Johnson said: "It's very hard to see how the Ukrainians can negotiate with Putin, given his manifest lack of good faith and his strategy, which is evident, to try to engulf and capture as much of Ukraine as he can and then perhaps to have some sort of negotiation from a position of strength - or even launch another assualt on Kyiv.

"I really don't seen how the Ukrainians can easily sit down and come to some kind of accommodation. How can you negotiate with a crocodile when it's got your leg in its jaws? That is the difficulty that the Ukrainians face."

Mr Johnson said that in phone talks on Tuesday with G7 leaders, including US president Joe Biden, and Ukraine's neighbours Poland and Romania, it was agreed to stick to the existing support towards Kyiv.

"Keep going with the strategy, keep supplying them with the things they need to help them defend themselves, particularly with artillery," said the prime minister.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 08:05:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Boris Johnson in Kyiv meeting with Zelenskyy | DW News - Apr. 9, 2022 |

Setting the war narrative for the next phase of consolidation ... peace negotiations aborted. Ukrainians are performing well to defend their territory.

Biden Urges Putin War Crimes Trial After Bucha Killings | OWP - Apr. 25, 2022 |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 08:06:56 PM EST
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Biden Calling Putin a Killer Was What Both Presidents Wanted | Slate - March 18, 2021 |

Biden, by contrast, has promised no resets. The president is a longtime Russia hawk and made that stance a major feature of his 2020 campaign. In his first major foreign policy speech, he said that he had "made it clear to President Putin, in a manner very different from my predecessor, that the days of the United States rolling over in the face of Russia's aggressive actions--interfering with our elections, cyberattacks, poisoning its citizens--are over."

So the sentiments Biden expressed about Putin in an interview with ABC's George Stephanopoulos weren't exactly a surprise, but the way he expressed them still managed to set off a diplomatic crisis.*

Biden repeated a story he had previously told in a 2014 New Yorker profile, in which he, referring to the Bush line, once told Putin during a face-to-face meeting that he had "looked in your eyes and I don't think you have a soul." Putin supposedly replied, "We understand each other."

When Stephanopoulos followed up by asking Biden if he thinks Putin is "a killer," the president replied, "I do."

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 08:10:38 PM EST
"wrong words and acts" for dummies

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 09:47:31 PM EST

The depth of Russia-China relations: Their ties are too strategic & too important to be affected by external factors

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 09:49:01 PM EST
by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 07:23:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
China: pro Russian neutrality .. close allies China 🇨🇳 Russia 🇷🇺 under existential threat

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 09:15:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 09:50:11 PM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 09:51:45 PM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 09:53:01 PM EST

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by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 09:54:09 PM EST
"United West, divided from the rest: Global public opinion one year into Russia's war on Ukraine" commissioned by European Council on Foreign Relations.

Coincidentally, today the UNGA voted again on draft resolution A/ES-11/L.1, last seen 2 March 2022: Al Jazeera | Latest updates: UN calls for Russia's withdrawal from Ukraine, 23 Feb blog series.

A day after China's top diplomat visited Moscow and pledged a deeper partnership with Russia, Beijing abstained from the vote - the fourth time it has done so on such action since Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24 last year.

There were a total of 32 abstentions
Of the UN's 193 member nations, 141 voted to condemn Moscow's invasion.

Seven [7] countries - Belarus, Eritrea, Mali, Nicaragua, North Korea, Russia and Syria - voted against the resolution. Other countries abstained [?].

2023 tally does not sum to 193, and the split does not significantly differ from the 2022 vote. Without a tally board I can only guess which 13 reps are present/non-voting.

Al Jazeera copy of full text is here
by Cat on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 11:27:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
F24 | UN adopts resolution calling on Russia to end hostilities and leave Ukraine, 23 Feb
[CAPTION: German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock addresses a high-level meeting of the United Nations General Assembly to mark one year since Russia invaded Ukraine, and to consider the adoption of a resolution on Ukraine at UN headquarters in New York City, New York, United States, February 23, 2023. © Mike Segar, Reuters]
10:07pm: The United Nations General Assembly on Thursday voted in favour of a resolution calling for Russia to end its hostilities in Ukraine and withdraw its forces. Although the resolution is non-binding, it marks further isolation of Russia.

The resolution was adopted with 141 votes in favor and 32 abstentions. Six [6] countries joined Russia to vote no.

Just a day after China's top diplomat visited Moscow and pledged a deeper partnership with Russia, Beijing abstained on the vote - the fourth time it has done so on such action since the Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24 last year.

The other 15 countries that either voted against or abstained were Belarus, Bolivia, Cambodia, Cuba, Eritrea, Equatorial Guinea, Iran, Laos, Mali, Nicaragua, North Korea, St. Vincent, Syria, Venezuela and Zimbabwe.

by Cat on Fri Feb 24th, 2023 at 11:52:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]

news.un.org | UN General Assembly calls for immediate end to war in Ukraine, 23 Feb
...By the terms of the 11-paragraph resolution, the Assembly reiterated its demand that Russia "immediately, completely and unconditionally withdraw all of its military forces from the territory of Ukraine and called for a cessation of hostilities"....
A/ES-11/L.7 (Arabic, CN, EN, FR, RU, ES)
Distr.: Limited
16 February 2023
Original: English

Eleventh emergency special session
Agenda item 5
Letter dated 28 February 2014 from the Permanent Representative of Ukraine to the United Nations addressed to the President of the Security Council (S/2014/136)

archived A/ES-11/L.6 28 February 2014, submitted 7 Nov 2022 eStatements; Trilateral Contact Group 5 Sep 2014, Minsk I, II
by Cat on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 03:53:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
APsplainin: Blinken heads to Asia, with China, Russia tensions soaring, 24 Feb
Fresh from a meeting with China's top diplomat
Munich Security Council (17.02.23) "We can confirm that Secretary Blinken concluded a meeting with... Wang Yi on the margins of the Munich Security Conference," a US State Department official said on condition of < wipes tears > anonymity. The meeting took place at an < wipes tears > undisclosed location away from the media, the US State Department said in a statement.
and a U.N. Security Council session on Ukraine
YouTube (24.02.23) UNSC A/V recording, run time 00:12:45
Secretary of State Antony Blinken will travel to Central and South Asia next week for [G20 Finance Ministers & Central Bank Governors and 2nd G20 Finance & Central Bank Deputies Meetings] that will put him in the same room as his Chinese and Russian counterparts.[FALSE]
Ukraine tensions flare at G-20 finance meetings in India (24.02.23)
....U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen condemned the "illegal and unjustified war against Ukraine" at a session attended by Russian officials and reiterated calls for G-20 nations to do more to support Ukraine and hinder Moscow's war effort.

"I urge the Russian officials here at the G-20 to understand that their continued work for the Kremlin makes them complicit in Putin's atrocities," Yellen said. "They bear responsibility for the lives and livelihoods being taken in Ukraine and the harm caused globally."...

The State Department said Blinken would travel to the former Soviet republics of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan before going to India for a meeting of the Group of 20 foreign ministers from the world's largest industrialized [AKA developed, advanced] and developing countries, including China and Russia.
Underscoring the challenges the U.S. faces, the three countries Blinken will visit were all among the 32 nations that abstained in Thursday's U.N. General Assembly vote that condemned Russia's invasion of Ukraine by a vote of 141-7.
A/ES-11/L.7 (24.02.23), illustrated
U.S. officials have been tight-lipped about the prospects for Blinken sitting down with Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang or Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov in New Delhi. But all three will be present in the Indian capital for the G-20 [summit 9-10 Sep 2023].
G-20 meeting in India ends without consensus on Ukraine war (25.02.23)A meeting of finance chiefs ministers of the Group of 20 leading economies ended on Saturday without a consensus, with Russia and China objecting to the description of the war in Ukraine in a final document....Their contention was they had approved the [1,186 pp] Bali declaration under the then prevailing circumstances, [India's Finance Minister Nirmala] said. "Now they didn't want it," Sitharaman said. She didn't give any other details.
"A major multilateral summit like the G-20, of course, lends itself to the potential for bilateral engagements on the margins, but we don't have any specific scheduling updates to offer," deputy State Department spokesman Vedant Patel said. He added, though, that "the United States believes it's important to keep the lines of communication open."

The last time the G-20 foreign ministers met -- in Bali, Indonesia, [15-16 Nov] 2022 -- Blinken held extensive talks [?] with China's then-foreign minister, Wang Yi, that led to a summit [sic] between President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Xinping in November.

by Cat on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 05:24:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What's on the agenda? Depends on which party you talk to in Delhi ...

German Chancellor Scholz meets PM Modi during 2-day India visit. Here's what on the agenda | India Today |

"Chancellor Scholz's visit is an opportunity to further deepen the multifaceted India-Germany strategic partnership," the Ministry of External Affairs said in a tweet.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 06:53:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 06:54:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

India ... German foreign policy ... do I see Annalena Baerbock in his team?

Ahead of visit to Delhi, German FM reverses position on UN role for Kashmir, says it is a "bilateral issue between India and Pakistan" | The Hindu - Dec. 4, 2022 |

We understand India's economic constraints on Russian sanctions, oil price cap: German Foreign Minister Baerbock

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 06:56:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
At last, insight into true goal of visit by Olaf Scholz to India ... responsible partner I'd Quad Defense Pact ...

Just wondering will the German foreign office hold tight to its stance all of Crimea must be returned to Kyiv regime before any peace settlement talks can commence.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 06:57:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by distributing "lethal aid", NED "revolutions", and sanction "waivers" like chiclets. They are obsessed with "winning" total world domination. Is it any wonder that diplomats dispatched from the Global South—the wrong side of history—to G7 "Great Power" psycho-summits decline to endorse "post-Cold War" national security "zero-sum" rules-based order FKA international normZ FKA international law?
by Cat on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 08:35:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

NSA Sullivan: 'The question of Crimea' is something we will come to

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Feb 26th, 2023 at 09:20:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Al Jazeera | Not an era for war, says India as G20 finance meet begins, 24 Feb
India has reiterated its stance on the war in Ukraine, saying it was time for dialogue and diplomacy, as finance officials from the Group of 20 (G20) start a meeting near the southern city of Bengaluru.

"Today's era is not for war. Democracy, dialogue and diplomacy is the way forward," Anurag Thakur, India's information minister, told a news conference on Wednesday after welcoming delegates to the meeting which ends on Saturday.

archived "I know that now is not an age of wars." (16.09.22 SCO summit)
India has kept a neutral stance on the war, declining to blame Russia for the invasion, seeking a diplomatic solution and increasing its purchases of Russian oil over the past year. ..."Many nations are keen on their turn to speak on the Russia-Ukraine war," said a central bank deputy governor from one of the attending countries, speaking on condition of anonymity. "Russia themselves want to discuss the economic impact of sanctions."
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and German Finance Minister Christian Lindner will be attending the meetings and are expected to press China to "quickly deliver" on debt relief for low and middle-income countries.
Foreign Ministry's Regular Press Conference Sri Lanka, Zambia
During the event, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) plans to hold a meeting with the World Bank, India, China, Saudi Arabia, the United States and other Group of Seven (G7) nations to try to reach an understanding on common standards, principles and definitions on how to restructure distressed country debt.
sdgpulse.unctad.org | Developing country external debt: A cascade of crises means more countries face debt distress; ips-journal.eu | "Cheap money and low interest rates in Europe and the US drew lots of investment to the South, creating unprecedented levels of debt there."(21.04.20)
NEW! G7-brand "multilateral banks"— IMF, World Bank, BIS + 1 Asian Development Bank (BoGovernors); OLD G7-brand "multilateral" FIRE*— FATFA (members + "network"): "the country has 'effectively been side-lined from the organisation' ...However, Russia is still expected to contribute financially and 'remains accountable for its obligations to implement FATF recommendations'"
However, neither the Russian finance minister nor the central bank chief was expected to attend the meeting. They will be represented by their deputies.
MODI @00:02:12: ...Trust in financial institutions has eroded. This is partly because they have been slow to reform themselves. It is now up to you, he custodians of the leading economies and monetary systems of the world, to bring back stability, confidence, and growth to the global economy. It is not an easy task, however, I hope that you will draw inspiration from the vibrancy of the Indian economy. Indian consumers and producers are optimistic and confident about the future. We hope that you will be able to transmit the same positive spirit to the global economy. I would add that your discussions should focus on the most vulnerable citizens of the world. Only by creating an inclusive agenda will the global economic leadership bring back the confidence of the world....

* DICTION CORNER for asset forfeiture

by Cat on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 08:09:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The West Tried to Isolate Russia. It Didn't Work., 23 Feb
Taking advantage of global ambivalence

A lot of world leaders don't particularly like the idea of one country invading another. But many of them aren't unhappy to see somebody stand up to the United States, either.

Throughout Africa, Latin America, Asia[,] and the Middle East, many governments with strong official ties to the United States and Europe don't see the war as a global threat. Instead, they've positioned themselves as neutral bystanders or arbiters, preserving as much flexibility as they can.
Nearly half of African countries abstained or were absent from the vote to condemn Russia, suggesting a growing reluctance in many nations to accept an American narrative of right and wrong. Russia has won friends through relentless propaganda and hard power, with a growing number of countries contracting with Russian mercenaries and buying Russian weapons.

Price Cap Coalition momos are on the way to break knee caps with the 10th sanctions bibble!
by Cat on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 11:21:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Feb 23rd, 2023 at 09:55:15 PM EST

The amount of oil exports that international markets received from Arab countries increased during 2022, led by Saudi Arabia and Iraq, so that their coffers benefit from the sharp rise in global crude prices, which ignited as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukrainian lands.

The statistics of the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI) show that the average amount of oil exports received by the global markets from 4 Arab crude-exporting countries (Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait and Algeria) rose to 13.35 million barrels per day during the past year (2022), compared to an average of 11.61 million. barrels per day in 2021.

The increase in oil exports to Arab countries during the past year came, with global demand for crude rising to its highest levels ever, amid an increase in global oil consumption by about 1.3 million barrels per day during the last month of 2022, according to what was monitored by the Energy Research Unit.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 08:23:03 PM EST

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 08:25:46 PM EST
by Cat on Sat Feb 25th, 2023 at 08:40:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
OSCE's role in strategic stability as erosion of the rules-based European security order is a concern

"Without a clear, convincing military danger, what rationale could there be for the complex and expensive organizations - principally NATO - which the West had maintained during the Cold War?"

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Mar 7th, 2023 at 09:20:33 AM EST
Case study of the European Security Architecture: NATO and OSCE | Nov. 30, 2020 |

This was another essential change of that period: the European Community (EC) was transformed from an economic Community into a political Union, enshrined in the Maastricht Treaty of 1993 (European Union, 1992). This landmark treaty established the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) as one of the three pillars on which the newly created Union rested - along with the so-called Community pillar, consistent of the European Communitiesupon which the Union had been founded, and the Justice and Home Affairs pillar. The EU's newly acquired status as a foreign policy actor was to be complemented later by a security and defence dimension (Tardy, 2018, p. 119). While the Maastricht Treaty would have been compatible with the pan-European security system set out in the CSCE's Charter of Paris,8 the US - and by extension NATO - had a different vision of what the European security architecture of the early 1990s should look like (Adler, 2008, p. 208).

Indeed, for the US NATO was the channel through which they could prolong their presence in Europe after the end of the Cold War (Wallander, 2000, p. 723). According to the Treaty of Washington (NATO, 1949), however, this Alliance had been designed as a military organisation founded on the territorial defence of its member states, so, in the late 1980s, NATO had to reinvent itself if it wanted to justify its permanence within the European architecture (Vershbow, 2019, p. 428; Walker, 2019, p. 266). "Without a clear, convincing military danger, what rationale could there be for the complex and expensive organizations - principally NATO - which the West had maintained during the Cold War?" (Cornish, 1996, p. 751).

This meant taking on new tasks which transformed NATO from a provider of deterrence and defence to an exporter of stability (Adler, 2008, p. 208; Ringsmose, 2010, p. 326). This shift began most notably with the 1990 London Declaration, a context in which NATO assumed tasks such as political dialogue and cooperation that had hitherto been carried out by the CSCE and it aimed to specialise in crisis management operations (Møller, 2008, p. 19; Webber et al., 2004, pp. 9-14). These commitments were gathered at the 1991 Rome NATO Summit under the so-called "New Strategic Concept" (NATO, 1991), the official document that outlines NATO's purpose and goals and which, at the time, caused the - up until then - precise objectives of NATO to be replaced by a broader vision and a less specific mission (Friedman, 2017.

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Mar 7th, 2023 at 09:21:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Blinken's Moscow policy criticized by envoy who helped free Brittney Griner | The Guardian |

Talks involving Richardson continued after the Russian invasion of Ukraine last year, a military action that prompted Blinken to say he had no plans to meet his counterpart, Sergey Lavrov.

Hume said: "I think if you have problems with people, you're a diplomat, you're just supposed to meet with them. And that doesn't convey that you're weak, soft or anything else. It conveys you want to explore how you deal with the problem rather than ignore how you deal with the problem."

Hume also said: "There's been a general habit of American diplomacy, which has strengthened or become more dominant in the last 30 years, that if we don't like what somebody's doing, we will name them and shame them and we will then assume that's all we have to do. And we'll go out and have lunch ...

Hume also criticised the state department and its spokesperson, Ned Price, for remarks about another case Richardson's team worked on, of an American journalist held in Myanmar and released in November 2021.

"If Bill Richardson had followed Mr Price's advice, Danny Fenster would still be in jail. Mr Price claimed afterward that the state department worked tirelessly to get Mr Fenster released. That's just untrue."

First wartime meeting Blinken Lavrov at G20 in India ...

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Thu Mar 9th, 2023 at 10:22:36 PM EST

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