Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

Ukraine Halting China's BRI Project to EU

by Oui Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 11:21:10 AM EST

In some ways, the pivotal year 2021 links the U.S. defeat in Afghanistan, losing a crucial footprint to Central Asia, Caspian Sea resources and critical minerals. The Ukraine project of American economic expansion became imperative. A complete barrier between the European Union and Western oriented Russia from the Ural Mountains became a national interest and part of survival for the hegemon in the 21st Century.

A follow-up of my earlier diary - NWO: Clash of the Hegemons | June 2022 |


After four years of Trump and after the act of sedition and 6 January attack on the U.S. Capitol in Washington DC ... before the Biden inauguration on Jan. 20 ...

My diary - Energy Policy, Pandemic and Free Market Pricing

How did these decisions pan out once Old Fox of interventions, Joe Biden took over the reigns in the Oval Office ...

After landing a sucker left hook on Macron's face, Joe tells Emmanuelle don't screw the United States ever again ...

EU-27 to Tackle Economic Powers US and China | Oct. 21, 2021 |

America fills void left by Chancellor Merkel ...

Selling out the European Union ... PM Mark Rutte's visit to Boris Johnson shrouded in secrecy. Wished I was the fly on the wall in Downing Street 10 ... [17-09-2021]

PM Mark Rutte travels to London today to visit his friend and Conservative colleague Boris Johnson ... it's about Afghanistan he says. 🤥 Hard to believe as his caretaker Cabinet was shaken by vote of censure in Dutch lower house yesterday affecting both the FM Kaag (D66) and Defense minister Bijleveld (CDA). Both are leading politicians of parties still supporting the caretaker government. Sigrid Kaag resigned to work full time as MP and key player in the formation talks ongoing for six months after the election.

He lost two key figures of his cabinet due to failures on withdrawal from Kabul and leaving interpreters with family and human rights workers behind. Handling of visa and papers were in chaos as staff had left with the first evacuation flight. Rutte has no soul of decency and serves his party's populist agenda on immigration and with priority less taxation for multinationals. Problems are not solved ... where is our Dutch leader? His heart is in corporate welfare, not the hard working people of main street Rotterdam or Groningen.

After Afghan defeat, Central Asia is up for grabs

China's Xi says trade with Russia expected to hit new records in the coming months | CNBC - June 17, 2022 |

Chinese President Xi Jinping emphasized his country's commitment to trading with Russia, despite Western sanctions against Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine.

"Today our cooperation between Russia and China [is] rising," Xi said, according to an official English translation carried by Russian state broadcaster RT. He cited Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to Beijing in early February.

The Chinese leader was speaking via video at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum's plenary session, which Putin opened with a speech over an hour long.

The official Chinese state media readout of Xi's remarks did not mention "new records" in trade between China and Russia. The readout did call for the removal of trade barriers and greater cooperation with other countries, including Russia.

In both the Chinese readout and RT's translation, Xi emphasized how China's economic potential has not changed and talked about the further development of the Belt and Road Initiative.

h/t Cat World POWs BRICS XV Summit

Can Russia-Iran-India Get INSTC Going?

Why the International North South Transport Corridor connecting India to Russia has become hot property

Chabahar Port's utility and significance is tied to the International North South Transport Corridor (INSTC), which connects Indian ports to those of the Russian Federation through a 72,00 km long multi-modal transport corridor, including shipping, road and rail, through Iran and the Caspian Sea.

This connectivity project originally conceived by India, Iran and Russia in 2000 has been a long time in the coming. It was only last year that the first freight travelled from Russia to India via the corridor. Yet, its importance can be gauged from the fact that in the interim ten more countries officially joined it - Azerbaijan, Armenia, Belarus, Oman, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkey, Syria, and Ukraine. More countries have evinced interest in joining the INSTC.

The war in Ukraine has opened up new opportunities for the INSTC. Unprecedented sanctions on Russia have deepened cooperation with Iran. Both countries have recently signed an agreement for the construction of the Rasht-Astara Railway along the INSTC.

Secondly, the sanctions on Russia, whose territory served as a transit zone for many Central Asian countries, as well as for China, has led to the rise of alternate trade routes like the Middle Corridor. China has also halted all BRI-related work in Russia.

All this has spurred greater commitment from Russia to accelerate infrastructure development both on its territory, and eliminate legal and logistical hurdles that currently prevail along the corridor. A session on the INSTC at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum earlier this year concluded that freight traffic along the corridor will continue to grow to projections of 6.5 million tonnes by 2030.

INSTC Azerbaijan, Armenia, Belarus, Oman, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkey, Syria, and Ukraine

Assessing the Status of India-Eurasia Connectivity Projects | ORF - Feb. 2023 |

Although many connectivity projects have been in the pipeline for decades, little progress has been made, primarily due to geopolitical factors. The non-viability of access routes through Pakistan and Afghanistan continues to be an obstacle and will likely remain so for the foreseeable future. Pakistan has blocked the strategic, economic, and cultural interests of both regions by refusing to facilitate connectivity via its territory. For instance, the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India gas pipeline, which has the potential to meet South Asia's energy needs, has been stalled since 2006 due to heightened security concerns.

Perhaps under China's influence, Pakistan has continued to create roadblocks for India in establishing strong trade and economic relations with the Central Asian/Eurasian countries. Hostility between India and Pakistan benefits China's hegemonic pursuits in Eurasia through its much-hyped Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Indeed, Beijing has sought to expand its commercial footprints in Central Asia, strategically located at the crossroads of Asia and Europe.

While inaugurating the BRI in Kazakhstan in 2013, Chinese President Xi Jinping said that all Central Asian countries should take an innovative approach and collaborate with China in setting up "an economic belt along the Silk Road". Additionally, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a flagship BRI programme with US$62 billion-worth of investments in energy and infrastructure projects in Pakistan, has added to India's geostrategic, geoeconomic, and security concerns. CPEC spans through Pakistan-occupied Kashmir and violates India's sovereignty, resulting in strong opposition from New Delhi.

Russia Competing with China for Central Asia

INSTC: Eurasia's inclusive connectivity corridor | Aug. 11, 2023 |

Meanwhile, China has been pushing its BRI with the help of Pakistan and trying to entice some Central Asian countries to utilize China Pakistan Economic Corridor (BRI's flagship project). Pakistan's China funded deep sea port at Gwadar, which is located merely 72 km east of Chabahar, is seen as a counterbalance to the Chabahar Port. Gwadar port is a critical component of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). China might, in future, also seek to use the port in Gwadar as a military base.

China, together with Pakistan and Afghanistan, is trying hard in linking Central Asian countries with BRI, particularly in the realization of the Trans-Afghan rail line project involving Uzbekistan, Afghanistan and Pakistan which is seen as an extension of CPEC. At present, the project seems to be delayed inordinately due to many apprehensions of the stakeholders in Central Asia.

The reason behind Central Asian countries being extremely motivated to be involved in the BRI is their need for financial resources for development, besides that they, being land-locked, have no access to sea to develop trade. Since the Ukraine, the Central Asian states are trying to open various connectivity corridors including INSTC and Chabahar Port. Moreover, with the US reevaluating its options and role in the region following its withdrawal from embarrassing defeat in Afghanistan.

China now has a greater opportunity to increase its footprint. China is nudging all the Central Asian countries to use Af-Pak corridor and the Karachi port to access the sea. The Trans-Afghan Railway is one such imitative to lean towards China sponsored economic activities. China also used the recently held China-Central Asia Summit to push its BRI agenda. It sought to promote integration and construction activities in Central Asian countries under the BRI umbrella.

The Belt and Road Initiative: Reshaping economic geography in Central Asia? | May 2020 |

Work on TAPI gas pipeline starts in Afghanistan's Herat province | China Xinhua News |

Ahead of inauguration of work for the TAPI project, Afghan President Mohammad Ashraf Ghani in his speech described the essential Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) pipeline project as a "corridor of development" and stressed for regional cooperation.

A ridiculous Western oriented analysis of the Afghan campaign, its goal and defeat ...

Russia and America's overlapping legacies in Afghanistan |  momentary Brookings Institution |

🔻🔻🔻

Xi Jinping calls for the 'normalization' and assimilation of Uyghur autonomous region | Le Monde |

Visiting Xinjiang, the Chinese leader called for the 'social stability' of the province, which has been the scene of an intense crackdown that has interned over 1 million Uyghurs and Muslim minorities in re-education camps.

On his return from the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) summit in Johannesburg, Chinese President Xi Jinping made a brief stopover in Xinjiang on Saturday, August 26. It was an opportunity to celebrate the "hard-won social stability" in the Uyghur autonomous region and to call for the "normalization" of politics there. In his speech, delivered to the senior members of the Communist Party and reported by state broadcaster CCTV, Xi stressed "that the priority is to maintain social stability" and "use this stability to guarantee development." Xinjiang, China's northwesternmost region, is the scene of an intense crackdown, with over 1 million Uyghurs and other Muslim minorities interned in "re-education" camps.

This short visit is the Chinese leader's second since launching the "Yanda" ("strike hard") campaign in 2014, following a series of attacks attributed to Uyghur separatist activists.

Xi Jinping calls for protection of `hard-won stability' in Xinjiang visit | Al Jazeera |

Opposing view of Xinjiang dilemma for Beijing

Violent Paternalism: On the Banality of Uyghur Unfreedom |

By Darren Byler

Since 2016 over one million Chinese civil servants have been ordered to spend a series of weeks visiting assigned Turkic Muslim "relatives." These mostly Han urbanites have been tasked with instructing Uyghur and Kazakh farmers in political ideology and subjecting them to tests of Chinese nationalism and Han cultural assimilation.

When they occupy the homes of their Turkic "relatives" they assess whether or not they should be sent into the mass "reeducation" camp system. Drawing on ethnographic field research, interviews and state documents, this essay argues that the systematic normalization of state-directed violent paternalism has produced a new kind of banality in Turkic minority experiences of unfreedom.

Eastern Turkistan Islamic Movement

Islamophobia, xenophobia, nationalism and assimilation ... in the EU we have a different approach to people of color ... discrimination, racial violence or simply denying entry to our "Garden". Populism, misogyny and white supremacy marches on.

Islamic terrorism: Kunduz suicide bomber attack by Xinjiang separatists in 2021

Uyghur Freedom Fighters and Kunduz Mosque Attack | Oct. 10, 2021 |

China report mentioned by me, refers to the Israel option of treating Palestinians as "terrorists" with the approval of Western democracies, no impunity.

Uyghur Muslim Ethnic Separatism in Xinjiang | April 30, 2021 |

Every scholar and scientist with an agenda can find funding for a reasonable living wage. Independent journalism is under threat of becoming extinct.

See my recent diary ...

Subscribe to the Rules Based Order or Else | Aug. 8, 2023 |

Display:
Human Rights ... Hong Kong ... Xinjiang ... Tibet ... glacier melt Himalayas ... islands popping up as sea level is rising ... staying longer is treacherous to NATO and great ally Joe Biden ... accompanied by UK Navy Fleet I suppose? We are imposing trade sanctions and Great Wall of isolation in Cold War 2.0 to prevent an economic takeover of our number One position across the globe. Never trusted that Indian fella in Downing Street 10 😠 India 🇮🇳 financial ties Mrs. Sunak.

James Cleverly should have refused as Defense Minister Ben Wallace did for 12 years, avoiding Red Square 🇷🇺 in Moscow. Sticking together 🇪🇺 #WeAreNato



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 01:40:11 PM EST
U.S. can no longer assume rest of world on its side: Washington Post | Xinhua News |

Many of the largest and most powerful countries in the developing world are growing increasingly anti-Western and anti-American, and these attitudes are rooted in the phenomenon of "rise of the rest," reported The Washington Postearly this month.

"Over the past two decades, a huge shift in the international system has taken place. Countries that were once populous but poor have moved from the margins to center stage," said the report. "Once representing a negligible share of the global economy, the 'emerging markets' now make up fully half of it. It would be fair to say they have emerged."

As these countries have become economically strong, politically stable and culturally proud, they have also become more nationalist, and their nationalism is often defined in opposition to the countries that dominate the international system -- meaning the West, it said.

The "new world" is not characterized by the decline of America but rather "the rise of everyone else," it said, noting that vast parts of the globe that were once pawns on the chessboard are now players and intend to choose their own, often proudly self-interested, moves.

"They will not be easily cowed or cajoled. They have to be persuaded -- with policies that are practiced at home and not just preached abroad. Navigating this international arena is the great challenge of U.S. diplomacy," it added.

The Rise of Militarism in NATO bastion of North America and West Europe is unfortunately accompanied by a steep decline in diplomacy and wise, courageous  leaders. Don't call the era a "Cold War" ... after mishaps in the Middle East and the new adventure in Ukraine, in reality the proxy war is an omen or step towards a "Hot War" ... God Almighty save us from Joe Biden or Donald Trump for another term in the White House.

Exiting the Cold War Entering a New World | Daniel S. Hamilton - 2019 |

In countries like Georgia or Ukraine, the tensions might even culminate in war. It is crucial to avoid hot war at all costs.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 06:41:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Britain's top diplomat raises human rights concerns with China but stresses "pragmatic" relationship | AP News |

BEIJING (AP) -- British Foreign Secretary James Cleverly said he raised concerns over China's human rights record during a visit to Beijing on Wednesday while also stressing the importance of maintaining a "pragmatic" working relationship and reopening channels of communication.

The trip, the first by a U.K. foreign secretary to China in more than five years, is an attempt to thaw relations that have grown increasingly frosty in recent years over issues including Beijing's crackdown on civil liberties in Hong Kong, a former British colony; abuses against Muslim minorities in the Xinjiang region; China's support for Russia; and Britain's close security ties with the United States.

The visit divided opinion in Britain's governing Conservative Party. Some lawmakers who have long called for a tougher stance on China criticized the visit as a form of appeasement.



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 06:44:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... reopening channels of communication

Using Yellen's blueprint? 😂

Yellen's China visit `a positive sign' to address practical issues despite still low expectations | Global Times - July 3, 2023 |

Scrapping additional tariffs `China's major concern' while US likely to discuss US debt, inflation: experts

Yellen said she had "direct, substantive, and productive" talks with China's new economic leadership, including Premier Li Qiang and Pan Gongsheng, the newly appointed Communist Party chief of China's central bank.

"No one visit will solve our challenges overnight. But I expect that this trip will help build a resilient and productive channel of communication," Yellen told a news conference in Beijing.

"Broadly speaking, I believe that my bilateral meetings -- which totaled about 10 hours over two days -- served as a step forward in our effort to put the US-China relationship on surer footing."

China's Deputy Finance Minister Liao Min said in a statement Sunday the two sides held "long and candid" meetings and would "maintain communication" in the future.



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 06:45:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The New World Order: An Outline of the Post-Cold War Era - Winter 2008

By Muzaffer Ercan Yilmaz

The end of the Cold War in the early 1990s has had a dual impact on international relations. On the one hand, the Soviet military withdrawal from Eastern Europe and the Third World brought an end to the Cold War, allowed democratization to proceed in many states previously ruled by Marxist dictatorships, and led to significant progress in resolving several Third World conflicts that had become prolonged during the Cold War. The reduction in East- West tension also resulted in a great decrease in inter-state conflicts, some of which occurred due to the superpower ideological rivalry during the Cold War. Even it became fashionable to argue that force, used here as military power, has run its course in international politics. And it is true that defense budgets in many parts of the world radically decreased (See, for example, United States, Government Accountability Office, 2008). This trend, despite very few contrary examples (for instance China), appears to holding.

On the other hand, however, it would be rather unwise to argue that the world is now at peace. The collapse of the "Soviet Empire" was followed by the emergence, or re- emergence, of many serious conflicts in several areas that had been relatively quiescent during the Cold War. Some of these new conflicts have been taking place within the former Soviet Union, such as the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh, and the fighting in Chechnya. But some conflicts also erupted or intensified in several countries outside of it and many Third World conflicts in which the superpowers were not deeply involved during the Cold War have persisted after it, like the secessionist movements in India, Sri Lanka, and Sudan.

Ethnopolitical conflicts aside, there have been other threats to international order that are, indeed, beyond the full control of major powers, even the United States, the victor of the Cold War. The most notable ones include religious militancy, terrorism, North-South conflict, and severe competition over scarce resources. Thus, the end of the Cold War can be said to have brought about both stability and instability to international relations. The purpose of this article is to evaluate nearly two decades of the post-Cold War era in terms of the elements of stability and instability. In this respect, the study will start with an overview of the general characteristics of the international system. This will be followed by a more detailed discussion on basic trends and new threats in international relations. Several observations will also be outlined in concluding the study with respect to possible future directions of international affairs.

THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM AFTER THE COLD WAR

With the collapse of communist regimes in Eastern Europe and disintegration of the Soviet Union, the bipolar international system dominating the Cold War period disappeared, leaving its place to basically a unipolar system under the leadership of the United States, speaking especially from a military/political point of view. The former rivals of the United States, especially the Soviet Union and China, have either collapsed or jettisoned the central features of their ideologies that were hostile to the United States. Other countries have turned to American military protection. The "American Empire" may best be seen operating in the Persian Gulf, Iraq, and the Middle East, in general, where the armed forces of the United States have established a semi permanent foothold and thousands of soldiers deployed at bases keep a watch on Iran, Syria, and other "potential enemies". [Libya, Syria were never a threat to the U.S.  ... only in the think tank policy of Neocons to "protect" ally Israel]

Albeit widely criticized, American military power serves a number of critical functions. In some areas, in the Persian Gulf for example, it guarantees weak states against attacks by their stronger neighbors. In Asia, the presence of the United States stabilizes the region in which a number of states might otherwise feel compelled to develop much larger military forces than they currently have. American military power in Japan does only protect Japan against foreign enemies. It indirectly protects China and other Asian states against the consequences that might flow from a heavily re-armed Japan. Moreover, American military power serves as an organizer of military coalition, both permanent (such as NATO) and ad hoc (such as peacekeeping missions). American military participation is often necessary to the command and control of coalition operations. When the Americans are willing to lead, other countries often follow, even if reluctantly. However, these are certainly not to argue that American interventions occur in every large conflict around the world. But it means that almost any country embarking on the use of force beyond its borders has to think about possible reactions of the United States (See, Sanders, 2008).

Alternatives: Turkish Journal of International Relations, Vol. 7, No. 4, Winter 2008 p45



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 05:30:29 PM EST
The Middle East is once again West Asia | Responsible Statecraft - Aug. 15, 2023 |

By Chas Freeman

Shifting regional dynamics require the reconsideration and adjustment of longstanding American policies.

Türkiye and the fragments of the Ottoman Sultanate's Levantine territories carved into semi-independent, neo-colonially administered countries by British and French bureaucrats have acquired well-defined international personalities.  Iran, Iraq, Israel, Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria have come to embrace strong national identities that have survived multiple external and internal challenges to their existence.

Iran has broken with its neocolonialist patrons, installed a defiantly independent Shi'ite government, and asserted its own sphere of influence in West Asia. In this century alone, Iraq has experienced a period of governance as a "thugdom," an anarchy imposed by a botched American effort at hit-and-run democratization, and the slaughter by foreign and domestic forces of at least half a million of its population. Israel has degenerated from the vaguely humanistic vision of early Jewish nationalism to today's Zionist negation of universal Jewish values. The indigenous people of Palestine have been the continuous object of relentless dispossession and brutal oppression by the Zionist settler state.

Lebanon, once the playground of French confessional politics and Arab hedonism, has become ungovernable.  Syria has been isolated, vivisected, and devastated by coalitions of domestic forces supported by external actors, including the Gulf Arabs, Israel, Türkiye, and the United States. Syria continues to be the locus of a variety of proxy wars, including between Israel and Iran, Russia and the United States, and Türkiye and Kurdish separatists.



'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 05:33:50 PM EST
Where have these bloggers gone?

Re: Israel's Racist in Chief (4.00 / 3)

It wouldn't be the first time the US had good relations with a racist regime. I remember that it took forever to tilt the US away from South Africa's apartheid regime. People in small towns led the way, refusing to invest or deal with companies doing business in South Africa. Then small cities, then large cities (Boston became one of them at this point).

The rationale behind talking to the ex-bouncer from Ukraine will be "in the interest of furthering the peace process," ignoring the reality that there never has been a viable peace process.

Israel has demonstrated an interest in buying the F-22 hypersonic fighter and because it keeps the production lines going, the Pentagon favors the sale. Israel remains the largest recipient of US foreign aid. Israel supporters, lead by an ex-AIPAC chairman who is now under indictment, successfully harrassed Chas Freeman out of his job as Director of Intelligence, though it was almost universally agreed that he was perfect for the job.

My own senator, John Kerry, went to Gaza after the ceasefire. From a UN worker there, he accepted a letter from Hamas for Obama, was roundly criticized for "dealing with terrorists" (which, if I'm not mistaken, is against US law). He now chairs the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Looking at his voting record, I sense a certain lack of spinal fortitude, a certain willingness to refrain from doing the right thing in favor of political expediency. Rather like our current Secretary of State. I expect any hearings he might hold (none so far, and none scheduled) will adopt a compassionate, rational tone, express the hope that the US will act evenhandedly, then do what Obama and the party want anyways. Unless. ....

"It Can't Be Just About Us"
--Frank Schnittger, ETian Extraordinaire

by papicek (papi_cek_at_hotmail_dot_com) on Wed Apr 15th, 2009

Bold face added by me - Oui

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 05:36:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
more like the SCO hook-up that dares to leave "superpower" of the hour, MODI! MODI! MODI! out of the loop. Dipanjan Roy Chaudhury has probably, already syndicated versions of this story to the Price Cap business press, which will gladly pay for omens of "geopolitical" rivalry in the ruins of divisive and ill-conceived BRICS XV expansion:
[...]
"Even as Russia is trying to signal to China that it was supportive of BRI it remains to be seen how Russia would deal with China's moves to increase its footprint and wean Central Asian countries [sic] towards Beijing backed connectivity projects. Russia would like to maintain its pre-eminent role in Central Asia.
< checks watch > Not much time left in 2023 to read terms of the MOUs in "the plan for the development of key areas of Russian-Chinese economic cooperation until 2030".

INSTC (2000 TNC): AM, AZ, BY, BG, IN, IR, KZ, KG, OM, RU, TJ, TR, UA?, SY; Trans-Iran leg (2022)

SCO (2001 NGO): CN, IN, IR, KZ, KG, PK, RU, TJ, UZ; AM*, AF*, AZ*, BY*, TR*, LK*, KH*, SA*, EG*, MY*, MV*, KW*, AE*

CPEC (2015 FTA): CN, PK, MN*, RU*, KZ*, KG*, TJ*, AF*, IN*

LMC(2016 FTA): CN, KH, LA, TH, VN, MM

UTLC (2018 TNC): CN, KZ, RU, BY

by Cat on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 05:34:21 PM EST

Additional reading ...

The US-Chinese power shift and the end of the Pax Americana | Chatham House - 2018 |

Total bull from Fareed Zakaria:

Opinion The United States can no longer assume that the rest of the world is on its side | Washington Post |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 05:37:42 PM EST
U.S. can no longer assume rest of world on its side: Washington Post | Xinhua News |

Many of the largest and most powerful countries in the developing world are growing increasingly anti-Western and anti-American, and these attitudes are rooted in the phenomenon of "rise of the rest," reported The Washington Postearly this month.

"Over the past two decades, a huge shift in the international system has taken place. Countries that were once populous but poor have moved from the margins to center stage," said the report. "Once representing a negligible share of the global economy, the 'emerging markets' now make up fully half of it. It would be fair to say they have emerged."

As these countries have become economically strong, politically stable and culturally proud, they have also become more nationalist, and their nationalism is often defined in opposition to the countries that dominate the international system -- meaning the West, it said.

The "new world" is not characterized by the decline of America but rather "the rise of everyone else," it said, noting that vast parts of the globe that were once pawns on the chessboard are now players and intend to choose their own, often proudly self-interested, moves.

"They will not be easily cowed or cajoled. They have to be persuaded -- with policies that are practiced at home and not just preached abroad. Navigating this international arena is the great challenge of U.S. diplomacy," it added.

The Rise of Militarism in NATO bastion of North America and West Europe is unfortunately accompanied by a steep decline in diplomacy and wise, courageous  leaders. Don't call the era a "Cold War" ... after mishaps in the Middle East and the new adventure in Ukraine, in reality the proxy war is an omen or step towards a "Hot War" ... God Almighty save us from Joe Biden or Donald Trump for another term in the White House.

Exiting the Cold War Entering a New World | Daniel S. Hamilton - 2019 |

In countries like Georgia or Ukraine, the tensions might even culminate in war. It is crucial to avoid hot war at all costs.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Wed Aug 30th, 2023 at 05:38:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Take every opportunity to block trade, threaten tariffs or plain sanctions and complain about China's countermeasures.

Brussels trade chief warns China and EU could `drift apart' over Putin's war | Politico |

The EU's powerful Trade Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis today finishes what has been a packed four-day visit to China.

The trip took him to the commercial hub Shanghai, a scenic tourist spot Suzhou (where he inspected a brake factory) and, of course, the capital Beijing.

The mood took a tougher turn on Monday, when Chinese Vice-Premier He Lifeng publicly criticized the EU for all its trade measures against China, especially on the anti-subsidy probe into made-in-China electric vehicles.

'Strong dissatisfaction': "China again ... expresses our strong concern and dissatisfaction," He told reporters while sitting next to Dombrovskis, referring to the e-car probe. "We hope that the EU would exercise caution."

Voiced a powerful NATO war narrative ...

In a speech at Tsinghua University, the former Latvian leader said it's "very difficult" for Europe to understand China's stance on Russia's war against Ukraine, calling it the "strongest ... headwind" potentially causing the EU and China to "drift apart."

EU, China rein in trade angst, set agenda for further dialogue | Reuters |

China's take on visit ..,

China, EU hold 'productive' trade dialogue; bloc urged to take concrete steps to stop protectionism | Global Times |

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Sep 28th, 2023 at 11:32:28 PM EST


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