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by dahuk Wed Apr 26th, 2023 at 10:49:04 AM EST
I used to enjoy reading his articles here years ago and it's nice to see one of his articles get so much attention.
The real lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany
Frontpaged with edited link - Frank Schnittger
The real lesson about the end of nuclear in Germany The end of baseload is coming | by Jérôme à Paris | The end of baseload is coming Is that what you usually hear? That replacing nuclear (a lot of it) by (a lot of) renewables will actually reduce fossil fuel use in the power sector? And yet it is the main lesson here. Lignite will be phased out in the next 10 years, and Germany will thus soon become a baseload-free system, dominated by renewables (which will then be well above 50% penetration, probably close to 60%). And do you hear about how German is a larger exporter of power than France? And, even more significantly, that its exports are at a higher price than France's (ie that they produce more at times that are better correlated to demand than France)? And that it is imports from Germany that allow France to go through peaks of high demand, because baseload cannot produce more than what it usually produces (that's the whole point of baseload)? Germany exports wind when it can, and flexible generation otherwise. Upward flexibility can only come from flexible plants that are switched off a lot of the time, and turned on only in times of need. So yes, Germany has a lot of gas-fired plants, and a lot of coal-fired plants, but they are actually used very little - only when demand (including from France) is very high and renewables supply is very low - which does happen, but not that often anymore. Fossil fuel power plants are relatively cheap (and made in Europe), and if they are used rarely they don't emit a lot of carbon dioxide.
The end of baseload is coming
Is that what you usually hear? That replacing nuclear (a lot of it) by (a lot of) renewables will actually reduce fossil fuel use in the power sector?
And yet it is the main lesson here. Lignite will be phased out in the next 10 years, and Germany will thus soon become a baseload-free system, dominated by renewables (which will then be well above 50% penetration, probably close to 60%).
And do you hear about how German is a larger exporter of power than France? And, even more significantly, that its exports are at a higher price than France's (ie that they produce more at times that are better correlated to demand than France)? And that it is imports from Germany that allow France to go through peaks of high demand, because baseload cannot produce more than what it usually produces (that's the whole point of baseload)?
Germany exports wind when it can, and flexible generation otherwise. Upward flexibility can only come from flexible plants that are switched off a lot of the time, and turned on only in times of need. So yes, Germany has a lot of gas-fired plants, and a lot of coal-fired plants, but they are actually used very little - only when demand (including from France) is very high and renewables supply is very low - which does happen, but not that often anymore. Fossil fuel power plants are relatively cheap (and made in Europe), and if they are used rarely they don't emit a lot of carbon dioxide.
A persistent myth about the challenges of integrating renewable power into the grid is that because solar and wind are intermittent, grid operators need to maintain full generation capacity from "baseload" plants powered by coal and nuclear. Recent real-world data and research shows that not only is this not true, but that baseload capacity is fundamentally incompatible with renewables, and that as renewables provide a greater portion of the grid's power, baseload generation will need to be phased out. 'Sapere aude'
Just had to double-check what that means: a kWh, which used to cost around 30cent/kWh for retail customers now is trading at 1.20/kWh on the wholesale market.— Christian Odendahl (@COdendahl) August 26, 2022
Just had to double-check what that means: a kWh, which used to cost around 30cent/kWh for retail customers now is trading at 1.20/kWh on the wholesale market.
Nothing new for those who has seen prices do these kinds of jumps before.
BREAKING ⚡️ Power sector emissions may have peaked in 2022, as wind and solar reach a record 12% of global electricity.Our fourth annual Global Electricity Review presents data from 78 countries, representing 93% of global electricity demand.#GER2023 [_link] pic.twitter.com/EghD5w1qZV— Ember (@EmberClimate) April 11, 2023
BREAKING ⚡️ Power sector emissions may have peaked in 2022, as wind and solar reach a record 12% of global electricity.Our fourth annual Global Electricity Review presents data from 78 countries, representing 93% of global electricity demand.#GER2023 [_link] pic.twitter.com/EghD5w1qZV
So the US blew up Nord Stream pipelines and Western Europe suffers with strong savings Russian gas ... MAGA. 'Sapere aude'
Germany's dependence on coal-fired power generation has increased by 8.4% to 33.3% in 2022, according to Federal Statistical Office.Germany's last three nuclear power plants generating carbon-free energy will shut by mid-April 2023.When "Developing" Bharat is fast moving...— BhikuMhatre (@MumbaichaDon) March 10, 2023
Germany's dependence on coal-fired power generation has increased by 8.4% to 33.3% in 2022, according to Federal Statistical Office.Germany's last three nuclear power plants generating carbon-free energy will shut by mid-April 2023.When "Developing" Bharat is fast moving...
The EU channels me The new energy market paper gets stuff right The draft of the electricity market reform has leaked and it is music to my ears... Power purchase agreements and contracts for difference not only provide consumers with stable prices, they also give renewable energy suppliers reliable revenues. This lowers their financial risk and greatly reduces their cost of capital. This creates a virtuous circle where stable revenues lower costs and boost demand for renewable energy. and Where Member States decide to set out direct price support schemes for new investments in low carbon, non-fossil fuel electricity generation to achieve the Union's decarbonisation objectives, they should be structured to include, in addition to a revenue guarantee, an upward limitation of the market revenues of the generation assets by way of two-way contracts for difference or other equivalent contractual formulations.
The new energy market paper gets stuff right
The draft of the electricity market reform has leaked and it is music to my ears...
and
Wondering why your energy bills keep going up? It's simple. It's because Europe's energy market is a scam!Here's @yanisvaroufakis on why it is so and what we can do about it.[_link]— DiEM25 (@DiEM_25) September 14, 2022
Wondering why your energy bills keep going up? It's simple. It's because Europe's energy market is a scam!Here's @yanisvaroufakis on why it is so and what we can do about it.[_link]
New interconnector with the Netherlands will: 🌎 be the largest of its kind anywhere in the world🏘️ supply 1.8m homes with reliable affordable & clean power 🏗️generate jobs & investment across coastal regions in the UKBut what is an interconnector 👇 pic.twitter.com/13zkU57h5m— Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (@energygovuk) April 24, 2023
New interconnector with the Netherlands will: 🌎 be the largest of its kind anywhere in the world🏘️ supply 1.8m homes with reliable affordable & clean power 🏗️generate jobs & investment across coastal regions in the UKBut what is an interconnector 👇 pic.twitter.com/13zkU57h5m
TenneT and National Grid collaborate on proposed first-of-a-kind Anglo-Dutch electricity link TenneT and National Grid have today announced plans for a first-of-its-kind electricity link that will connect offshore wind between the Netherlands and the UK. LionLink, which was included as a key project in today's North Sea Energy Declaration, could connect Dutch wind farms to the electricity grids of both countries via a subsea high voltage electricity cable, called a multi-purpose or hybrid interconnector. The development would be the first of its kind for the UK and the Netherlands, and the first step towards an integrated electricity grid in the North Sea.
TenneT and National Grid have today announced plans for a first-of-its-kind electricity link that will connect offshore wind between the Netherlands and the UK. LionLink, which was included as a key project in today's North Sea Energy Declaration, could connect Dutch wind farms to the electricity grids of both countries via a subsea high voltage electricity cable, called a multi-purpose or hybrid interconnector. The development would be the first of its kind for the UK and the Netherlands, and the first step towards an integrated electricity grid in the North Sea.
Which will capture the 11th EU sanctions package crown (before Paks II or PEJ comes online)?
[...] That means the unit of the Atlanta-based Southern Co. can start loading radioactive fuel into the reactor once it completes construction documentation and gets approval from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. [...] Units 3 and 4 at Plant Vogtle are the first new reactors built from scratch in decades in the United States. The first two reactors have been generating electricity at Vogtle for decades. A third and a fourth reactor were approved for construction at Vogtle by the Georgia Public Service Commission in 2009, and the third reactor was supposed to start generating power in 2016. [...] Georgia Power owns a minority of the two new reactors. The remaining shares are owned by Oglethorpe Power Corp., the Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia, and the city of Dalton. Oglethorpe and the Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia would sell power to cooperatives and municipal utilities across Georgia, as well in Jacksonville, Florida, and parts of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. Georgia Power's 2.7 million customers are already paying part of the financing cost, and state regulators have approved a monthly rate increase of $3.78 a month as soon as the third unit begins generating power. The elected Georgia Public Service Commission will decide later who pays for the remainder of the costs, including the fourth reactor.
Georgia Power's 2.7 million customers are already paying part of the financing cost, and state regulators have approved a monthly rate increase of $3.78 a month as soon as the third unit begins generating power. The elected Georgia Public Service Commission will decide later who pays for the remainder of the costs, including the fourth reactor.
Whereas
The Olkiluoto plant consists of two boiling water reactors (BWRs), each with a capacity of 890 MW, and one EPR type reactor (unit 3) with a capacity of 1,600 MW.[1] This makes unit 3 currently the most powerful nuclear power plant unit in Europe
... i.e. it's the headline that's wrong : the EPR is the most powerful nuclear reactor in Europe. The plant, at 3290 MW for its 3 reactors, is far from being the biggest nuclear power plant in Europe. I have never seen a nuclear reactor called a "nuclear power plant unit" before. Where do they get these journalists.
In France, Gravelines (practically in Belgium), Paluel (in Normandy) and Cattenom (practically in Luxemburg) have a higher nameplate capacity, at 5200 MW, than the Finnish plant. I have worked at all three. Oh, and there a bunch of other French plants at about 3600 MW, most of which I have also been to. So Olkiluoto comes in 11th in Europe.
Given the current problems of corrosion under constraint which have contributed about as much as the Russian gas crisis to the explosion of electricity prices in Europe, one reactor at Cattenom and two at Gravelines are currently under maintenance. But in terms of current production, Cattenom is the top in Europe, at about 3600 MW. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
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